Cannon "like boom" Cloud
@cannoncloud.bsky.social
Development econ PhD Student at Goethe Universität Frankfurt and WZB.
Doing research at the corner of development, transport and remote sensing.
https://cannoncloud.github.io/
You can find he/him knitting silly hats or riding funny bikes.
Doing research at the corner of development, transport and remote sensing.
https://cannoncloud.github.io/
You can find he/him knitting silly hats or riding funny bikes.
Pinned
I created a shiny web tool to play around with OL/TWFE so you can teach how this stuff can get so screwy. You can mess with temporal and cohort heterogeneity, treatment timing, whether you have any controls, etc. Share your worst plots! #econsky cannoncloud.shinyapps.io/TWFE_OLS_Pla...
Reposted by Cannon "like boom" Cloud
I got synthetic data
works for me I've got a synthetic treatment
August 7, 2026 at 8:57 AM
I got synthetic data
Reposted by Cannon "like boom" Cloud
One potential silver lining: net-zero needs ~3x more clean electricity, and the main barriers are permitting, transmission, interconnection, not tech. If AI's capital and urgency fund firm clean power and grids, it could help clean the grid. Behind-the-meter gas, and it won't.
August 5, 2026 at 4:47 PM
One potential silver lining: net-zero needs ~3x more clean electricity, and the main barriers are permitting, transmission, interconnection, not tech. If AI's capital and urgency fund firm clean power and grids, it could help clean the grid. Behind-the-meter gas, and it won't.
I have not followed the Arday affair closely, but it seems like their is more leeway to be a crank academic if your not Black.
August 6, 2026 at 8:38 AM
I have not followed the Arday affair closely, but it seems like their is more leeway to be a crank academic if your not Black.
Reposted by Cannon "like boom" Cloud
Your scientists were so preoccupied with whether they could, they didn't stop to think if they should
August 3, 2026 at 8:54 AM
Your scientists were so preoccupied with whether they could, they didn't stop to think if they should
Your scientists were so preoccupied with whether they could, they didn't stop to think if they should
August 3, 2026 at 8:54 AM
Your scientists were so preoccupied with whether they could, they didn't stop to think if they should
I found this odd. Some crazy doomerism, with some buzzwords i agreed with. Anyways, we could still try a carbon tax. www.theguardian.com/wellness/202...
Your worst fears about cultural collapse might be true – here’s what you can do about it
Writer Sarah Wilson argues we’re hurtling toward the same end as ancient Rome and the Mayan civilisation – but there’s plenty to fight for
www.theguardian.com
July 29, 2026 at 5:06 PM
I found this odd. Some crazy doomerism, with some buzzwords i agreed with. Anyways, we could still try a carbon tax. www.theguardian.com/wellness/202...
Like a cheez-it?
I seek, unrelentingly, for the crunchiest possible Cheddar.
People on Bluesky sigh and talk about The Discourse as if it were something required of them instead of something they opt to partake in, day in and day out. You really don't have to. Post about your favorite cheese
July 29, 2026 at 9:29 AM
Like a cheez-it?
Thinking of all the weirdos this morning who open a banana the wong way. How do you do it right, please no wrong answers.
A. From stem
B. From blossom
C. Smash on head
D. Eat peel and all, directly from middle. Your hunger for tryptophan and fiber is insatiable. Your colon churns.
A. From stem
B. From blossom
C. Smash on head
D. Eat peel and all, directly from middle. Your hunger for tryptophan and fiber is insatiable. Your colon churns.
July 14, 2026 at 5:38 AM
Thinking of all the weirdos this morning who open a banana the wong way. How do you do it right, please no wrong answers.
A. From stem
B. From blossom
C. Smash on head
D. Eat peel and all, directly from middle. Your hunger for tryptophan and fiber is insatiable. Your colon churns.
A. From stem
B. From blossom
C. Smash on head
D. Eat peel and all, directly from middle. Your hunger for tryptophan and fiber is insatiable. Your colon churns.
Reposted by Cannon "like boom" Cloud
1/ 🚨 New preprint 🚨
How can governments implement effective—but often unpopular—policies without triggering public backlash?
