Thomas BRUN
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thmsbrun.bsky.social
Thomas BRUN
@thmsbrun.bsky.social
33 followers 77 following 12 posts
MRes student in Comparative Politics at Sciences Po
Posts Replies Media Videos
Reposted by Thomas BRUN
caterinafr.bsky.social
#Populism? The PopuList 4.0 and its shiny website are out today! Always a pleasure to work with captain @mrooduijn.bsky.social and the rocking crew @dafnoukos.bsky.social @sldelange.bsky.social @casmudde.bsky.social @stijntvankessel.bsky.social @paultaggart.bsky.social @cris-sciencespo.bsky.social
mrooduijn.bsky.social Matthijs Rooduijn @mrooduijn.bsky.social · Jun 24
Today we launch the new version of The PopuList!

The PopuList provides an overview of far-left, far-right and populist parties in 31 European countries from 1989 until 1 May 2026.

Explore the new website here: popu-list.org
Home - The PopuList
The PopuList Interactive Version 4.0 Static Version 4.0 CSV Version 4.0 What is the PopuList? The PopuList offers researchers, journalists, […]
popu-list.org
June 24, 2026 at 10:34 AM
Reposted by Thomas BRUN
ehouardvial.bsky.social
🧵Quelques petites réflexions sur cette vidéo de la série « Contraste(s) » sur le populisme, qui dit plein de choses intéressantes mais manque peut-être de certaines références en science politique ⬇️
blast-info.fr Blast le souffle de l’info @blast-info.fr · Jun 17
"Populisme", voilà un mot qu'on entend depuis des années dans tous les contextes et sous toutes ses formes.
Dans cette vidéo, Ostpolitik et Modiie essayent de décortiquer ce terme et de comprendre ce qu'il recouvre réellement.

Par @modiie.bsky.social & @ostpolitik.bsky.social
POLITIQUES : NI DE DROITE, NI DE GAUCHE, MAIS TOUS POPULISTES ?
YouTube video by BLAST, Le souffle de l'info
youtu.be
June 20, 2026 at 3:58 PM
Reposted by Thomas BRUN
malojan.bsky.social
New OSF preprint with @luissattelmayer.bsky.social 🦋: "Issue Competition on Social Media. A new comparative dataset on parties' issue agendas in 18 countries."

We introduce a dataset of party issue agendas built from 4.6M social media posts across Twitter/Facebook/Instagram, covering 219 parties.
OSF
osf.io
May 6, 2026 at 3:59 PM
Reposted by Thomas BRUN
sciencespo-cee.bsky.social
🎓 Congratulations to Dr @luissattelmayer.bsky.social who just defended his thesis “Competition Between Equals: Mainstream Party Decline, Far-Right Evolution, and the Transformation of Party Competition in Western Europe”.

👉 www.sciencespo.fr/centre-etude...

cc @edr-sciencespo.bsky.social
Luis Sattelmayer applauded by his friends after his thesis defense Luis Sattelmayer defending his thesis before his committee.
April 2, 2026 at 8:16 AM
Reposted by Thomas BRUN
ehouardvial.bsky.social
Est-ce que ce ne serait pas le moment de rappeler que le mode de scrutin pour les municipales en France est tout pourri ?
March 16, 2026 at 8:29 AM
Reposted by Thomas BRUN
sciencespo-cee.bsky.social
#VendrediLecture 📚

