Polls Suggest Democrats Retake House
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Recent U.S. midterm polls suggested Democrats could regain the House and possibly the Senate, though analysts cautioned that past election patterns make outcomes uncertain.
Um...there haven't been a lot of polls in Minnesota recently because no one expects it to be close now
October 9, 2026 at 1:17 PM
Um...there haven't been a lot of polls in Minnesota recently because no one expects it to be close now
House Republicans are bracing for catastrophe in once safe red seats
GOP internal polling revealed key House seats that Trump won comfortably in 2024 are now competitive.
GOP internal polling revealed key House seats that Trump won comfortably in 2024 are now competitive.
House Republicans are bracing for catastrophe in once safe red seats
GOP internal polling revealed key House seats that Trump won comfortably in 2024 are now competitive.
www.politico.com
October 9, 2026 at 3:19 PM
House Republicans are bracing for catastrophe in once safe red seats
GOP internal polling revealed key House seats that Trump won comfortably in 2024 are now competitive.
GOP internal polling revealed key House seats that Trump won comfortably in 2024 are now competitive.
Reposted by Will Jennings
Our new survey looks at Americans’ views ahead of the 2026 midterm election.
We found a deep public dissatisfaction with the state of the nation, near-record low approval of President Donald Trump and growing negativity about national economic conditions.
We found a deep public dissatisfaction with the state of the nation, near-record low approval of President Donald Trump and growing negativity about national economic conditions.
October 8, 2026 at 7:39 PM
Our new survey looks at Americans’ views ahead of the 2026 midterm election.
We found a deep public dissatisfaction with the state of the nation, near-record low approval of President Donald Trump and growing negativity about national economic conditions.
We found a deep public dissatisfaction with the state of the nation, near-record low approval of President Donald Trump and growing negativity about national economic conditions.
by Matthew Lebo
Trump hit 30% approval in Pew's latest survey. If he's in the 20s with Democratic majorities in the House and Senate in 2027, that will be interesting.
October 9, 2026 at 12:11 PM
Trump hit 30% approval in Pew's latest survey. If he's in the 20s with Democratic majorities in the House and Senate in 2027, that will be interesting.
Boebert down to 51% www.economist.com/interactive/...
US House of Representatives 2026 forecast
Democrats are heavy favourites to flip the House
www.economist.com
October 9, 2026 at 3:46 PM
Boebert down to 51% www.economist.com/interactive/...
Even Trump voters think Republicans should split from the president to win
Even Trump voters think Republicans should split from the president to win
A new POLITICO Poll found a notable 26% of people who backed Trump in 2024 were ready for GOP candidates to take that leap.
www.politico.com
October 9, 2026 at 12:53 PM
Even Trump voters think Republicans should split from the president to win
Reposted by David Darmofal
“Why You Should Believe the Polls This Time”
— my @washingtonmonthly.bsky.social look at all the reasons why a Blue Wave is coming … and why it still doesn’t guarantee a Democratic Senate
washingtonmonthly.com/2026/10/09/w...
— my @washingtonmonthly.bsky.social look at all the reasons why a Blue Wave is coming … and why it still doesn’t guarantee a Democratic Senate
washingtonmonthly.com/2026/10/09/w...
Why You Should Believe the Polls This Time
History tells us Trump’s abysmal job approval and economic record should lead to Democratic gains. Polls tell us we don’t know how big.
washingtonmonthly.com
October 9, 2026 at 12:11 PM
“Why You Should Believe the Polls This Time”
— my @washingtonmonthly.bsky.social look at all the reasons why a Blue Wave is coming … and why it still doesn’t guarantee a Democratic Senate
washingtonmonthly.com/2026/10/09/w...
— my @washingtonmonthly.bsky.social look at all the reasons why a Blue Wave is coming … and why it still doesn’t guarantee a Democratic Senate
washingtonmonthly.com/2026/10/09/w...
Las recientes encuestas reflejan un descenso en la aprobación de Donald Trump entre los votantes latinos de Texas, situándose en un 27%. El analista Ernesto Castañeda explicó que los altos costos de la gasolina, la falta de mano de obra por deportaciones y la inflación impulsan este giro electoral.
October 8, 2026 at 10:45 PM
Las recientes encuestas reflejan un descenso en la aprobación de Donald Trump entre los votantes latinos de Texas, situándose en un 27%. El analista Ernesto Castañeda explicó que los altos costos de la gasolina, la falta de mano de obra por deportaciones y la inflación impulsan este giro electoral.
Reposted by David Darmofal
It’s not only horse race polling screaming Blue Wave
* Trump job approval: just 3rd prez under 40 before midterm
* Real disposable income: 5th midterm in 75 years with decline
* Off-year state leg elections: 31 D flips, 0 R
More from me: washingtonmonthly.com/2026/10/09/w...
* Trump job approval: just 3rd prez under 40 before midterm
* Real disposable income: 5th midterm in 75 years with decline
* Off-year state leg elections: 31 D flips, 0 R
More from me: washingtonmonthly.com/2026/10/09/w...
Why You Should Believe the Polls This Time
History tells us Trump’s abysmal job approval and economic record should lead to Democratic gains. Polls tell us we don’t know how big.
washingtonmonthly.com
October 9, 2026 at 1:24 PM
It’s not only horse race polling screaming Blue Wave
* Trump job approval: just 3rd prez under 40 before midterm
* Real disposable income: 5th midterm in 75 years with decline
* Off-year state leg elections: 31 D flips, 0 R
More from me: washingtonmonthly.com/2026/10/09/w...