We investigated whether involving citizens in policymaking can reduce resistance to system-level policies. 🧵
Preprint: lnkd.in/dQGy47u4
How can governments implement effective—but often unpopular—policies without triggering public backlash?
We investigated whether involving citizens in policymaking can reduce resistance to system-level policies. 🧵
Preprint: lnkd.in/dQGy47u4
July 11, 2026 at 7:51 AM
1/ 🚨 New preprint 🚨
How can governments implement effective—but often unpopular—policies without triggering public backlash?
We investigated whether involving citizens in policymaking can reduce resistance to system-level policies. 🧵
Preprint: lnkd.in/dQGy47u4
How can governments implement effective—but often unpopular—policies without triggering public backlash?
We investigated whether involving citizens in policymaking can reduce resistance to system-level policies. 🧵
Preprint: lnkd.in/dQGy47u4
350,000 people. I can't imagine doing this to one person let alone 350,000.
BREAKING: The Supreme Court rules 6-3 in favor of the Trump admin on Temporary Protected Status, blocking the lawsuit on jurisdictional grounds, allowing DHS to strip over 350,000 people of legal status even though they utterly failed to follow the required legal procedures.
![MULLIN v. DOE
Syllabus
that the termination of Haiti’s TPS designation violated the constitutional right to equal protection because it was motivated by race. The
District Court granted interim relief, and a divided D. C. Circuit panel
declined to issue a stay. The Government sought a stay and a writ of
certiorari before judgment in both cases. This Court granted review,
consolidated the cases, and deferred ruling on the stay applications.
Held:
1. The TPS statute bars judicial review of non-constitutional claims.
Pp. 12–18.
(a) Section 1254a(b)(5)(A) provides that “[t]here is no judicial review
of any determination of the [Secretary of Homeland Security] with respect to the designation, or termination or extension of a designation,
of a foreign state.” The term “determination” may mean either an individual decision or the process leading to a decision. Under either
understanding, §1254a(b)(5)(A) bars all of respondents’ non-constitutional claims. Further, the phrase “with respect to” “generally has a
broadening effect, ensuring that the scope of a provision covers not
only its subject but also matters relating to that subject.” Patel v. Garland, 596 U. S. 328, 339 (internal quotation marks omitted). Pp. 12–
13.](https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:2vtbmhmrwzbqcfv4we4uxzzt/bafkreifragvqrfnsseonrcnsl6nx32n2tbgdi7a4ugnuyh2h4xggbga3si)
June 25, 2026 at 8:41 PM
350,000 people. I can't imagine doing this to one person let alone 350,000.
Fun buried synthesis of the Great Divergence opposing camps arguments, institutions unlocked geography.
Jevan Cherniwchan and I have a new working paper—one we’ve been working on for a long time—on how energy transitions shaped societies in the past, and what they may teach us about the present and future.
www.ifo.de/DocDL/cesifo...
www.ifo.de/DocDL/cesifo...
www.ifo.de
June 23, 2026 at 7:45 PM
Fun buried synthesis of the Great Divergence opposing camps arguments, institutions unlocked geography.
Reposted by Cannon "like boom" Cloud
Jevan Cherniwchan and I have a new working paper—one we’ve been working on for a long time—on how energy transitions shaped societies in the past, and what they may teach us about the present and future.
www.ifo.de/DocDL/cesifo...
www.ifo.de/DocDL/cesifo...
www.ifo.de
June 23, 2026 at 3:04 PM
Jevan Cherniwchan and I have a new working paper—one we’ve been working on for a long time—on how energy transitions shaped societies in the past, and what they may teach us about the present and future.
www.ifo.de/DocDL/cesifo...
www.ifo.de/DocDL/cesifo...
@mclem.org Musk is clearly evil, but promoting this study with questionable methods might do science public relations a disservice in the long run. But also maybe not if no one bothers to think about any of it all that hard.
Khanna did not ‘say’ that Musk unleashed mass death. Serious research has documented it. —>
www.thelancet.com/journals/lan...
www.thelancet.com/journals/lan...
June 23, 2026 at 1:20 PM
@mclem.org Musk is clearly evil, but promoting this study with questionable methods might do science public relations a disservice in the long run. But also maybe not if no one bothers to think about any of it all that hard.
