Odd Old Man
@davids8663.bsky.social
Failed Pure Mathematics academic. Successful cowboy programmer.
Retired.
Retired.
Pinned
Odd Old Man
@davids8663.bsky.social
· Apr 5
The more you know, the more you are aware of just how little you know.
I have been modifying my views on AI. What's most interesting is how does it as well as it does, which is amazing. LLMs are good at simulating intuition, but cannot do logical reasoning. Other programs are necessary to do mathematical proofs. There are proof checking programs that use formal logic..
October 14, 2026 at 7:40 PM
I have been modifying my views on AI. What's most interesting is how does it as well as it does, which is amazing. LLMs are good at simulating intuition, but cannot do logical reasoning. Other programs are necessary to do mathematical proofs. There are proof checking programs that use formal logic..
If people in the military over 30 need to have their testosterone levels checked, Hegseth should release his own testosterone level and tell us if he is receiving testosterone treatments.
July 16, 2026 at 1:35 PM
If people in the military over 30 need to have their testosterone levels checked, Hegseth should release his own testosterone level and tell us if he is receiving testosterone treatments.
For AI hallucinations the normal thing is to look at a problem, see what's causing it, and try to find a way to solve it. The AI people seem to think spending more money to keep doing more of the same thing will work. I think the history of taking this approach has not been good.
May 9, 2026 at 3:23 AM
For AI hallucinations the normal thing is to look at a problem, see what's causing it, and try to find a way to solve it. The AI people seem to think spending more money to keep doing more of the same thing will work. I think the history of taking this approach has not been good.
The Voting Rights Act was passed because the Voting Rights amendment was ignored in the South.
May 1, 2026 at 1:50 AM
The Voting Rights Act was passed because the Voting Rights amendment was ignored in the South.
I wish it was possible to have political ads reveal why the doners were paying for the ad, which is often difficult from what the ad says.
April 17, 2026 at 10:40 PM
I wish it was possible to have political ads reveal why the doners were paying for the ad, which is often difficult from what the ad says.
If RFK Jr thinks the measles vaccine causes autism, I'd like why he doesn't think getting measles would not cause autism and probably more so.
April 14, 2026 at 3:22 AM
If RFK Jr thinks the measles vaccine causes autism, I'd like why he doesn't think getting measles would not cause autism and probably more so.
The truth in the Epstein must be really bad for Trump. Trump has ability to weather scandals that are revealed. He is doing everything that makes him look guilty, rather just letting the the truth come out.
August 2, 2025 at 9:26 PM
The truth in the Epstein must be really bad for Trump. Trump has ability to weather scandals that are revealed. He is doing everything that makes him look guilty, rather just letting the the truth come out.
"Garbage in, garbage out" when taking about computers seems to have been forgotten by many AI enthusiasts.
July 27, 2025 at 10:30 PM
"Garbage in, garbage out" when taking about computers seems to have been forgotten by many AI enthusiasts.
I wonder if there has been any polling on the Albrego Garcia case. I suspect most people side with Garcia. He doesn't look threatening, and seems to be acting as we want immigrants to act. He was also here legally since his asylum claim was ruled valid.
April 18, 2025 at 6:47 PM
I wonder if there has been any polling on the Albrego Garcia case. I suspect most people side with Garcia. He doesn't look threatening, and seems to be acting as we want immigrants to act. He was also here legally since his asylum claim was ruled valid.
Reposted by Odd Old Man
New now: The White House says Canada/Mexico tariffs will remain UNCHANGED -- still 25% over fentanyl concerns, with exemptions for USMCA-compliant goods.
Note this is contrary to what the Treasury sec said initially, and what a WH official told me earlier. Details getting hammered out in real time.
Note this is contrary to what the Treasury sec said initially, and what a WH official told me earlier. Details getting hammered out in real time.
