Nobel Peace Prize predictions split

Reposted by Lynette H. Ong, David Murakami Wood, Fabián Muniesa , and 4 more Lynette H. Ong, David Murakami Wood, Fabián Muniesa, Julia M. Wright, Gerry Canavan, Frank Fischer, Anna Nagurney

57%

Scholar power: 57.7%

Story's scientific field profile

Political science 70%, Communication & Media Studies 20%, History 10%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 Lynette H. Ong	57%	13	20.6%
🎓 David Murakami Wood	36%	24	17.6%
🎓 Fabián Muniesa	14%	34	8.2%
🎓 Julia M. Wright	18%	16	7.2%
🎓 Gerry Canavan	6%	12	2.1%
🎓 Frank Fischer	7%	9	2.1%
🎓 Anna Nagurney	-	66	-
Total			57.7%

Formula for scholar power: sum of each reposter's field match × √reposter's h-index

Ranking score inputs

Relevance

Recency

Reposts

Scholar power

47.0%

10.4 h

1099

57.7%

Ranking score

0.466

Formula for ranking score (post): scholar_power × max((total_reposts)^(1/3), 1) × (1 / max(hours_since_posted, 1)) × (raw_relevance)^3

Nobel Prize

@nobelprize.org

BREAKING NEWS
The 2026 #NobelPrize in Literature is awarded to the Canadian author Anne Carson, “for her bold and inventive oeuvre that, in playful dialogue with the classical tradition, has created new forms for contemporary literature.”

October 8, 2026 at 11:07 AM

Reposted by Victor Asal

28%

Scholar power: 28.0%

Story's scientific field profile

Political science 70%, Communication & Media Studies 20%, History 10%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 Victor Asal	48%	34	28.0%

Formula for scholar power: sum of each reposter's field match × √reposter's h-index

Ranking score inputs

Relevance

Recency

Reposts

Scholar power

52.0%

11.9 h

145

28.0%

Ranking score

0.124

Formula for ranking score (post): scholar_power × max((total_reposts)^(1/3), 1) × (1 / max(hours_since_posted, 1)) × (raw_relevance)^3

Meidas Sassy™ 🐬

@filosia.bsky.social

That Novel Peace Prize is still bugging him.

Meanwhile, Trump has bombed Iran and Yemen, launched military action in Venezuela, expanded strikes in Somalia, Iraq and Nigeria, and several of those “8 wars” he claims to have ended either weren’t wars, weren’t ended, or resumed fighting.

Peace! 🕊️

Aaron Rupar @atrupar.com · 1d

Trump: "There's never been anybody in the history of the Nobel Prize that deserves it more. I settled eight wars. I stopped the total obliteration of the world."

October 8, 2026 at 9:37 AM

Reposted by Anna Nagurney

4%

Scholar power: 4%

Story's scientific field profile

Political science 70%, Communication & Media Studies 20%, History 10%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 Anna Nagurney	-	66	-

Reposted by Ann Bartow, Katharine Hayhoe, Stephen D. Murphy

6%

Scholar power: 6.7%

Story's scientific field profile

Political science 70%, Communication & Media Studies 20%, History 10%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 Ann Bartow	19%	10	6.0%
🎓 Katharine Hayhoe	1%	51	0.7%
🎓 Stephen D. Murphy	-	31	-
Total			6.7%

Formula for scholar power: sum of each reposter's field match × √reposter's h-index

Ranking score inputs

Relevance

Recency

Reposts

Scholar power

46.0%

8.3 h

1598

6.7%

Ranking score

0.092

Formula for ranking score (post): scholar_power × max((total_reposts)^(1/3), 1) × (1 / max(hours_since_posted, 1)) × (raw_relevance)^3

Nobel Prize

@nobelprize.org

Just in!

New Nobel Prize laureate in literature Anne Carson stands surprised in her kitchen in Reykjavík, Iceland. Stay tuned for our exclusive interview with her coming soon.

Join us in congratulating our 2026 literature laureate - send your greetings in the comments.

October 8, 2026 at 1:11 PM

Reposted by Tobias Hübinette

10%

Scholar power: 10.1%

Story's scientific field profile

Political science 70%, Communication & Media Studies 20%, History 10%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 Tobias Hübinette	26%	15	10.1%

Formula for scholar power: sum of each reposter's field match × √reposter's h-index

Ranking score inputs

Relevance

Recency

Reposts

Scholar power

46.0%

10.3 h

439

10.1%

Ranking score

0.074

Formula for ranking score (post): scholar_power × max((total_reposts)^(1/3), 1) × (1 / max(hours_since_posted, 1)) × (raw_relevance)^3

by Dennis Raphael

42%

Scholar power: 42.8%

Story's scientific field profile

Political science 70%, Communication & Media Studies 20%, History 10%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 Dennis Raphael	20%	51	42.8%

Formula for scholar power: 3 × author's field match × √author's h-index

Ranking score inputs

Relevance

Recency

Reposts

Scholar power

48.0%

7.4 h

0

42.8%

Ranking score

0.068

Formula for ranking score (post): scholar_power × max((total_reposts)^(1/3), 1) × (1 / max(hours_since_posted, 1)) × (raw_relevance)^3

Dennis Raphael

@dennisraphael.bsky.social

The Nobel prize, regarded as the most prestigious award in global literature, is awarded for a lifetime’s body of work. The winner receives 12 million Swedish kronor (£900,000.

