Atlanta Fed
@atlantafed.org
The Atlanta Fed serves the Sixth Federal Reserve District: AL, FL, GA and parts of LA, MS and TN. We foster a healthy economy and financial stability. We’re apolitical and decentralized to conduct monetary policy that’s in the best interest of the economy.
On October 1, the GDPNow model nowcast of real #GDP growth in Q3 2026 is 3.7%: bit.ly/32EYojR.
Download our EconomyNow app or go to our website for the latest GDPNow nowcast: atlfed.org/46BOWkD.
Download our EconomyNow app or go to our website for the latest GDPNow nowcast: atlfed.org/46BOWkD.
October 1, 2026 at 3:25 PM
On October 1, the GDPNow model nowcast of real #GDP growth in Q3 2026 is 3.7%: bit.ly/32EYojR.
Download our EconomyNow app or go to our website for the latest GDPNow nowcast: atlfed.org/46BOWkD.
Download our EconomyNow app or go to our website for the latest GDPNow nowcast: atlfed.org/46BOWkD.
During the past month, both initial and continued unemployment claims activity remained steady. In the third week of reporting in September, there were fewer than 198,000 initial unemployment claims filed nationally on a seasonally adjusted basis. atlfed.org/3TFpLdV
October 1, 2026 at 3:13 PM
During the past month, both initial and continued unemployment claims activity remained steady. In the third week of reporting in September, there were fewer than 198,000 initial unemployment claims filed nationally on a seasonally adjusted basis. atlfed.org/3TFpLdV
While there is a broad-based slowing among some of the near-term measures of underlying PCE inflation, all the year-over-year measures on the dashboard are still elevated relative to the FOMC's price stability mandate. atlfed.org/4giDCzo
September 30, 2026 at 8:28 PM
While there is a broad-based slowing among some of the near-term measures of underlying PCE inflation, all the year-over-year measures on the dashboard are still elevated relative to the FOMC's price stability mandate. atlfed.org/4giDCzo
With newer generations of US women less likely to have children than preceding generations, the authors of this Policy Hub paper identify reasons for declining birth rates as well as the variation among a range of generational cohorts: atlfed.org/4zbINrA.
September 30, 2026 at 6:31 PM
With newer generations of US women less likely to have children than preceding generations, the authors of this Policy Hub paper identify reasons for declining birth rates as well as the variation among a range of generational cohorts: atlfed.org/4zbINrA.
Join Federal Reserve Education on Tuesday, October 20, as we celebrate #EconEdMonth with our webinar, Teaching Monetary Policy: From the Fed’s Origins to Today’s Tools. For more information and to register, visit atlfed.org/3VNyIlW.
September 30, 2026 at 6:00 PM
Join Federal Reserve Education on Tuesday, October 20, as we celebrate #EconEdMonth with our webinar, Teaching Monetary Policy: From the Fed’s Origins to Today’s Tools. For more information and to register, visit atlfed.org/3VNyIlW.
Sep 30: We’ve updated our Taylor Rule Utility data by incorporating data from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis in addition to updated nowcasts from the Cleveland Fed and Atlanta Fed: atlfed.org/4rEK5Zn.
September 30, 2026 at 4:01 PM
Sep 30: We’ve updated our Taylor Rule Utility data by incorporating data from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis in addition to updated nowcasts from the Cleveland Fed and Atlanta Fed: atlfed.org/4rEK5Zn.
Most firms are keeping tariff refunds as cash—but others are using them to the benefit of consumers and employees. atlfed.org/4dgJFCx
September 30, 2026 at 3:44 PM
Most firms are keeping tariff refunds as cash—but others are using them to the benefit of consumers and employees. atlfed.org/4dgJFCx
On September 30, the GDPNow model nowcast of real #GDP growth in Q3 2026 is 3.7%: bit.ly/32EYojR.
Download our EconomyNow app or go to our website for the latest GDPNow nowcast: atlfed.org/46BOWkD.
Download our EconomyNow app or go to our website for the latest GDPNow nowcast: atlfed.org/46BOWkD.
September 30, 2026 at 2:46 PM
On September 30, the GDPNow model nowcast of real #GDP growth in Q3 2026 is 3.7%: bit.ly/32EYojR.
Download our EconomyNow app or go to our website for the latest GDPNow nowcast: atlfed.org/46BOWkD.
Download our EconomyNow app or go to our website for the latest GDPNow nowcast: atlfed.org/46BOWkD.
When Atlanta Fed researchers examined how housing and other financial factors affected displaced residents following Hurricane Michael (2018), their findings revealed the challenges to successful relocation: atlfed.org/4hTso51.
