Alejandro Fernández-Roldán
@aleferna.bsky.social
Postdoctoral Researcher in Political Science at Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona (@dec-gr.bsky.social) | Political behaviour, public opinion and philosophy of social sciences
Pinned
www.sciencedirect.com
🚨 New paper in @electoralstudies.bsky.social with @klaramueller.bsky.social!
“How snap election calls shape vote intention uncertainty”
We show that when a snap election is called, voters resolve their uncertainty about who to vote for almost *immediately*
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
“How snap election calls shape vote intention uncertainty”
We show that when a snap election is called, voters resolve their uncertainty about who to vote for almost *immediately*
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
Reposted by Alejandro Fernández-Roldán
📣 Big news!
🗓️ Today, @tonirodon.bsky.social and I we are releasing the first version of the ATTCLIMATE panel dataset!
➡️ 4 waves of panel survey data (2023–2025) on citizens' attitudes toward climate change and support for mitigation policies.
🔗 attclimate.net
🗓️ Today, @tonirodon.bsky.social and I we are releasing the first version of the ATTCLIMATE panel dataset!
➡️ 4 waves of panel survey data (2023–2025) on citizens' attitudes toward climate change and support for mitigation policies.
🔗 attclimate.net
September 16, 2026 at 8:48 AM
📣 Big news!
🗓️ Today, @tonirodon.bsky.social and I we are releasing the first version of the ATTCLIMATE panel dataset!
➡️ 4 waves of panel survey data (2023–2025) on citizens' attitudes toward climate change and support for mitigation policies.
🔗 attclimate.net
🗓️ Today, @tonirodon.bsky.social and I we are releasing the first version of the ATTCLIMATE panel dataset!
➡️ 4 waves of panel survey data (2023–2025) on citizens' attitudes toward climate change and support for mitigation policies.
🔗 attclimate.net
🚨 New paper in @electoralstudies.bsky.social with @klaramueller.bsky.social!
“How snap election calls shape vote intention uncertainty”
We show that when a snap election is called, voters resolve their uncertainty about who to vote for almost *immediately*
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
“How snap election calls shape vote intention uncertainty”
We show that when a snap election is called, voters resolve their uncertainty about who to vote for almost *immediately*
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
www.sciencedirect.com
September 15, 2026 at 8:26 AM
🚨 New paper in @electoralstudies.bsky.social with @klaramueller.bsky.social!
“How snap election calls shape vote intention uncertainty”
We show that when a snap election is called, voters resolve their uncertainty about who to vote for almost *immediately*
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
“How snap election calls shape vote intention uncertainty”
We show that when a snap election is called, voters resolve their uncertainty about who to vote for almost *immediately*
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
Reposted by Alejandro Fernández-Roldán
We will see you in an hour #ecprgc26! 🚨 ⏰️
Come see @alessandronai.bsky.social, @caterinafr.bsky.social
& @robert-a-huber.bsky.social today 📆 to chat about all things #ECRs! 👨🎓
buff.ly/7lzB8BY
Come see @alessandronai.bsky.social, @caterinafr.bsky.social
& @robert-a-huber.bsky.social today 📆 to chat about all things #ECRs! 👨🎓
buff.ly/7lzB8BY
EJPR presents: How to develop an open research agenda (while being mindful of the traps along the way)
European Consortium for Political Research
buff.ly
September 11, 2026 at 9:15 AM
We will see you in an hour #ecprgc26! 🚨 ⏰️
Come see @alessandronai.bsky.social, @caterinafr.bsky.social
& @robert-a-huber.bsky.social today 📆 to chat about all things #ECRs! 👨🎓
buff.ly/7lzB8BY
Come see @alessandronai.bsky.social, @caterinafr.bsky.social
& @robert-a-huber.bsky.social today 📆 to chat about all things #ECRs! 👨🎓
buff.ly/7lzB8BY
Another one under the belt #ecprgc2026
September 11, 2026 at 8:02 AM
Another one under the belt #ecprgc2026
Reposted by Alejandro Fernández-Roldán
The academic process is 10% having ideas and 90% discovering why they won't work
September 10, 2026 at 6:48 AM
The academic process is 10% having ideas and 90% discovering why they won't work
Reposted by Alejandro Fernández-Roldán
New working paper from Stuart Perrett, @drjennings.bsky.social , @jonmellon.bsky.social , @cbwlezien.bsky.social and me:
Do polls underestimate support for right-wing parties? Assessing variation in polling error by party family
osf.io/preprints/so...
Do polls underestimate support for right-wing parties? Assessing variation in polling error by party family
osf.io/preprints/so...
