Eli
elium2.com
Eli
@elium2.com
Leftist political analyst focusing on Georgia & RI. Notorious optimist. | cishet, autistic, 28

📍Sandy Springs, GA

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Eli @elium2.com · Sep 10
Yesterday, State Rep. David Morales won the Democratic primary for Mayor of Providence, Rhode Island, defeating first-term incumbent Brett Smiley. Morales identifies as a democratic socialist and has promised to implement rent stabilization and the results of an upcoming divestment referendum.
Georgia State Senate Preview, 2026: Democrats have edge in two GOP-held seats, close miss likely in a third helium.elium2.com/p/106fa943-2...
Georgia State Senate Preview, 2026
Three State Senate races in Georgia move towards Democrats in the final days of the campaign.
helium.elium2.com
November 2, 2026 at 9:30 PM
I love this website. Yes, I definitely am looking for expenditures that include both a different State Senate district and a State House district with the number I searched.
November 2, 2026 at 3:47 PM
Reposted by Eli
Abdul El-Sayed raised more than $2.4 million on Sunday, setting a single-day fundraising for the campaign.

29,602 donors gave for the first time, the campaign says
November 2, 2026 at 1:43 PM
Reposted by Eli
I don’t really think “not a politician” should be a selling point for a candidate. The job is politician. I want to elect someone who understands that job and is good at it and also is not a dirtbag. We have seen how catastrophic it is to make “not a politician” the priority over “not a dirtbag.”
November 2, 2026 at 2:34 AM
Reposted by Eli
the problem for marshall is that he genuinely doesn't understand why this is a liability for him

he has slept like a baby sending people to collections for years, he truly doesn't think he did anything wrong, and he feels like if he can just explain it well enough everyone will agree
What an unusual situation: the NYT reports Marshall filmed the ad personally against the advice of his campaign team. Then his staff still refused to air it, so he personally sent it around to media folks to share it: www.nytimes.com/2026/11/01/u...
To close his campaign, Roger Marshall is running a 60-second ad about a central theme of this campaign — how he treated patients.

“We had to keep the lights on, so we occasionally handed accounts over to collection agencies”, he explains.
November 2, 2026 at 12:04 AM
This one is going in the “repeating the attack you're trying to debunk” hall of fame.
we’re all obviously talking about Michigan but you have to see this closer from Roger Marshall that’s maybe the worst political ad I’ve ever seen
November 2, 2026 at 7:19 AM
“As I gazed upon the final circle of hell, I saw the greatest traitors man has ever known. Cain. Benedict Arnold. Haley Stevens.” —Dante
November 2, 2026 at 7:15 AM
Reposted by Eli
You must suppress this feeling. You are inadvertently making excuses for someone who spent months running a racist campaign then closed out campaign season by trying to ratfuck the party. Sore loser, bigot, soon-to-be ex-Democrat. She can have a breakdown on her own time; leave me out of it.
I started the day really angry with Stevens. Now, I really think there’s something off, something maybe with mental health. Her affect isn’t normal. That doesn’t change the fact that she’s receiving the consequences she earned and deserves. But …. There’s something not right.
November 2, 2026 at 4:29 AM
Georgia county races I'm most interested in on Tuesday:
Cobb school board D4
Paulding comm'n D3
Fulton comm'n D1, D4
Houston comm'n Post 2
Peach school board Post 5
Putnam comm'n chair & D4
Burke Solicitor
Washington comm'n & SB chair
Dougherty comm'n D4
Glynn comm'n/SB D4
November 2, 2026 at 3:50 AM
Rick Thompson being on the State Ethics Commission is like if Richard Nixon had appointed himself as the special prosecutor for Watergate.
November 2, 2026 at 3:10 AM
I can't explain why, but I find unions refusing to publish their endorsements because they've endorsed Republicans almost more offensive than endorsing Republicans in the first place. Stand behind your picks.
November 2, 2026 at 2:52 AM
love too support marijuana legalization by spending $2,282,897 to maintain Republican control of the Georgia General Assembly
Scott Banister - Wikipedia
en.wikipedia.org
November 2, 2026 at 12:25 AM
My life would be meaningfully easier if Democrats were competent at filing their campaign finance reports.
November 2, 2026 at 12:12 AM
Facebook is spending six figures to stop Democrats from winning the Georgia State House. Wild.
#gapol Large Georgia campaign finance filing:
$614,000.0
from Meta Platforms, Inc.
to Forge the Future Project
on 10-19-2026
Source: Ga Ethics Commission: https://peachfile.ethics.ga.gov/public/cf/contribution
November 1, 2026 at 11:24 PM
Reposted by Eli
Powell is very anti-voucher. Her ATL Press Club debate was heavily about that.

