Minvest is back for the start of Premier League, Serie A and other major European Leagues tomorrow! The new minvest model is scaled to support more data and better accuracy against sharp / soft books. A brief writeup is on our site:
minvest.tech/data
#DataDriven
minvest.tech/data
#DataDriven
Data — Minvest
minvest.tech
August 22, 2026 at 12:45 AM
Minvest is back for the start of Premier League, Serie A and other major European Leagues tomorrow! The new minvest model is scaled to support more data and better accuracy against sharp / soft books. A brief writeup is on our site:
minvest.tech/data
#DataDriven
minvest.tech/data
#DataDriven
Short rest can cause teams to underperform xG by up to 25%.
So over the extended European break, we improved the minvest model's performance for a team playing on short rest (defined as less than 6 days).
🧵Thread on where we started and ended:
So over the extended European break, we improved the minvest model's performance for a team playing on short rest (defined as less than 6 days).
🧵Thread on where we started and ended:
October 3, 2026 at 3:35 PM
Short rest can cause teams to underperform xG by up to 25%.
So over the extended European break, we improved the minvest model's performance for a team playing on short rest (defined as less than 6 days).
🧵Thread on where we started and ended:
So over the extended European break, we improved the minvest model's performance for a team playing on short rest (defined as less than 6 days).
🧵Thread on where we started and ended:
Serie A match day 36 is a wrap! Here's the scorecard:
Minvest: 8/10 🟢
Gemini: 8/10 🟢
Claude: 6/10 🟡
ChatGPT: 4/10 🔴
Good showing for our first week with a new beta version of the Minvest model 💵
Minvest: 8/10 🟢
Gemini: 8/10 🟢
Claude: 6/10 🟡
ChatGPT: 4/10 🔴
Good showing for our first week with a new beta version of the Minvest model 💵
May 12, 2026 at 12:06 AM
Serie A match day 36 is a wrap! Here's the scorecard:
Minvest: 8/10 🟢
Gemini: 8/10 🟢
Claude: 6/10 🟡
ChatGPT: 4/10 🔴
Good showing for our first week with a new beta version of the Minvest model 💵
Minvest: 8/10 🟢
Gemini: 8/10 🟢
Claude: 6/10 🟡
ChatGPT: 4/10 🔴
Good showing for our first week with a new beta version of the Minvest model 💵
The minvest model finally gets a La Liga pick right, never doubted it!
Bundesliga: 1-0-0 | ROI +29.4%
La Liga: 1-0-0 | ROI +107.0%
Overall: 2-0-0 | ROI +68.2%
🏆 Biggest winner: Racing de Santander vs Elche 🏠 HOME (+107) +1.07u
remember that interactive full season charts are on minvest.tech/charts
Bundesliga: 1-0-0 | ROI +29.4%
La Liga: 1-0-0 | ROI +107.0%
Overall: 2-0-0 | ROI +68.2%
🏆 Biggest winner: Racing de Santander vs Elche 🏠 HOME (+107) +1.07u
remember that interactive full season charts are on minvest.tech/charts
Charts — Minvest
minvest.tech
August 29, 2026 at 12:19 AM
The minvest model finally gets a La Liga pick right, never doubted it!
Bundesliga: 1-0-0 | ROI +29.4%
La Liga: 1-0-0 | ROI +107.0%
Overall: 2-0-0 | ROI +68.2%
🏆 Biggest winner: Racing de Santander vs Elche 🏠 HOME (+107) +1.07u
remember that interactive full season charts are on minvest.tech/charts
Bundesliga: 1-0-0 | ROI +29.4%
La Liga: 1-0-0 | ROI +107.0%
Overall: 2-0-0 | ROI +68.2%
🏆 Biggest winner: Racing de Santander vs Elche 🏠 HOME (+107) +1.07u
remember that interactive full season charts are on minvest.tech/charts
The World Cup has completed, so its a good time to share out how the minvest model did on selecting picks for the games.
July 22, 2026 at 5:21 PM
The World Cup has completed, so its a good time to share out how the minvest model did on selecting picks for the games.
