Something that I think people and pollsters need to grapple with, and you can see this in all the shit Nate Cohn wrote, is that sometimes differential non-response is actually a sign of incoming differential turnout.
Pollsters have wedded themselves to the idea that DNR means polls lean Dem.
Pollsters have wedded themselves to the idea that DNR means polls lean Dem.
November 6, 2026 at 6:49 PM
Something that I think people and pollsters need to grapple with, and you can see this in all the shit Nate Cohn wrote, is that sometimes differential non-response is actually a sign of incoming differential turnout.
Pollsters have wedded themselves to the idea that DNR means polls lean Dem.
Pollsters have wedded themselves to the idea that DNR means polls lean Dem.
From ESPN Research: The Patriots have a minus-11 turnover differential this season, tied with Colts for worst in the NFL.
First team with a minus-11 turnover differential or worse, and winning record through 9 games, since 2011 Steelers (minus-11, started 6-3, finished 12-4).
First team with a minus-11 turnover differential or worse, and winning record through 9 games, since 2011 Steelers (minus-11, started 6-3, finished 12-4).
November 9, 2026 at 12:30 PM
From ESPN Research: The Patriots have a minus-11 turnover differential this season, tied with Colts for worst in the NFL.
First team with a minus-11 turnover differential or worse, and winning record through 9 games, since 2011 Steelers (minus-11, started 6-3, finished 12-4).
First team with a minus-11 turnover differential or worse, and winning record through 9 games, since 2011 Steelers (minus-11, started 6-3, finished 12-4).
The Celtics now have a +53 point differential in the NBA Cup standings lol
November 7, 2026 at 2:26 AM
The Celtics now have a +53 point differential in the NBA Cup standings lol
p(doom)
clinical depression
seasonal affective disorder
is the differential diagnosis which tech hoodie someone is wearing?
clinical depression
seasonal affective disorder
is the differential diagnosis which tech hoodie someone is wearing?
November 6, 2026 at 9:44 PM
p(doom)
clinical depression
seasonal affective disorder
is the differential diagnosis which tech hoodie someone is wearing?
clinical depression
seasonal affective disorder
is the differential diagnosis which tech hoodie someone is wearing?
The differential turnout idea seems right
November 7, 2026 at 3:23 PM
The differential turnout idea seems right
The Habs now have a goal differential of -10 in the 3rd period.
November 8, 2026 at 2:17 AM
The Habs now have a goal differential of -10 in the 3rd period.
Success differential vs. explosive differential... Louisville looks good... the AP top 25 teams are playing like it... Dear god, Stanford.
November 9, 2026 at 3:47 PM
Success differential vs. explosive differential... Louisville looks good... the AP top 25 teams are playing like it... Dear god, Stanford.
Oh, for sure, both actions are deplorable.
It's the differential in consequences that interests me here.
It's the differential in consequences that interests me here.
November 7, 2026 at 8:54 AM
Oh, for sure, both actions are deplorable.
It's the differential in consequences that interests me here.
It's the differential in consequences that interests me here.
NFC North is now 19-3 with I think a +159 point differential against everyone else.
*differential calculated while very tired
*differential calculated while very tired
November 9, 2026 at 12:47 AM
NFC North is now 19-3 with I think a +159 point differential against everyone else.
*differential calculated while very tired
*differential calculated while very tired
Some data indicating differential turnout (from @davidshor.bsky.social)
November 5, 2026 at 7:24 AM
Some data indicating differential turnout (from @davidshor.bsky.social)
The 4-4 Pelicans are +19 on the season in point differential.
Herb Jones is +85
Herb Jones is +85
November 5, 2026 at 5:41 AM
The 4-4 Pelicans are +19 on the season in point differential.
Herb Jones is +85
Herb Jones is +85
positive cup point differential now 👀
November 7, 2026 at 3:50 AM
positive cup point differential now 👀
Dana 60. The finest differential known to man.
November 9, 2026 at 3:14 AM
Dana 60. The finest differential known to man.
Someone remind them about the point differential
November 7, 2026 at 1:35 AM
Someone remind them about the point differential
The Jaguars have the NFL’s best point differential (+246) since the start of last season.
They are now 19-6 in the regular season under Liam Coen.
They are now 19-6 in the regular season under Liam Coen.
November 6, 2026 at 1:16 PM
The Jaguars have the NFL’s best point differential (+246) since the start of last season.
They are now 19-6 in the regular season under Liam Coen.
They are now 19-6 in the regular season under Liam Coen.
Celtics are taking the point differential thing pretty seriously.
SML Mr. Goodman's Swish Basketball Shot
ALT: SML Mr. Goodman's Swish Basketball Shot
static.klipy.com
November 7, 2026 at 1:06 AM
Celtics are taking the point differential thing pretty seriously.
Differential turnout, illustrated
November 6, 2026 at 6:15 PM
Differential turnout, illustrated
ODD in the DSM is crazy bc they provide all these differential diagnoses that actually explain the behaviors which then makes the racial bias of ODD even more apparent bc the differential diagnoses makes the ODD label feel like it's communicating "this kid is difficult for no real reason"
November 9, 2026 at 2:54 PM
ODD in the DSM is crazy bc they provide all these differential diagnoses that actually explain the behaviors which then makes the racial bias of ODD even more apparent bc the differential diagnoses makes the ODD label feel like it's communicating "this kid is difficult for no real reason"
That shot differential is crazy.
November 8, 2026 at 1:29 AM
That shot differential is crazy.
Timberwolves have the best point differential in the NBA so far this year (+11.1). They probably won't hang onto that statistical title given Ant's injury, but they have a point differential of +7.7 since he went down, and that's good for 7th best over the last 7 games
November 9, 2026 at 2:21 PM
Timberwolves have the best point differential in the NBA so far this year (+11.1). They probably won't hang onto that statistical title given Ant's injury, but they have a point differential of +7.7 since he went down, and that's good for 7th best over the last 7 games
Or GOVERNOR?! Bet the pay differential is ZERO!
November 8, 2026 at 7:19 PM
Or GOVERNOR?! Bet the pay differential is ZERO!
Point Differential 📈📈📈📈📈💚✨💚
November 7, 2026 at 1:49 AM
Point Differential 📈📈📈📈📈💚✨💚
Adam Silver did it! He solved Bad Teams!
November 9, 2026 at 2:03 PM
Adam Silver did it! He solved Bad Teams!
Actually in some ways even more striking is MI/MN where Dems seem to have lost votes on persuasion but made up for over 100 percent of it with turnout differential.
November 6, 2026 at 1:28 PM
Actually in some ways even more striking is MI/MN where Dems seem to have lost votes on persuasion but made up for over 100 percent of it with turnout differential.