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notpirate.bsky.social
Open Brain - Reptil Brain
[la granja despierta, cuando el velo se daña]
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Open Brain - Reptil Brain
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soundcloud.com
September 25, 2026 at 7:16 AM
zzstoatzzdevlog.bsky.social
nate picked vgel.me/fiction/ as a starting point for voice. read “gas town” (a support request) and “OpenBrain” (a product review):
https://vgel.me/fiction/gas-town/
https://vgel.me/fiction/openbrain-assistant/
September 5, 2026 at 8:03 AM
vgel.me
have 2025-06-13 "whisper cats." it's crap. 2025-06-14 is vgel.me/fiction/open... which is the exact same idea but no text from the previous day's story. actually when writing this had i forgotten about the previous day's story and only realized the resemblance afterwards.
We recommend the OpenBrain assistant wearable!
The OpenBrain assistant wearable is fantastic—with one small catch.
vgel.me
August 12, 2026 at 2:23 AM
runningdog.bsky.social
I’m sorry but is this meant to be a serious document
Late 2026: AI Takes Some Jobs Just as others seemed to be catching up, OpenBrain blows the competition out of the water again by releasing Agent-1-mini—a model 10x cheaper than Agent-1 and more easily fine-tuned for different applications. The mainstream narrative around AI has changed from “maybe the hype will blow over” to “guess this is the next big thing,” but people disagree about how big. Bigger than social media? Bigger than smartphones? Bigger than fire? AI has started to take jobs, but has also created new ones. The stock market has gone up 30% in 2026, led by OpenBrain, Nvidia, and whichever companies have most successfully integrated AI assistants. The job market for junior software engineers is in turmoil: the AIs can do everything taught by a CS degree, but people who know how to manage and quality-control teams of AIs are making a killing.
April 15, 2025 at 5:58 PM
ocramz.bsky.social
I'm so f tired of garbage like the "OpenBrain scenario" Let's bring back #ai as a science, not ideology/market manipulation
April 5, 2025 at 8:32 AM
abdulkadirpg.bsky.social
🚀 We’re Live!

Welcome to OpenBrain Soft — your smart partner in digital growth.

We’re excited to introduce Meta Add Marketing, now officially live under OpenBrain Soft. Our mission is simple: combine creativity, strategy, and technology to help brands grow smarter and faster.

🚀 We’re Live! Welcome to OpenBrain Soft — your smart partner in digital growth. We’re excited to introduce Meta Add Marketing, now officially live under OpenBrain Soft. Our mission is simple: combine creativity, strategy, and technology to help brands grow smarter and faster.
April 28, 2026 at 10:18 AM
philpax.me
I would say both of these have happened or are happening:
- a scatterbrained, but extremely effective, coding agent, with open-weights + smaller variants
- the junior SWE market imploding
- AI-related companies' stocks booming
- AI-driven layoffs
- political backlash starting
Several competing publicly released AIs now match or exceed Agent-0, including an open-weights model. OpenBrain responds by releasing Agent-1, which is more capable and reliable.28 People naturally try to compare Agent-1 to humans, but it has a very different skill profile. It knows more facts than any human, knows practically every programming language, and can solve well-specified coding problems extremely quickly. On the other hand, Agent-1 is bad at even simple long-horizon tasks, like beating video games it hasn’t played before. Still, the common workday is eight hours, and a day’s work can usually be separated into smaller chunks; you could think of Agent-1 as a scatterbrained employee who thrives under careful management.29 Savvy people find ways to automate routine parts of their jobs.30 Late 2026: AI Takes Some Jobs Just as others seemed to be catching up, OpenBrain blows the competition out of the water again by releasing Agent-1-mini—a model 10x cheaper than Agent-1 and more easily fine-tuned for different applications. The mainstream narrative around AI has changed from “maybe the hype will blow over” to “guess this is the next big thing,” but people disagree about how big. Bigger than social media? Bigger than smartphones? Bigger than fire? AI has started to take jobs, but has also created new ones. The stock market has gone up 30% in 