Now we know the Earth isn’t in danger, I’m very excited by the 3-4% chance asteroid #2024YR4 might hit the Moon.
The initial flash from an impact by #2024YR4 would be competing with the brightness of the entire rest of the Moon.
April 8, 2025 at 3:11 PM
Now we know the Earth isn’t in danger, I’m very excited by the 3-4% chance asteroid #2024YR4 might hit the Moon.
OK, since the cat's out of the bag (and we're official) I'm happy to report we were granted time to use JWST to look at #2024YR4 and measure its size in about a month. :) 🔭🛰️
NEW: There is a small chance that an asteroid will strike Earth in 2032. What can we do? Well, first, we track it, and study it, very closely.
Here's how that's done—and why, for the first first time, JWST has joined forces with planetary defenders. www.nationalgeographic.com/science/arti...
Here's how that's done—and why, for the first first time, JWST has joined forces with planetary defenders. www.nationalgeographic.com/science/arti...
This asteroid may hit Earth in 2032. Don't panic—scientists have a plan.
Space agencies have systems in place to spot, track, and forecast the future orbits of potentially hazardous asteroids.
www.nationalgeographic.com
February 5, 2025 at 9:45 PM
OK, since the cat's out of the bag (and we're official) I'm happy to report we were granted time to use JWST to look at #2024YR4 and measure its size in about a month. :) 🔭🛰️
Rymdstyrelsen kommer ut som undergångsromantiker.
February 15, 2025 at 12:19 PM
Rymdstyrelsen kommer ut som undergångsromantiker.
#2024YR4 work led by @asrivkin.bsky.social .
☄️JWST managed to image asteroid 2024 YR4 this month, and its infrared scopes got a really good estimate of its size.
Turns out it was 60m (+/-7)—sufficient to wreck a large city. Good thing it wasn’t heading to Earth after all…
iawn.net/obscamp/2024...
Turns out it was 60m (+/-7)—sufficient to wreck a large city. Good thing it wasn’t heading to Earth after all…
iawn.net/obscamp/2024...
a view of the earth from space shows a volcano in the middle
ALT: a view of the earth from space shows a volcano in the middle
media.tenor.com
March 28, 2025 at 12:39 AM
#2024YR4 work led by @asrivkin.bsky.social .
2024YR4 will NOT hit the moon.
Finlay is skeptical.
.
#2024yr4 #spacenews #spacenewsdaily #hwatweeklypodcast #hwatweekly
Finlay is skeptical.
.
#2024yr4 #spacenews #spacenewsdaily #hwatweeklypodcast #hwatweekly
April 10, 2026 at 12:42 AM
2024YR4 will NOT hit the moon.
Finlay is skeptical.
.
#2024yr4 #spacenews #spacenewsdaily #hwatweeklypodcast #hwatweekly
Finlay is skeptical.
.
#2024yr4 #spacenews #spacenewsdaily #hwatweeklypodcast #hwatweekly
2024 Tigers
🤝
2024YR4 asteroid
caught houston off guard when it mattered most
🤝
2024YR4 asteroid
caught houston off guard when it mattered most
February 13, 2025 at 2:28 AM
2024 Tigers
🤝
2024YR4 asteroid
caught houston off guard when it mattered most
🤝
2024YR4 asteroid
caught houston off guard when it mattered most
2024YR4 Quien tiró la bomba
#frebruArty #magenta #artchallenge #minimalismo #gouache #ink #surrealismo #freedom
#frebruArty #magenta #artchallenge #minimalismo #gouache #ink #surrealismo #freedom
February 26, 2025 at 12:22 PM
2024YR4 Quien tiró la bomba
#frebruArty #magenta #artchallenge #minimalismo #gouache #ink #surrealismo #freedom
#frebruArty #magenta #artchallenge #minimalismo #gouache #ink #surrealismo #freedom
Asteroid #2024YR4 is looking a lot less worrisome. Improved orbital calculations reduce the estimated odds of impact in 2032 to just 0.27%. 🧪
With the world seemingly falling apart with some good news: it won't literally be falling apart in 2032. The latest data from Asteroid #2024YR4 ☄️ has reduced the chances of impact to 1-in-370.
Bruce Willis, you can stand down. 🧪🔭
ℹ️: cneos.jpl.nasa.gov/sentry/detai...
Bruce Willis, you can stand down. 🧪🔭
ℹ️: cneos.jpl.nasa.gov/sentry/detai...
