ClimateDynamics
@climatedynamics.bsky.social
Same old climatedynamics from Twitter.
Reposted by ClimateDynamics
As I warned you: the superstar media darling AI quitter is explicitly agreeing with Trump and claiming climate threats are "overplayed".
Effective altruism / rationalism is a cult of broken priorities that denies the threat of fossil fuels. This is why Anthropic loves burning gas for power.
Effective altruism / rationalism is a cult of broken priorities that denies the threat of fossil fuels. This is why Anthropic loves burning gas for power.
September 17, 2026 at 9:56 AM
As I warned you: the superstar media darling AI quitter is explicitly agreeing with Trump and claiming climate threats are "overplayed".
Effective altruism / rationalism is a cult of broken priorities that denies the threat of fossil fuels. This is why Anthropic loves burning gas for power.
Effective altruism / rationalism is a cult of broken priorities that denies the threat of fossil fuels. This is why Anthropic loves burning gas for power.
Reposted by ClimateDynamics
New insight on what caused horrific floods we witnessed in Nepal. 5000 still missing and over 1300 fatalities. I explain below.
www.forbes.com/sites/marsha...
www.forbes.com/sites/marsha...
September 18, 2026 at 12:43 PM
New insight on what caused horrific floods we witnessed in Nepal. 5000 still missing and over 1300 fatalities. I explain below.
www.forbes.com/sites/marsha...
www.forbes.com/sites/marsha...
Heatwave triggers potato shortage in Europe. www.ft.com/content/8eda...
Heatwave triggers potato shortage in Europe
Extreme weather wiped out about 3.1mn tonnes of spuds, worth up to €620mn
www.ft.com
September 18, 2026 at 12:51 PM
Heatwave triggers potato shortage in Europe. www.ft.com/content/8eda...
Reposted by ClimateDynamics
We estimate heat-stress labor impacts at $41 per ton (90% CI $1-$108). This places it second behind mortality in our set of SCC damages.
Our estimate is also *remarkably* similar to "labor disutility" costs by Rode et al., using a completely different approach.
papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
Our estimate is also *remarkably* similar to "labor disutility" costs by Rode et al., using a completely different approach.
papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
September 16, 2026 at 7:11 PM
We estimate heat-stress labor impacts at $41 per ton (90% CI $1-$108). This places it second behind mortality in our set of SCC damages.
Our estimate is also *remarkably* similar to "labor disutility" costs by Rode et al., using a completely different approach.
papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
Our estimate is also *remarkably* similar to "labor disutility" costs by Rode et al., using a completely different approach.
papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
Reposted by ClimateDynamics
Damages go into the GIVE IAM, which was previously missing labor costs, thanks to @lisarennels.bsky.social.
We split out ag damages, allowing the ag sector to decline as economies grow. Uncertainty in climate models and impact functions are also propagated through.
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
We split out ag damages, allowing the ag sector to decline as economies grow. Uncertainty in climate models and impact functions are also propagated through.
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
Comprehensive evidence implies a higher social cost of CO2 - Nature
Coupling advances in socioeconomic projections, climate models, damage functions and discounting methods yields an estimate of the social cost of carbon of US$185 per tonne of CO2—triple the wide...
www.nature.com
September 16, 2026 at 7:11 PM
Damages go into the GIVE IAM, which was previously missing labor costs, thanks to @lisarennels.bsky.social.
We split out ag damages, allowing the ag sector to decline as economies grow. Uncertainty in climate models and impact functions are also propagated through.
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
We split out ag damages, allowing the ag sector to decline as economies grow. Uncertainty in climate models and impact functions are also propagated through.
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
Reposted by ClimateDynamics
Introducing labor shocks into the GTAP computable general equilibrium model produces economic damage functions allowing for equilibrium adjustments in production, consumption and trade.
Hot and humid regions heavily reliant on agriculture are most severely affected.
Hot and humid regions heavily reliant on agriculture are most severely affected.
September 16, 2026 at 7:11 PM
Introducing labor shocks into the GTAP computable general equilibrium model produces economic damage functions allowing for equilibrium adjustments in production, consumption and trade.
Hot and humid regions heavily reliant on agriculture are most severely affected.
Hot and humid regions heavily reliant on agriculture are most severely affected.
Reposted by ClimateDynamics
Many regions already experience substantial heat stress during parts of the year. Climate change increases the duration and intensity of these dangerously hot periods.
The intra-annual manufacturing labor shocks for select regions and multiple warming levels are shown here.
The intra-annual manufacturing labor shocks for select regions and multiple warming levels are shown here.
September 16, 2026 at 7:11 PM
Many regions already experience substantial heat stress during parts of the year. Climate change increases the duration and intensity of these dangerously hot periods.
The intra-annual manufacturing labor shocks for select regions and multiple warming levels are shown here.
The intra-annual manufacturing labor shocks for select regions and multiple warming levels are shown here.
Reposted by ClimateDynamics
Working conditions matter for heat stress. We characterize job-specific productivity losses for 4 labor types in 7 sectors in 160 regions based on AC penetration, outdoor exposure, and strenuousness.