September 29, 2026 at 9:05 PM
When Atlanta Fed researchers examined how housing and other financial factors affected displaced residents following Hurricane Michael (2018), their findings revealed the challenges to successful relocation: atlfed.org/4hTso51.
Gaining employment in a booming employment sector can yield significant benefits over the course of a career—but not always. Examining worker data from a previous tech boom, a new Policy Hub: Macroblog post discusses outcomes that varied widely: atlfed.org/47pVG5f.
September 29, 2026 at 6:53 PM
Gaining employment in a booming employment sector can yield significant benefits over the course of a career—but not always. Examining worker data from a previous tech boom, a new Policy Hub: Macroblog post discusses outcomes that varied widely: atlfed.org/47pVG5f.
Documenting facts about uninsured deposits, the authors see benefit in increasing deposit insurance for households’ deposits relative to firms’ deposits and show that reducing bailouts increases bank failures due to runs and causes major macroeconomic impact: atlfed.org/4iQmsuD.
September 29, 2026 at 3:54 PM
Documenting facts about uninsured deposits, the authors see benefit in increasing deposit insurance for households’ deposits relative to firms’ deposits and show that reducing bailouts increases bank failures due to runs and causes major macroeconomic impact: atlfed.org/4iQmsuD.
Homeownership affordability deteriorated nationally in July as mortgage rates remained elevated and the median sales price reached its highest level on record. atlfed.org/49LVIoH
More highlights of the recent update to our Home Ownership Affordability Monitor (HOAM) in the thread below.
More highlights of the recent update to our Home Ownership Affordability Monitor (HOAM) in the thread below.
September 28, 2026 at 6:54 PM
Homeownership affordability deteriorated nationally in July as mortgage rates remained elevated and the median sales price reached its highest level on record. atlfed.org/49LVIoH
More highlights of the recent update to our Home Ownership Affordability Monitor (HOAM) in the thread below.
More highlights of the recent update to our Home Ownership Affordability Monitor (HOAM) in the thread below.
Developing algorithms for estimating high frequency principal components (PCs) for monthly macroeconomic data, the author finds that when suitably aggregated those PCs can closely approximate those calculated from monthly data even during a government shutdown: atlfed.org/3TniXS5.
September 28, 2026 at 6:13 PM
Developing algorithms for estimating high frequency principal components (PCs) for monthly macroeconomic data, the author finds that when suitably aggregated those PCs can closely approximate those calculated from monthly data even during a government shutdown: atlfed.org/3TniXS5.
In this working paper, economists revisit the relationship between factors that play a key role in the transmission of monetary policy. Their proposed method finds some support of a nonlinear pass-through of labor market tightness to core inflation. Read more: atlfed.org/3TmG3bv.
September 28, 2026 at 2:23 PM
In this working paper, economists revisit the relationship between factors that play a key role in the transmission of monetary policy. Their proposed method finds some support of a nonlinear pass-through of labor market tightness to core inflation. Read more: atlfed.org/3TmG3bv.
On Sept. 25, the GDPNow model nowcast of real #GDP growth in Q3 2026 is 5.0%:atlfed.org/3T3U1ir.
Download our EconomyNow app or go to our website for the latest GDPNow nowcast: atlfed.org/43UNhVO.
Download our EconomyNow app or go to our website for the latest GDPNow nowcast: atlfed.org/43UNhVO.
September 25, 2026 at 2:54 PM
On Sept. 25, the GDPNow model nowcast of real #GDP growth in Q3 2026 is 5.0%:atlfed.org/3T3U1ir.
Download our EconomyNow app or go to our website for the latest GDPNow nowcast: atlfed.org/43UNhVO.
Download our EconomyNow app or go to our website for the latest GDPNow nowcast: atlfed.org/43UNhVO.
Firms’ inflation expectations for the coming year increased to 2.4 percent. Sales levels and profit margins compared to "normal times" decreased, according to the Atlanta Fed’s latest Business Inflation Expectations survey. atlfed.org/4rt1tQG.
September 24, 2026 at 8:53 PM
Firms’ inflation expectations for the coming year increased to 2.4 percent. Sales levels and profit margins compared to "normal times" decreased, according to the Atlanta Fed’s latest Business Inflation Expectations survey. atlfed.org/4rt1tQG.
Some firms will receive a windfall from tariff refunds. But what firms plan to do with this revenue varies widely among recipients. Examining recent survey data provides some clarity, and a new Policy Hub: Macroblog post scrutinizes the range of expectations: atlfed.org/4xvSHTn.
September 24, 2026 at 4:01 PM
Some firms will receive a windfall from tariff refunds. But what firms plan to do with this revenue varies widely among recipients. Examining recent survey data provides some clarity, and a new Policy Hub: Macroblog post scrutinizes the range of expectations: atlfed.org/4xvSHTn.