L’opposition aux politiques climatiques comme stratégie électorale.
La conflictualisation de la compétition partisane sur les enjeux écologiques en France (1981-2024)

par @malojan.bsky.social
dans la Revue française de science politique

👉 shs.cairn.info/revue-revue-...
Couverture du dernier numéro de la Revue française de science politique. Dossier "Elections françaises 2024 (II)" comprenant notammnent l'article de Malo Jan.
February 27, 2026 at 8:53 AM
Reposted by Thomas BRUN
ryancbriggs.net
I have a new paper. We look at ~all stats articles in political science post-2010 & show that 94% have abstracts that claim to reject a null. Only 2% present only null results. This is hard to explain unless the research process has a filter that only lets rejections through.
It must be very hard to publish null results Publication practices in the social sciences act as a filter that favors statistically significant results over null findings. While the problem of selection on significance (SoS) is well-known in theory, it has been difficult to measure its scope empirically, and it has been challenging to determine how selection varies across contexts. In this article, we use large language models to extract granular and validated data on about 100,000 articles published in over 150 political science journals from 2010 to 2024. We show that fewer than 2% of articles that rely on statistical methods report null-only findings in their abstracts, while over 90% of papers highlight significant results. To put these findings in perspective, we develop and calibrate a simple model of publication bias. Across a range of plausible assumptions, we find that statistically significant results are estimated to be one to two orders of magnitude more likely to enter the published record than null results. Leveraging metadata extracted from individual articles, we show that the pattern of strong SoS holds across subfields, journals, methods, and time periods. However, a few factors such as pre-registration and randomized experiments correlate with greater acceptance of null results. We conclude by discussing implications for the field and the potential of our new dataset for investigating other questions about political science.
February 11, 2026 at 5:00 PM
Reposted by Thomas BRUN
sophiemainz.bsky.social
Happy that my article just published in PSRM! In "Inclusion to Exclude“, I show that when politicians invoke women's rights to justify anti-immigration positions, it shifts citizens' policy preferences - but differently so depending on their prior views. doi.org/10.1017/psrm...

[Thread below]
January 28, 2026 at 1:29 PM
Reposted by Thomas BRUN
malojan.bsky.social
New publication 🥳

Really happy to see our work on symbolic climate policies with @theodoretallent.bsky.social and @luissattelmayer.bsky.social published today in the APSR @apsrjournal.bsky.social !

We learned so much while writing this paper. Thanks to everyone who helped make this possible!
theodoretallent.bsky.social Theodore Tallent @theodoretallent.bsky.social · Jan 19
🎉 NEW PUBLICATION🎉

Our paper on "the effect of symbolic policies on climate policy support" has just been published in the APSR ! @apsrjournal.bsky.social (open access)

The end of a long and rewarding journey with the best co-authors @malojan.bsky.social @luissattelmayer.bsky.social

(1/6)
January 19, 2026 at 11:22 AM
Reposted by Thomas BRUN
caterinafr.bsky.social
Échange avec @lemonde.fr (merci!) sur l’extrême droite et l’érosion de la démocratie en #Italie. Non, cela n’arrive pas qu’en Europe de l’Est et aux US. @sciencespo-cee.bsky.social @scpo-research.bsky.social www.lemonde.fr/idees/articl...
Giorgia Meloni a-t-elle changé ? La question qui divise les politistes italiens
Au pouvoir depuis trois ans, la présidente du conseil italien suscite le débat chez les chercheurs en sciences politiques. La normalisation de cette dirigeante issue de la matrice néofasciste s’accomp...
www.lemonde.fr
December 20, 2025 at 10:48 AM
Reposted by Thomas BRUN
bertous.bsky.social
New publication with @turnbulldugarte.com in @psrm.bsky.social! 🧵

We study whether citizens’ liberal values are selective: do people support policies based on who promotes them?

Short answer: Yes, and it's driven by ethnic out-group disidentification. (1/11) 👇

doi.org/10.1017/psrm...
December 19, 2025 at 12:47 PM
Reposted by Thomas BRUN
sciencespo-cee.bsky.social
Among other interesting reads about the 2024 European election, don't miss

"How gender and attitudes towards gender and sexuality shaped votes in the 2024 European Parliament elections in France"
by @anjadurovic.bsky.social, Nonna Mayer & @npiolat.bsky.social.

shs.cairn.info/revue-europe...

