Jonathan Portes | LightNews

Jonathan Portes @jdportes.bsky.social · 1h

But allowing those people (or indeed you or me) describe ourselves as English "plays into the hands of the ethnonationalist right" according to Kisin

The racism is repugnant but it is comfortably exceeded by the lack of self-awareness.

Sunder Katwala (sundersays) @sundersays.bsky.social · 1h

Konstantin Kisin blogs he tried to apologise to Rishi Sunak for "making him the case study" saying “He’s a brown Hindu. How is he English?” Kisin said on TV he didn't say this. He now says it "was not the best articulation" of his case why Sunak isn't English
www.konstantinkisin.com/p/my-respons...

My Response to Rishi Sunak

Rishi Sunak means well but his rhetoric and ideology are helping to create the racialised Britain he is so desperate to avoid.

www.konstantinkisin.com

Jonathan Portes @jdportes.bsky.social · 8h

Inner London West's exports of *goods* are (if I recall correctly) about the same as that of North-East England...

Jonathan Portes @jdportes.bsky.social · 12h

My birthday is on Wikipedia so not really prying!

Market Road, off Caledonian Road N7, 1966

Jonathan Portes @jdportes.bsky.social · 12h

Yes!

Jonathan Portes @jdportes.bsky.social · 13h

there was literally a pillow factory at the end of our street (terraced houses in Barnsbury now worth £1-2m..)

Jonathan Portes @jdportes.bsky.social · 13h

the official title/label says Cally Road, but the actual picture is almost certainly Market Road ( you can still see the distinctive railings/posts on the fencing outside of Caledonian Park in Market Road)

Jonathan Portes @jdportes.bsky.social · 13h

unfortunately LK didn't ask - I would have!

Jonathan Portes @jdportes.bsky.social · 13h

but long after that. Inner London's population fell by almost a fifth between 1971 and 1981. A lot of this was deindustrialisation - people tend to forget that London had a large manufacturing sector up to this point..

Jonathan Portes @jdportes.bsky.social · 13h

taken in the year I was born on the street I live in..

Jonathan Portes @jdportes.bsky.social · 13h

It was very good to see Bridget Phillipson both endorse Sunak's article *and* point out that Conservative, as well as Reform, politicians have endorsed the view that you have to be white to be British/English.

Sunder Katwala (sundersays) @sundersays.bsky.social · 1d

Former PM Rishi Sunak in the Sunday Times challenges the rise of ethno-nationalism in British politics, as an argument within the right about Britishness being about ancestry, DNA and ethnicity
www.thetimes.com/article/e89d...

Jonathan Portes @jdportes.bsky.social · 13h

people are more "economically beneficial" (fiscally) if they work - tautologous, obviously.

But not point of paper, which, as I said, is this utterly bizarre point about (inconsistently defined) "seclusion origin" women. Do you think this is useful/relevant to policy?

bsky.app/profile/jdpo...

Jonathan Portes @jdportes.bsky.social · 1d

So this - AFAICS, correct me if wrong - says (for UK) if labour market patterns of those who arrived on *Skilled Work Visas* in 2022-23 (largest countries of origin India/Nigeria) mirrored those who arrived *by any route* from Pakistan/Bangladesh in 2000s, then fiscal impact would be negative?

Jonathan Portes @jdportes.bsky.social · 14h

you got there first! I was going to say that since the errors aren't independent they should really report the correlation structure..

Jonathan Portes @jdportes.bsky.social · 14h

it's not "quality journalism" if you're still confused (as you seem to be) about whether Freedland is supporting sanctions, opposing them, or deliberately dodging the question

Jonathan Portes @jdportes.bsky.social · 23h

He wasn't. There was plenty of rhetoric about control but also a clear stance on the economic benefits of migration and a relatively liberal/flexible economic migration policy, combined with as you say a rejection of racism. Clear consistent and economically sensible.

Stephen Bush @stephenkb.bsky.social · 23h

Rishi Sunak said - loudly - that multiculturalism works. Keir Starmer called immigration in the 2020s a “squalid experiment”. It is a night and day difference.