June 16, 2026 at 12:28 PM
Reposted by Cannon "like boom" Cloud
The impact of the USAID shutdown on Africa, as seen from space and on the ground.
M. Nicolini and I study the effects of the aid cuts by linking GODAD data on USAID projects to satellite-based measures of economic activity and IPC food insecurity indicators.
👉 papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
1/11
M. Nicolini and I study the effects of the aid cuts by linking GODAD data on USAID projects to satellite-based measures of economic activity and IPC food insecurity indicators.
👉 papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
1/11
June 3, 2026 at 9:42 AM
The impact of the USAID shutdown on Africa, as seen from space and on the ground.
M. Nicolini and I study the effects of the aid cuts by linking GODAD data on USAID projects to satellite-based measures of economic activity and IPC food insecurity indicators.
👉 papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
1/11
M. Nicolini and I study the effects of the aid cuts by linking GODAD data on USAID projects to satellite-based measures of economic activity and IPC food insecurity indicators.
👉 papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
1/11
Reposted by Cannon "like boom" Cloud
Remember that recent paper claiming to show that "ideological bias" determined the results obtained by immigration policy research teams?
A careful, open-code reanalysis by @kauspurg.bsky.social & Josef Brüderl finds that the result arises from a coding error. —> doi.org/10.31222/osf...
A careful, open-code reanalysis by @kauspurg.bsky.social & Josef Brüderl finds that the result arises from a coding error. —> doi.org/10.31222/osf...
June 1, 2026 at 7:22 PM
Remember that recent paper claiming to show that "ideological bias" determined the results obtained by immigration policy research teams?
A careful, open-code reanalysis by @kauspurg.bsky.social & Josef Brüderl finds that the result arises from a coding error. —> doi.org/10.31222/osf...
A careful, open-code reanalysis by @kauspurg.bsky.social & Josef Brüderl finds that the result arises from a coding error. —> doi.org/10.31222/osf...
Reposted by Cannon "like boom" Cloud
Hi All. Perhaps something useful from me. I'd like to announce that drlate, a Stata module for doubly robust estimation of the local average treatment effect (LATE) and the local average treatment effect on the treated (LATT), is now available in SSC.
Doubly Robust Estimation of Local Average Treatment Effects Using Inverse Probability Weighted Regression Adjustment
We revisit the problem of estimating the local average treatment effect (LATE) and the local average treatment effect on the treated (LATT) when control variables are available, either to render the i...
arxiv.org
June 1, 2026 at 4:00 PM
Hi All. Perhaps something useful from me. I'd like to announce that drlate, a Stata module for doubly robust estimation of the local average treatment effect (LATE) and the local average treatment effect on the treated (LATT), is now available in SSC.
Reposted by Cannon "like boom" Cloud
📢 Open positions!
I’m recruiting 2 postdocs + 3 PhD positions at C³S, @goetheuni.bsky.social in #ClimateJustice, environmental inequality, #Demography & #ComputationalSocialScience 🌍📊💻
3–4 years + strong support for training🎒
Deadline: 23 June 2026
More: www.uni-frankfurt.de/48794987/Zen...
I’m recruiting 2 postdocs + 3 PhD positions at C³S, @goetheuni.bsky.social in #ClimateJustice, environmental inequality, #Demography & #ComputationalSocialScience 🌍📊💻
3–4 years + strong support for training🎒
Deadline: 23 June 2026
More: www.uni-frankfurt.de/48794987/Zen...
May 28, 2026 at 11:46 AM
📢 Open positions!
I’m recruiting 2 postdocs + 3 PhD positions at C³S, @goetheuni.bsky.social in #ClimateJustice, environmental inequality, #Demography & #ComputationalSocialScience 🌍📊💻
3–4 years + strong support for training🎒
Deadline: 23 June 2026
More: www.uni-frankfurt.de/48794987/Zen...
I’m recruiting 2 postdocs + 3 PhD positions at C³S, @goetheuni.bsky.social in #ClimateJustice, environmental inequality, #Demography & #ComputationalSocialScience 🌍📊💻
3–4 years + strong support for training🎒
Deadline: 23 June 2026
More: www.uni-frankfurt.de/48794987/Zen...
