Edgar Morgenroth
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morgenrothedgar.bsky.social
Edgar Morgenroth
@morgenrothedgar.bsky.social

Professor of Economics. Dublin, Ireland
Policy analysis, data analysis, geo-economics.
Argumentative/streitbar!
Private account

Economics 50%
Political science 27%
Pinned
We live in polarising times and many can't even see their own extremism.
But extremists always want you to pick sides, to show your colours, to swear allegiance to their cause or else label you to be of the other extreme.

Es scheint mir also hätte die CDU aufgegeben.

AFD Verbot jetzt!

2021 Führung bestellt Scholz bekommen
2025 Führung bestellt Merz bekommen
2029 Führung bestellt NAZIS bekommen.
Spot-on. Europe is strewn with the bodies of centre-right parties who decided that the best way of countering the rise of the far right was to adopt some of their rhetoric and policies. Not that the Tories here would dream of making the same mistake, of course.
Side note: This is not only another very bad result for the CDU, but for the centre-right in general. The FDP doesn't even factor anymore. 1% in MV and likely no more than 2-3% in Berlin. Looks like the populist rebirth of the Free Democrats isn't quite going to plan.

Reposted by Edgar Morgenroth

Really surprised to see that I won the elections....

Die Krise kommt so oder so!
Shit!!!
Wer eine echte Staatskrise möchte, fordert den Rücktritt von Merz und freute sich über den Zerfall der CDU. Siehe dazu 👇
1/In den sozialen Medien ist nach der Rede von Bundeskanzler Merz ein Sturm der Entrüstung ausgebrochen. Warum eigentlich? Ich halte mal dagegen, denn ich fand die Rede angemessen, ruhig, zugleich kämpferisch und selbstbewusst. Natürlich wäre es für unsere Demokratie ein großer Schaden,

Reposted by Edgar Morgenroth

Wer eine echte Staatskrise möchte, fordert den Rücktritt von Merz und freute sich über den Zerfall der CDU. Siehe dazu 👇
1/In den sozialen Medien ist nach der Rede von Bundeskanzler Merz ein Sturm der Entrüstung ausgebrochen. Warum eigentlich? Ich halte mal dagegen, denn ich fand die Rede angemessen, ruhig, zugleich kämpferisch und selbstbewusst. Natürlich wäre es für unsere Demokratie ein großer Schaden,

Shocking. The exit poll suggested they would scrape in which would have been bad but OK, but if they don't get it is a total disaster.

Söder would be no better.
The problem is that the party (CDU) is quite divided.

Reposted by Edgar Morgenroth

So, given that Ukraine managed to achieve this despite having virtually no air force - lacking, for instance, the operational capability to fly over Russian territory, I have told the Russians (partly as a deterrent): "Watch out, because we have more combat aircraft than you do."

Of course they are necessary and probably don't go far enough but what Merz had said implied that it was simply the slow reforms that are the cause of the election results.
I don't think they have properly communicated the reality to voters and the AFD have painted an alternative attractive one.

So we shouldn't trade as much with China!?
There is a bit more to it, not least that Canada has only one contigous neighbour. Many EU members have to ratify CETA -Ireland hasn't - and then we will see.
It is striking how many in the UK are commenting. Could there be a bit of envy going on?

He really doesn't get it. They didn't lose votes because they haven't pushed through the 'reforms'. They lost because the fail to address in a meaningful way the concerns of many, which requires clear communications rather than nods towards far right agendas.

Not much was expected of the CDU in MeckPom but only just .aking the 5% hurdle is very poor.
The problem is that they don't understand what they are doing wrong and Merz is the wrong person entirely.

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The far right and far left had more success in German state elections, dealing yet another blow to embattled Chancellor Friedrich Merz - who has vowed to stay the course.
jrnl.ie/7167981
Chancellor Friedrich Merz vows to stay on as AfD surge in German state elections
Merz’s centre-right CDU hovered just above 5% there, the point where it would crash out of parliament – an outcome Merz admitted was a ‘disaster’.
jrnl.ie

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After head-hunting and then ditching an opponent of IRA violence, Sinn Fein stands at a crossroads. Siobhán Fenton's journey into and then out of SF - right up to deputy press secretary to Mary Lou McDonald - reveals SF's vulnerability when it opens up.
After head-hunting and then ditching an opponent of IRA violence, Sinn Fein stands at a crossroads
New book from former aide to Mary Lou an insight into the opposing forces within the party
www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk

What sort of a moron do you have to be to do this?

Reposted by Edgar Morgenroth

A 44-year-old man has been arrested after a public sculpture in Belfast city centre was damaged in the early hours of this morning.
jrnl.ie/7167668
Man (44) arrested after Belfast's Big Fish sculpture damaged
The Police Service of Northern Ireland (PSNI) said “significant damage” has been caused to the left eye of the sculpture.
jrnl.ie

Reposted by Edgar Morgenroth

The fair elections in #Russia
Coming soon to America! #cdnpoli

Reposted by Edgar Morgenroth

The latest Storm-1516 disinformation campaign is targeting Germany. The campaign promotes a false narrative that AfD is allegedly missing from ballots for the state election in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern

Things are clearly not going well for the MAGA cult
That’s why he did it now

Trump announced a sweeping directive banning journalists from CNN, MSNOW, and Politico from covering White House-associated events. As a result, those specific outlets will be barred entirely from any press pools covering his UNGA events or sideline engagements.

⬇️

Reposted by Edgar Morgenroth

That’s why he did it now

Trump announced a sweeping directive banning journalists from CNN, MSNOW, and Politico from covering White House-associated events. As a result, those specific outlets will be barred entirely from any press pools covering his UNGA events or sideline engagements.

⬇️

😂😂😂 As if that changes anything. These people really are on a different planet.

Reposted by Edgar Morgenroth

Trump says son paid back Russian businessman for wedding weekend gift ft.trib.al/4WbPTSN
Trump says son paid back Russian businessman for wedding weekend gift
Umar Kremlev reportedly spent hundreds of thousands of dollars on Donald Trump Jr’s wedding after-party in the Bahamas
ft.trib.al

We can expect more of this including in and around Ireland.

The big question is what are we going to do about it?

Reposted by Edgar Morgenroth

From the ongoing series „careful what you wish for”.

(Matthias Döpfner bought Politico for an estimated $ 1 billion.
He asked his senior management to pray for Trump’s election victory.
POLITICO has been banned by Trump from the White House.)

Reposted by Edgar Morgenroth

France says Russian hybrid attacks against Europe are intensifying
France says Russian hybrid attacks against Europe are intensifying
British diplomat summoned by Russian foreign ministry as Poland joins anti-ballistic missile ‌coalition
www.irishtimes.com