2/2
HOW GENDER AND ATTITUDES TOWARDS GENDER AND SEXUALITY SHAPED VOTES IN THE 2024 EUROPEAN PARLIAMENT ELECTIONS IN FRANCE ANJA DUROVIC, NONNA MAYER & NOEMIE PIOLAT Abstract. This article analyses the impact of gender and attitudes towards gender and sexuality on voting behaviour in the 2024 European Parliament elections in France, in line with recent research on electoral gender gaps, particularly youth gender gaps. Three main findings emerge. First, women did not vote more often than men for left-wing lists; in fact, they voted more often than men for Rassemblement national (RN), a finding that stands in sharp contrast to trends in modern gender gaps or to persistent radical right gender gaps observed in many European countries. Second, and most notably, in contrast again to many other countries, we found no youth gender gap in voting behaviour for the major left-wing or right-wing parties in these elections. Third, attitudes towards gender and sexuality weigh heavily on the results: modern sexism, in particular, is associated with a higher likelihood of voting for the RN list and a lower likelihood of voting for left-wing lists. Overall, the French case highlights that distinguishing between gendered political attitudes and actual gendered voting behaviour remains crucial. Keywords : European Parliament elections, France, (youth) gender gaps, left-wing vote, RN vote, sexism, (hetero)sexism.
December 12, 2025 at 3:02 PM
Reposted by Thomas BRUN
caterinafr.bsky.social
Looking forward to welcome Cristóbal R. Kaltwasser @sciencespo.bsky.social on Monday 1st December
12.30 - 2 pm for a joint seminar about populism and the far right in Europe and the Americas @sciencespo-cee.bsky.social @cdsp-sciencespo.bsky.social @cevipof.bsky.social @scpo-research.bsky.social
November 25, 2025 at 10:08 AM
Reposted by Thomas BRUN
vtiberj.bsky.social
Je me sens moins seul à expliquer qu'il n'y a pas droitisation par en bas. Cet article rejoint sur le Royaume Uni rejoint les conclusions que j'ai établi sur la France
lauraserra.bsky.social Laura Serra @lauraserra.bsky.social · Nov 13
🚨 New paper with Maria Grasso on generational shifts in political values. Despite talk of rising age polarisation, we show that gaps in attitudes are stable or even narrowing. Economic attitudes move in cycles, while social values have become more liberal – mainly due to generational replacement.
Political Socialisation in the UK: Describing Generational Changes of Values - International Journal of Politics, Culture, and Society
A growing bulk of research examines intergenerational shifts in attitudes and the extent to which they are attributable to new cohorts of voters being socialised under different socioeconomic and cult...
link.springer.com
November 14, 2025 at 10:11 AM
Reposted by Thomas BRUN
sciencespo-cee.bsky.social
📅 Happening tomorrow

Don't miss this seminar by visiting professor Ov Cristian Norocel (@norocel.bsky.social), Associate Professor in gender studies at Lund University.

His research interests include gender and intersectional perspectives in right-wing populist political communication in Europe. ⤵️
[Séminaire d'axe] Gendering ideational approaches to radical-right populism: A conceptual intervention
with Ov Cristian Norocel, Lund University
www.sciencespo.fr
November 12, 2025 at 8:52 AM
Reposted by Thomas BRUN
kikollan.llaneras.es
📈 Los jóvenes españoles giran a la derecha.

Es un vuelco histórico: nunca en 40 años se habían ubicado tan a la derecha. Nunca habían sido el grupo más de derechas.

Hasta ahora. Hilo 👇
November 8, 2025 at 8:57 AM
Reposted by Thomas BRUN
sciencespo-cee.bsky.social
#VendrediLecture 📚

What is Politics?
edited by Colin Hay
@politybooks.bsky.social

Exploring what it means to 'think politically' in these troubled times, this cutting-edge textbook reveals the many dimensions of politics.