February 21, 2025 at 7:13 AM
Asteroid #2024YR4 is looking a lot less worrisome. Improved orbital calculations reduce the estimated odds of impact in 2032 to just 0.27%. 🧪
Hey, so, we have some news about something that won't be happening in 2032.
New NASA Asteroid Observations Eliminate Chance of 2032 Lunar Impact - NASA Science
Using data from NASA’s James Webb Space Telescope observations collected on Feb. 18 and 26, experts from NASA’s Center for Near-Earth Object Studies at the
science.nasa.gov
March 5, 2026 at 5:10 PM
Demain et le 26 février, le télescope spatial James Webb observera l'astéroïde 2024YR4 afin d'affiner son orbite.
Pour rappel, en l'état des incertitudes sur son orbite, il a toujours 4,1 % de chances de percuter la Lune le 22 décembre 2032.
Pour rappel, en l'état des incertitudes sur son orbite, il a toujours 4,1 % de chances de percuter la Lune le 22 décembre 2032.
February 17, 2026 at 2:50 PM
Demain et le 26 février, le télescope spatial James Webb observera l'astéroïde 2024YR4 afin d'affiner son orbite.
Pour rappel, en l'état des incertitudes sur son orbite, il a toujours 4,1 % de chances de percuter la Lune le 22 décembre 2032.
Pour rappel, en l'état des incertitudes sur son orbite, il a toujours 4,1 % de chances de percuter la Lune le 22 décembre 2032.
God morgon! Den där asteroiden (2024YR4) som skulle träffa jorden bedöms nu inte längre vara en risk att göra det. Istället finns en risk att den träffar månen men det skulle vara relativt harmlöst.
April 14, 2025 at 6:35 AM
God morgon! Den där asteroiden (2024YR4) som skulle träffa jorden bedöms nu inte längre vara en risk att göra det. Istället finns en risk att den träffar månen men det skulle vara relativt harmlöst.
Planetary astronomers are on the case of potentially hazardous asteroid 2024 YR4. The chance of impact is at 1.3%, so I'm going to be making plans for New Years 2033 - Some updates from astronomers reporting on their latest telescope observations iawn.net/obscamp/2024... #2024YR4 🔭
iawn.net
January 30, 2025 at 4:43 PM
Planetary astronomers are on the case of potentially hazardous asteroid 2024 YR4. The chance of impact is at 1.3%, so I'm going to be making plans for New Years 2033 - Some updates from astronomers reporting on their latest telescope observations iawn.net/obscamp/2024... #2024YR4 🔭
NASA, ESA and IAWN have all released statements today about newly-discovered #asteroid #2024YR4.
New observations have pushed its nominal trajectory about 120,000 km farther from Earth than the animation I posted yesterday.
But the odds of impact in 2032 still remain > 1%.
New observations have pushed its nominal trajectory about 120,000 km farther from Earth than the animation I posted yesterday.
But the odds of impact in 2032 still remain > 1%.
January 30, 2025 at 3:35 AM
What should we expect from future approaches of asteroid #2024YR4?
Will it impact in 2032?
Probably not, but we should keep an eye on it...
#planetaryscience
Will it impact in 2032?
Probably not, but we should keep an eye on it...
#planetaryscience
2024 YR4: EL ASTEROIDE QUE PODRÍA IMPACTAR CONTRA LA TIERRA EN 2032: Nuevo artículo divulgativo del astrofísico
Josep M. Trigo @joseptrigo.bsky.social #ice_csic @ieec.cat en @es.theconversation.com. Explica en detalle las implicaciones para la defensa planetaria
theconversation.com/2024-yr4-el-...
Josep M. Trigo @joseptrigo.bsky.social #ice_csic @ieec.cat en @es.theconversation.com. Explica en detalle las implicaciones para la defensa planetaria
theconversation.com/2024-yr4-el-...
2024 YR4: el asteroide que podría impactar contra la Tierra en 2032
Actualmente se calcula que hay 1 entre 77 posibilidades de que choque contra nuestro planeta, pero no hay que ponerse en lo peor.
theconversation.com
January 31, 2025 at 7:53 PM
What should we expect from future approaches of asteroid #2024YR4?
Will it impact in 2032?
Probably not, but we should keep an eye on it...
#planetaryscience
Will it impact in 2032?
Probably not, but we should keep an eye on it...
#planetaryscience
Ciao ciao 2024YR4
(still think we should have a plan ready to go in case we get less lucky...)
(still think we should have a plan ready to go in case we get less lucky...)
February 25, 2025 at 9:42 AM
Ciao ciao 2024YR4
(still think we should have a plan ready to go in case we get less lucky...)