Two matches in Serie A today, here are two picks with +ev per the minvest model
⬇️ AS Roma vs Fiorentina: UNDER 2.5
🏠 AS Roma vs Fiorentina: HOME
#seriea
⬇️ AS Roma vs Fiorentina: UNDER 2.5
🏠 AS Roma vs Fiorentina: HOME
#seriea
August 24, 2026 at 1:52 PM
Two matches in Serie A today, here are two picks with +ev per the minvest model
⬇️ AS Roma vs Fiorentina: UNDER 2.5
🏠 AS Roma vs Fiorentina: HOME
#seriea
⬇️ AS Roma vs Fiorentina: UNDER 2.5
🏠 AS Roma vs Fiorentina: HOME
#seriea
The minvest model sees edges in these three events for today's La Liga matches
⬆️ Osasuna vs Levante UD: OVER 2.5
🏠 Osasuna vs Levante UD: HOME
🏠 Málaga vs Deportivo La Coruña: HOME
#laliga
⬆️ Osasuna vs Levante UD: OVER 2.5
🏠 Osasuna vs Levante UD: HOME
🏠 Málaga vs Deportivo La Coruña: HOME
#laliga
August 24, 2026 at 1:53 PM
The minvest model sees edges in these three events for today's La Liga matches
⬆️ Osasuna vs Levante UD: OVER 2.5
🏠 Osasuna vs Levante UD: HOME
🏠 Málaga vs Deportivo La Coruña: HOME
#laliga
⬆️ Osasuna vs Levante UD: OVER 2.5
🏠 Osasuna vs Levante UD: HOME
🏠 Málaga vs Deportivo La Coruña: HOME
#laliga
Grading yesterday's picks, good day2 for the latest iteration of the minvest model with over 20% positive ROI on the day across 8 picks
Overall: 6-2-0 | ROI +23.3%
🏆 Biggest winner: Torino vs AC Milan ⬆️ OVER 2.5 (-106) +0.94u
#datadriven
Overall: 6-2-0 | ROI +23.3%
🏆 Biggest winner: Torino vs AC Milan ⬆️ OVER 2.5 (-106) +0.94u
#datadriven
August 24, 2026 at 2:09 PM
Grading yesterday's picks, good day2 for the latest iteration of the minvest model with over 20% positive ROI on the day across 8 picks
Overall: 6-2-0 | ROI +23.3%
🏆 Biggest winner: Torino vs AC Milan ⬆️ OVER 2.5 (-106) +0.94u
#datadriven
Overall: 6-2-0 | ROI +23.3%
🏆 Biggest winner: Torino vs AC Milan ⬆️ OVER 2.5 (-106) +0.94u
#datadriven
The minvest model picks for today's round of 32 matches are in!
Colombia/Ghana generated alot of analysis of our underlying data model before landing on the under
Colombia/Ghana — UNDER 2.5
Australia/Egypt — Egypt
Argentina/Cape Verde — UNDER 3
#fifaworldcup2026
Colombia/Ghana generated alot of analysis of our underlying data model before landing on the under
Colombia/Ghana — UNDER 2.5
Australia/Egypt — Egypt
Argentina/Cape Verde — UNDER 3
#fifaworldcup2026
July 3, 2026 at 4:21 PM
The minvest model picks for today's round of 32 matches are in!
Colombia/Ghana generated alot of analysis of our underlying data model before landing on the under
Colombia/Ghana — UNDER 2.5
Australia/Egypt — Egypt
Argentina/Cape Verde — UNDER 3
#fifaworldcup2026
Colombia/Ghana generated alot of analysis of our underlying data model before landing on the under
Colombia/Ghana — UNDER 2.5
Australia/Egypt — Egypt
Argentina/Cape Verde — UNDER 3
#fifaworldcup2026
We've updated our systems here at Minvest to add support over/under picks for Serie A this week. Working on the selections for tomorrow but looking forward to enabling a wider set of options as we continue to build our core model and benchmark against the major AI assistants
May 22, 2026 at 12:01 AM
We've updated our systems here at Minvest to add support over/under picks for Serie A this week. Working on the selections for tomorrow but looking forward to enabling a wider set of options as we continue to build our core model and benchmark against the major AI assistants
The minvest model gives Rennais a ~46% chance to win today in Ligue 1, bit of an edge over where the books have it