Measuring the pass-through of shipping costs to US producer prices, the authors show that though this pass-through is normally negligible, the pandemic’s broad, persistent surge reached production costs and was built into prices cumulatively as firms repriced: atlfed.org/4dTX0Rt.
September 23, 2026 at 2:31 PM
Measuring the pass-through of shipping costs to US producer prices, the authors show that though this pass-through is normally negligible, the pandemic’s broad, persistent surge reached production costs and was built into prices cumulatively as firms repriced: atlfed.org/4dTX0Rt.
Curious about launching a Qualified Opportunity Fund or connecting with social-impact investors? This Connecting Communities session will cover practical strategies, resources, and collaborative approaches to ensure Opportunity Zone dollars benefit communities. Register now: bit.ly/4rpgTFx.
September 22, 2026 at 7:00 PM
Curious about launching a Qualified Opportunity Fund or connecting with social-impact investors? This Connecting Communities session will cover practical strategies, resources, and collaborative approaches to ensure Opportunity Zone dollars benefit communities. Register now: bit.ly/4rpgTFx.
Linking confidential census trade records to Bureau of Labor Statistics producer-price microdata for 6,000 US manufacturers, the authors find shipping-cost pass-through is negligible in normal times but roughly ten times larger during the pandemic: atlfed.org/4y9yOCT.
September 22, 2026 at 5:43 PM
Linking confidential census trade records to Bureau of Labor Statistics producer-price microdata for 6,000 US manufacturers, the authors find shipping-cost pass-through is negligible in normal times but roughly ten times larger during the pandemic: atlfed.org/4y9yOCT.
Some firms will receive a windfall from tariff refunds. But what firms plan to do with this revenue varies widely among recipients. Examining recent survey data provides some clarity, and a new Policy Hub: Macroblog post scrutinizes the range of expectations: atlfed.org/4xCg5yK.
September 21, 2026 at 6:55 PM
Some firms will receive a windfall from tariff refunds. But what firms plan to do with this revenue varies widely among recipients. Examining recent survey data provides some clarity, and a new Policy Hub: Macroblog post scrutinizes the range of expectations: atlfed.org/4xCg5yK.
On September 17, the GDPNow model nowcast of real #GDP growth in Q3 2026 is 5.1%: bit.ly/32EYojR.
Download our EconomyNow app or go to our website for the latest GDPNow nowcast: atlfed.org/46BOWkD.
Download our EconomyNow app or go to our website for the latest GDPNow nowcast: atlfed.org/46BOWkD.
September 17, 2026 at 1:45 PM
On September 17, the GDPNow model nowcast of real #GDP growth in Q3 2026 is 5.1%: bit.ly/32EYojR.
Download our EconomyNow app or go to our website for the latest GDPNow nowcast: atlfed.org/46BOWkD.
Download our EconomyNow app or go to our website for the latest GDPNow nowcast: atlfed.org/46BOWkD.
Sep 16: We’ve updated our Taylor Rule Utility data with the new fed funds target rate range midpoint used in the heatmap following the recent FOMC meeting: atlfed.org/4gZmvTG
September 16, 2026 at 8:14 PM
Sep 16: We’ve updated our Taylor Rule Utility data with the new fed funds target rate range midpoint used in the heatmap following the recent FOMC meeting: atlfed.org/4gZmvTG
Reposted by Atlanta Fed
WATCH LIVE TODAY: Press conference with #FOMC Chairman Warsh at 2:30 p.m. ET: www.federalreserve.gov
www.youtube.com/federalreserve
www.youtube.com/federalreserve
September 16, 2026 at 1:02 PM
WATCH LIVE TODAY: Press conference with #FOMC Chairman Warsh at 2:30 p.m. ET: www.federalreserve.gov
www.youtube.com/federalreserve
www.youtube.com/federalreserve
On Sept. 16, the GDPNow model nowcast of real #GDP growth in Q3 2026 is 5.1%:atlfed.org/3SN3w5t.
Download our EconomyNow app or go to our website for the latest GDPNow nowcast: atlfed.org/43UNhVO.
Download our EconomyNow app or go to our website for the latest GDPNow nowcast: atlfed.org/43UNhVO.
September 16, 2026 at 4:39 PM
On Sept. 16, the GDPNow model nowcast of real #GDP growth in Q3 2026 is 5.1%:atlfed.org/3SN3w5t.
Download our EconomyNow app or go to our website for the latest GDPNow nowcast: atlfed.org/43UNhVO.
Download our EconomyNow app or go to our website for the latest GDPNow nowcast: atlfed.org/43UNhVO.