Andy Scollick
@andyscollick.bsky.social
Strategic defence planning and foresight | security and defence policy | interactions between climate change, energy, security, defence | former adviser to Ukraine's military | marine environmental policy | PhD in sustainability science | Ireland/Europe
Questions that will be asked by Russian General Staff to its planners in Moscow: How deep underground? Can our existing penetrators (bunker busters) breach it? Do we need to accelerate development of deep-reach penetrators? What radius can we spread radioactive contamination with a strike? #Finland
EU bank makes in Finland first-ever investment in small nuclear reactor for heating project dtt-net.com/eu-bank-make...
EU bank makes in Finland first-ever investment in small nuclear reactor for heating project
Brussels, 15 September 2026, dtt-net.com – The Luxembourg-based EU’s Investment Bank (EIB) today announced its first-ever investment in small nuclear reactor (SMR) for a start-up company in Finland, f...
dtt-net.com
September 15, 2026 at 10:06 PM
Questions that will be asked by Russian General Staff to its planners in Moscow: How deep underground? Can our existing penetrators (bunker busters) breach it? Do we need to accelerate development of deep-reach penetrators? What radius can we spread radioactive contamination with a strike? #Finland
Reposted by Andy Scollick
Sep 14-15 poll of 3,564 U.S. adults (±1.9 points)
Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling AI?
28% of U.S. adults approve
55% disapprove, including 44% who strongly disapprove
yougov.com/en-us/daily-...
Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling AI?
28% of U.S. adults approve
55% disapprove, including 44% who strongly disapprove
yougov.com/en-us/daily-...
September 15, 2026 at 9:22 PM
Sep 14-15 poll of 3,564 U.S. adults (±1.9 points)
Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling AI?
28% of U.S. adults approve
55% disapprove, including 44% who strongly disapprove
yougov.com/en-us/daily-...
Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling AI?
28% of U.S. adults approve
55% disapprove, including 44% who strongly disapprove
yougov.com/en-us/daily-...
Reposted by Andy Scollick
US data centers will be use more natural gas than any country except China, Russia, Iran and the United States.
It's like we're inventing a huge new nation, just when the climate needs it least
billmckibben.substack.com/p/the-two-ho...
It's like we're inventing a huge new nation, just when the climate needs it least
billmckibben.substack.com/p/the-two-ho...
The Two Horsemen, Riding in Formation
Is There Suddenly an Opening for AI and Climate Sense?
billmckibben.substack.com
September 15, 2026 at 9:54 PM
US data centers will be use more natural gas than any country except China, Russia, Iran and the United States.
It's like we're inventing a huge new nation, just when the climate needs it least
billmckibben.substack.com/p/the-two-ho...
It's like we're inventing a huge new nation, just when the climate needs it least
billmckibben.substack.com/p/the-two-ho...
Reposted by Andy Scollick
the colours really underplay this....the light grey, dark grey and medium grey are fossil fuels.
September 15, 2026 at 2:34 PM
the colours really underplay this....the light grey, dark grey and medium grey are fossil fuels.
Reposted by Andy Scollick
I still think there is not a good awareness out there of just how much the AI industry plans to run off fossil fuels. This is a *conservative* estimate that excludes many planned projects.
These are weak plans and they can be stopped.
au.finance.yahoo.com/news/us-data...
These are weak plans and they can be stopped.
au.finance.yahoo.com/news/us-data...
September 15, 2026 at 12:48 PM
I still think there is not a good awareness out there of just how much the AI industry plans to run off fossil fuels. This is a *conservative* estimate that excludes many planned projects.
These are weak plans and they can be stopped.
au.finance.yahoo.com/news/us-data...
These are weak plans and they can be stopped.
au.finance.yahoo.com/news/us-data...
Reposted by Andy Scollick
KAROLIINA is just outside st. petersberg.
KAIE has entered the Shannon estuary, one of the larger ships that transported alumina to russia in the past.
