@andybchen.com
that's why they call it the Bayes Area
On the latest Odd Lots with @skandaamarnath.bsky.social I went on a rant about how tech people love to say shit like "I'm updating my priors" and then Chamath said exactly that the next day on All In
November 8, 2026 at 7:35 PM
that's why they call it the Bayes Area
It gave AOC the giga Chad jaw line
I promise you that you can make a point on the internet without generating an image via AI
There are alternatives. These are two of them, but there are others. We hope the legislators choose wisely.
November 8, 2026 at 1:56 AM
It gave AOC the giga Chad jaw line
Reposted
If there was a walk-and-talk competition among national politicians, AES would be the betting favorite
The hilarious thing is that “I’m going to smoke him by seven points” is just, absolutely the kind of thing people would say in the actually existing West Wing.
AES saying the Dems have to move past The West Wing as gospel and treat Trump as a little bully who needs to be held to account, pump this directly into my veins
November 7, 2026 at 8:32 PM
If there was a walk-and-talk competition among national politicians, AES would be the betting favorite
gotta adjust for strength of schedule!
this is an interesting chart and I think it speaks more to republican candidate quality
Jackson came in late and was Generic Dem running against the greatest overperformer in the country, so yeah he ran worse - and up near the top you've got the folks running against Graham/Marshall/Paxton
Jackson came in late and was Generic Dem running against the greatest overperformer in the country, so yeah he ran worse - and up near the top you've got the folks running against Graham/Marshall/Paxton
"same-ballot WAR" for Dem senate candidates -- how each candidate did, compared to other Democrats on the ballot in the same precincts and counties
November 7, 2026 at 8:24 PM
gotta adjust for strength of schedule!
this isn't very gorilla mindset
Trumpism elevated into prominence an array of guys like this who, before social media, would have just been the loquacious guy at the end of the bar everyone humored. Now that they’ve not just orbiting around Trump, their brains have flown off into the wild unknown.
November 7, 2026 at 4:13 AM
this isn't very gorilla mindset
Trump is Pierce Hawthorne. Miller is Pierce's dad
one key factor of instability in the present GOP coalition is that Trump is probably racist in the way the modal high school football coach or car dealership owner is racist and Stephen Miller's wing of his associates are racist in the way that the modal grand wizard of the local Klan is racist
I gotta say, if you were of the opinion that Republicans lost in part because they couldn't keep their 2024 coalition together, and that because a bunch of racist herronvolk extremism turned out to be unpopular with key elements of that coalition, giving Miller more power would seem unwise.
November 6, 2026 at 11:12 PM
Trump is Pierce Hawthorne. Miller is Pierce's dad
keep your work life and love life separate 😔
After months of speculation, WNBA players Paige Bueckers and Azzi Fudd confirmed that they are no longer together and haven’t been for over a year.
Paige Bueckers and Azzi Fudd Broke Up Over a Year Ago
After months of speculation, WNBA players Paige Bueckers and Azzi Fudd confirmed that they are no longer together and haven’t been for over a year.
www.thecut.com
November 6, 2026 at 8:53 PM
keep your work life and love life separate 😔
they're getting dunked on by baseball crank
November 6, 2026 at 8:41 PM
they're getting dunked on by baseball crank
I think this is part of the larger regulatory regime needed for the era of AI. We need to make sure electronic communication is still usable by humans even though sophisticated scams are getting so easy to pull off
I will be a loyal bannerman for life for whoever gets the goddamn criminals off my phone
One of the lessons of Mamdani is to fix small but salient shit that drives people bananas. Spam calls, things of that nature.
November 6, 2026 at 6:41 PM
I think this is part of the larger regulatory regime needed for the era of AI. We need to make sure electronic communication is still usable by humans even though sophisticated scams are getting so easy to pull off
yessssssssssss!
Big ups to the new Shelby Street protected bike lane for making sure this car didn't kill me or someone else @centralincycling.org @indypedcrisis.info
November 6, 2026 at 1:05 AM
yessssssssssss!
The 2028 gop nominee will be Mark Cuban, bankrolled by Steve Balmer
here's my take: trump was able to take over the GOP in part because he had none of the stink of iraq on him. he could run against bush and rip people up. whoever comes after trump will be no one on this list--it'll be someone who can genuinely run against trump.
that won't be for a while, frankly.
that won't be for a while, frankly.