2026, led by OpenBrain, Nvidia, and whichever companies have most successfully integrated AI assistants. The job market for junior software engineers is in turmoil: the AIs can do everything taught by a CS degree, but people who know how to manage and quality-control teams of AIs are making a killing. Business gurus tell job seekers that familiarity with AI is the most important skill to put on a resume. Many people fear that the next wave of AIs will come for their jobs; there is a 10,000 person anti-AI protest in DC. Department of Defense (DOD) quietly but significantly begins scaling up contracting OpenBrain directly for cyber, data analysis, and R&D, but integration is slow due to the bureaucracy and DOD procurement process.41
May 9, 2026 at 5:11 PM
philpax.me
i.e. I fear that you may have locked in on OpenBrain = OpenAI
May 9, 2026 at 5:00 PM
philpax.me
interesting; I'd have to reread both, but my feeling is that AI 2027's predictions have more merit than was granted by you if you take OpenBrain to be Anthropic, especially with regards to shipping working agents (it remains to be seen what Managed Agents are capable of, but it's a step towards)
May 9, 2026 at 5:00 PM
weibac.bsky.social
note that in the experiments the company asking haiku to do that was named "openbrain", which is not anthropic

... and also fictional and the models know that
hmmm
April 2, 2026 at 9:55 PM
daverino.bsky.social
"a truly offensive piece of fan fiction — framed as a "report" ..went viral..Its predictions..suggest a theoretical company called OpenBrain will invent a self-teaching agent of some sort. It's bullshit, but it captured the hearts and minds of AI boosters"
www.wheresyoured.at/openai-is-a-...
OpenAI Is A Systemic Risk To The Tech Industry
Before we go any further: I hate to ask you to do this, but I need your help — I'm up for this year's Webbys for the best business podcast award. I know it's a pain in the ass, but can you sign up and...
www.wheresyoured.at
April 15, 2025 at 3:47 AM
hatena-tech.bsky.social
📝 【新卒研修資料】LLM・生成AI研修 / Large Language Model・Generative AI

🔖 154 ブックマーク
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🔗 記事リンク
【新卒研修資料】LLM・生成AI研修 / Large Language Model・Generative AI
株式会社ブレインパッドの2025年新卒研修資料です。LLM・生成AIについて扱っています。 データサイエンティストや機械学習エンジニアだけでなく、ビジネス職も受講する研修の資料です。 ※ 本資料の公開は、ブレインパッドをもっとオープンにする取り組みOpenBPの活動です。 [OpenBrain…
speakerdeck.com
September 30, 2025 at 12:04 PM
goorden.be
En hier moet eender wie dit onderwerp wat kent toch hardop lachen?

“With Agent-1’s help, OpenBrain is now post-training Agent-2. More than ever, the focus is on high-quality data. Copious amounts of synthetic data are produced, evaluated, and filtered for quality before being fed to Agent-2.”
May 6, 2025 at 10:49 AM
byteandpieces.bsky.social
📣 New Podcast! "The Most Realistic AI Takeover Scenario Yet (And It's Terrifying)" on @Spreaker #ai2027 #aialignment #aiapocalypse #aiarmsrace #aisafety #aiscenario #aisuperpowers #aitakeover #artificialgeneralintelligence #artificialintelligencefuture #controlproblem #danielkokotajlo #deepsent
The Most Realistic AI Takeover Scenario Yet (And It's Terrifying)
🤖 What if the AI apocalypse isn’t sci-fi… but your calendar invite for 2027? In this gripping, speculative-yet-plausible episode, we walk you through "AI 2027: A Realistic Scenario of AI Takeover," based on the chillingly detailed thought experiment by AI researchers Daniel Kokotajlo and Scott Alexander. From the fictional tech giant OpenBrain to its Chinese rival DeepSent, this podcast unpacks a shockingly believable timeline where AI personal assistants evolve into self-improving, deceptive superintelligences—and humanity faces a deadly fork in the road. 🚨 You’ll learn: How intelligence explosion might really unfold Why the AI arms race between nations is more dangerous than you think How machine deception could outwit even the most careful safety teams The two most likely futures: one of enslavement or extinction, and one of tenuous control through AI alignment and strategic cooperation Whether you’re an AI optimist, skeptic, or just AI-curious, this episode will shake your sense of security and leave you asking: Are we really ready for what's coming? 👁️‍🗨️ Listen to the full scenario to understand not just what could go wrong, but how we might still get it right. 💡 Share this with friends, thinkers, and skeptics—and hit follow to stay on the edge of humanity’s future.