#alumina22
KAIE has entered the Shannon estuary, one of the larger ships that transported alumina to russia in the past.
#alumina22
September 15, 2026 at 9:36 PM
KAROLIINA is just outside st. petersberg.
KAIE has entered the Shannon estuary, one of the larger ships that transported alumina to russia in the past.
#alumina22
KAIE has entered the Shannon estuary, one of the larger ships that transported alumina to russia in the past.
#alumina22
Reposted by Andy Scollick
Children from Moldova's breakaway Transnistria are drawn into Russian military training and “patriotic education,” Moldovan monitors say.
Some attended Russian-run programs in occupied Crimea. At home, children as young as 11 train with weapons and drones.
euromaidanpress.com/2026/09/15/t...
Some attended Russian-run programs in occupied Crimea. At home, children as young as 11 train with weapons and drones.
euromaidanpress.com/2026/09/15/t...
Russia brings children from Moldova’s Transnistria to occupied Crimea for “patriotic education”
Schools in the Russia-backed enclave now begin each week with separatist flag ceremonies. Rights activists say children as young as 11 train with weapons and drones.
euromaidanpress.com
September 15, 2026 at 9:38 PM
Children from Moldova's breakaway Transnistria are drawn into Russian military training and “patriotic education,” Moldovan monitors say.
Some attended Russian-run programs in occupied Crimea. At home, children as young as 11 train with weapons and drones.
euromaidanpress.com/2026/09/15/t...
Some attended Russian-run programs in occupied Crimea. At home, children as young as 11 train with weapons and drones.
euromaidanpress.com/2026/09/15/t...
Reposted by Andy Scollick
Hormuz oil flow continue to climb, now with reports of daytime transits.
The 7-day average of oil transit flow through Hormuz rose to nearly 12 MMbpd as of Sunday, easily the fastest pace since the post-MOU June-July breakout—and this time there's virtually no Iranian crude.
The 7-day average of oil transit flow through Hormuz rose to nearly 12 MMbpd as of Sunday, easily the fastest pace since the post-MOU June-July breakout—and this time there's virtually no Iranian crude.
September 15, 2026 at 4:13 PM
Hormuz oil flow continue to climb, now with reports of daytime transits.
The 7-day average of oil transit flow through Hormuz rose to nearly 12 MMbpd as of Sunday, easily the fastest pace since the post-MOU June-July breakout—and this time there's virtually no Iranian crude.
The 7-day average of oil transit flow through Hormuz rose to nearly 12 MMbpd as of Sunday, easily the fastest pace since the post-MOU June-July breakout—and this time there's virtually no Iranian crude.
Reposted by Andy Scollick
Professor Neil Ward, from the Tyndall Centre, says that the UK agriculture sector must build greater resilience through measures such as improving soil health, increasing water storage, and adapting food production systems ⬇️
tyndall.ac.uk/news/measure...
tyndall.ac.uk/news/measure...
Measures needed to help UK farming weather future droughts - Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research
From improving soil health to increasing water storage, it is essential that UK farms build resilience to future droughts and a changing climate, according to an expert from the Tyndall Centre for…
tyndall.ac.uk
September 15, 2026 at 6:19 PM
Professor Neil Ward, from the Tyndall Centre, says that the UK agriculture sector must build greater resilience through measures such as improving soil health, increasing water storage, and adapting food production systems ⬇️
tyndall.ac.uk/news/measure...
tyndall.ac.uk/news/measure...
Join the FBI
A Career Like No Other
A Career Like No Other
September 15, 2026 at 9:47 PM
Join the FBI
A Career Like No Other
A Career Like No Other
Reposted by Andy Scollick
From both personal experience and that of those still serving, I've written a short overview of the serious vulnerabilities faced by the British Army.
It doesn't make for optimistic reading.
It doesn't make for optimistic reading.
The Severe Vulnerabilities of Today’s British Army
Not a pretty picture
crackingdefence.substack.com
September 14, 2026 at 11:18 AM
From both personal experience and that of those still serving, I've written a short overview of the serious vulnerabilities faced by the British Army.