OSF
osf.io
August 5, 2026 at 8:32 AM
New working paper from Stuart Perrett, @drjennings.bsky.social , @jonmellon.bsky.social , @cbwlezien.bsky.social and me:
Do polls underestimate support for right-wing parties? Assessing variation in polling error by party family
osf.io/preprints/so...
Do polls underestimate support for right-wing parties? Assessing variation in polling error by party family
osf.io/preprints/so...
Reposted by Alejandro Fernández-Roldán
1/ Happy to share our paper 'Still Instrumentally Inclusive' w/ @turnbulldugarte.com in @apsrjournal.bsky.social.
Understanding homonationalism remains important. Recent events (Berlin) have shown how quickly LGBT+ rights can become instrumentalized in debates about immigration and Islam.
Understanding homonationalism remains important. Recent events (Berlin) have shown how quickly LGBT+ rights can become instrumentalized in debates about immigration and Islam.
#OpenAccess from @apsrjournal.bsky.social -
Still Instrumentally Inclusive - https://cup.org/4bhrhsp
"Do individuals in Western democracies shift their views on LGBT+ inclusion when exposed to opposition from Muslim out-groups?"
- @turnbulldugarte.com & @bertous.bsky.social
#FirstView
Still Instrumentally Inclusive - https://cup.org/4bhrhsp
"Do individuals in Western democracies shift their views on LGBT+ inclusion when exposed to opposition from Muslim out-groups?"
- @turnbulldugarte.com & @bertous.bsky.social
#FirstView
July 28, 2026 at 1:15 PM
1/ Happy to share our paper 'Still Instrumentally Inclusive' w/ @turnbulldugarte.com in @apsrjournal.bsky.social.
Understanding homonationalism remains important. Recent events (Berlin) have shown how quickly LGBT+ rights can become instrumentalized in debates about immigration and Islam.
Understanding homonationalism remains important. Recent events (Berlin) have shown how quickly LGBT+ rights can become instrumentalized in debates about immigration and Islam.
Reposted by Alejandro Fernández-Roldán
🚨 Publication alert! Why is it so hard to win public support for concrete climate policies, even when there's broad consensus that action is needed? New paper with @tonirodon.bsky.social and @joelardiaca.bsky.social in @wepsocial.bsky.social 🧵�
@politiquesuab.bsky.social @politiquesupf.bsky.social
@politiquesuab.bsky.social @politiquesupf.bsky.social
Public support for climate policies: costs, redistribution, and ideological divides
Securing public support for climate policies remains a major challenge. Citizens’ perceptions of the costs, benefits, and distributive consequences of these policies are key factors shaping their a...
www.tandfonline.com
July 28, 2026 at 7:28 AM
🚨 Publication alert! Why is it so hard to win public support for concrete climate policies, even when there's broad consensus that action is needed? New paper with @tonirodon.bsky.social and @joelardiaca.bsky.social in @wepsocial.bsky.social 🧵�
@politiquesuab.bsky.social @politiquesupf.bsky.social
@politiquesuab.bsky.social @politiquesupf.bsky.social
Reposted by Alejandro Fernández-Roldán
A new publication of possible interest with @snsoroka.bsky.social on the relationship between negativity bias in media coverage and misinformation:
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
Negativity and Misinformation
There are large and growing bodies of research highlighting inaccuracies in news coverage. In this paper, we suggest that negativity biases account for a substantial portion of longstanding inaccur...
www.tandfonline.com
July 20, 2026 at 4:02 PM
A new publication of possible interest with @snsoroka.bsky.social on the relationship between negativity bias in media coverage and misinformation:
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
Reposted by Alejandro Fernández-Roldán
Should immigrants be allowed to vote? This is a highly politically charged question. In a new research paper and substack piece, me and @tarekjaziri.bsky.social test the biggest objection to letting foreign residents vote locally, and find it doesn't hold up.
🧵
simonhix.substack.com/p/why-not-gi...
🧵
simonhix.substack.com/p/why-not-gi...
Why Not Give Immigrants the Right to Vote?
The fear that allowing foreign residents to vote in local elections would benefit left-wing parties turns out to be wrong.
simonhix.substack.com
July 16, 2026 at 2:43 PM
Should immigrants be allowed to vote? This is a highly politically charged question. In a new research paper and substack piece, me and @tarekjaziri.bsky.social test the biggest objection to letting foreign residents vote locally, and find it doesn't hold up.
🧵
simonhix.substack.com/p/why-not-gi...
🧵
simonhix.substack.com/p/why-not-gi...
