California Declares Emergency For Storms

Scholar power: 96.0%

Story's scientific field profile

Environmental science 46%, Geography 23%, Engineering 12%, Public Health 11%, Political science 8%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 Stefan Rahmstorf	36%	79	96.0%

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Scholar power

59.0%

23.0 h

34

96.0%

Ranking score

0.412

Formula for ranking score (post): scholar_power × max((total_reposts)^(1/3), 1) × (1 / max(hours_since_posted, 1)) × (raw_relevance)^3

Prof. Stefan Rahmstorf

@rahmstorf.bsky.social

“Very strong El Niño events like those in 1997/1998 and 2015/2016 were associated with hundreds of billions of dollars in damages globally – this event is leaving those past ones in the dust.” @zekehausfather.com
www.theguardian.com/environment/...

‘Jaw-dropping’ El Niño bursts through temperature record months before peak

‘Godzilla-level’ phenomenon is supercharging the climate crisis and will have a huge impact on communities across the world

www.theguardian.com

September 21, 2026 at 2:24 PM

by Euan G. Ritchie

111%

Scholar power: 111.2%

Story's scientific field profile

Environmental science 46%, Geography 23%, Engineering 12%, Public Health 11%, Political science 8%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 Euan G. Ritchie	50%	55	111.2%

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Scholar power

52.0%

15.9 h

73

111.2%

Ranking score

0.388

Formula for ranking score (post): scholar_power × max((total_reposts)^(1/3), 1) × (1 / max(hours_since_posted, 1)) × (raw_relevance)^3

Professor Euan Ritchie FAMS

@euanritchie.bsky.social

@albomp.bsky.social’s government…

“Let’s approve more coal and gas projects and use our oxymoronic safeguard mechanism to pretend it’s all sweet!”

www.theguardian.com/environment/...

‘Jaw-dropping’ El Niño bursts through temperature record months before peak

‘Godzilla-level’ phenomenon is supercharging the climate crisis and will have a huge impact on communities across the world

www.theguardian.com

September 21, 2026 at 9:36 PM

by Michael E. Mann Reposted by Jonathan A. Foley

135%

Scholar power: 135.8%

Story's scientific field profile

Environmental science 46%, Geography 23%, Engineering 12%, Public Health 11%, Political science 8%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 Michael E. Mann	29%	111	91.7%
🎓 Jonathan A. Foley	47%	88	44.1%
Total			135.8%

Formula for scholar power: 3 × author's field match × √author's h-index + sum of each reposter's field match × √reposter's h-index

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Scholar power

51.0%

17.4 h

69

135.8%

Ranking score

0.304

Formula for ranking score (post): scholar_power × max((total_reposts)^(1/3), 1) × (1 / max(hours_since_posted, 1)) × (raw_relevance)^3

Michael E. Mann

@michaelemann.bsky.social

NO! This study definitely does *not* provide a continuous reconstruction of El Niño spanning the past millennium. In fact, my main criticism was that it is *missing* critical (based on our own climate model simulations) segments. See this thread: bsky.app/profile/mich...

Svante Thunberg @svantethunberg.bsky.social · 17h

arstechnica.com/science/2026...

El Niño is now stronger than at any point in the last 1,000 years, study finds

“One more warning sign here of what we're facing in a warmer world.”...

arstechnica.com

September 21, 2026 at 8:02 PM

Reposted by Gavin A. Schmidt

34%

Scholar power: 34.7%

Story's scientific field profile

Environmental science 46%, Geography 23%, Engineering 12%, Public Health 11%, Political science 8%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 Gavin A. Schmidt	39%	79	34.7%

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Scholar power

61.0%

21.7 h

75

34.7%

Ranking score

0.15

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Carbon Brief

@carbonbrief.org

NEW – Analysis: ‘Super El Niño’ reaches ‘remarkable’ all-time record

✍️ Written by @zekehausfather.com

Read here: buff.ly/4a9XUAK

Daily Niño 3.4 sea surface temperature anomalies, 1982-2026, each relative to a centred 30-year climatology (ONI convention). Chart by Carbon Brief.