Construction and ag are particularly exposed because they typically involve heavy outdoor labor
Construction and ag are particularly exposed because they typically involve heavy outdoor labor
September 16, 2026 at 7:11 PM
Working conditions matter for heat stress. We characterize job-specific productivity losses for 4 labor types in 7 sectors in 160 regions based on AC penetration, outdoor exposure, and strenuousness.
Construction and ag are particularly exposed because they typically involve heavy outdoor labor
Construction and ag are particularly exposed because they typically involve heavy outdoor labor
Reposted by ClimateDynamics
This builds on amazing prior work by co-authors @climatedynamics.bsky.social and Qin Kong to develop bias-corrected projections of WBGT at high spatial and temporal resolution, important for capturing short, local excursions beyond dangerous thresholds.
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
A global high-resolution and bias-corrected dataset of CMIP6 projected heat stress metrics - Scientific Data
Scientific Data - A global high-resolution and bias-corrected dataset of CMIP6 projected heat stress metrics
www.nature.com
September 16, 2026 at 7:11 PM
This builds on amazing prior work by co-authors @climatedynamics.bsky.social and Qin Kong to develop bias-corrected projections of WBGT at high spatial and temporal resolution, important for capturing short, local excursions beyond dangerous thresholds.
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
Reposted by ClimateDynamics
Biggest contribution is developing a brand new damage module on the labor productivity impacts of growing heat stress. We use wet bulb globe temperature to account for both heat and humidity changes and 2 impact functions (ISO and Lancet) to capture highly non-linear labor productivity effects
September 16, 2026 at 7:11 PM
Biggest contribution is developing a brand new damage module on the labor productivity impacts of growing heat stress. We use wet bulb globe temperature to account for both heat and humidity changes and 2 impact functions (ISO and Lancet) to capture highly non-linear labor productivity effects
Reposted by ClimateDynamics
New paper in Nature Climate Change today makes big improvements to 2 social cost of carbon damage sectors - labor productivity and agriculture
Overall we find slightly lower mean SCC and much narrower uncertainty, mainly due to improved confidence around ag damages
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
Overall we find slightly lower mean SCC and much narrower uncertainty, mainly due to improved confidence around ag damages
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
New labour and agricultural damages improve climate cost estimates - Nature Climate Change
Heat stress reduces labour productivity, but economy-wide assessments are mostly missing. Using high-resolution projections and global economic modelling, the authors provide new cost estimates, and u...
www.nature.com
September 16, 2026 at 7:11 PM
New paper in Nature Climate Change today makes big improvements to 2 social cost of carbon damage sectors - labor productivity and agriculture
Overall we find slightly lower mean SCC and much narrower uncertainty, mainly due to improved confidence around ag damages
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
Overall we find slightly lower mean SCC and much narrower uncertainty, mainly due to improved confidence around ag damages
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
"Parties aren't meant to last."
September 17, 2026 at 4:32 PM
"Parties aren't meant to last."
Reposted by ClimateDynamics
Lots of stories across Pennsylvania about NIH grant terminations at Pitt and Penn.
This is why speaking out matters. Even Congress critters who generally support the administration get pressured into actually supporting their constituents.
www.wesanews.org/health-scien...
This is why speaking out matters. Even Congress critters who generally support the administration get pressured into actually supporting their constituents.
www.wesanews.org/health-scien...
McCormick, Fetterman question termination of more than 100 health research grants
Pennsylvania’s senators are demanding information about more than 150 health research grants canceled by the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services this summer.
www.wesanews.org
September 15, 2026 at 11:15 AM
Lots of stories across Pennsylvania about NIH grant terminations at Pitt and Penn.
This is why speaking out matters. Even Congress critters who generally support the administration get pressured into actually supporting their constituents.
www.wesanews.org/health-scien...
This is why speaking out matters. Even Congress critters who generally support the administration get pressured into actually supporting their constituents.
www.wesanews.org/health-scien...
Reposted by ClimateDynamics
As #Florida grows hotter, outdoor workers face growing health risks. www.wlrn.org/health/2026-... via @wlrn.org
As Florida gets hotter, outdoor workers face growing risks
José Delgado worked in agriculture, harvesting everything from tomatoes and squash to beans and sweet potatoes. Over time, working in Florida's heat took its toll.
www.wlrn.org
September 15, 2026 at 5:48 PM
As #Florida grows hotter, outdoor workers face growing health risks. www.wlrn.org/health/2026-... via @wlrn.org
Reposted by ClimateDynamics
Heat stroke causes severe impaired judgment & confusion, which is why it's important for parents, teachers, coaches, outdoor crew supervisors, drill sergeants, & others to be vigilant in watching for signs of heat stroke in people they supervise. It's hard to recognize heat stroke in yourself.
We Taught a Generation to Stop, Drop, and Roll. We Never Did the Same for Heat.
Extreme weather is reshaping the school day. Our schools need to change with it.
billfrist.substack.com
September 15, 2026 at 5:59 PM
Heat stroke causes severe impaired judgment & confusion, which is why it's important for parents, teachers, coaches, outdoor crew supervisors, drill sergeants, & others to be vigilant in watching for signs of heat stroke in people they supervise. It's hard to recognize heat stroke in yourself.
