It is time for Americans to seriously consider the possibility (not a certainty yet, but a possibility) that we are watching a major event in American history
Like something that will be talked about many, many decades from now
Like something that will be talked about many, many decades from now
November 4, 2026 at 3:07 AM
It is time for Americans to seriously consider the possibility (not a certainty yet, but a possibility) that we are watching a major event in American history
Like something that will be talked about many, many decades from now
Like something that will be talked about many, many decades from now
Trump pardoning Hegseth and Vought and real soon is a near certainty
i legit think starting with hegseth and vought might actually get convictions and get people familiar with impeachments having consequences and softening up the ground for trump
November 4, 2026 at 1:09 AM
Trump pardoning Hegseth and Vought and real soon is a near certainty
To help you see clearly what is operating underneath your decisions,
your discomfort,
and your certainty,
so you can make choices rooted in our hope rather than our pain.
The coalition that makes a different future possible already exists.
It is Black.
It is overwhelmingly women-led.
your discomfort,
and your certainty,
so you can make choices rooted in our hope rather than our pain.
The coalition that makes a different future possible already exists.
It is Black.
It is overwhelmingly women-led.
November 4, 2026 at 1:36 PM
To help you see clearly what is operating underneath your decisions,
your discomfort,
and your certainty,
so you can make choices rooted in our hope rather than our pain.
The coalition that makes a different future possible already exists.
It is Black.
It is overwhelmingly women-led.
your discomfort,
and your certainty,
so you can make choices rooted in our hope rather than our pain.
The coalition that makes a different future possible already exists.
It is Black.
It is overwhelmingly women-led.
data about turnout, early votes, exit polls etc are notoriously unreliable. Best advice is to ignore everything. We will go from knowing basically nothing to knowing with a lot of certainty how the night is gonna go when we start getting Virginia results in at 7 ET
November 3, 2026 at 5:26 PM
data about turnout, early votes, exit polls etc are notoriously unreliable. Best advice is to ignore everything. We will go from knowing basically nothing to knowing with a lot of certainty how the night is gonna go when we start getting Virginia results in at 7 ET
I can tell you with great certainty.
BlueSky isn’t the bubble they want it to be.
Living here in Florida? That’s living in a bubble.
BlueSky isn’t the bubble they want it to be.
Living here in Florida? That’s living in a bubble.
Is Bluesky responsible for the blue wave? Many people are asking this
November 4, 2026 at 4:12 AM
I can tell you with great certainty.
BlueSky isn’t the bubble they want it to be.
Living here in Florida? That’s living in a bubble.
BlueSky isn’t the bubble they want it to be.
Living here in Florida? That’s living in a bubble.
You certainty have the best accessory. @dieworkwear.bsky.social
November 5, 2026 at 3:18 AM
You certainty have the best accessory. @dieworkwear.bsky.social
There’s a sense in some quarters that hope and faith are dishonest. That's interesting to me because I think that fatalism and certainty are more dishonest. You don’t know what’s actually going to happen for sure. You will be wrong in your predictions, most likely.
November 6, 2026 at 12:16 AM
There’s a sense in some quarters that hope and faith are dishonest. That's interesting to me because I think that fatalism and certainty are more dishonest. You don’t know what’s actually going to happen for sure. You will be wrong in your predictions, most likely.
Labour will compromise their principles! Choose certainty with us, who never had any
November 2, 2026 at 7:43 PM
Labour will compromise their principles! Choose certainty with us, who never had any
"of course" is actually a contraction (no pun intended!) of the archaic "of corset" meaning that the certainty of the thing in question has been cinched
November 4, 2026 at 6:44 PM
"of course" is actually a contraction (no pun intended!) of the archaic "of corset" meaning that the certainty of the thing in question has been cinched
Does anybody else remember that night 20 years ago when Karl Rove, in the space of three hours, went from a smug certainty that Republicans would win the 2006 midterms, to literally throwing up live on Fox News?
This night is feeling like that, only a lot gayer 🏳️🌈
This night is feeling like that, only a lot gayer 🏳️🌈
November 4, 2026 at 4:05 AM
Does anybody else remember that night 20 years ago when Karl Rove, in the space of three hours, went from a smug certainty that Republicans would win the 2006 midterms, to literally throwing up live on Fox News?
This night is feeling like that, only a lot gayer 🏳️🌈
This night is feeling like that, only a lot gayer 🏳️🌈
Anyway, we have to talk about aging and death. Because if you are lucky you will age and the one certainty for humans is that we will all die.
November 1, 2026 at 1:08 PM
Anyway, we have to talk about aging and death. Because if you are lucky you will age and the one certainty for humans is that we will all die.
So when Dems like Blumenthal keep pushing KOSA, you can know with absolute certainty that they actually WANT more censorship and surveillance.
There's nothing "pragmatic" about continuing to push controversial, weak, Big Tech endorsed legislation when you're in a position of power.
There's nothing "pragmatic" about continuing to push controversial, weak, Big Tech endorsed legislation when you're in a position of power.
November 4, 2026 at 2:06 PM
So when Dems like Blumenthal keep pushing KOSA, you can know with absolute certainty that they actually WANT more censorship and surveillance.
There's nothing "pragmatic" about continuing to push controversial, weak, Big Tech endorsed legislation when you're in a position of power.
There's nothing "pragmatic" about continuing to push controversial, weak, Big Tech endorsed legislation when you're in a position of power.
If it is close, we will know on 27 November at the earliest, even if the commentariat and the media want certainty by Monday.
November 5, 2026 at 4:03 AM
If it is close, we will know on 27 November at the earliest, even if the commentariat and the media want certainty by Monday.