September 21, 2026 at 3:46 PM

by Harvey J. Miller

14%

Scholar power: 14.8%

Story's scientific field profile

Environmental science 46%, Geography 23%, Engineering 12%, Public Health 11%, Political science 8%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 Harvey J. Miller	7%	50	14.8%

Formula for scholar power: 3 × author's field match × √author's h-index

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Scholar power

60.0%

3.7 h

1

14.8%

Ranking score

0.085

Formula for ranking score (post): scholar_power × max((total_reposts)^(1/3), 1) × (1 / max(hours_since_posted, 1)) × (raw_relevance)^3

Harvey J. Miller

@mobileharv.bsky.social

“It will spawn a string of weather catastrophes around our world.”

‘Jaw-dropping’ El Niño bursts through temperature record months before peak

‘Godzilla-level’ phenomenon is supercharging the climate crisis and will have a huge impact on communities across the world

www.theguardian.com

September 22, 2026 at 9:46 AM

by Michael E. Mann

91%

Scholar power: 91.7%

Story's scientific field profile

Environmental science 46%, Geography 23%, Engineering 12%, Public Health 11%, Political science 8%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 Michael E. Mann	29%	111	91.7%

Formula for scholar power: 3 × author's field match × √author's h-index

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Scholar power

55.0%

17.7 h

82

91.7%

Ranking score

0.23

Formula for ranking score (post): scholar_power × max((total_reposts)^(1/3), 1) × (1 / max(hours_since_posted, 1)) × (raw_relevance)^3

Michael E. Mann

@michaelemann.bsky.social

Yes, this is a huge El Niño. No, @theguardian.com we do not have a reliable thousand year-long record of El Niño (e.g. a continuous reconstruction of the Niño3 or Niño3.4 SST index) so this statement is not warranted. What's the attribution for that claim?
www.theguardian.com/environment/...

September 21, 2026 at 7:43 PM

Reposted by Gavin L. Foster

30%

Scholar power: 30.1%

Story's scientific field profile

Environmental science 46%, Geography 23%, Engineering 12%, Public Health 11%, Political science 8%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 Gavin L. Foster	35%	74	30.1%

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Scholar power

60.0%

21.4 h

20

30.1%

Ranking score

0.081

Formula for ranking score (post): scholar_power × max((total_reposts)^(1/3), 1) × (1 / max(hours_since_posted, 1)) × (raw_relevance)^3

Prof Ian Hall

@ianhall.bsky.social

‘Jaw-dropping’ El Niño bursts through temperature record months before peak

The planet is entering uncharted territory.

www.theguardian.com/environment/...

September 21, 2026 at 4:05 PM

by Jussi T. Eronen

56%

Scholar power: 56.2%

Story's scientific field profile

Environmental science 46%, Geography 23%, Engineering 12%, Public Health 11%, Political science 8%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 Jussi T. Eronen	30%	39	56.2%

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Scholar power

60.0%

16.4 h

1

56.2%

Ranking score

0.07

Formula for ranking score (post): scholar_power × max((total_reposts)^(1/3), 1) × (1 / max(hours_since_posted, 1)) × (raw_relevance)^3

Jussi T. Eronen

@jussiteronen.bsky.social

We are in uncharted territory...

Jeff Berardelli @weatherprof.bsky.social · 1d

It’s official, the 2026 El Niño has broken a record for the highest ocean anomaly in 170+ years… Incredibly reaching that threshold a full 2 months ahead of 2015’s record of +3.02C set on Nov 18th.
See that red line? That’s 2026.
Every other bold line are the strongest El Niño’s on record. 1/

September 21, 2026 at 9:03 PM

by Michael E. Mann

91%

Scholar power: 91.7%

Story's scientific field profile

Environmental science 46%, Geography 23%, Engineering 12%, Public Health 11%, Political science 8%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 Michael E. Mann	29%	111	91.7%