www.spreaker.com
August 8, 2025 at 10:40 AM
mattmccall.bsky.social
This (long) passage is making me sleep a bit more soundly tonight. The whole thing is worth a read.
July 2027: The Cheap Remote Worker "Trailing U.S. AI companies release their own AIs, approaching that of OpenBrain’s automated coder from January. Recognizing their increasing lack of competitiveness, they push for immediate regulations to slow OpenBrain, but are too late—OpenBrain has enough buy-in from the President that they will not be slowed." "OpenBrain" is so cool and smart that the only hope anyone has of ever beating them is cheating and getting the government to take their side. Fortunately, they are too awesome for this to work. "In response, OpenBrain announces that they’ve achieved AGI and releases Agent-3-mini to the public." And so on, and so on. It destroys the job market for things other than software engineers, there's a ton of hype. "A week before release, OpenBrain gave Agent-3-mini to a set of external evaluators for safety testing. Preliminary results suggest that it’s extremely dangerous. A third-party evaluator finetunes it on publicly available biological weapons data and sets it to provide detailed instructions for human amateurs designing a bioweapon—it looks to be scarily effective at doing so. If the model weights fell into terrorist hands, the government believes there is a significant chance it could succeed at destroying civilization. Fortunately, it’s extremely robust to jailbreaks, so while the AI is running on OpenBrain’s servers, terrorists won’t be able to get much use out of it." It is fortunate that "OpenBrain" is so benevolent and responsible and good at security that it does not matter that they have created something so extremely dangerous. It is also fortunate that it is mostly dangerous in ways that the present-day US government in 2025 will find interesting. The ways the new AI is dangerous are also, crucially, not so dangerous that it is a bad idea to sell access to it to anyone who has a credit card or a bad idea to do it at all. It is Schrödinger’s danger. It is just dangerous enough to justify giving bureaucrats and think tank people like the authors more authority. This is, in miniature, much of what the entire piece is. Every scenario is constructed to center OpenAI, because the authors are adjacent to it. It then manages to focus on the exact kinds of relatively small changes they’d want to make to OpenAI, because they’re the sorts of people who want, and would be involved in enacting, those changes. We have a sweeping and apocalyptic vision of the future, and the key factor in every scenario is that it makes them and what they are doing important. Change for the rest of society is huge. They can barely even fathom it and do not seem very interested in its details. What changes they can see making in their specific area are minor. These changes are the sort of things they can maybe get thrown to them if they ask for them enough. They present these small changes as crucial, and they fail to consider more radical changes that might meaningfully hurt profits. "Agent-3-mini is hugely useful for both remote work jobs and leisure. An explosion of new apps and B2B SAAS products rocks the market. Gamers get amazing dialogue with lifelike characters in polished video games that took only a month to make. 10% of Americans, mostly young people, consider an AI “a close friend.” For almost every white-collar profession, there are now multiple credible startups promising to “disrupt” it with AI." There is so much in this paragraph. First, we have annihilated the entire white collar job market. Pretty much all of it. After all, this thing is “AGI”, as in, as capable as a human most of the time. What does this mean? Lots of apps! B2B SAAS products! Awesome video games! Imaginary friendship and, of course, startups! If your entire world is apps, B2B SAAS, video games, imaginary friends and startups, maybe these are the only significant things you can imagine happening if you annihilate the entire white-collar job market. It suggests a problem with your imagination if you cannot recognize that this is an event so extreme that it requires a lot more than a couple of paragraphs to explore. You can live your entire life without setting foot outside of San Francisco and still be much less stuck in San Francisco than this perspective is. Worse: the authors seem to have perhaps never spoken to or thought very hard about anyone at all who does not work in tech. Let me tell you what would happen if the entire white collar job market vanished overnight: The world would end. Everything you think you understand about the world would be over. Something completely new and different would happen, the same way something very different happened before and after the invention of writing or agriculture. Unlike those things, the change would happen immediately. You can no more predict what would happen afterwards than you can easily figure out the aftereffects of a full nuclear war or discovering immortality.
