Doug Livingston
@douglivingston.bsky.social
Professor (UNC), Epidemiologist cosplaying as an Econ working in Social Work. High Church Anglocatholic with irenic sympathies. He/Him.
Tell your boyfriend, if he says he's got beef, that I'm a vegetarian and I'm not fucking scared of him
July 22, 2026 at 3:39 AM
Tell your boyfriend, if he says he's got beef, that I'm a vegetarian and I'm not fucking scared of him
Summer before middle school has begun. Which means kid #2, gets to start Fullmetal Alchemist
May 23, 2026 at 1:39 AM
Summer before middle school has begun. Which means kid #2, gets to start Fullmetal Alchemist
End of an era, it's been real Emory.
May 20, 2026 at 8:26 PM
End of an era, it's been real Emory.
Between this and FDA coming out for flavored vapes, it's a big day in the war on cancer. Unfortunately, the feds seem to be siding with cancer.
May 6, 2026 at 8:04 PM
Between this and FDA coming out for flavored vapes, it's a big day in the war on cancer. Unfortunately, the feds seem to be siding with cancer.
We used to be a real country, back when we were all playing Legends of Legaia
I used to drink from the hose style posting but it's about playing Legend of dragoon for the ps1. We used to play until the street lights came on style posting but it's about playing breath of fire iv for the ps1. we used to eat bologna style posting but it's about playing parasite eve for the ps1
May 3, 2026 at 4:32 PM
We used to be a real country, back when we were all playing Legends of Legaia
Christian experimental design. Only natural experiments because there are no RCTs in the bible.
Sociopathic Grifter: Come to me for Christian medicine!
Media: Christianity’s Medical Problems…
SG: Equal time for Christian Mathematics!
Media: Christian Maths Solves New Equations…
SG: Join the Society for Pushing Christianity onto Animals!
Media: No Cats in the Bible? Why So Many in Our Cities?
Media: Christianity’s Medical Problems…
SG: Equal time for Christian Mathematics!
Media: Christian Maths Solves New Equations…
SG: Join the Society for Pushing Christianity onto Animals!
Media: No Cats in the Bible? Why So Many in Our Cities?
April 18, 2026 at 3:58 PM
Christian experimental design. Only natural experiments because there are no RCTs in the bible.
I gave my resignation at Emory this week. I've been enriched by really great colleagues that I will miss terribly.
That being said, I will be joining the UNC School of Social Work as a senior methodologist for the school. Culmination of a lot of work, and I'm excited to see what the future holds.
That being said, I will be joining the UNC School of Social Work as a senior methodologist for the school. Culmination of a lot of work, and I'm excited to see what the future holds.
March 22, 2026 at 8:49 PM
I gave my resignation at Emory this week. I've been enriched by really great colleagues that I will miss terribly.
That being said, I will be joining the UNC School of Social Work as a senior methodologist for the school. Culmination of a lot of work, and I'm excited to see what the future holds.
That being said, I will be joining the UNC School of Social Work as a senior methodologist for the school. Culmination of a lot of work, and I'm excited to see what the future holds.
Reposted by Doug Livingston
This was very neat - paper here ijpds.org/article/view...
March 9, 2026 at 4:02 PM
This was very neat - paper here ijpds.org/article/view...
Rewatched Scream 3 in preparation for Scream 7 tomorrow. God I love these movies, pumped for seeing tomorrow night.
Going into it I've decided Scream 3 and 4 are key to what's going to happen, and I can't wait to see if I'm right.
Bless my horror movie hating wife who watched 3 with me tonight
Going into it I've decided Scream 3 and 4 are key to what's going to happen, and I can't wait to see if I'm right.
Bless my horror movie hating wife who watched 3 with me tonight
February 27, 2026 at 4:59 AM
Rewatched Scream 3 in preparation for Scream 7 tomorrow. God I love these movies, pumped for seeing tomorrow night.
Going into it I've decided Scream 3 and 4 are key to what's going to happen, and I can't wait to see if I'm right.
Bless my horror movie hating wife who watched 3 with me tonight
Going into it I've decided Scream 3 and 4 are key to what's going to happen, and I can't wait to see if I'm right.
Bless my horror movie hating wife who watched 3 with me tonight
Is my intuition right for Wooldridges etwfe? Seems like you can follow a typical regression approach to testing for heterogenous treatment effects and then dynamic effects, potentially simplifying the model back down to a TWFE model if there doesn't seem to be a good reason not to.
February 24, 2026 at 10:38 PM
Is my intuition right for Wooldridges etwfe? Seems like you can follow a typical regression approach to testing for heterogenous treatment effects and then dynamic effects, potentially simplifying the model back down to a TWFE model if there doesn't seem to be a good reason not to.
Working through a grant proposal and PI wants to base it on new design paper. Which is great... Until you realize they handwave away that randomization needed for the model to hold is impractical in almost every setting...
February 20, 2026 at 10:44 PM
Working through a grant proposal and PI wants to base it on new design paper. Which is great... Until you realize they handwave away that randomization needed for the model to hold is impractical in almost every setting...
As a morning gymgoer currently sojourning with the evening crowd...
WIPE YOUR SHIT DOWN WHEN YOU ARE DONE
WIPE YOUR SHIT DOWN WHEN YOU ARE DONE
February 19, 2026 at 10:50 PM
As a morning gymgoer currently sojourning with the evening crowd...