April 9, 2025 at 8:08 PM
New now: The White House says Canada/Mexico tariffs will remain UNCHANGED -- still 25% over fentanyl concerns, with exemptions for USMCA-compliant goods.
Note this is contrary to what the Treasury sec said initially, and what a WH official told me earlier. Details getting hammered out in real time.
Note this is contrary to what the Treasury sec said initially, and what a WH official told me earlier. Details getting hammered out in real time.
Reposted by Odd Old Man
Tariffs still in place:
—125% on Chinese imports
—25% on steel, aluminum and auto imports
—10% on nearly all other imports
Tariffs coming:
—On copper, lumber, semiconductor and pharma imports
—And maybe on other countries, depending on how the next 90 days go
And the S&P 500 is up 9% on the day
—125% on Chinese imports
—25% on steel, aluminum and auto imports
—10% on nearly all other imports
Tariffs coming:
—On copper, lumber, semiconductor and pharma imports
—And maybe on other countries, depending on how the next 90 days go
And the S&P 500 is up 9% on the day
April 9, 2025 at 7:42 PM
Tariffs still in place:
—125% on Chinese imports
—25% on steel, aluminum and auto imports
—10% on nearly all other imports
Tariffs coming:
—On copper, lumber, semiconductor and pharma imports
—And maybe on other countries, depending on how the next 90 days go
And the S&P 500 is up 9% on the day
—125% on Chinese imports
—25% on steel, aluminum and auto imports
—10% on nearly all other imports
Tariffs coming:
—On copper, lumber, semiconductor and pharma imports
—And maybe on other countries, depending on how the next 90 days go
And the S&P 500 is up 9% on the day
Reposted by Odd Old Man
What he really says here is they saw what was happening the bond markets and backed off.
Gasparino: Let's be clear what happened, who capitulated here and why? You know, I don't want to say this because I am a patriot, I am an American, but it is The White House who capitulated based on everything I hear and all my sources
April 9, 2025 at 7:09 PM
What he really says here is they saw what was happening the bond markets and backed off.
The same thing will happen with climate change. What's happening cannot be undone.
14. I don’t think what we are seeing in reporting from Wall Street is confusion, or even betrayal, so much as the slow grinding realization that what’s been done cannot be undone, and what we are hearing are merely the mewls of helplessness that come from such a realization.
April 9, 2025 at 12:20 PM
The same thing will happen with climate change. What's happening cannot be undone.
Trump's support may melt away fast if enough Republicans start losing their fear to oppose him. Trump's power stems from making everything afraid to oppose him. He makes everyone seek to appease him.
This Senate bill to slap limits on the president’s tariff power now has SEVEN Republican sponsors:
• Grassley
• Moran
• Murkowski
• McConnell
• Tillis
• Young
• Collins
• Grassley
• Moran
• Murkowski
• McConnell
• Tillis
• Young
• Collins
Senators Chuck Grassley (R) and Maria Cantwell (D) just introduced a bill to reassert Congress’s power over tariffs.
—President must notify Congress on new tariffs within 48 hours of imposition.
—Congress must approve them within 60 days or they expire.
www.cantwell.senate.gov/imo/media/do...
—President must notify Congress on new tariffs within 48 hours of imposition.
—Congress must approve them within 60 days or they expire.
www.cantwell.senate.gov/imo/media/do...
April 7, 2025 at 5:04 PM
Trump's support may melt away fast if enough Republicans start losing their fear to oppose him. Trump's power stems from making everything afraid to oppose him. He makes everyone seek to appease him.
The big clash with the Supreme Court looks like it's going to come today.
April 7, 2025 at 4:39 PM
The big clash with the Supreme Court looks like it's going to come today.
Trump's plan was based on the belief that there would be no tariff retaliation, because they needed to trade or be defended by the US. He's increasing tariffs, because he still believes that.
April 7, 2025 at 4:37 PM
Trump's plan was based on the belief that there would be no tariff retaliation, because they needed to trade or be defended by the US. He's increasing tariffs, because he still believes that.