Formula for scholar power: 3 × author's field match × √author's h-index

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Reposts

Scholar power

51.0%

14.9 h

37

91.7%

Ranking score

0.208

Formula for ranking score (post): scholar_power × max((total_reposts)^(1/3), 1) × (1 / max(hours_since_posted, 1)) × (raw_relevance)^3

Michael E. Mann

@michaelemann.bsky.social

Yes, this is a huge El Niño. No, @theguardian.com we do not have a reliable thousand year-long record of El Niño (e.g. a continuous reconstruction of the Niño3 or Niño3.4 SST index) so this statement is not warranted. What's the attribution for that claim?

Mark Chadbourn @chadbourn.bsky.social · 16h

This year’s El Niño is on course to be the largest in at least *1,000* years. That’s going to drive excess heat into the atmosphere and combined with man-made heating will make 2027 the hottest year ever recorded.

#climatecrisis

‘Jaw-dropping’ El Niño bursts through temperature record months before peak

‘Godzilla-level’ phenomenon is supercharging the climate crisis and will have a huge impact on communities across the world

www.theguardian.com

September 21, 2026 at 10:36 PM

by Andrew Watkins

36%

Scholar power: 36.6%

Story's scientific field profile

Environmental science 46%, Geography 23%, Engineering 12%, Public Health 11%, Political science 8%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 Andrew Watkins	26%	22	36.6%

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Scholar power

64.0%

17.4 h

4

36.6%

Ranking score

0.067

Formula for ranking score (post): scholar_power × max((total_reposts)^(1/3), 1) × (1 / max(hours_since_posted, 1)) × (raw_relevance)^3

Andrew B. Watkins

@windjunky.bsky.social

Sadly the gun has been well and truly jumped by the @theguardian.com with this one. El Niño is not yet the strongest on record, even in the latest weekly data. But it seems almost inevitable that it will be.
*you have to use a relative index at least a month long to claim an El Niño record.

September 21, 2026 at 8:01 PM

by Timothy D. McBride

1%

Scholar power: 1.4%

Story's scientific field profile

Environmental science 46%, Geography 23%, Engineering 12%, Public Health 11%, Political science 8%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 Timothy D. McBride	1%	23	1.4%

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Scholar power

56.0%

2.5 h

1

1.4%

Ranking score

0.042

Formula for ranking score (post): scholar_power × max((total_reposts)^(1/3), 1) × (1 / max(hours_since_posted, 1)) × (raw_relevance)^3

Timothy McBride

@mcbridetd.bsky.social

The worst El Niño in recorded history is brewing — here’s how governments must prepare idp.nature.com/authorize?re...

The worst El Niño in recorded history is brewing — here’s how governments must prepare

From southern Africa to the Amazon, the risks are mounting and the window for action is rapidly closing.

idp.nature.com

September 22, 2026 at 10:57 AM

by Michael E. Mann

91%

Scholar power: 91.7%

Story's scientific field profile

Environmental science 46%, Geography 23%, Engineering 12%, Public Health 11%, Political science 8%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 Michael E. Mann	29%	111	91.7%

Formula for scholar power: 3 × author's field match × √author's h-index

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Scholar power

56.0%

17.4 h

19

91.7%

Ranking score

0.153

Formula for ranking score (post): scholar_power × max((total_reposts)^(1/3), 1) × (1 / max(hours_since_posted, 1)) × (raw_relevance)^3

Michael E. Mann

@michaelemann.bsky.social

There is a half century of work using historical documentary evidence to assess past El Nino behavior (with limited fidelity). This evidence is even discussed in the original MBH98 "hockey stick" article: michaelmann.net/sites/defaul...

September 21, 2026 at 8:01 PM

Reposted by David Johnson

0%

Scholar power: 0.6%

Story's scientific field profile

Environmental science 46%, Geography 23%, Engineering 12%, Public Health 11%, Political science 8%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 David Johnson	1%	39	0.6%

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Scholar power

64.0%

12.0 h

129

0.6%

Ranking score

0.034

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Bill McKibben

@billmckibben.bsky.social

El Niño is breaking every existing record already, and it's got weeks to go before it's likely to hit a peak.