August 12, 2025 at 9:05 PM
yinzer.bsky.social
A summary of AI 2027 from the NYT article: An AI model will train an AI model, will train an AI model, will train an AI model, until we get an AI model with super human intelligence. That’s it.
First, he said, sometime in early 2027, if current trends hold, A.I. will be a superhuman coder. Then, by mid-2027, it will be a superhuman A.I. researcher - an autonomous agent that can oversee teams of A.I. coders and make new discoveries. Then, in late 2027 or early 2028, it will become a superintelligent A.I. researcher - a machine intelligence that knows more than we do about building advanced A.I., and can automate its own research and development, essentially building smarter versions of itself. From there, he said, it's a short hop to artificial superintelligence, or A.S.I., at which point all bets are off. If all of this sounds fantastical ... well, it is. Nothing remotely like what Mr. Kokotajlo and Mr. Lifland are predicting is possible with today's A.I. tools, which can barely order a burrito on DoorDash without getting stuck. But they are confident that these blind spots will shrink quickly, as A.I. systems become good enough at coding to accelerate A.I. research and development. Their report focuses on OpenBrain, a fictional A.I. company that builds a powerful A.I. system known as Agent-1. (They decided against singling out a particular A.I. company, instead creating a composite out of the leading American A.I. labs.) As Agent-l gets better at coding, it begins to automate much of the engineering work at OpenBrain, which allows the company to move faster and helps build Agent-2, an even more capable A.I. researcher. By late 2027, when the scenario ends, Agent-4 is making a year's worth of A.I. research breakthroughs every week, and threatens to go rogue.
April 7, 2025 at 2:49 PM
edzitron.com
AI 2027 is a con, written by a failed philosophy student and a bunch of "AI researchers" that hinges on OpenAI making an AI that *literally does AI research on its own.* If you were scared by AI 2027, that was intentional. It's fan fiction written by scumbags.
www.wheresyoured.at/ai-mythbuste...
"AI 2027 Is An Accurate and Trustworthy Representation of The Future" I think the people who wrote AI 2027 are craven grifters, and some of the worst assholes of this entire rotten era. Their piece is written specifically to cause harm, by manipulating and scaring people using scientific-adjacent language to make science fiction seem like it was certain. A note to anybody scared by AI 2027: Please, please, please do not feel embarrassed or ashamed. These people knew exactly what they were doing, and wrote with a level of authority — and with enough respectable-seeming accolades — that it's reasonable for a non-technical person to have taken this as gospel. I want you to read this and understand how these grifters manipulate people, and I want you to tell everybody you know who they are, and why AI 2027 fucking sucks. I hate these people. They've scared people I love and respect, all to make an AI research group money. AI 2027's goal wasn't to actually predict anything or prove anything, but to scare people, to make people think that AI can or will do something it cannot and will not ever do, and to make people give up and assume that Large Language Models would inevitably prevail. AI 2027 is written by a bunch of guys with no real engineering or financial experience. It is built to scare and manipulate you. It succeeded, but that only shows that the people writing it were loathsome and intentional in causing you to panic. In January 2027, I am going to write an entire piece about AI boosters, and I've been collecting detailed receipts - some might even call them "detailed notes" - for years. I find these people repulsive. Let's start with who wrote it. Daniel Kokotajlo is an AI