Ryan MacMullen
@dogpatchryan.bsky.social
Reposted by Ryan MacMullen
In my view, when you narrow to those three choices, a combination of the inevitable balance of obligations combined with the greater consequentiality of rule taking means you end up at rejoin.
And I think (to my surprise) that’s where he is.
And I think (to my surprise) that’s where he is.
September 30, 2026 at 11:32 AM
In my view, when you narrow to those three choices, a combination of the inevitable balance of obligations combined with the greater consequentiality of rule taking means you end up at rejoin.
And I think (to my surprise) that’s where he is.
And I think (to my surprise) that’s where he is.
Reposted by Ryan MacMullen
In this week’s voting intention, Labour's lead widens as Reform fall to their lowest in over 18 months.
🌹 LAB 27% (+1)
🌳 CON 22% (-1)
⏩ REF 21% (-1)
🔶 LIB DEM 11% (-)
🟢 GREEN 9% (+1)
⚫ RES: 6% (-)
🟡 SNP 3% (+1)
⚪️ OTH 1% (-)
N = 2,041 | Fieldwork 25-29/9 | Changes w 18/09
🌹 LAB 27% (+1)
🌳 CON 22% (-1)
⏩ REF 21% (-1)
🔶 LIB DEM 11% (-)
🟢 GREEN 9% (+1)
⚫ RES: 6% (-)
🟡 SNP 3% (+1)
⚪️ OTH 1% (-)
N = 2,041 | Fieldwork 25-29/9 | Changes w 18/09
September 30, 2026 at 9:09 AM
In this week’s voting intention, Labour's lead widens as Reform fall to their lowest in over 18 months.
🌹 LAB 27% (+1)
🌳 CON 22% (-1)
⏩ REF 21% (-1)
🔶 LIB DEM 11% (-)
🟢 GREEN 9% (+1)
⚫ RES: 6% (-)
🟡 SNP 3% (+1)
⚪️ OTH 1% (-)
N = 2,041 | Fieldwork 25-29/9 | Changes w 18/09
🌹 LAB 27% (+1)
🌳 CON 22% (-1)
⏩ REF 21% (-1)
🔶 LIB DEM 11% (-)
🟢 GREEN 9% (+1)
⚫ RES: 6% (-)
🟡 SNP 3% (+1)
⚪️ OTH 1% (-)
N = 2,041 | Fieldwork 25-29/9 | Changes w 18/09
Reposted by Ryan MacMullen
Westminster Voting Intention:
LAB: 29% (+2)
RFM: 23% (-1)
CON: 19% (-2)
LDM: 9% (-2)
GRN: 9% (+2)
SNP: 3% (=)
RES: 2% (=)
Via @survation.bsky.social, 29 Sep.
Changes w/ 22-23 Sep.
LAB: 29% (+2)
RFM: 23% (-1)
CON: 19% (-2)
LDM: 9% (-2)
GRN: 9% (+2)
SNP: 3% (=)
RES: 2% (=)
Via @survation.bsky.social, 29 Sep.
Changes w/ 22-23 Sep.
September 30, 2026 at 8:33 AM
Westminster Voting Intention:
LAB: 29% (+2)
RFM: 23% (-1)
CON: 19% (-2)
LDM: 9% (-2)
GRN: 9% (+2)
SNP: 3% (=)
RES: 2% (=)
Via @survation.bsky.social, 29 Sep.
Changes w/ 22-23 Sep.
LAB: 29% (+2)
RFM: 23% (-1)
CON: 19% (-2)
LDM: 9% (-2)
GRN: 9% (+2)
SNP: 3% (=)
RES: 2% (=)
Via @survation.bsky.social, 29 Sep.
Changes w/ 22-23 Sep.
It does strike me for all the ink spilt wondering what Burnham might do, he’s actually pretty closely following what his and Steve Rotherham’s book said should be done.
September 29, 2026 at 10:26 PM
It does strike me for all the ink spilt wondering what Burnham might do, he’s actually pretty closely following what his and Steve Rotherham’s book said should be done.
Reposted by Ryan MacMullen
This is coming much faster than conventional wisdom indicates.
A new mega poll by YouGov reveals that an overwhelming majority of constituencies want to rejoin the EU. Only 4 constituencies were not sure.