October 8, 2026 at 2:07 PM

Reposted by Charles T. Mathewes

8%

Scholar power: 8.4%

Story's scientific field profile

Political science 70%, Communication & Media Studies 20%, History 10%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 Charles T. Mathewes	28%	9	8.4%

Formula for scholar power: sum of each reposter's field match × √reposter's h-index

Ranking score inputs

Relevance

Recency

Reposts

Scholar power

53.0%

10.4 h

388

8.4%

Ranking score

0.056

Formula for ranking score (post): scholar_power × max((total_reposts)^(1/3), 1) × (1 / max(hours_since_posted, 1)) × (raw_relevance)^3

The New York Times

@nytimes.com

Breaking News: The Nobel Prize in Literature was awarded to the Canadian poet and essayist Anne Carson. nyti.ms/4yCUebH

Anne Carson Is Awarded Nobel Prize in Literature

The writer joins a list of laureates that includes Toni Morrison, Samuel Beckett and Bob Dylan.

nyti.ms

October 8, 2026 at 11:09 AM

by Vincent Geloso

30%

Scholar power: 30.2%

Story's scientific field profile

Political science 70%, Communication & Media Studies 20%, History 10%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 Vincent Geloso	22%	21	30.2%

Formula for scholar power: 3 × author's field match × √author's h-index

Ranking score inputs

Relevance

Recency

Reposts

Scholar power

46.0%

9.0 h

1

30.2%

Ranking score

0.042

Formula for ranking score (post): scholar_power × max((total_reposts)^(1/3), 1) × (1 / max(hours_since_posted, 1)) × (raw_relevance)^3

by Andrew Scott

29%

Scholar power: 29.1%

Story's scientific field profile

Political science 70%, Communication & Media Studies 20%, History 10%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 Andrew Scott	18%	29	29.1%

Formula for scholar power: 3 × author's field match × √author's h-index

Ranking score inputs

Relevance

Recency

Reposts

Scholar power

47.0%

23.5 h

166

29.1%

Ranking score

0.03

Formula for ranking score (post): scholar_power × max((total_reposts)^(1/3), 1) × (1 / max(hours_since_posted, 1)) × (raw_relevance)^3

Otto English

@ottoenglish.bsky.social

Give it to Melania just for the lolz

Aaron Rupar @atrupar.com · 1d

Trump: "There's never been anybody in the history of the Nobel Prize that deserves it more. I settled eight wars. I stopped the total obliteration of the world."

October 7, 2026 at 10:00 PM

by Anna Nagurney

12%

Scholar power: 12%

Story's scientific field profile

Political science 70%, Communication & Media Studies 20%, History 10%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 Anna Nagurney	-	66	-

Anna Nagurney

@annanagurney.bsky.social

I was born in Canada so this #Nobelprize is extra exciting.

Nobel Prize @nobelprize.org · 10h

BREAKING NEWS
The 2026 #NobelPrize in Literature is awarded to the Canadian author Anne Carson, “for her bold and inventive oeuvre that, in playful dialogue with the classical tradition, has created new forms for contemporary literature.”

October 8, 2026 at 4:34 PM

Reposted by Katharine Hayhoe

0%

Scholar power: 0.7%

Story's scientific field profile

Political science 70%, Communication & Media Studies 20%, History 10%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 Katharine Hayhoe	1%	51	0.7%

Formula for scholar power: sum of each reposter's field match × √reposter's h-index

Ranking score inputs

Relevance

Recency

Reposts

Scholar power

48.0%

8.9 h

223

0.7%

Ranking score

0.027

Formula for ranking score (post): scholar_power × max((total_reposts)^(1/3), 1) × (1 / max(hours_since_posted, 1)) × (raw_relevance)^3

Le Monde in English

@english.lemonde.fr

Canadian writer Anne Carson awarded 2026 Nobel Prize in literature

The Canadian writer received the Swedish Academy's highest honor on Thursday, October 8. A master of textual deviation, Carson, who began as a classical philologist, blends poetry and popular culture, prose and verse, with both humor and erudition.

www.lemonde.fr

October 8, 2026 at 12:39 PM

by Richard S.J. Tol

3%

Scholar power: 3.1%

Story's scientific field profile

Political science 70%, Communication & Media Studies 20%, History 10%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 Richard S.J. Tol	1%	107	3.1%

Formula for scholar power: 3 × author's field match × √author's h-index

Ranking score inputs

Relevance

Recency

Reposts

Scholar power

53.0%

12.6 h

0

3.1%

Ranking score

0.019

Formula for ranking score (post): scholar_power × max((total_reposts)^(1/3), 1) × (1 / max(hours_since_posted, 1)) × (raw_relevance)^3

Richard Tol

@richardtol.bsky.social

Econ brings 96 male and 3 female Nobelists.