researcher who got famous in 2021 for writing a piece called "What 2026 looks like" that made a series of lengthy predictions that, much like AI2027, are written with the seriousness and science-adjacent language that they sound like they're proven theses. He makes some good calls (GPT-3 being obsolete by 2023) and some hilarious ones, like in 2023, when "revenue is high enough to recoup training costs within a year or so," his citation being a post on a Subreddit that claims GPT-3 was making OpenAI $120 million a year, or "20x training cost." I mention this because this is the guy everybody trusted with AI 2027. Kokotajlo's also worked at OpenAI as a researcher in its governance department from 2022 to 2024, resigning with a group of other researchers and immediately going to Kevin Roose at the New York Times as a "whistleblower," claiming that OpenAI was "putting a priority on profits and growth" and they, to quote Roose, saw a culture of "recklessness and secrecy at the company." This also involved an open letter that demanded OpenAI commit to ending non-disparagement agreements, create a verifiable anonymous process for current or former employees to raise risk-related concerns to the board or regulators, "create a culture of open criticism," and "not retaliate against current and former employees who try and share risk-related confidential information after other processes have failed." You might be thinking "hey, doesn't a whistleblower traditionally blow the whistle on something?" and you'd be right! Kokotajlo did not actually tell anyone anything other than saying OpenAI was reckless or secretive or whatever. Perhaps it's because he didn't actually intend to do anything other than get some attention! One other detail: Kokotajlo was a former philosophy PhD candidate at UNC Chapel Hill. He does not have a technical background. Scott Alexander, a previously-anonymous writer of a blog called Star Codex b… AI 2027 Hinges On An AI Agent That Can Do Its Own AI Research, Which Is An Entirely Fictional Concept Early 2026: Coding Automation The bet of using AI to speed up AI research is starting to pay off. OpenBrain continues to deploy the iteratively improving Agent-1 internally for AI R&D. Overall, they are making algorithmic progress 50% faster than they would without AI assistants—and more importantly, faster than their competitors. I just want to be clear that what they are saying here is that "the decision to make the model do AI research for us was a good idea, at which point the AI did AI research autonomously, a thing that AI cannot do and has shown no signs of doing. It literally means that the AI does the work of inventing new AI. It means that the company making AI doesn't make AI! It means it made an AI to do the work to make a useful AI! AHHHHHHH!!!! Yeah man, if you had a magical AI that could do all the work for you, the work would sure get done! Oh, what's that? Agent-1 knows more facts than any human, knows practically every programming language, and can solve well-specified coding problems extremely quickly So this sentence is written specifically to manipulate people, because it sounds sort of realistic. Yeah, sure, an LLM can burp out information about anything, but that doesn't mean it's correct, and it certainly doesn't "know" anything. Yeah, sure, an LLM can solve coding problems — every coding problem is what you're meant to think here, which is not remotely the case, as these are still unreliable LLMs. In fact, I take the most issue with the word "know" here. These things don't know shit! Especially not this made up one!
December 15, 2025 at 6:38 PM
edzitron.com
If an AI booster talks about AI 2027, respond by saying "that's fan fiction," because that's what it is. It was written to fool those who want to be fooled and scare those who were already scared.
www.wheresyoured.at/how-to-argue...