Shout out to all my colleagues for their great presentations, thoughtful ideas and heat acclimation capabilities
📝Last week we held a workshop to reflect on the future of our research group and discuss strategic priorities.
It was a great opportunity to share ideas, think together, and explore the direction we want to take in the coming years.
Thanks to everyone for the enthusiasm and participation.
It was a great opportunity to share ideas, think together, and explore the direction we want to take in the coming years.
Thanks to everyone for the enthusiasm and participation.
July 13, 2026 at 7:50 AM
Shout out to all my colleagues for their great presentations, thoughtful ideas and heat acclimation capabilities
If you work on public opinion and/or political behaviour you might want to consider submitting your abstract(s) to JCPOP 2026 in Barcelona - All the info 👇
🎉🎉 8th BANPS-JCPOP ANNUAL MEETING 2026! 🎉🎉
🚨CALL FOR PAPERS!
Submit your abstract 👉 tuit.cat/690ps
🏁You have time until 3 July, 2026
📅 19 November, 2026
📍UOC
More information on our website 👉 www.banps.cat/jcpop
🚨CALL FOR PAPERS!
Submit your abstract 👉 tuit.cat/690ps
🏁You have time until 3 July, 2026
📅 19 November, 2026
📍UOC
More information on our website 👉 www.banps.cat/jcpop
June 16, 2026 at 8:00 AM
If you work on public opinion and/or political behaviour you might want to consider submitting your abstract(s) to JCPOP 2026 in Barcelona - All the info 👇
Reposted by Alejandro Fernández-Roldán
Always chuffed to get a spot in one of the world's great papers, the @financialtimes.com, not least when I'm writing about something I really care about. But while I'm a long-term advocate for electoral reform, I do think we need to be realistic (and principled) about what, when and how.
Electoral reform for the UK? Don’t bet on it
Fractured party politics and enthusiasm from Labour’s hopefuls are not a sign of imminent proportional voting
www.ft.com
June 4, 2026 at 5:42 AM
Always chuffed to get a spot in one of the world's great papers, the @financialtimes.com, not least when I'm writing about something I really care about. But while I'm a long-term advocate for electoral reform, I do think we need to be realistic (and principled) about what, when and how.
Reposted by Alejandro Fernández-Roldán
Paying peer reviewers works.
Expanded Fast & Fair experiment @biologyopen.bsky.social:
• 5.5 vs 37.7 working days to decision with reviews
• ~3 vs ~9 reviewer invitations per manuscript
• no reduction in editor-assessed review quality
• similar acceptance rates
www.biorxiv.org/content/10.6...
Expanded Fast & Fair experiment @biologyopen.bsky.social:
• 5.5 vs 37.7 working days to decision with reviews
• ~3 vs ~9 reviewer invitations per manuscript
• no reduction in editor-assessed review quality
• similar acceptance rates
www.biorxiv.org/content/10.6...
June 3, 2026 at 12:05 PM
Paying peer reviewers works.
Expanded Fast & Fair experiment @biologyopen.bsky.social:
• 5.5 vs 37.7 working days to decision with reviews
• ~3 vs ~9 reviewer invitations per manuscript
• no reduction in editor-assessed review quality
• similar acceptance rates
www.biorxiv.org/content/10.6...
Expanded Fast & Fair experiment @biologyopen.bsky.social:
• 5.5 vs 37.7 working days to decision with reviews
• ~3 vs ~9 reviewer invitations per manuscript
• no reduction in editor-assessed review quality
• similar acceptance rates
www.biorxiv.org/content/10.6...
Reposted by Alejandro Fernández-Roldán
📚New paper with @jakobschwoerer.bsky.social @saengler.bsky.social in @prxjournal.bsky.social📚
We show that moving toward the far right on immigration doesn't benefit mainstream parties. Not even in elections where immigration is salient.
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
We show that moving toward the far right on immigration doesn't benefit mainstream parties. Not even in elections where immigration is salient.
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
When everyone talks about migration: how mainstream parties shift to the right and still lose
The rise of populist radical right parties (PRRPs) has prompted mainstream parties (MPs) to adopt more sceptical positions toward immigration. Spatial theory suggests that MPs benefit electorally b...
www.tandfonline.com
May 27, 2026 at 10:00 AM
📚New paper with @jakobschwoerer.bsky.social @saengler.bsky.social in @prxjournal.bsky.social📚
We show that moving toward the far right on immigration doesn't benefit mainstream parties. Not even in elections where immigration is salient.
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
We show that moving toward the far right on immigration doesn't benefit mainstream parties. Not even in elections where immigration is salient.