The 2026 frontrunners are all male richardtol.substack.com/p/2026-nobel... but the Committee could do the funniest and reward Deirdre McCloskey (with Besley and Tabellini).

2026 Nobel Memorial Prize

Predict an event or a time, but never both

richardtol.substack.com

October 8, 2026 at 8:55 AM

Reposted by Andrew Jacobs

5%

Scholar power: 5.8%

Story's scientific field profile

Political science 70%, Communication & Media Studies 20%, History 10%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 Andrew Jacobs	14%	17	5.8%

Formula for scholar power: sum of each reposter's field match × √reposter's h-index

Ranking score inputs

Relevance

Recency

Reposts

Scholar power

50.0%

9.4 h

21

5.8%

Ranking score

0.012

Formula for ranking score (post): scholar_power × max((total_reposts)^(1/3), 1) × (1 / max(hours_since_posted, 1)) × (raw_relevance)^3

Isabel Köster

@iotasubscript.bsky.social

This is wonderful! (Also, what a year for Team Classics: the cinema blockbuster and a Nobel?!)

Nobel Prize @nobelprize.org · 10h

BREAKING NEWS
The 2026 #NobelPrize in Literature is awarded to the Canadian author Anne Carson, “for her bold and inventive oeuvre that, in playful dialogue with the classical tradition, has created new forms for contemporary literature.”

October 8, 2026 at 12:09 PM

Reposted by Peter Thorne

4%

Scholar power: 4%

Story's scientific field profile

Political science 70%, Communication & Media Studies 20%, History 10%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 Peter Thorne	-	57	-

Chris Lintott

@chrislintott.bsky.social

Ranked responses to winning the Nobel:

3. Anne Carson (see below)
2. Peter Higgs (Went for a walk in order to hide)

1. Doris Lessing www.youtube.com/watch?v=vuBO...

October 8, 2026 at 11:42 AM

by Richard S.J. Tol

3%

Scholar power: 3.1%

Story's scientific field profile

Political science 70%, Communication & Media Studies 20%, History 10%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 Richard S.J. Tol	1%	107	3.1%

Formula for scholar power: 3 × author's field match × √author's h-index

Ranking score inputs

Relevance

Recency

Reposts

Scholar power

50.0%

16.6 h

0

3.1%

Ranking score

0.012

Formula for ranking score (post): scholar_power × max((total_reposts)^(1/3), 1) × (1 / max(hours_since_posted, 1)) × (raw_relevance)^3

Richard Tol

@richardtol.bsky.social

Ostrom, Duflo, Goldin.

October 8, 2026 at 4:55 AM

Reposted by Joshua Gans

4%

Scholar power: 4%

Story's scientific field profile

Political science 70%, Communication & Media Studies 20%, History 10%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 Joshua Gans	-	56	-

Reposted by Toril Moi

5%

Scholar power: 5.3%

Story's scientific field profile

Political science 70%, Communication & Media Studies 20%, History 10%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 Toril Moi	10%	28	5.3%

Formula for scholar power: sum of each reposter's field match × √reposter's h-index

Ranking score inputs

Relevance

Recency

Reposts

Scholar power

46.0%

20.8 h

34

5.3%

Ranking score

0.008

Formula for ranking score (post): scholar_power × max((total_reposts)^(1/3), 1) × (1 / max(hours_since_posted, 1)) × (raw_relevance)^3

by Alan Richardson

5%

Scholar power: 5.5%

Story's scientific field profile

Political science 70%, Communication & Media Studies 20%, History 10%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 Alan Richardson	4%	21	5.5%

Formula for scholar power: 3 × author's field match × √author's h-index

Ranking score inputs

Relevance

Recency

Reposts

Scholar power

50.0%

24.2 h

5

5.5%

Ranking score

0.004

Formula for ranking score (post): scholar_power × max((total_reposts)^(1/3), 1) × (1 / max(hours_since_posted, 1)) × (raw_relevance)^3

Alan Richardson

@alanrichardson.bsky.social

They should give a second Peace Nobel to Obama just to make him go apeshit.

Aaron Rupar @atrupar.com · 1d

Trump: "There's never been anybody in the history of the Nobel Prize that deserves it more. I settled eight wars. I stopped the total obliteration of the world."

October 7, 2026 at 9:20 PM

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News, ranked by scholars

Nobel Peace Prize predictions split

Add to Home Screen

News, ranked by scholars

Nobel Peace Prize predictions split

Scholar power: 57.7%

Scholar power: 28.0%

Scholar power: 4%

Scholar power: 6.7%

Scholar power: 10.1%

Scholar power: 42.8%

Scholar power: 8.4%

Scholar power: 30.2%

Scholar power: 29.1%

Scholar power: 12%

Scholar power: 0.7%

Scholar power: 3.1%

Scholar power: 5.8%

Scholar power: 4%

Scholar power: 3.1%

Scholar power: 4%

Scholar power: 5.3%

Scholar power: 5.5%

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