As if by the axiomatic certainty of existence, commissions are open officially. - With Google Forms one again established!
forms.gle/hfR91VbL93AG...
forms.gle/hfR91VbL93AG...
November 5, 2026 at 2:19 AM
As if by the axiomatic certainty of existence, commissions are open officially. - With Google Forms one again established!
forms.gle/hfR91VbL93AG...
forms.gle/hfR91VbL93AG...
I think this is possible.
I also think, especially if done in the context of a big Dem Senate win, it would push court-packing or at least significant structural SCOTUS reform come 2029 towards a near-certainty.
I also think, especially if done in the context of a big Dem Senate win, it would push court-packing or at least significant structural SCOTUS reform come 2029 towards a near-certainty.
One bit of chicanery to look out for: if Democrats win the Senate, I think there's a good chance Samuel Alito resigns from the Supreme Court and the Republicans try to replace him in the lame duck session.
Yes, we all remember Merrick Garland. But we know the 'rules' are different now.
Yes, we all remember Merrick Garland. But we know the 'rules' are different now.
November 2, 2026 at 11:06 PM
I think this is possible.
I also think, especially if done in the context of a big Dem Senate win, it would push court-packing or at least significant structural SCOTUS reform come 2029 towards a near-certainty.
I also think, especially if done in the context of a big Dem Senate win, it would push court-packing or at least significant structural SCOTUS reform come 2029 towards a near-certainty.
there is a 100 percent certainty someone on cnn said this very thing in 2018
November 5, 2026 at 10:01 PM
there is a 100 percent certainty someone on cnn said this very thing in 2018
📍Qalandia checkpoint, between W & E Jerusalem: Palestinians🇵🇸including those who are Israeli citizens wait in line for hours just to get to work, reach a hospital or visit family, w/no certainty about when they'll get through. This is Israel’s🇮🇱 “democracy.” @euronews.com @euronewsturkce.bsky.social
November 5, 2026 at 4:52 PM
📍Qalandia checkpoint, between W & E Jerusalem: Palestinians🇵🇸including those who are Israeli citizens wait in line for hours just to get to work, reach a hospital or visit family, w/no certainty about when they'll get through. This is Israel’s🇮🇱 “democracy.” @euronews.com @euronewsturkce.bsky.social
it is impossible to sex skeletons/bones with 100% certainty
November 2, 2026 at 6:33 PM
it is impossible to sex skeletons/bones with 100% certainty
We may not! It’s literally impossible to even speculate.
Here’s what we do know, though: voting publics are not predictably responding to material conditions.
Until we figure out what they ARE responding to, we cannot insulate ourselves from cyclical backlash with any degree of certainty.
Here’s what we do know, though: voting publics are not predictably responding to material conditions.
Until we figure out what they ARE responding to, we cannot insulate ourselves from cyclical backlash with any degree of certainty.
This is a good thread and something I've been thinking about. Obviously I'm thrilled that voters rejected this psychotic administration. But it's somewhat depressing that we're going to have the opposite night in 4 years.
It’s been clear since early 2025 that the “the right controls the information ecosystem” theory of Trump’s power is wrong. Trump became unpopular much faster than Biden; the vibecession has gotten worse under him, etc.
But SOMETHING is definitely weird about the info environment.
But SOMETHING is definitely weird about the info environment.
November 4, 2026 at 6:51 PM
We may not! It’s literally impossible to even speculate.
Here’s what we do know, though: voting publics are not predictably responding to material conditions.
Until we figure out what they ARE responding to, we cannot insulate ourselves from cyclical backlash with any degree of certainty.
Here’s what we do know, though: voting publics are not predictably responding to material conditions.
Until we figure out what they ARE responding to, we cannot insulate ourselves from cyclical backlash with any degree of certainty.
Don't doomscroll today. No one knows what will happen; the only certainty will come tonight. Instead, DO SOMETHING. If you have time to rabidly watch your feeds, you have time to do something positive.
November 3, 2026 at 12:43 PM
Don't doomscroll today. No one knows what will happen; the only certainty will come tonight. Instead, DO SOMETHING. If you have time to rabidly watch your feeds, you have time to do something positive.
I do understand the logic behind this I just can’t say with any certainty that MAGA does
November 3, 2026 at 5:04 PM
I do understand the logic behind this I just can’t say with any certainty that MAGA does
Each jurisdiction has its own process (and timeline) for how to get unofficial results out as quickly as is compatible with a reasonable degree of certainty. Not the full certainty of certified official results, but enough certainty to more likely quell suspicion than stoke it.
November 3, 2026 at 12:40 AM
Each jurisdiction has its own process (and timeline) for how to get unofficial results out as quickly as is compatible with a reasonable degree of certainty. Not the full certainty of certified official results, but enough certainty to more likely quell suspicion than stoke it.
Likely? It must be a certainty.
🫡
Democrats are likely to launch investigations into Musk's influence, including his leadership of DOGE and government contracts n.pr/4zkIQRz
November 4, 2026 at 11:51 PM
Likely? It must be a certainty.
Almost a certainty.
November 4, 2026 at 12:37 AM
Almost a certainty.
History has a funny way of reminding us that nothing stays at the top forever. Power shifts, voices rise, and yesterday's certainty becomes tomorrow's lesson. Congratulations to the winners. May humility accompany success
November 4, 2026 at 3:53 PM
History has a funny way of reminding us that nothing stays at the top forever. Power shifts, voices rise, and yesterday's certainty becomes tomorrow's lesson. Congratulations to the winners. May humility accompany success