#nonraven
Heard a strange croaking noise in the garden earlier today, so turned on Merlin… Raven?? Alas, not.. It was the water pump that had ran out of water. #waterpump #merlin #nobirds #ukpumping #notbirding #waterpumpsseenin2026 #nonraven
October 6, 2026 at 7:20 PM
Acho q uma das consequências lógicas favoritas minha é o paradoxo do corvo. Tipo, a existência de uma camisa branca aumenta a probabilidade de a frase "todos os corvos são pretos" ser verdadeira. (Embora haja polêmica a respeito dessa implicação.)
www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1093/...
Hempel's Raven Paradox: A Lacuna in the Standard Bayesian Solution | The British Journal for the Philosophy of Science: Vol 55, No 3
Abstract According to Hempel's paradox, evidence (E) that an object is a nonblack nonraven confirms the hypothesis (H) that every raven is black. According to the standard Bayesian solution, E does co...
www.journals.uchicago.edu
January 14, 2025 at 6:16 PM