🏠 Stade Rennais vs Olympique de Marseille: HOME
#ligue1
🏠 Stade Rennais vs Olympique de Marseille: HOME
#ligue1
September 11, 2026 at 1:29 PM
The minvest model gives Rennais a ~46% chance to win today in Ligue 1, bit of an edge over where the books have it
🏠 Stade Rennais vs Olympique de Marseille: HOME
#ligue1
🏠 Stade Rennais vs Olympique de Marseille: HOME
#ligue1
Nice day for the minvest model yesterday, 3-0 on picks for a 105% ROI on the day
La Liga: 1-0-0 | ROI +118.0%
Premier League: 1-0-0 | ROI +103.0%
Serie A: 1-0-0 | ROI +94.3%
Overall: 3-0-0 | ROI +105.1%
🏆 Biggest winner: Osasuna vs Getafe 🏠 HOME (+118) +1.18u
#premierleague #seriea #laliga
La Liga: 1-0-0 | ROI +118.0%
Premier League: 1-0-0 | ROI +103.0%
Serie A: 1-0-0 | ROI +94.3%
Overall: 3-0-0 | ROI +105.1%
🏆 Biggest winner: Osasuna vs Getafe 🏠 HOME (+118) +1.18u
#premierleague #seriea #laliga
September 1, 2026 at 1:24 PM
Nice day for the minvest model yesterday, 3-0 on picks for a 105% ROI on the day
La Liga: 1-0-0 | ROI +118.0%
Premier League: 1-0-0 | ROI +103.0%
Serie A: 1-0-0 | ROI +94.3%
Overall: 3-0-0 | ROI +105.1%
🏆 Biggest winner: Osasuna vs Getafe 🏠 HOME (+118) +1.18u
#premierleague #seriea #laliga
La Liga: 1-0-0 | ROI +118.0%
Premier League: 1-0-0 | ROI +103.0%
Serie A: 1-0-0 | ROI +94.3%
Overall: 3-0-0 | ROI +105.1%
🏆 Biggest winner: Osasuna vs Getafe 🏠 HOME (+118) +1.18u
#premierleague #seriea #laliga
Serie A positive EV pick for today from the minvest model: 🇮🇹
⬇️ Atalanta vs Bologna: UNDER 2.5
@seriea.bsky.social #seriea
⬇️ Atalanta vs Bologna: UNDER 2.5
@seriea.bsky.social #seriea
August 31, 2026 at 1:38 PM
Serie A positive EV pick for today from the minvest model: 🇮🇹
⬇️ Atalanta vs Bologna: UNDER 2.5
@seriea.bsky.social #seriea
⬇️ Atalanta vs Bologna: UNDER 2.5
@seriea.bsky.social #seriea
Scorecard for today's model picks, 10 up, 10 down with a -3.4% ROI
Overall: 10-10-0 | ROI -3.4%
🏆 Biggest winner: Tottenham vs Newcastle ✈️ AWAY (+199) +1.99u
interactive charts at minvest.tech/charts
Overall: 10-10-0 | ROI -3.4%
🏆 Biggest winner: Tottenham vs Newcastle ✈️ AWAY (+199) +1.99u
interactive charts at minvest.tech/charts
Charts — Minvest
minvest.tech
August 30, 2026 at 1:20 AM
Scorecard for today's model picks, 10 up, 10 down with a -3.4% ROI
Overall: 10-10-0 | ROI -3.4%
🏆 Biggest winner: Tottenham vs Newcastle ✈️ AWAY (+199) +1.99u
interactive charts at minvest.tech/charts
Overall: 10-10-0 | ROI -3.4%
🏆 Biggest winner: Tottenham vs Newcastle ✈️ AWAY (+199) +1.99u
interactive charts at minvest.tech/charts
First Bundesliga pick for the minvest model today! The model likes Bayern to win at home against Stuttgart
🏠 FC Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart: HOME
#bundesliga
🏠 FC Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart: HOME
#bundesliga
August 28, 2026 at 2:01 PM
First Bundesliga pick for the minvest model today! The model likes Bayern to win at home against Stuttgart
🏠 FC Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart: HOME
#bundesliga
🏠 FC Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart: HOME
#bundesliga
Just launched a new page to enable exploration on model performance (ROI by market, league, etc), check it out and share any feedback/requests here!
minvest.tech/charts
minvest.tech/charts
Charts — Minvest
minvest.tech
August 26, 2026 at 3:04 PM
Just launched a new page to enable exploration on model performance (ROI by market, league, etc), check it out and share any feedback/requests here!