Teacher groups back Woods (R) because he keeps championing raises. But @derekgottliebphd.com talked about this on his pod. It is an R trend in South to promote teacher raises to mask inadequate funding systems. (1/x).
November 1, 2026 at 6:02 PM
NEW: I wrote over 12,000 words about the statewide races on the ballot in Georgia this Tuesday. helium.elium2.com/georgia-statewide-general-election-preview-2026/
Georgia Statewide General Election Preview, 2026
In this post, I provide in-depth discussion of all statewide partisan general elections in Georgia in 2026 and explain my ratings for each race. Included are three changes to my statewide ratings, all...
helium.elium2.com
November 1, 2026 at 4:38 PM
Reposted by Eli
Time to break out my favourite Halloween tweet
October 31, 2026 at 8:52 AM
Reposted by Eli
it’s funny that Menswear Guy technically did what his critics said he never does and criticized the tailoring of an elected Democrat but specifically in the context of “the pants do not properly accommodate his voluptuous ass”
October 31, 2026 at 3:34 PM
Reposted by Eli
the stuff Haley Stevens is doing right now is basically all the shit that people like Haley Stevens hallucinated the Sanders campaign did after the primaries were over in 2016 and 2020
October 31, 2026 at 6:46 PM
Reposted by Eli
In WaPo today: Trump is still pushing his year-round daylight saving time bill.

But if it passes now — thanks to a quirk in the legislation — that could mean an immediate one-hour time jump in the middle of the winter.

So "spring forward"… in November?
‘Spring forward’ … in November? A Trump-backed bill could create a time jump.
The president still wants permanent daylight saving time. His bill could force an awkward clock change this winter.
www.washingtonpost.com
November 1, 2026 at 12:23 PM
Reposted by Eli
Sheriff’s deputies in Texas pressed the thumb of a man who was brain dead on a release form. He was declared dead the next day. The sheriff’s office said no investigation was needed since he was no longer in custody.

boltsmag.org/tarrant...
October 31, 2026 at 5:36 PM
Reposted by Eli
I think making the President veto the Puppies and Sunshine Act of 2027 and the Make Your Life Better Act of 2028 would be politically advantageous
I respect Sen. Schatz, but I 100% disagree with him here.

Even if we win the midterms, Democrats have far to go to win back the trust of working people. If Democrats don't understand that, we will sleepwalk into President Vance 2028.

No one in America thinks the status quo is working.
October 30, 2026 at 2:11 PM
My statewide preview is almost ready, and it includes a couple of rating changes. I'll finish it tonight and schedule it for first thing in the morning. Sign up to get it in your inbox. helium.elium2.com#/portal
hElium Politics
Georgia and Rhode Island analysis, from the left
helium.elium2.com
October 31, 2026 at 9:54 PM
Reposted by Eli
I am sanguine about a lot of Jewish opposition to AES and even Mamdani, in that it's basically the inevitable result of understandable communal politics--the same way I viewed Uncommitted and Arab opposition to Biden--but I really, truly hate these fucking professional philosemites.
There are plenty of Michigan Jews who will vote against El-Sayed for bad and racist reasons. But it's still weird that Haley Stevens, who is not Jewish, keeps appointing herself "voice of the Jews" without our consent. Particularly given that she ended the career of an actual Jewish Rep, Andy Levin.
October 31, 2026 at 3:14 AM