👉 www.politybooks.com/bookdetail?b...

cc @scpo-research.bsky.social
[Book cover] What is Politics? The definitive guide to politics in our polarized times. Edited by Colin Hay. [Accompanying text] What is Politics? Colin Hay Written with the new student in mind, this probing introduction will be essential reading for all those who strive to make sense of politics in today's world. Paperback 978-1-5095-5906-0 £ 18.99 / € 22.99 Also available in hardback and as an eBook
October 24, 2025 at 8:23 AM
Reposted by Thomas BRUN
ehouardvial.bsky.social
Suite à sa publicisation sur la liste professionnelle des politistes, je me permets de vous partager un pétition contre la suppression des APL pour les étudiant(e)s étrangèr(e)s. Le droit d'étudier dignement vaut pour tout le monde.
www.change.org/p/non-%C3%A0...
Signez la pétition
Non à la suppression des APL pour les étudiant·es étranger·es !
www.change.org
October 21, 2025 at 1:13 PM
thmsbrun.bsky.social
J'ai un peu eu l'impression de m'être perdu dans la cour des grands, mais la présentation et les échanges qui ont suivi était absolument passionnants. Je recommande !

(Et quel bonheur d'avoir de telles interventions dispos au format podcast)
October 20, 2025 at 2:37 PM
Reposted by Thomas BRUN
turnbulldugarte.com
The Spanish centre-right is taking a tumble and the far-right is on the rise.

I was lucky enough to present some new causal work on Friday at LSE showing that the PP does better when it signals distinctiveness from VOX.

~1.5K tests, same result. Rejecting far-right benefits centre-right
October 13, 2025 at 12:21 PM
thmsbrun.bsky.social
French politics have been quite intense this week, but how about I keep talking about my own obsessions anyway?

🇪🇸 Today was the National Day of Spain, or Spanishness Day ('Día de la Hispanidad').
October 12, 2025 at 6:30 PM
Reposted by Thomas BRUN
ehouardvial.bsky.social
Mais qui est donc cet esprit clairvoyant qui nous gratifie de toute sa clairvoyance ?
www.lemonde.fr/idees/articl...
Emilien Houard-Vial, politiste : « Les Républicains demeurent la figure de proue d’un mouvement général de consentement à l’extrême droite »
TRIBUNE. Dans une tribune au « Monde », le chercheur estime que le parti dirigé par Bruno Retailleau semble coincé entre la tentation de l’exercice du pouvoir avec les macronistes et celle d’une radic...
www.lemonde.fr
October 8, 2025 at 3:20 PM
Reposted by Thomas BRUN
tabouchadi.bsky.social
For the Guardian, @turnbulldugarte.com and I discuss our research that clearly shows one thing: Labour's anti-immigration strategy will only strengthen Reform and weaken its own electoral prospects. It won't win voters back but ultimately normalizes the far right

www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
Our research makes it clear: by capitulating to the right, Labour is driving voters to Reform UK | Tarik Abou-Chadi and Stuart Turnbull-Dugarte
Mimicking Farage on immigration is senseless. Labour voters feel betrayed; anti-immigration voters see through the ruse, say academics Tarik Abou-Chadi and Stuart Turnbull-Dugarte
www.theguardian.com
September 26, 2025 at 11:30 AM
Reposted by Thomas BRUN
turnbulldugarte.com
Radical right accommodation really does not work.

New paper out with this exceptionally talented team
@katharinalawall.bsky.social @robjohns75.bsky.social @drjennings.bsky.social @sarahobolt.bsky.social @zachdickson.bsky.social @danjdevine.bsky.social & @jack-bailey.co.uk

doi.org/10.31235/osf...
September 5, 2025 at 6:50 AM
Reposted by Thomas BRUN
manifestoproj.bsky.social
📣 Manifesto Project Data & Corpus Update 2025 is here! What's new? 🧵:
September 5, 2025 at 9:50 AM