(still think we should have a plan ready to go in case we get less lucky...)
200 meter asteroid 2024YR4 has a 4.5% chance of hitting the Moon in 2032. If it does, shrapnel reaching earth could be equal to years of micrometeor/debris risk to satellites happening in just a few weeks. And some buckshot all over the Moon too (including any bases)
arxiv.org/pdf/2601.10666
arxiv.org/pdf/2601.10666
arxiv.org
February 6, 2026 at 4:31 AM
200 meter asteroid 2024YR4 has a 4.5% chance of hitting the Moon in 2032. If it does, shrapnel reaching earth could be equal to years of micrometeor/debris risk to satellites happening in just a few weeks. And some buckshot all over the Moon too (including any bases)
arxiv.org/pdf/2601.10666
arxiv.org/pdf/2601.10666
Un asteroide scoperto a fine dicembre ha una probabilità su 88 di colpire la Terra nel 2032. Si chiama 2024YR4 e ha un diametro fra 40 e 100 metri. Il rischio è basso, ma sufficiente a farlo balzare con ampio margine in cima alla lista degli oggetti più pericolosi
www.rainews.it/articoli/202...
www.rainews.it/articoli/202...
Scoperto asteroide che potrebbe colpire la Terra nel 2032
2024YR4, una roccia spaziale di diametro compreso fra 40 e 100 metri, ha una possibilità su 88 di impattare con il nostro pianeta. Scoperto un mese fa, è subito balzato in cima alla lista degli oggett...
www.rainews.it
January 28, 2025 at 10:08 AM
Un asteroide scoperto a fine dicembre ha una probabilità su 88 di colpire la Terra nel 2032. Si chiama 2024YR4 e ha un diametro fra 40 e 100 metri. Il rischio è basso, ma sufficiente a farlo balzare con ampio margine in cima alla lista degli oggetti più pericolosi
www.rainews.it/articoli/202...
www.rainews.it/articoli/202...
🔭 We're closely monitoring the recently discovered asteroid #2024YR4. The #asteroid has an almost 99% chance of safely passing Earth in 2032, but a possible impact cannot yet be entirely ruled out. 2024 YR4 is estimated to be between 40 m and 100 m wide.
ESA actively monitoring near-Earth asteroid 2024 YR4
The European Space Agency (ESA) Planetary Defence Office is closely monitoring the recently discovered asteroid 2024 YR4, which has a very small chance of impacting Earth in 2032. This page was l...
www.esa.int
January 29, 2025 at 4:09 PM
I am.
2024YR4 for total victory and world domination in “32”.
LETS GO 2024YR4 !!!!
2024YR4 for total victory and world domination in “32”.
LETS GO 2024YR4 !!!!
February 19, 2025 at 7:08 PM
I am.
2024YR4 for total victory and world domination in “32”.
LETS GO 2024YR4 !!!!
2024YR4 for total victory and world domination in “32”.
LETS GO 2024YR4 !!!!
New #JWST 🔭 data release for target names: 2024YR4.
Credit: NASA, ESA, CSA, STScI.
Take a look at news_by_date.html
Credit: NASA, ESA, CSA, STScI.
Take a look at news_by_date.html
February 19, 2026 at 12:29 AM
New #JWST 🔭 data release for target names: 2024YR4.
Credit: NASA, ESA, CSA, STScI.
Take a look at news_by_date.html
Credit: NASA, ESA, CSA, STScI.
Take a look at news_by_date.html
I'm back briefly on Discovery with interviews from #AGU2025
This week a focus on space science - with prospects of a 2032 lunar impact by asteroid 2024YR4 @asrivkin.bsky.social; new views of solar-earth connections inc NASA's all-round PUNCH (below); & lunar seismology
www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/w...
This week a focus on space science - with prospects of a 2032 lunar impact by asteroid 2024YR4 @asrivkin.bsky.social; new views of solar-earth connections inc NASA's all-round PUNCH (below); & lunar seismology
www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/w...
January 16, 2026 at 5:13 PM
I'm back briefly on Discovery with interviews from #AGU2025
This week a focus on space science - with prospects of a 2032 lunar impact by asteroid 2024YR4 @asrivkin.bsky.social; new views of solar-earth connections inc NASA's all-round PUNCH (below); & lunar seismology
www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/w...
This week a focus on space science - with prospects of a 2032 lunar impact by asteroid 2024YR4 @asrivkin.bsky.social; new views of solar-earth connections inc NASA's all-round PUNCH (below); & lunar seismology
www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/w...