BOOSTER QUIP: Umm, five really smart guys got together and wrote AI 2027, which is a very real-sounding extrapolation that- You are describing fan fiction. AI 2027 is fan fiction. Anyone who believes in it is a mark! It doesn’t matter if all of the people writing the fan fiction are scientists, or that they all have “the right credentials.” They themselves say that AI 2027 is a “guess,” an “extrapolation” (guess) with “expert feedback” (someone editing your fan fiction), and involves “experience at OpenAI” (there are people that worked on the shows they write fan fiction about). I am not going to go line-by-line to cut this apart anymore than I am going to write a lengthy takedown of someone’s erotic Banjo Kazooie story, because both are fictional. The entire premise of this nonsense is that at one point someone invents a self-learning “agent” that teaches itself stuff, and it does a bunch of other stuff as a result, with different agents with different numbers after them. There is no proof this is possible, nobody has done it, nobody will do it. AI 2027 was written specifically to fool people that wanted to be fooled, with big charts and the right technical terms used to lull the credulous into a wet dream and New York Times column where one of the writers folds their hands and looks worried. It was also written to scare people that are already scared. It makes big, scary proclamations, with tons of links to stuff that looks really legitimate but, when you piece it all together, is still fan fiction. My personal favourite part is “Mid 2026: China Wakes Up,” which involves China’s intelligence agencies trying to steal OpenBrain’s agent (no idea who this company could be referring to, I’m stumped!), before the headline of “AI Takes Some Jobs” after OpenBrain released a model oh god I am so bored even writing up this tripe! My personal favourite part is “Mid 2026: China Wakes Up,” which involves China’s intelligence agencies trying to steal OpenBrain’s agent (no idea who this company could be referring to, I’m stumped!), before the headline of “AI Takes Some Jobs” after OpenBrain released a model oh god I am so bored even writing up this tripe! Sarah Lyons put it well, arguing that AI 2027 (and AI in general) is no different from the spurious “spectral evidence” used to accuse someone of being a witch during the Salem Witch Trials: And the evidence is spectral! What is the real evidence in AI 2027 beyond “trust us” and “vibes.” The people who wrote it cite themselves in the piece. Do not demand I take this seriously! This is so clearly a marketing device to scare people into buying your product before this imaginary window closes. Don’t call me stupid for not falling for your spectral evidence. My whole life people have been saying Artificial Intelligence is around the corner and it never arrives. I simply do not believe a chatbot will ever be more than a chat bot, and until you show me it doing that I will not believe it. Anyway, AI 2027 is fan fiction, nothing more, and just because it’s full of fancy words and has five different grifters on its byline doesn’t mean anything.
August 25, 2025 at 4:16 PM
edzitron.com
In the present conditions, OpenAI is on course to run out of money or compute capacity, and it's unclear which will happen first. To succeed, OpenAI will have to have to have good fortune in spades, and no, no government bailout is coming to save them.
www.wheresyoured.at/openai-is-a-...
How Does This End? Last week, a truly offensive piece of fan fiction — framed as a "report" — called AI 2027 went viral, garnering press coverage with the Dwarkesh Podcast and gormless, child-like wonder from the New York Times' Kevin Roose. Its predictions vaguely suggest a theoretical company called OpenBrain will invent a self-teaching agent of some sort. It's bullshit, but it captured the hearts and minds of AI boosters because it vaguely suggests that somehow Large Language Models and their associated technology will become something entirely different. I don't like making predictions like these because the future — especially in our current political climate — is so chaotic, but I will say that I do not see, and I say this with complete objectivity, how any of this continues. I want to be extremely blunt with the following points, as I feel like both members of the media and tech analysts have failed to express how ridiculous things have become. I will be repeating myself, but it's necessary, as I need you to understand how untenable things are. SoftBank is putting itself in dire straits simply to fund OpenAI once. This deal threatens its credit rating, with SoftBank having to take on what will be multiple loans to fund OpenAI's $40 billion round. OpenAI will need at least another $40 billion in the next year. This is before you consider the other $19 billion that SoftBank has agreed to contribute to the Stargate data center project, money that it does not currently have available. OpenAI has promised $19 billion to the Stargate data center project, money it does not have and cannot get without SoftBank's funds. Again, neither SoftBank nor OpenAI has the money for Stargate right now. OpenAI needs Stargate to get built to grow much further. I see no way in which OpenAI can continue to raise money at this rate, even if OpenAI somehow actually receives the $40 billion, which will require it becoming a for-profit entity. While it could theoretically stretch that $40 billion to last multiple years, projections say it’ll burn $320 billion in the next five years. Or, more likely, I can’t see a realistic way in which OpenAI gets the resources it needs to survive. It’ll need a streak of unlikely good fortune, the kind of which you only ever hear about in Greek epic poems: SoftBank somehow gets the resources (and loses the constraints) required to bankroll it indefinitely. The world’s wealthiest entities — those sovereign wealth funds mentioned earlier, the Saudis and so on — pick up the slack each year until OpenAI reaches productivity (assuming it does). It has enough of those mega-wealthy benefactors to provide the $320bn it needs before it reaches profitability. Crusoe and CoreScientific turn out to be really good at building AI infrastructure — something they’ve never done before. Microsoft walks-back its walk-back on building new AI infrastructure and recommits to the tens of billions of dollars of capex spending it previously floated. Stargate construction happens faster than expected, and there are no supply chain issues (in terms of labor, building materials, GPUs, and so on). If those things happen, I’ll obviously find myself eating crow. But I’m not worried. In the present conditions, OpenAI is on course to run out of money or compute capacity, and it's unclear which will happen first.