We're going to see a warmer world than any humans before us this year

billmckibben.substack.com/p/hold-my-wa...

Hold my (warm) beer

It’s Existential Crises Week!

billmckibben.substack.com

September 22, 2026 at 1:26 AM

Reposted by Olúfẹ́mi Táíwò, Tom Louwerse

3%

Scholar power: 3.0%

Story's scientific field profile

Environmental science 46%, Geography 23%, Engineering 12%, Public Health 11%, Political science 8%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 Olúfẹ́mi Táíwò	4%	18	1.7%
🎓 Tom Louwerse	3%	18	1.3%
Total			3.0%

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Scholar power

55.0%

22.6 h

887

3.0%

Ranking score

0.029

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Guardian US

@us.theguardian.com

The “jaw-dropping” El Niño currently heating up the planet has burst through the highest temperature ever recorded for the phenomenon, several months before its expected peak.

A line chart showing temperature anomalies in the Niño 3.4 region of the Pacific Ocean, compared to a 30-year rolling base period since 1982.

A gold line shows temperatures in 1997, a teal line in 2025, and a red line in 2026. The red line surpasses all others reaching 3.07ºC, and at an earlier point (September) than the previous El Niño that reached a comparable range in November 2015.

September 21, 2026 at 2:50 PM

by Michael E. Mann

91%

Scholar power: 91.7%

Story's scientific field profile

Environmental science 46%, Geography 23%, Engineering 12%, Public Health 11%, Political science 8%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 Michael E. Mann	29%	111	91.7%

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Scholar power

46.0%

17.5 h

32

91.7%

Ranking score

0.116

Formula for ranking score (post): scholar_power × max((total_reposts)^(1/3), 1) × (1 / max(hours_since_posted, 1)) × (raw_relevance)^3

Michael E. Mann

@michaelemann.bsky.social

No, this study definitely does *not* provide a continuous reconstruction of El Niño spanning the past millennium. In fact, my main criticism was that it is *missing* critical (based on our own climate model simulations) segments. See this thread: bsky.app/profile/mich...

Manon Jacob @manonjacob.bsky.social · 17h

Maybe here @michaelemann.bsky.social (unless I am misunderstanding?): www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...? But it is a bit puzzling to not have a source or attribution if so...

Recent strengthening of eastern Pacific ENSO in the last millennium paleorecord

The Pacific El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) generates climate extremes that endanger ecosystems, infrastructure, and human well-being worldwide. The response of this system to climate warming is p...

www.science.org

September 21, 2026 at 7:57 PM

by Du Toit

13%

Scholar power: 13.0%

Story's scientific field profile

Environmental science 46%, Geography 23%, Engineering 12%, Public Health 11%, Political science 8%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 Du Toit	12%	13	13.0%

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Scholar power

53.0%

8.7 h

3

13.0%

Ranking score

0.027

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Peter du Toit

@peterdutoit.com

IRI on ENSO strength forecast

“Our current intensity classification is capped at +2.0°C, yet a majority of models in the plume—including both dynamical and statistical models—project Niño3.4 values that could reach or exceed +3.0°C, well beyond our highest defined category”

Climate shocks incoming

IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society | September 2026 Quick Look

iri.columbia.edu

September 22, 2026 at 4:42 AM

Reposted by Du Toit

4%

Scholar power: 4.3%

Story's scientific field profile

Environmental science 46%, Geography 23%, Engineering 12%, Public Health 11%, Political science 8%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 Du Toit	12%	13	4.3%

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Scholar power

56.0%

20.7 h

146

4.3%

Ranking score

0.019

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Zeke Hausfather

@zekehausfather.com

This year's El Niño event is moving into record territory, with the daily Oceanic Niño Index (ONI) tying the record previously set during the 2015/2016 super-El Niño. My latest over at Carbon Brief: www.carbonbrief.org/...