Florian Krampe
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floriankrampe.bsky.social
Florian Krampe
@floriankrampe.bsky.social
Director Climate Change & Risk Programme @SIPRI.org | #ClimateSecurity, conflict, peacebuilding, & security | PhD Uppsala Peace | 🇸🇪🇩🇪 | Geriatric Millennial. FlorianKrampe.org
The question is how to build water and heat into decisions about where AI gets built. Mely Caballero-Anthony and I wrote in @asia.nikkei.com about what this El Niño means for ASEAN: asia.nikkei.com/opinion/a-su...
October 1, 2026 at 6:03 AM
Malaysia does about an eighth of the world's chip assembly and testing. Johor, its data-centre hub, had already told water-cooled data centres to wait for water until mid-2027, and that was before this El Niño.
October 1, 2026 at 6:03 AM
AI is the most physical technology we have built. Chip plants and data centres need water, power and stable temperatures, and in Asia this winter they face what NOAA expects to be a very strong El Niño.
October 1, 2026 at 6:03 AM
The case against the drought-to-war story, in eleven minutes: www.youtube.com/watch?v=l3Tp...
September 26, 2026 at 8:11 PM
This week Trump said he had told his administration: "let's not send out the diesel". The US is Europe's biggest supplier.

Electrify for the climate or because of Washington. Either way, it is how Europe absorbs the next shock before someone else collects on it.
September 26, 2026 at 8:11 PM
Europe has far more to absorb with. But the mechanism is the same: a cost the state does not absorb becomes a grievance, and someone collects on it.

In Europe, the populist right is already collecting.
September 26, 2026 at 8:11 PM
Syria has been here before. In 2008, in the middle of a drought, the Assad government removed fuel subsidies. Fuel prices rose 342% overnight.

The drought did not trigger the war. It compounded a crisis already under way. What it became depended on who absorbed the cost.
September 26, 2026 at 8:11 PM
Thank you for sharing Karsten!
February 10, 2026 at 4:35 PM