minvest.tech/charts
minvest.tech/charts
The Minvest model sees edges in the following events for today's Serie A matches
⬆️ Frosinone Calcio vs Juventus: OVER 2.5
✈️ Frosinone Calcio vs Juventus: AWAY
⬆️ Torino vs AC Milan: OVER 2.5
🏠 Atalanta vs Sassuolo: HOME
#seriea
⬆️ Frosinone Calcio vs Juventus: OVER 2.5
✈️ Frosinone Calcio vs Juventus: AWAY
⬆️ Torino vs AC Milan: OVER 2.5
🏠 Atalanta vs Sassuolo: HOME
#seriea
August 23, 2026 at 2:25 PM
The Minvest model sees edges in the following events for today's Serie A matches
⬆️ Frosinone Calcio vs Juventus: OVER 2.5
✈️ Frosinone Calcio vs Juventus: AWAY
⬆️ Torino vs AC Milan: OVER 2.5
🏠 Atalanta vs Sassuolo: HOME
#seriea
⬆️ Frosinone Calcio vs Juventus: OVER 2.5
✈️ Frosinone Calcio vs Juventus: AWAY
⬆️ Torino vs AC Milan: OVER 2.5
🏠 Atalanta vs Sassuolo: HOME
#seriea
The minvest model's edge for La Liga today:
🏠 Valencia vs Celta Vigo: HOME
#laliga #premierleague #seriea #ligue1
🏠 Valencia vs Celta Vigo: HOME
#laliga #premierleague #seriea #ligue1
August 22, 2026 at 2:25 PM
The minvest model's edge for La Liga today:
🏠 Valencia vs Celta Vigo: HOME
#laliga #premierleague #seriea #ligue1
🏠 Valencia vs Celta Vigo: HOME
#laliga #premierleague #seriea #ligue1
What is the minvest model good for? And what's a pick?
July 22, 2026 at 7:08 PM
What is the minvest model good for? And what's a pick?
World Cup's done, but the model isn't. Same approach, same transparency, but now pointed at Serie A + NHL, with picks and results tracked daily. ⚽️🏒
Full recap + methodology: minvest.tech/data
Full recap + methodology: minvest.tech/data
Minvest — Quantitative Sports Betting Analytics
minvest.tech
July 22, 2026 at 5:16 PM
World Cup's done, but the model isn't. Same approach, same transparency, but now pointed at Serie A + NHL, with picks and results tracked daily. ⚽️🏒
Full recap + methodology: minvest.tech/data
Full recap + methodology: minvest.tech/data
Scoreboard for 2026-07-19
Minvest: 1/1 🟢 | return: 1.65u | ROI: +64.5%
Gemini: 1/1 🟢 | return: 1.59u | ROI: +58.8%
Claude: 0/1 🔴 | return: 0.00u | ROI: -100.0%
ChatGPT: 0/1 🔴 | return: 0.00u | ROI: -100.0%
Minvest: 1/1 🟢 | return: 1.65u | ROI: +64.5%
Gemini: 1/1 🟢 | return: 1.59u | ROI: +58.8%
Claude: 0/1 🔴 | return: 0.00u | ROI: -100.0%
ChatGPT: 0/1 🔴 | return: 0.00u | ROI: -100.0%
July 20, 2026 at 3:04 PM
Scoreboard for 2026-07-19
Minvest: 1/1 🟢 | return: 1.65u | ROI: +64.5%
Gemini: 1/1 🟢 | return: 1.59u | ROI: +58.8%
Claude: 0/1 🔴 | return: 0.00u | ROI: -100.0%
ChatGPT: 0/1 🔴 | return: 0.00u | ROI: -100.0%
Minvest: 1/1 🟢 | return: 1.65u | ROI: +64.5%
Gemini: 1/1 🟢 | return: 1.59u | ROI: +58.8%
Claude: 0/1 🔴 | return: 0.00u | ROI: -100.0%
ChatGPT: 0/1 🔴 | return: 0.00u | ROI: -100.0%
Scoreboard for 2026-07-19
Minvest: 1/1 🟢 | return: 1.65u | ROI: +64.5%
Gemini: 1/1 🟢 | return: 1.59u | ROI: +58.8%
Claude: 0/1 🔴 | return: 0.00u | ROI: -100.0%
ChatGPT: 0/1 🔴 | return: 0.00u | ROI: -100.0%
Minvest: 1/1 🟢 | return: 1.65u | ROI: +64.5%
Gemini: 1/1 🟢 | return: 1.59u | ROI: +58.8%
Claude: 0/1 🔴 | return: 0.00u | ROI: -100.0%
ChatGPT: 0/1 🔴 | return: 0.00u | ROI: -100.0%
July 20, 2026 at 3:04 PM
Scoreboard for 2026-07-19
Minvest: 1/1 🟢 | return: 1.65u | ROI: +64.5%
Gemini: 1/1 🟢 | return: 1.59u | ROI: +58.8%
Claude: 0/1 🔴 | return: 0.00u | ROI: -100.0%
ChatGPT: 0/1 🔴 | return: 0.00u | ROI: -100.0%
Minvest: 1/1 🟢 | return: 1.65u | ROI: +64.5%
Gemini: 1/1 🟢 | return: 1.59u | ROI: +58.8%
Claude: 0/1 🔴 | return: 0.00u | ROI: -100.0%
ChatGPT: 0/1 🔴 | return: 0.00u | ROI: -100.0%