It’s time to put EU membership on the table.
https://bestforbritain.org/uk-membership-most-popular-eu-policy-in-all-uk-seats-bar-four-megapoll-finds/
It’s time to put EU membership on the table.
https://bestforbritain.org/uk-membership-most-popular-eu-policy-in-all-uk-seats-bar-four-megapoll-finds/
September 19, 2026 at 10:07 PM
This is coming much faster than conventional wisdom indicates.
I might be wildly wrong, but I do wonder whether this came out of nowhere or if there has been some kind of leader to leader conversation.
Not the best video/sound quality but here is Badenoch on GMB talking about the single market being 'a great thing'...
September 29, 2026 at 3:03 PM
I might be wildly wrong, but I do wonder whether this came out of nowhere or if there has been some kind of leader to leader conversation.
Reposted by Ryan MacMullen
As I wrote in September 2024, there's probably only two realistic UK-EU models, the one we have possibly strengthened in a Swiss way if we accept free movement of workers, or membership. But how to work that into a political narrative? Tricky. ecipe.org/publications...
September 29, 2026 at 2:52 PM
As I wrote in September 2024, there's probably only two realistic UK-EU models, the one we have possibly strengthened in a Swiss way if we accept free movement of workers, or membership. But how to work that into a political narrative? Tricky. ecipe.org/publications...
Red lines, gone.
September 29, 2026 at 2:08 PM
Red lines, gone.
Difficult to imagine something like this 6 months ago.
Burnham edges Labour closer to rejoining EU
Exclusive: After Ed Miliband told the Labour conference in Liverpool that Britain’s future is at the heart of Europe, ministers say it is ‘not if but how’ the prime minister puts rejoin in the next el...
www.independent.co.uk
September 28, 2026 at 4:17 PM
Difficult to imagine something like this 6 months ago.
My boy is ready to lead.
September 28, 2026 at 11:23 AM
My boy is ready to lead.
Reposted by Ryan MacMullen
i really do think the inability of the UK elite to leave X, both political and journalist, can clearly be seen dragging the common sense of the UK well to the radical right
like i don't think Rosie would be posting about how bi men facing issues coming out during 2019-2020
like i don't think Rosie would be posting about how bi men facing issues coming out during 2019-2020
September 26, 2026 at 3:54 PM
i really do think the inability of the UK elite to leave X, both political and journalist, can clearly be seen dragging the common sense of the UK well to the radical right
like i don't think Rosie would be posting about how bi men facing issues coming out during 2019-2020
like i don't think Rosie would be posting about how bi men facing issues coming out during 2019-2020
While the Tories bang on about benefits…
Cranbrook, Sissinghurst & Frittenden (Tunbridge Wells) Council By-Election Result:
🔶 LDM: 37.3% (+22.9)
🌳 CON: 31.6% (-14.6)
➡️ RFM: 21.0% (-4.4)
🌍 GRN: 10.1% (-3.9)
Liberal Democrat GAIN from Localist.
Changes w/ 2026.
🔶 LDM: 37.3% (+22.9)
🌳 CON: 31.6% (-14.6)
➡️ RFM: 21.0% (-4.4)
🌍 GRN: 10.1% (-3.9)
Liberal Democrat GAIN from Localist.
Changes w/ 2026.
September 24, 2026 at 9:54 PM
While the Tories bang on about benefits…
Reposted by Ryan MacMullen
Why Burnham should call an election on Europe – @benjudah.bsky.social writes on how the PM can unite the left, blindside the right and boost growth. www.arguably.uk/p/burnham-sh...
Burnham should call a Europe election
The PM needs a political and economic escape route
www.arguably.uk
September 23, 2026 at 9:21 AM
Why Burnham should call an election on Europe – @benjudah.bsky.social writes on how the PM can unite the left, blindside the right and boost growth. www.arguably.uk/p/burnham-sh...
Reposted by Ryan MacMullen
We learned the hard way in 2005 that extremism needs to be challenged within the identity community from which it comes. Back then the phrase “legitimate concerns” tended to refer to Iraq or the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.
Social services should be involved in the case of this groomed child.
September 23, 2026 at 6:54 AM
We learned the hard way in 2005 that extremism needs to be challenged within the identity community from which it comes. Back then the phrase “legitimate concerns” tended to refer to Iraq or the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.
Reposted by Ryan MacMullen
Just as well those committing wrongs against the RNLI are not holding placards supporting a proscribed organisation, else they would really be in trouble.
September 22, 2026 at 10:13 PM
Just as well those committing wrongs against the RNLI are not holding placards supporting a proscribed organisation, else they would really be in trouble.