It doesn't make for optimistic reading.
It doesn't make for optimistic reading.
Reposted by Andy Scollick
U.S. combat operations against Iran have cost at least $38 billion and could cost up to $3 billion a month as the war continues, according to an analysis released by the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office.
Iran war has cost $38 billion, budget office says
U.S. combat operations against Iran have cost at least $38 billion and could cost up to $3 billion a month as the war continues.
www.stripes.com
September 15, 2026 at 9:28 PM
U.S. combat operations against Iran have cost at least $38 billion and could cost up to $3 billion a month as the war continues, according to an analysis released by the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office.
Reposted by Andy Scollick
Only .02° from the all-time El Niño record anomaly! Today we got to +3°C departure from the 1991-2020 average in the main (3.4) region. The record is 3.02°C in 2015… so conceivably we could break that in the next day or two. 1/
September 15, 2026 at 9:31 PM
Only .02° from the all-time El Niño record anomaly! Today we got to +3°C departure from the 1991-2020 average in the main (3.4) region. The record is 3.02°C in 2015… so conceivably we could break that in the next day or two. 1/
Reposted by Andy Scollick
'US strips millions in military aid from Europe and Mideast to back Trump-aligned nations in Americas' apnews.com/article/fore...
September 15, 2026 at 9:18 PM
'US strips millions in military aid from Europe and Mideast to back Trump-aligned nations in Americas' apnews.com/article/fore...
Reposted by Andy Scollick
Interesting new preprint by Susanna Winkelbauer et al. finds a weakening of #AMOC by ~ 20% over the past 3 decades (i.e. 1.23 ± 0.57 Sv per decade). egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/20...
Atlantic Meridional Heat Transports from Ocean Reanalyses, Monitored Sections and Heat Budget Constraints
Abstract. Meridional ocean heat transport (MHT) plays a central role in the climate system by redistributing energy across latitudes and influencing global and regional climate variability. While sust...
egusphere.copernicus.org
September 15, 2026 at 9:22 PM
Interesting new preprint by Susanna Winkelbauer et al. finds a weakening of #AMOC by ~ 20% over the past 3 decades (i.e. 1.23 ± 0.57 Sv per decade). egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/20...
Reposted by Andy Scollick
Major safety issues remain unresolved in the DOE safety design agreement BEFORE Deep Fission puts a nuclear reactor a mile underground in Parsons, Kansas.
Read it here:
www.deepfission.com/nuclear-safe...
Read it here:
www.deepfission.com/nuclear-safe...
September 15, 2026 at 8:53 PM
Major safety issues remain unresolved in the DOE safety design agreement BEFORE Deep Fission puts a nuclear reactor a mile underground in Parsons, Kansas.
Read it here:
www.deepfission.com/nuclear-safe...
Read it here:
www.deepfission.com/nuclear-safe...
Reposted by Andy Scollick
With alarming incursions into NATO territory by Russian drones and missiles, and the possibility that worse is on the horizon, NATO is adapting its air defense playbook.
https://www.twz.com/air/top-u-s-air-force-officer-in-europe-implementing-new-nato-air-defense-plans
https://www.twz.com/air/top-u-s-air-force-officer-in-europe-implementing-new-nato-air-defense-plans
Top U.S. Air Force Officer In Europe Implementing New NATO Air Defense Plan
With alarming incursions into NATO territory by Russian drones and missiles, and the possibility that worse is on the horizon, NATO is adapting its air defense playbook.
www.twz.com
September 15, 2026 at 8:34 PM
With alarming incursions into NATO territory by Russian drones and missiles, and the possibility that worse is on the horizon, NATO is adapting its air defense playbook.