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
Reposted by Alejandro Fernández-Roldán
British politics is resembling the rest of Europe:
• Multi-party competition has replaced two-party dominance
• Challengers are on the rise, esp. the populist right
• Political realignment centres on identity politics (incl Brexit)
But FPTP is poorly suited to this fragmentation
• Multi-party competition has replaced two-party dominance
• Challengers are on the rise, esp. the populist right
• Political realignment centres on identity politics (incl Brexit)
But FPTP is poorly suited to this fragmentation
May 8, 2026 at 10:12 AM
British politics is resembling the rest of Europe:
• Multi-party competition has replaced two-party dominance
• Challengers are on the rise, esp. the populist right
• Political realignment centres on identity politics (incl Brexit)
But FPTP is poorly suited to this fragmentation
• Multi-party competition has replaced two-party dominance
• Challengers are on the rise, esp. the populist right
• Political realignment centres on identity politics (incl Brexit)
But FPTP is poorly suited to this fragmentation
Reposted by Alejandro Fernández-Roldán
🏴 New Blog 🏴
The Senedd election is just over a week away, and the polls suggest Labour might lose in Wales for the first time in a over century!
So, I've written a quick overview on the blocs structuring Welsh politics, and what people think of Labour:
blogs.cardiff.ac.uk/thinking-wal...
The Senedd election is just over a week away, and the polls suggest Labour might lose in Wales for the first time in a over century!
So, I've written a quick overview on the blocs structuring Welsh politics, and what people think of Labour:
blogs.cardiff.ac.uk/thinking-wal...
Issues, Accountability, and Labour’s Declining Support in Wales
Showcasing current research, comments and analysis on the law, politics, history, culture, government and political economy of Wales from the Wales Governance Centre.
blogs.cardiff.ac.uk
April 29, 2026 at 11:23 AM
🏴 New Blog 🏴
The Senedd election is just over a week away, and the polls suggest Labour might lose in Wales for the first time in a over century!
So, I've written a quick overview on the blocs structuring Welsh politics, and what people think of Labour:
blogs.cardiff.ac.uk/thinking-wal...
The Senedd election is just over a week away, and the polls suggest Labour might lose in Wales for the first time in a over century!
So, I've written a quick overview on the blocs structuring Welsh politics, and what people think of Labour:
blogs.cardiff.ac.uk/thinking-wal...
Reposted by Alejandro Fernández-Roldán
🚨 Western democracies are often described as polarized. @katharinalawall.bsky.social, @mtsakiris.bsky.social + I study how polarization actually feels.
Now published in @ejprjournal.bsky.social, we asked citizens in 5 European countries to report their emotions ⬇️
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
Now published in @ejprjournal.bsky.social, we asked citizens in 5 European countries to report their emotions ⬇️
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
April 28, 2026 at 1:03 PM
🚨 Western democracies are often described as polarized. @katharinalawall.bsky.social, @mtsakiris.bsky.social + I study how polarization actually feels.
Now published in @ejprjournal.bsky.social, we asked citizens in 5 European countries to report their emotions ⬇️
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
Now published in @ejprjournal.bsky.social, we asked citizens in 5 European countries to report their emotions ⬇️
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
Reposted by Alejandro Fernández-Roldán
Social media is no longer social. Most of it is passive viewing of videos and pictures from people we've never met.
But we're still studying social media like it's 2010.
We've entered the post-social media era — and research needs to catch up.
osf.io/preprints/so...
preprint w/ Richard Rogers
But we're still studying social media like it's 2010.
We've entered the post-social media era — and research needs to catch up.
osf.io/preprints/so...
preprint w/ Richard Rogers
April 23, 2026 at 1:34 PM
Social media is no longer social. Most of it is passive viewing of videos and pictures from people we've never met.
But we're still studying social media like it's 2010.
We've entered the post-social media era — and research needs to catch up.
osf.io/preprints/so...
preprint w/ Richard Rogers
But we're still studying social media like it's 2010.
We've entered the post-social media era — and research needs to catch up.
osf.io/preprints/so...
preprint w/ Richard Rogers
The DEC research group is now welcoming expressions of interest for Marie Curie postdocs. If you are interested in joining a stimulating and healthy environment I'm happy to chat about research avenues, group activities, and what it's actually like to work here!
Feel free to repost and DM me :)
Feel free to repost and DM me :)
📢Open call for applications.
DEC welcomes expressions of interest for the 2026 MSCA Postdoctoral Fellowships.
Applicants interested in developing a proposal with us are encouraged to get in touch before 15 May.