Jonathan Portes @jdportes.bsky.social · 1d

Yeah but no. That's *exactly* like saying the statement "trade is good for the economy" is highly contingent. Sure but misses the wood. A relatively liberal economic migration policy *is* good for the UK economy.

Sunder Katwala (sundersays) @sundersays.bsky.social · 1d

Former PM Rishi Sunak in the Sunday Times challenges the rise of ethno-nationalism in British politics, as an argument within the right about Britishness being about ancestry, DNA and ethnicity
www.thetimes.com/article/e89d...

Jonathan Portes @jdportes.bsky.social · 1d

A much better thread than @jonathanfreedland.bsky.social's original article

Yair Wallach @yairwallach.bsky.social · 1d

There are so many things wrong in this article, let me focus on two: on the perverse logic argument against sanctions, and on the betrayal of Israel's human rights and anti-occupation activists.

www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...

This Israeli election could be the country’s last – this week I saw that for myself | Jonathan Freedland

Spend time on the ground and you see how high the stakes are for next month’s contest – for Israelis and Palestinians alike, says Guardian columnist Jonathan Freedland

www.theguardian.com

Yair Wallach @yairwallach.bsky.social · 1d

There are so many things wrong in this article, let me focus on two: on the perverse logic argument against sanctions, and on the betrayal of Israel's human rights and anti-occupation activists.

www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...

This Israeli election could be the country’s last – this week I saw that for myself | Jonathan Freedland

Spend time on the ground and you see how high the stakes are for next month’s contest – for Israelis and Palestinians alike, says Guardian columnist Jonathan Freedland

www.theguardian.com

Joe Walsh @walshfreedom.bsky.social · 1d

Jonathan Portes @jdportes.bsky.social · 1d

because I blocked him for a reason (even though his question here was not unreasonable).

He's obviously reading my posts anyway, but I have no interest in having a dialogue with him

UK in a Changing Europe @ukandeu.bsky.social · 1d

"None of this means UK associate membership is now there for the taking. While the UK might resemble Canada legally, it does not do so politically."

✍️ Joël Reland reflects on the lessons that Canada’s prospective EU association holds for the UK

🔗 https://ow.ly/l35b50ZP8Cy

Canada’s new EU association holds lessons for the UK - UK in a changing Europe

Joël Reland reflects on what it would mean in practice for Canada to become an associate member of the EU, as well as the lessons for the UK in thinking about its own future EU relationship.

ow.ly

Jonathan Portes @jdportes.bsky.social · 1d

Also appending this, which frankly I find shocking and somewhat disqualifying.

bsky.app/profile/jdpo...

Jonathan Portes @jdportes.bsky.social · 1d

So this - AFAICS, correct me if wrong - says (for UK) if labour market patterns of those who arrived on *Skilled Work Visas* in 2022-23 (largest countries of origin India/Nigeria) mirrored those who arrived *by any route* from Pakistan/Bangladesh in 2000s, then fiscal impact would be negative?

Jonathan Portes @jdportes.bsky.social · 1d

(as an aside, the fact that the paper doesn't report this data - instead relying on much less accurate or up to date employment data - tells you quite a lot IMO).

Jonathan Portes @jdportes.bsky.social · 1d

it's easy enough to download the actual LFS data and run the numbers specifically for Pakistani and Bangladeshi born women - he's welcome to do so if he actually thinks I'm wrong.

Jonathan Portes @jdportes.bsky.social · 1d

as for the HMRC data, I said consistent with/confirms the LFS-based analysis, not that it was in itself probative - yes, to get rates you have to look at trends in the numerator. We did that in our upward mobility paper (at a high level).

Jonathan Portes @jdportes.bsky.social · 1d

Yes, I blocked that troll. But the reason is simple - the ONS published tables don't do it by sex or disaggregate to P/B post 2019. But the trend is similar and if anything - given that the data is men/women combined, and the latter are most of the action - it's stronger.

Jonathan Portes @jdportes.bsky.social · 1d

Not sure what this is about, since I blocked whoever you are replying to

Jonathan Portes @jdportes.bsky.social · 1d

sorry, I just want to repeat my question. Is my statement of what your chart shows inaccurate, and if so how?

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