Newt's list of presidential candidates for the GOP: white 60-something men from the South, plus JD Vance.
November 5, 2026 at 11:30 PM
The 2028 gop nominee will be Mark Cuban, bankrolled by Steve Balmer
such a weird country
🚨 NEW: The following porn is illegal to possess or publish in England and Wales from tomorrow:
- Strangulation or suffocation, such as restricting breathing through facesitting or hand over mouth
- Strangulation or suffocation, such as restricting breathing through facesitting or hand over mouth
November 5, 2026 at 11:20 PM
such a weird country
This is actually callistas list
Newt's list of presidential candidates for the GOP: white 60-something men from the South, plus JD Vance.
November 5, 2026 at 10:50 PM
This is actually callistas list
I don't think they are independent events so probably pretty high
what even is the conspiracy theory here? Greg Abbott rigged the election against himself? Biden is so all powerful he's controlling the voting machines?
November 5, 2026 at 10:44 PM
I don't think they are independent events so probably pretty high
Reposted
Maybe this would be a reasonable program if we actually had the data infrastructure that could identify which Medicaid recipients were working.
But we don't!
The majority of people who lose access to Medicaid under a work requirements regime are *people who are currently working*.
But we don't!
The majority of people who lose access to Medicaid under a work requirements regime are *people who are currently working*.
November 5, 2026 at 2:10 PM
Maybe this would be a reasonable program if we actually had the data infrastructure that could identify which Medicaid recipients were working.
But we don't!
The majority of people who lose access to Medicaid under a work requirements regime are *people who are currently working*.
But we don't!
The majority of people who lose access to Medicaid under a work requirements regime are *people who are currently working*.
Trae "Thaddeus" Young
November 5, 2026 at 4:16 AM
Trae "Thaddeus" Young
I want gas and beef to be extremely cheap (bc of low demand)
Democrats and climate advocates are very eager to point out that under Trump gas (and beef) prices went up, but are the Democrats — and especially climate advocates — really the party of cheap gas and beef?
heatmap.news/politics/gas...
heatmap.news/politics/gas...
Gas Prices Helped Democrats Win the Midterms — With a Catch
The focus on affordability could put the party in a bind.
heatmap.news
November 4, 2026 at 9:26 PM
I want gas and beef to be extremely cheap (bc of low demand)
was the malfoid and Anakin posting actually that prevalent on Twitter or is that just my bluesky "get a load of this dipshit" x screenshot bubble
November 4, 2026 at 8:59 PM
was the malfoid and Anakin posting actually that prevalent on Twitter or is that just my bluesky "get a load of this dipshit" x screenshot bubble
"mountainous deficits" hiding in there between ice and Epstein is pretty funny
November 4, 2026 at 6:36 PM
"mountainous deficits" hiding in there between ice and Epstein is pretty funny
Is that legal? Can a state rep be 3 kids in a trench coat?
The guy who took down Indiana state Rep. Bob Behning (a 30+ year incumbent) wasn't paying close attention to results at first. He was three kids 8 and younger.
“We just got ready for bed,” Jarren Hurt said. “I thought I’m not gonna win anyway.”
mirrorindy.org/indiana-elec...
“We just got ready for bed,” Jarren Hurt said. “I thought I’m not gonna win anyway.”
mirrorindy.org/indiana-elec...
Kristina Moorhead wins J.D. Ford’s former state Senate seat
Democrats also flipped four Indianapolis-based House seats.
mirrorindy.org
November 4, 2026 at 5:38 PM
Is that legal? Can a state rep be 3 kids in a trench coat?
I only wish Aaron freeman had been up for re-election this cycle
November 4, 2026 at 5:35 PM
I only wish Aaron freeman had been up for re-election this cycle
Republicans gotta pass gerrymander reform to save them from themselves. Like the NBA stepien rule
You see, the point of the post was that we could likely get a veto proof majority for this bc Republicans in the house see the writing on the wall.
November 4, 2026 at 4:28 PM
Republicans gotta pass gerrymander reform to save them from themselves. Like the NBA stepien rule
Happy for spartz who is freed from her burden
November 4, 2026 at 5:16 AM
Happy for spartz who is freed from her burden