https://www.twz.com/air/top-u-s-air-force-officer-in-europe-implementing-new-nato-air-defense-plans
https://www.twz.com/air/top-u-s-air-force-officer-in-europe-implementing-new-nato-air-defense-plans
Reposted by Andy Scollick
Colour me still sceptical of the idea of an European Security Council, but the emerging Wider Europe of Security bringing together the EU, Canada, UK, Norway and Ukraine would be an important step forward:
EXCLUSIVE: Von der Leyen calls for ‘European Security Council’ in SOTEU text | Euractiv
The potential rival to NATO will come with a call for an ‘Alliance for the future’ with Canada, according to a draft
www.euractiv.com
September 15, 2026 at 8:16 PM
Colour me still sceptical of the idea of an European Security Council, but the emerging Wider Europe of Security bringing together the EU, Canada, UK, Norway and Ukraine would be an important step forward:
Reposted by Andy Scollick
Russia has me working nonstop all day with their insanity and escalation 😡
I documented the extremely active day across Europe as incidents were unfolding throughout the day
I documented the extremely active day across Europe as incidents were unfolding throughout the day
A Very Active Day Across Europe as Russia Escalates
Today has been such an active day across Europe that I wanted to do a quick post to document it.
olgalautman.substack.com
September 15, 2026 at 8:36 PM
Russia has me working nonstop all day with their insanity and escalation 😡
I documented the extremely active day across Europe as incidents were unfolding throughout the day
I documented the extremely active day across Europe as incidents were unfolding throughout the day
Reposted by Andy Scollick
Temperatures across the Tropics set another monthly record in August 2026. The long-term warming trend is also very clear for all times of the year (i.e., human-caused climate change), which leads to growing heat stress impact concerns.
Data from @copernicusecmwf.bsky.social ERA5 reanalysis.
Data from @copernicusecmwf.bsky.social ERA5 reanalysis.
September 15, 2026 at 8:39 PM
Temperatures across the Tropics set another monthly record in August 2026. The long-term warming trend is also very clear for all times of the year (i.e., human-caused climate change), which leads to growing heat stress impact concerns.
Data from @copernicusecmwf.bsky.social ERA5 reanalysis.
Data from @copernicusecmwf.bsky.social ERA5 reanalysis.
Reposted by Andy Scollick
All going swimmingly:
The Houthis have mined the Bab al-Mandab Strait, a Yemeni military source tells Al Arabiya.
The Houthis have mined the Bab al-Mandab Strait, a Yemeni military source tells Al Arabiya.
September 15, 2026 at 8:42 PM
All going swimmingly:
The Houthis have mined the Bab al-Mandab Strait, a Yemeni military source tells Al Arabiya.
The Houthis have mined the Bab al-Mandab Strait, a Yemeni military source tells Al Arabiya.
Reposted by Andy Scollick
Norway announced on 15 September that it is preparing legislation to ban trade in goods originating from Israeli settlements in occupied West Bank, with offenders facing penalties of up to three years in prison.
September 15, 2026 at 8:42 PM
Norway announced on 15 September that it is preparing legislation to ban trade in goods originating from Israeli settlements in occupied West Bank, with offenders facing penalties of up to three years in prison.
Reposted by Andy Scollick
Ed Sheeran’s band just quit the Ed Sheeran tour.
The Irish musicians, Beoga, who play alongside Ed Sheeran, have withdrawn from Sheeran’s tour.
This is the statement they published on Instagram:
This is the statement they published on Instagram:
September 15, 2026 at 7:47 PM
Ed Sheeran’s band just quit the Ed Sheeran tour.
Reposted by Andy Scollick
opener for most of ed sheeran’s shows in south america just now on IG:
September 15, 2026 at 7:40 PM
opener for most of ed sheeran’s shows in south america just now on IG:
Reposted by Andy Scollick
Finneas, Beoga and Aaron Rowe have pulled out of the Ed Sheeran tour.
It’s crumbling like pastry.
It’s crumbling like pastry.
September 15, 2026 at 7:47 PM
Finneas, Beoga and Aaron Rowe have pulled out of the Ed Sheeran tour.
It’s crumbling like pastry.
It’s crumbling like pastry.