* Trump job approval: just 3rd prez under 40 before midterm
* Real disposable income: 5th midterm in 75 years with decline
* Off-year state leg elections: 31 D flips, 0 R
More from me: washingtonmonthly.com/2026/10/09/w...
Why This Election Could Be More Complicated for Democrats Than Polls Suggest www.nytimes.com/2026/10/09/u...
Why This Election Could Be More Complicated for Democrats Than Polls Suggest
The last two midterms where Democrats surged against an unpopular Republican president were in 2006 and 2018. They had notably different outcomes.
www.nytimes.com
October 9, 2026 at 1:06 PM
Why This Election Could Be More Complicated for Democrats Than Polls Suggest www.nytimes.com/2026/10/09/u...
Only 30% of Trump 2024 voters are enthusiastic about casting a ballot this year vs. 48% of @kamalaharris.com 2024 voters.
30 percent of Trump voters enthusiastic about casting ballots: Survey
Fewer voters who backed President Trump in 2024 than those who voted for former Vice President Kamala Harris say they are “very enthusiastic” to cast ballots in November, according to n…
thehill.com
October 8, 2026 at 3:52 PM
Only 30% of Trump 2024 voters are enthusiastic about casting a ballot this year vs. 48% of @kamalaharris.com 2024 voters.
Poll: Democrats hold major advantage on health care costs thehill.com/policy/healt...
Poll: Democrats hold major advantage on health care costs
Health care costs remain a top affordability concern for voters, who trust Democrats over Republicans on the issue by a nearly two-to-one margin, according to a new poll from health research group …
thehill.com
October 9, 2026 at 2:01 PM
Poll: Democrats hold major advantage on health care costs thehill.com/policy/healt...
Reposted by David Darmofal, Timothy D. McBride
North Carolina - Senate Polling:
🔵 Cooper: 53%
🔴 Whately: 46%
⚪️ Bray: 2%
East Carolina U. / Oct 3, 2026
(Current NC-SEN Model: DEM 54% - GOP 45%)
unitedstatespolling.com/p/democrats-...
🔵 Cooper: 53%
🔴 Whately: 46%
⚪️ Bray: 2%
East Carolina U. / Oct 3, 2026
(Current NC-SEN Model: DEM 54% - GOP 45%)
unitedstatespolling.com/p/democrats-...
Democrats Surge as Republicans Enter the Final Stretch
Republicans still have time to shift the trajectory, but the latest numbers show Democrats continuing to move forward
unitedstatespolling.com
October 8, 2026 at 6:03 PM
North Carolina - Senate Polling:
🔵 Cooper: 53%
🔴 Whately: 46%
⚪️ Bray: 2%
East Carolina U. / Oct 3, 2026
(Current NC-SEN Model: DEM 54% - GOP 45%)
unitedstatespolling.com/p/democrats-...
🔵 Cooper: 53%
🔴 Whately: 46%
⚪️ Bray: 2%
East Carolina U. / Oct 3, 2026
(Current NC-SEN Model: DEM 54% - GOP 45%)
unitedstatespolling.com/p/democrats-...
One of the concerns has been whether Mike Johnson will seat a new Democratic House. The more chastened Johnson is, the. more likely our democracy survives. And that means the larger the Democratic win next month, the larger the Democratic majority, the more likely our democracy survives.
October 8, 2026 at 7:01 PM
One of the concerns has been whether Mike Johnson will seat a new Democratic House. The more chastened Johnson is, the. more likely our democracy survives. And that means the larger the Democratic win next month, the larger the Democratic majority, the more likely our democracy survives.
Reposted by David Darmofal
How likely is a Democratic sweep of Congress? The DDHQ Forecast puts it at just above 1 in 2.
Democrats are clearer favorites in the House and very slight favorites in the Senate.
Democrats are clearer favorites in the House and very slight favorites in the Senate.
October 8, 2026 at 3:34 PM
How likely is a Democratic sweep of Congress? The DDHQ Forecast puts it at just above 1 in 2.
Democrats are clearer favorites in the House and very slight favorites in the Senate.
Democrats are clearer favorites in the House and very slight favorites in the Senate.
I think we may be watching the beginnings of a winning presidential campaign.
October 9, 2026 at 11:40 AM
I think we may be watching the beginnings of a winning presidential campaign.
Even Trump voters think Republicans should split from the president to win www.politico.com/news/2026/10...
Even Trump voters think Republicans should split from the president to win
A new POLITICO Poll found a notable 26% of people who backed Trump in 2024 were ready for GOP candidates to take that leap.
www.politico.com
October 9, 2026 at 12:18 PM
Even Trump voters think Republicans should split from the president to win www.politico.com/news/2026/10...
How Trump Has Alienated Republican Voters Ahead of the Midterms www.nytimes.com/2026/10/08/u...
How Trump Has Alienated Republican Voters Ahead of the Midterms
Signs are emerging that dispirited Republican voters may stay home in November, bringing a Democratic surge without many conversions.
www.nytimes.com
October 8, 2026 at 9:38 PM
How Trump Has Alienated Republican Voters Ahead of the Midterms www.nytimes.com/2026/10/08/u...