What is the point in decorating the kitchen if you are going to have an extension in 18 months?
This is what we need. A commitment to start accession talks with the EU in the next manifesto of as many parties as possible.
Andy Burnham fails to rule out Brexit reversal being in next Labour manifesto
PM skirts question and says his focus is on rebuilding bridges before first meeting with Ursula von der Leyen
www.theguardian.com
September 22, 2026 at 10:30 AM
What is the point in decorating the kitchen if you are going to have an extension in 18 months?
Reminded with increasing regularity how fleeting this all is. The only things that truly matter in the end are our family and friends.
September 21, 2026 at 5:52 PM
Reminded with increasing regularity how fleeting this all is. The only things that truly matter in the end are our family and friends.
Clausewitz.
🇺🇸🇺🇦 JD Vance on Ukraine:
Do I think the Ukraine war is going to get solved eventually? Yes. It’s just a question of time.
Do I think the Ukraine war is going to get solved eventually? Yes. It’s just a question of time.
September 21, 2026 at 3:56 PM
Clausewitz.
How do Foreign Policy Analysis lecturers plan on teaching this? I can’t imagine how that seminar would go.
September 21, 2026 at 3:24 PM
How do Foreign Policy Analysis lecturers plan on teaching this? I can’t imagine how that seminar would go.
A very good point.
If you knew he was abhorant and dangerous but were perfectly happy to let Farage drum up the vote for Brexit because you thought it was the surest route to UK-EFTA or whatever dumb shit you convinced yourself would magically happen, I'm just not that interested in hearing from you in public life.
September 21, 2026 at 8:24 AM
A very good point.
Reposted by Ryan MacMullen
The only 4 constituencies where rejoining the EU wasn’t the preferred option were those of Lee Anderson, Farage, Tice and Lowe. In those 4, the top answer was ‘don’t know’.
Confirming that Brexit has no real support at all. Not surprising for a total shitshow. And makes red lines seem very silly.
Confirming that Brexit has no real support at all. Not surprising for a total shitshow. And makes red lines seem very silly.
September 20, 2026 at 8:21 AM
The only 4 constituencies where rejoining the EU wasn’t the preferred option were those of Lee Anderson, Farage, Tice and Lowe. In those 4, the top answer was ‘don’t know’.
Confirming that Brexit has no real support at all. Not surprising for a total shitshow. And makes red lines seem very silly.
Confirming that Brexit has no real support at all. Not surprising for a total shitshow. And makes red lines seem very silly.
I don’t think Nigel Farage will ever be PM.
Party image as party conferences continue (Ipsos)
Fit to govern
Labour 37%
Conservatives 25%
Reform 20%
LibDems 20%
Greens 17%
Understands the problems facing Britain
Labour 38%
Reform 34%
Cons 30%
LibDems 30%
Greens 27%
Extreme
Reform 58%
Green 39%
Conservatives 25%
Labour 23%
LibDems 12%
Fit to govern
Labour 37%
Conservatives 25%
Reform 20%
LibDems 20%
Greens 17%
Understands the problems facing Britain
Labour 38%
Reform 34%
Cons 30%
LibDems 30%
Greens 27%
Extreme
Reform 58%
Green 39%
Conservatives 25%
Labour 23%
LibDems 12%
September 20, 2026 at 6:22 PM
I don’t think Nigel Farage will ever be PM.
This is coming much faster than conventional wisdom indicates.
A new mega poll by YouGov reveals that an overwhelming majority of constituencies want to rejoin the EU. Only 4 constituencies were not sure.
It’s time to put EU membership on the table.
https://bestforbritain.org/uk-membership-most-popular-eu-policy-in-all-uk-seats-bar-four-megapoll-finds/
It’s time to put EU membership on the table.
https://bestforbritain.org/uk-membership-most-popular-eu-policy-in-all-uk-seats-bar-four-megapoll-finds/
September 19, 2026 at 10:07 PM
This is coming much faster than conventional wisdom indicates.
What will the CEO’s tell him might make doing business in a European country easier?
Burnham promises a ‘culture shift’ in how Britain does business ft.trib.al/eLfvy7b
Burnham promises a ‘culture shift’ in how Britain does business
Prime minister to tell business leaders and entrepreneurs that his government will be a ‘partner for growth’
ft.trib.al
September 13, 2026 at 10:28 PM
What will the CEO’s tell him might make doing business in a European country easier?