Agustin Markarian
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markarianga.bsky.social
Agustin Markarian
@markarianga.bsky.social
AP of American Politics @ Loyola Chicago. |Research: race, representation, voting, guns, & violence. | Recent work published @ APSR: https://l1nq.com/h6b49yo, https://l1nq.com/79dvon9, & https://l1nq.com/o1rglxg | For fun: ⚽️,🏂, & 🐶 | 🇦🇷🇦🇲🇱🇧
Does crime mobilize or demobilize? Scholarship disagrees, partly because studies measure crime and participation differently. In our new @apsrjournal.bsky.social paper, we test 3 measures of crime exposure against both electoral and non-electoral participation using validated turnout data.
From our FirstView: "Crime and Participation" by David Doherty, G. Agustin Markarian @markarianga.bsky.social, Mena Whalen, and Dana Garbarski.

buff.ly/nOV8A9L
October 16, 2026 at 9:16 PM
My new @apsrjournal.bsky.social is out! We find that crime victimization is associated with less voter turnout but more participation through non-electoral means. Living in a violent neighborhood has a similar, but weaker, association. Crime might push people from the ballot box to the picket line.
#OpenAccess from @apsrjournal.bsky.social -

Crime and Participation - https://cup.org/4rT0hq7

- DAVID DOHERTY, G. AGUSTIN MARKARIAN, MENA WHALEN & DANA GARBARSKI

"findings offer new, comprehensive evidence on the relationship between crime exposure and political participation..."

#FirstView
October 6, 2026 at 1:10 PM
For 19 years, a majority-Black Memphis district was represented by Steve Cohen—a white Jewish civil rights lawyer. Tennessee didn’t gerrymander to remove a Black legislator. They did it to disempower Black voters. Our new @prospect.org piece on what Callais really costs:
Millions of voters of color will no longer be able to elect a representative of their choice. But what’s at stake is far bigger: whether voters of color can elect legislators whose votes actually reflect their policy preferences. prospect.org?p=139239
June 3, 2026 at 1:23 PM
Reposted by Agustin Markarian
Which groups win policy under each party?

Whites under Republicans, minorities under Democrats
New #ScienceOfPolitics podcast/transcript with Agustin Markarian
www.niskanencenter.org/which-groups...
Which groups win policy under each party? - Niskanen Center
Agustin Markarian finds that different groups see their policy preferences better represented depending on which party is in power.
www.niskanencenter.org
January 9, 2026 at 1:11 AM
Reposted by Agustin Markarian
🚨NEW WORKING PAPER🚨 Why are many Latino immigrants *not* naturalizing, learning English, and participating in American politics? We provide new theory and evidence across 3 surveys and an instrumental variables approach to show how migration motives shape immigrant integration. tinyurl.com/3expvu8e
December 12, 2025 at 9:11 PM
Reposted by Agustin Markarian
Read Jack and I's APSR article! TLDR: we present theory and causal, externally valid, evidence demonstrating anti-LGBTQ+ violence provokes prosocial attitudes toward LGBTQ people, but this is a fleeting effect due to salience loss, event framing, and countervailing societal heteronormativity
December 8, 2025 at 4:56 PM
Reposted by Agustin Markarian
(with apologies that I've posted this a few times before. Now that it's published, expect me to be annoying with it -- but as we wait for SCOTUS to potentially harm what remains of the VRA, understanding what happened last time is very important!)
New from Michael Miller and me at @thejop.bsky.social: Evidence that, in most areas that were affected by the decision, the Supreme Court decision gutting the Voting Rights Act in 2013 (Shelby County v Holder) increased the racial turnout gap. A thread...
www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...
December 8, 2025 at 6:48 PM
Reposted by Agustin Markarian
As we all wait for Callais to come down, our piece showing that Shelby County increased the racial turnout gap in most of the covered parts of the country has cleared the replication check and is incoming at JOP.

Gutting the VRA was bad, actually.
November 24, 2025 at 12:47 AM
Reposted by Agustin Markarian
This is an important paper at @apsrjournal.bsky.social. It's not exactly surprising that racism undermines effective representation, but it is well and carefully done. Congrats to @markarianga.bsky.social, @jacobhacker.bsky.social, @maclockhart.bsky.social, and Hajnal

doi.org/10.1017/S000...
November 18, 2025 at 2:32 PM
Our new @apsrjournal.bsky.social is out! We study whether policy and congresspeople are more responsive to White Americans than racial minorities, matching individual level opinion to policy outcomes and roll call votes on 134 issues using 500K survey responses from 2016-2022. 1/n
November 12, 2025 at 4:02 PM
My new
@ajpseditor.bsky.social
article w/ V. Kogan
& Z. Hajnal is now out.

We show that Latinos are likelier to run for local office and win in cities that switch to on-cycle elections in CA. Election consolidation improves descriptive representation.

onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
American Journal of Political Science | MPSA Journal | Wiley Online Library
We examine how the timing of local elections affects the success of minority candidates, who remain woefully underrepresented in public office. We build on research showing that concurrent elections ...
onlinelibrary.wiley.com
November 19, 2024 at 3:45 PM