WIPE YOUR SHIT DOWN WHEN YOU ARE DONE
WIPE YOUR SHIT DOWN WHEN YOU ARE DONE
Reposted by Doug Livingston
Let us all bow our heads and acknowledge the new natural categories identified by LCA:
Low, Medium, and High
Low, Medium, and High
February 19, 2026 at 1:16 PM
Let us all bow our heads and acknowledge the new natural categories identified by LCA:
Low, Medium, and High
Low, Medium, and High
Looks at weird distribution:
"Don't make me get the bootstrap"
"Don't make me get the bootstrap"
February 13, 2026 at 12:45 AM
Looks at weird distribution:
"Don't make me get the bootstrap"
"Don't make me get the bootstrap"
I feel like sometimes God is a LITTLE on the nose with the lectionary:
"Is not this the kind of fasting I have chosen:
to loose the chains of injustice
and untie the cords of the yoke,
to set the oppressed free
and break every yoke?"
"Is not this the kind of fasting I have chosen:
to loose the chains of injustice
and untie the cords of the yoke,
to set the oppressed free
and break every yoke?"
February 8, 2026 at 3:25 PM
I feel like sometimes God is a LITTLE on the nose with the lectionary:
"Is not this the kind of fasting I have chosen:
to loose the chains of injustice
and untie the cords of the yoke,
to set the oppressed free
and break every yoke?"
"Is not this the kind of fasting I have chosen:
to loose the chains of injustice
and untie the cords of the yoke,
to set the oppressed free
and break every yoke?"
Trying to go to sleep before a big presentation and there's a finance bro loudly taking a call in the room behind me. If I have to spend all night hearing about vertical integration and the Spanish markets, I will be feral by morning
February 6, 2026 at 4:11 AM
Trying to go to sleep before a big presentation and there's a finance bro loudly taking a call in the room behind me. If I have to spend all night hearing about vertical integration and the Spanish markets, I will be feral by morning
Really an excellent presentation of group level confounding and different associated models. I've never seen someone explain random vs fixed effects this cleanly. And as an epi doing econometrics, it's great seeing some love for Mundalk.
This time I try to explain group-level confounding and some ways to deal with it. Lecture B04 of Statistical Rethinking 2026 - fixed effects, Mundlak machines, latent Mundlak machines, intro to social network analysis and the social relations model. Full lecture list: github.com/rmcelreath/s...
Statistical Rethinking 2026 Lecture B04 - Group-level confounding and intro to social networks
YouTube video by Richard McElreath
www.youtube.com
February 2, 2026 at 2:07 PM
Really an excellent presentation of group level confounding and different associated models. I've never seen someone explain random vs fixed effects this cleanly. And as an epi doing econometrics, it's great seeing some love for Mundalk.
This is definitely a man who is wearing shorts and flip flops with that hoodie
Pete Golding looks like he owns a Salt Life outlet store.
January 9, 2026 at 3:31 AM
This is definitely a man who is wearing shorts and flip flops with that hoodie
As someone raised in an explicitly dominionist framework, I still get psychic whiplash seeing this story play out in real life.
For decades social conservatives have been telling a story that goes like this:
January 2, 2026 at 4:49 PM
As someone raised in an explicitly dominionist framework, I still get psychic whiplash seeing this story play out in real life.
Make a Bond movie academic
You Only Live Twice: Misclassification of Mortality Status in Electronic Health Records
You Only Live Twice: Misclassification of Mortality Status in Electronic Health Records
Make a Bond movie academic
The World Is Not Enough: Semiotics of the Post-Global in the Thanatocene
The World Is Not Enough: Semiotics of the Post-Global in the Thanatocene
Make a Bond movie academic
The World Is Not Enough: Oil, Empire, and Infrastructure in the Post-Soviet Caucasuses
The World Is Not Enough: Oil, Empire, and Infrastructure in the Post-Soviet Caucasuses
December 26, 2025 at 5:35 PM
Make a Bond movie academic
You Only Live Twice: Misclassification of Mortality Status in Electronic Health Records
You Only Live Twice: Misclassification of Mortality Status in Electronic Health Records
Verse 3 of Joy to the World is an absolute banger. Is there a better line in any carol than "He comes to make his blessings flow, far as the curse is found."
God has become man, alleluia!
God has become man, alleluia!
December 25, 2025 at 5:15 AM
Verse 3 of Joy to the World is an absolute banger. Is there a better line in any carol than "He comes to make his blessings flow, far as the curse is found."
God has become man, alleluia!
God has become man, alleluia!
Passing of the torch, the boy has slain me in the wrapping paper tube battle. It will be up to his sisters to avenge me.
December 25, 2025 at 1:25 AM
Passing of the torch, the boy has slain me in the wrapping paper tube battle. It will be up to his sisters to avenge me.
Reposted by Doug Livingston
This is a huge part of why so many people think we're in the middle of a widespread "anti-woke backlash": Small movements opposed to social progress are collected into trend stories by conservative media. Far larger movements that want more diversity are ignored or cast as threats.
"Woke is ruining D&D". Meanwhile Dimension 20, one of the wokest real play shows around, just sold out Madison Square Garden and the Hollywood Bowl for live shows and brings armies of new players to RPGs.
November 30, 2025 at 3:38 PM
This is a huge part of why so many people think we're in the middle of a widespread "anti-woke backlash": Small movements opposed to social progress are collected into trend stories by conservative media. Far larger movements that want more diversity are ignored or cast as threats.