More information ⬇️
marie-sklodowska-curie-actions.ec.europa.eu/actions/post...
DEC welcomes expressions of interest for the 2026 MSCA Postdoctoral Fellowships.
Applicants interested in developing a proposal with us are encouraged to get in touch before 15 May.
More information ⬇️
marie-sklodowska-curie-actions.ec.europa.eu/actions/post...
Postdoctoral Fellowships
The information provided on this page is a summary of the main rules and requirements for Postdoctoral Fellowships (PFs) and who can apply for them.
marie-sklodowska-curie-actions.ec.europa.eu
April 17, 2026 at 9:28 AM
The DEC research group is now welcoming expressions of interest for Marie Curie postdocs. If you are interested in joining a stimulating and healthy environment I'm happy to chat about research avenues, group activities, and what it's actually like to work here!
Feel free to repost and DM me :)
Feel free to repost and DM me :)
It’s not the first time I’ve said this on Bluesky: you will always learn something from reading Matthew
I just published something on my Substack about one reason, among many, why I don't think communicating public consensus on climate change is anything like as powerful a climate policy tool as people make it out to be.
open.substack.com/pub/drmatthe...
open.substack.com/pub/drmatthe...
Climate consensus communication probably isn't a gamechanger
Why I don't think the best available evidence supports the story that is being told about it
open.substack.com
April 15, 2026 at 9:28 AM
It’s not the first time I’ve said this on Bluesky: you will always learn something from reading Matthew
Grateful for the opportunity to present joint work with @galais.bsky.social & @mguinjoan.bsky.social today at the @tact-forsed.bsky.social conference in @charlesuni.cuni.cz - Almost as important, it is my first time in Prague 🫶
April 9, 2026 at 11:17 AM
Grateful for the opportunity to present joint work with @galais.bsky.social & @mguinjoan.bsky.social today at the @tact-forsed.bsky.social conference in @charlesuni.cuni.cz - Almost as important, it is my first time in Prague 🫶
Probably the most talented early-career political scientist out there just became a doctor!
If you have a project, budget, or call for applications that suits her profile, you’d be wise to reach out to her.
Do it and thank me later 😉
If you have a project, budget, or call for applications that suits her profile, you’d be wise to reach out to her.
Do it and thank me later 😉
So pleased to share that I passed my viva yesterday 🎓✨
What a journey these past years have been! I’m happy, proud, and undeniably also quite relieved to have wrapped this up now.
Now on to discovering what new challenges the world of political science has in store! 📚📊
What a journey these past years have been! I’m happy, proud, and undeniably also quite relieved to have wrapped this up now.
Now on to discovering what new challenges the world of political science has in store! 📚📊
March 27, 2026 at 10:35 AM
Probably the most talented early-career political scientist out there just became a doctor!
If you have a project, budget, or call for applications that suits her profile, you’d be wise to reach out to her.
Do it and thank me later 😉
If you have a project, budget, or call for applications that suits her profile, you’d be wise to reach out to her.
Do it and thank me later 😉
Reposted by Alejandro Fernández-Roldán
“Plaid Cymru remain in the strongest position - Reform faces far greater constraints, yet there should be no mistake: winning a third of seats would represent a remarkable result.” - @jaclarner.bsky.social #Senedd26 #Wales #Cymru
www.itv.com/news/wales/2...
www.itv.com/news/wales/2...
www.itv.com
March 24, 2026 at 6:10 PM
“Plaid Cymru remain in the strongest position - Reform faces far greater constraints, yet there should be no mistake: winning a third of seats would represent a remarkable result.” - @jaclarner.bsky.social #Senedd26 #Wales #Cymru
www.itv.com/news/wales/2...
www.itv.com/news/wales/2...
Polling enthusiasts, you're going to like this one! 🤩
🌀
📊 How powerful are polls in influencing election outcomes?
🗳️ @krausewe.bsky.social & @christinagahn.bsky.social examine how election polls can shape voter behaviour, from bandwagon effects to strategic voting, and why their influence is more complex than it first appears 🤔
📊 How powerful are polls in influencing election outcomes?
🗳️ @krausewe.bsky.social & @christinagahn.bsky.social examine how election polls can shape voter behaviour, from bandwagon effects to strategic voting, and why their influence is more complex than it first appears 🤔
How powerful are polls in influencing election outcomes?
Werner Krause and Christina Gahn argue that we need to pay more attention to how the media communicates the results of opinion polls to the public. Reporting methodological details, such as margins…
buff.ly
March 13, 2026 at 11:41 AM
Polling enthusiasts, you're going to like this one! 🤩