Introduce yourself with 10 artists you’ve seen live
Alex G
Dinosaur Jr
Thundercat
Kamasi Washington
Frankie Cosmos
Destroyer
Wavves
Twin Shadow
Fleet Foxes
Sharon Jones
Alex G
Dinosaur Jr
Thundercat
Kamasi Washington
Frankie Cosmos
Destroyer
Wavves
Twin Shadow
Fleet Foxes
Sharon Jones
May 25, 2026 at 6:11 AM
Introduce yourself with 10 artists you’ve seen live
Alex G
Dinosaur Jr
Thundercat
Kamasi Washington
Frankie Cosmos
Destroyer
Wavves
Twin Shadow
Fleet Foxes
Sharon Jones
Alex G
Dinosaur Jr
Thundercat
Kamasi Washington
Frankie Cosmos
Destroyer
Wavves
Twin Shadow
Fleet Foxes
Sharon Jones
Reposted by Cannon "like boom" Cloud
This paper is now out in the Journal of Causal Inference with some updates but the same general message: LLMs were not particularly good at matching expert judgment on whether a given variable pair represented a causal relationship.
www.degruyterbrill.com/document/doi...
www.degruyterbrill.com/document/doi...
May 21, 2026 at 7:46 PM
This paper is now out in the Journal of Causal Inference with some updates but the same general message: LLMs were not particularly good at matching expert judgment on whether a given variable pair represented a causal relationship.
www.degruyterbrill.com/document/doi...
www.degruyterbrill.com/document/doi...
Reposted by Cannon "like boom" Cloud
Measuring poverty used to mean flying data collectors to remote villages every decade. A satellite AI model just mapped every 6-km area of Africa for 36 GPU-hours total, which is roughly the cost of a tank of gas.
Cool paper by @marshallburke.bsky.social, et al.: arxiv.org/abs/2604.23166
Cool paper by @marshallburke.bsky.social, et al.: arxiv.org/abs/2604.23166
May 21, 2026 at 7:15 PM
Measuring poverty used to mean flying data collectors to remote villages every decade. A satellite AI model just mapped every 6-km area of Africa for 36 GPU-hours total, which is roughly the cost of a tank of gas.
Cool paper by @marshallburke.bsky.social, et al.: arxiv.org/abs/2604.23166
Cool paper by @marshallburke.bsky.social, et al.: arxiv.org/abs/2604.23166
Reposted by Cannon "like boom" Cloud
The ongoing gerrymandering race in the U.S. has just claimed the Tennessee district of Congressman Steve Cohen @repcohen.bsky.social, ranking member of the U.S. Helsinki Commission, OSCE Parliamentary Assembly Special Representative on Political Prisoners, and...
👇
👇
May 8, 2026 at 6:26 PM
The ongoing gerrymandering race in the U.S. has just claimed the Tennessee district of Congressman Steve Cohen @repcohen.bsky.social, ranking member of the U.S. Helsinki Commission, OSCE Parliamentary Assembly Special Representative on Political Prisoners, and...
👇
👇
Come for some nice analysis, stay for the ad hominem attack attacks "They are enriching a small group of incredibly annoying people who ... are promising to subjugate the rest of us in unemployment work camps." and "the rationalist weirdos in charge at Anthropic" 😍
Are large language models mathematically rational? I swear I’m not dodging the question in this post, but it depends on your perspective.
The Rationality of the Language Machines
Are LLMs mathematically rational?
www.argmin.net
May 8, 2026 at 12:14 PM
Come for some nice analysis, stay for the ad hominem attack attacks "They are enriching a small group of incredibly annoying people who ... are promising to subjugate the rest of us in unemployment work camps." and "the rationalist weirdos in charge at Anthropic" 😍
Reposted by Cannon "like boom" Cloud
White liberals' response to George Floyd's murder was largely to increase symbolic support.
White liberals' exhibited little change in substantive/material policy commitments.
White liberals' exhibited little change in substantive/material policy commitments.
May 5, 2026 at 9:14 PM
White liberals' response to George Floyd's murder was largely to increase symbolic support.
White liberals' exhibited little change in substantive/material policy commitments.
White liberals' exhibited little change in substantive/material policy commitments.