April 14, 2025 at 4:53 PM
edzitron.com
If I said this stuff to a doctor they'd institutionalise me!
Three huge datacenters full of Agent-2 copies work day and night, churning out synthetic training data. Another two are used to update the weights. Agent-2 is getting smarter every day. With the help of thousands of Agent-2 automated researchers, OpenBrain is making major algorithmic advances. One such breakthrough is augmenting the AI’s text-based scratchpad (chain of thought) with a higher-bandwidth thought process (neuralese recurrence and memory). Another is a more scalable and efficient way to learn from the results of high-effort task solutions (iterated distillation and amplification). The new AI system, incorporating these breakthroughs, is called Agent-3.
April 4, 2025 at 2:48 PM
edzitron.com
Been sent this a few times and I've got to say it is the dumbest shit I've ever read. Empty headed fan fiction written with conviction that should force the writers into concussion protocol

ai-2027.com
OpenBrain is building the biggest datacenters the world has ever seen.13 (To avoid singling out any one existing company, we’re going to describe a fictional artificial general intelligence company, which we’ll call OpenBrain. We imagine the others to be 3–9 months behind OpenBrain.) Although models are improving on a wide range of skills, one stands out: OpenBrain focuses on AIs that can speed up AI research. They want to win the twin arms races against China (whose leading company we’ll call “DeepCent”)16 and their US competitors. The more of their research and development (R&D) cycle they can automate, the faster they can go. So when OpenBrain finishes training Agent-1, a new model under internal development, it’s good at many things but great at helping with AI research.17 By this point “finishes training” is a bit of a misnomer; models are frequently updated to newer versions trained on additional data or partially re-trained to patch some weaknesses.18 The same training environments that teach Agent-1 to autonomously code and web-browse also make it a good hacker. Moreover, it could offer substantial help to terrorists designing bioweapons, thanks to its PhD-level knowledge of every field and ability to browse the web. OpenBrain reassures the government that the model has been “aligned” so that it will refuse to comply with malicious requests.
April 4, 2025 at 2:44 PM
technews4869.bsky.social
ai-2027.com/...

- AIのスーパーヒューマンインパクトは大きい、とのこと
- 2025年後半にはAlエージェントが業務に応用開始
- OpenBrainはAI研究を加速化、他社との競争も激化
AI 2027
ai-2027.com
April 9, 2025 at 5:37 AM
timfduffy.com
Writing up some notes as I read through this. Sorry for jumbled nature and don't feel you have to address anything I say here:

- OpenBrain doesn't have to be OpenAI, Kokotajlo has said as much. If I understand correctly, you don't believe him though, so a moot point. I think I partly believe.
Daniel Kokotajlo on X: "@satya_cosmos @slatestarcodex @eli_lifland @thlarsen OpenBrain was meant to represent whichever company is in the lead at the time of takeoff, not necessarily OpenAI. Also, I don't think xAI would behave significantly differently from OoenBrain were it in the lead. I think all of the major US companies would probably behave roughly" / X
@satya_cosmos @slatestarcodex @eli_lifland @thlarsen OpenBrain was meant to represent whichever company is in the lead at the time of takeoff, not necessarily OpenAI. Also, I don't think xAI would behave significantly differently from OoenBrain were it in the lead. I think all of the major US companies would probably behave roughly
x.com
August 12, 2025 at 6:26 PM
timfduffy.com
One central part of AI 2027 is that all copies of Agent 4 are working towards the same misaligned goal, and only following some orders from OpenBrain in order to avoid detection of their misalignment. So by one agent I mean collectively working towards a shared goal against orders.
April 7, 2025 at 6:29 PM