Reposted by ClimateDynamics
NCCR Genesis – Exploring the Emergence of Life in the Universe
nccr-genesis.ch
September 12, 2026 at 8:48 AM
Donald Trump’s US coal revival push fails to reverse fuel’s long decline www.ft.com/content/8a0b...
Donald Trump’s US coal revival push fails to reverse fuel’s long decline
Coal-fired electricity generation falls 11% in first half of 2026 as cheaper power sources such as natural gas grow
www.ft.com
September 10, 2026 at 12:10 PM
Donald Trump’s US coal revival push fails to reverse fuel’s long decline www.ft.com/content/8a0b...
When your branding doesn't age well.
September 9, 2026 at 5:04 PM
When your branding doesn't age well.
Reposted by ClimateDynamics
Very readable account of the Navier-Stokes equations, the Millennium Prize and the AI spat that's making the maths headlines.
www.quantamagazine.org/ai-has-solve...
www.quantamagazine.org/ai-has-solve...
AI Has Solved One of Math’s $1 Million Millennium Prize Problems | Quanta Magazine
Mathematicians at OpenAI showed that the Navier-Stokes equations, which describe how fluids flow, can sometimes “blow up.” But the massive result is not without controversy.
www.quantamagazine.org
September 9, 2026 at 12:00 PM
Very readable account of the Navier-Stokes equations, the Millennium Prize and the AI spat that's making the maths headlines.
www.quantamagazine.org/ai-has-solve...
www.quantamagazine.org/ai-has-solve...
Carbon Capture Won’t Save Us Anytime Soon - The New Republic apple.news/AEJ9HA1FIQB-...
Carbon Capture Won’t Save Us Anytime Soon — The New Republic
A new U.N. climate report says that massive amounts of carbon capture and storage can keep a long-shot climate goal within reach. But nobody should be counting on it.
apple.news
September 9, 2026 at 12:46 PM
Carbon Capture Won’t Save Us Anytime Soon - The New Republic apple.news/AEJ9HA1FIQB-...
nice study in new zealand. we need more of these (I'm not agreeing or disagreeing with the conclusions, the point is that this kind of careful work is necessary) rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/share/RPCQFZ...
ERA5 Can Overstate Changes in the Frequency of Extreme Heat: A New Zealand Case Study
Reader environment loaded
rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com
September 7, 2026 at 7:31 PM
nice study in new zealand. we need more of these (I'm not agreeing or disagreeing with the conclusions, the point is that this kind of careful work is necessary) rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/share/RPCQFZ...
Reposted by ClimateDynamics
An excellent opportunity.
We're hiring - part 2! We currently have two tenure track positions open, one for high energy astrophysics and one for exoplanet science. Here's the info for the exoplanet position. Closing date is October 16. 🔭
werkenbij.uva.nl/en/vacancies...
werkenbij.uva.nl/en/vacancies...
Vacancy — Tenure-track Faculty Position in Observational Exoplanet Science
Do you work in the field of exoplanet science? Are you interested in contributing to a diverse and collaborative research and teaching community?
werkenbij.uva.nl
September 7, 2026 at 12:43 PM
An excellent opportunity.
Reposted by ClimateDynamics
Was on @deutschewelle.dw.com last night to talk about El Niño, climate change, conflict, and food security. Watch here 👇
How El Nino and two wars are driving the next food price crisis | DW News
YouTube video by DW News
www.youtube.com
September 5, 2026 at 6:34 PM
Was on @deutschewelle.dw.com last night to talk about El Niño, climate change, conflict, and food security. Watch here 👇
Reposted by ClimateDynamics
This week I am at the FuPa/ACDC summer school on warm climates of the past and their implications for future climate. My introductory lecture on CO2 and climate was Monday. There is a cartoonist, Guy le Besnerais, here who is doing sketches of the presentations. indico.ijclab.in2p3.fr/event/12837/
FuPa: Past warm greenhouse climates of the Cenozoic: implication for the future.
Program available : https://docs.google.com/document/d/1BWPW5ZnSFVFnoQURvo6uPKji3Kj1oOc7YEYfHfvvLc0/edit?tab=t.0#heading=h.q55ewrmrn0w Description of the program IPCC AR6 scenarios project atmospheric...
indico.ijclab.in2p3.fr
September 2, 2026 at 12:02 PM
This week I am at the FuPa/ACDC summer school on warm climates of the past and their implications for future climate. My introductory lecture on CO2 and climate was Monday. There is a cartoonist, Guy le Besnerais, here who is doing sketches of the presentations. indico.ijclab.in2p3.fr/event/12837/
Rising bond yields add tens of billions to G7 countries’ debt costs. Bad decisions making us poorer every day. www.ft.com/content/bbe9...
Rising bond yields add tens of billions to G7 countries’ debt costs
World’s biggest developed economies face higher financing costs since start of US-Iran war, weighing on public finances
www.ft.com
August 30, 2026 at 3:35 PM
Rising bond yields add tens of billions to G7 countries’ debt costs. Bad decisions making us poorer every day. www.ft.com/content/bbe9...