Trump told us again and again that other countries would not retaliate. It turns out that he really believed that.
It's hard for me to blame Michigan politicians for not attacking tariffs as a genre, but it's very easy to frame it as reckless and stupid. My personal choice is, "this is the economic equivalent of declaring war on the entire world and believing you can win."
This is the Dem's vision for confronting Trumpist fascism *in their own* [press release] words:
Whitmer “will outline her bipartisan approach to bring supply chains home from China, create more good-paying jobs, and invest in our defense industry.”
thehill.com/homenews/cam...
Whitmer “will outline her bipartisan approach to bring supply chains home from China, create more good-paying jobs, and invest in our defense industry.”
thehill.com/homenews/cam...
April 5, 2025 at 3:27 PM
Trump told us again and again that other countries would not retaliate. It turns out that he really believed that.
The more you know, the more you are aware of just how little you know.
April 5, 2025 at 12:52 AM
The more you know, the more you are aware of just how little you know.
The main thing to understand Trump is his belief in dominance and one sided deals. He is surprised that Canada, Europe and China are standing up to him.
WTAF is Going On? In Search of the Plan Behind Trump’s Global Economic Crisis talkingpointsmemo.com/edblog/wtaf-...
WTAF is Going On? In Search of the Plan Behind Trump’s Global Economic Crisis
Everyone in the country at the moment, albeit from different vantage points,...
talkingpointsmemo.com
April 4, 2025 at 8:53 PM
The main thing to understand Trump is his belief in dominance and one sided deals. He is surprised that Canada, Europe and China are standing up to him.
Reposted by Odd Old Man
i may be unserious, hysterical and woke, but my strategy of “taking trump seriously no matter how insane he sounds” has paid more analytical dividends than the alternatives
Think part of the problem with describing Trump seriously is that no one actually seems to actually ever take his entire ideological outlook seriously, so absurdist means tend be be more effective at evoking political affect
April 3, 2025 at 8:52 PM
i may be unserious, hysterical and woke, but my strategy of “taking trump seriously no matter how insane he sounds” has paid more analytical dividends than the alternatives
I do not think the right is freaking. They really believe what they are saying. It just looks freaky to us.
Hard to put into words how much the right is freaking out rn on the other site
April 3, 2025 at 5:55 PM
I do not think the right is freaking. They really believe what they are saying. It just looks freaky to us.
I think freezing foreign future investments in the US may hurt more than retaliatory tariffs. New foreign investments provide jobs for US workers. The US can respond by investing more in the US. But where is the capital for the new investments going to come from?
🇫🇷🇪🇺🇺🇸 The war begins. President Emmanuel Macron has just called on big European businesses to freeze all investments in the United States in retaliation for the “brutal and unjustified” import duties imposed by Donald Trump. 1/
April 3, 2025 at 5:48 PM
I think freezing foreign future investments in the US may hurt more than retaliatory tariffs. New foreign investments provide jobs for US workers. The US can respond by investing more in the US. But where is the capital for the new investments going to come from?
Trump is destroying medicine, because he wants it to go back to the 19th century along with his tariffs.
April 3, 2025 at 12:47 AM
Trump is destroying medicine, because he wants it to go back to the 19th century along with his tariffs.
I do not see the obsession with self driving cars. When I was young driving was considered fun. We did not want to be driven around.
A popular electric vehicle made by the Xiaomi, a Chinese automaker, crashed into a concrete guardrail while deploying its autonomous driving feature. Three people died.
Xiaomi Driverless Technology in Focus After Fatal Electric Car Crash
A popular electric vehicle made by the Chinese consumer electronics giant Xiaomi crashed into a concrete guardrail while deploying its autonomous driving feature. Three people died.
www.nytimes.com
April 1, 2025 at 4:46 PM
I do not see the obsession with self driving cars. When I was young driving was considered fun. We did not want to be driven around.