#CDNecon
How much did the carbon tax actually impact inflation?

My latest for @TheHubCanada: thehub.ca/2025/05/22/... #cdnecon #cdnpoli
May 22, 2025 at 4:02 PM
#ICYMI, yesterday, #MarkCarney announced the “largest clean energy investment in North America”.

#cdnpoli #CdnEcon #CanPoli
August 19, 2026 at 3:35 PM
Which exporting states are most impacted by Canada's initial tariff retaliation of 25% on exports totaling $30 billion? Here is my initial estimate. #cdnecon
February 2, 2025 at 9:18 PM
Where might U.S. tariffs have the greatest effect in Canada? Here's an experimental estimate of exports to the U.S. per worker by census division. #cdnecon
January 26, 2025 at 3:49 PM
The decline in Canada's GDP per capita explained. #cdnecon
July 6, 2026 at 7:57 PM
Bank of Canada maintains the policy rate at 2¼%

https://bit.ly/461dbbC

#economy #cdnecon
September 2, 2026 at 1:50 PM
A separate Alberta would be a poorer Alberta.

My latest for @TheHubCanada on the fiscal and economic fantasies of those promoting independence:
thehub.ca/2025/07/24/... #cdnecon #cdnpoli
Trevor Tombe: A separate Alberta would be a poorer Alberta
thehub.ca
July 24, 2025 at 1:56 PM
Canada's population increased by 42,844 people (0.2%) in the 2nd quarter, StatCan reported today, with decreasing non-permanent residents continuing to be a drag on growth. #cdnecon
September 23, 2026 at 1:01 PM
How do carbon taxes affect food prices? In our latest paper, @dr_jen_winter and I analyze both direct and indirect impacts across the entire food supply chain: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=5024885

It's the most detailed exploration of CTaxes and food yet! 🤓 #cdnecon #cdnpoli
November 25, 2024 at 11:25 PM
The chart here shows Government of Canada revenue, expenditure and debt accumulations as % of GDP, 1990 Q1 to 2026 Q2. Since 2024 Q1, expenditure has been flat while revenue has declined. #cdnecon
September 25, 2026 at 5:03 PM
Where do Canadian retaliatory tariffs land? Based on all affected products on Sept 8 (including pre-existing tariffs), here's the value of exports times tariff rates as a share of each state's GDP. #cdnecon #cdnpoli
August 25, 2026 at 6:50 PM
With all the goings on, there's probably no interest in why the 2023-24 deficit grew from $40B to $62B.

Just in case: ~75% due to contingent liabilities related to Indigenous rulings/awards; rest due to lower tax revenues.

Details: budget.canada.ca/update-mise... #cdnecon #cdnpoli
December 16, 2024 at 9:33 PM
Certain partisans have been citing Canada's performance on per capita GDP as evidence of a supposed 'lost decade' and economic mismanagement. In @irpp.org's Policy Options, I deconstruct this arbitrary and misleading statistic, in two parts. #cdnecon #cdnpoli. /2
April 22, 2025 at 2:12 AM
Bank of Canada lowers its main policy rate to 2.75% this morning.

Details: www.bankofcanada.ca/2025/03/fad... #cdnecon #cdnpoli
March 12, 2025 at 2:00 PM
1/8
🇨🇦 CANADA ADDS SURPRISE 67,000 JOBS; #UNEMPLOYMENT RATE DROPS TO 6.9% 🇨🇦

Canada's #labour market caught economists off guard. They expected a loss of 2,500 #jobs; instead, the #economy added 67,000, the second straight month of surprise gains.

#CdnEcon #CdnPoli
November 7, 2025 at 4:35 PM
Preliminary estimates: Canada's "dollar for dollar" retaliation would push its average tariff on imports from the U.S. to levels last seen in the late 1970s. And would be the sharpest rise in nearly a century. #cdnecon
August 23, 2026 at 12:21 AM
There's a lot of variation across #cdnecon in exposure to the new 50% U.S. tariffs (on August 19). Here's a preliminary estimate of the share of exports affected (based on HS6, so a slight over-estimate). BC/ON/QC most exposed. Others far less so.
July 21, 2026 at 7:53 PM
Corporate leaders are obsessing over GDP per capita.

But, if you look at just about any number that would meaningfully tell you how well our economy is doing, Canada does better than the U.S.

@mendelmatt.bsky.social @jimstanford.bsky.social #alwayscanada #never51 #gdp #cdnpoli #cdnecon
April 25, 2025 at 1:17 PM
Comparing GDP/capita growth across OECD countries over the past decade (plus selected aggregates like EU/G7/etc). #cdnecon
March 19, 2025 at 10:18 PM
The federal Chief Actuary has released their analysis of what Alberta would receive should it exit the CPP.

It's clear and accessible; give it a read: www.osfi-bsif.gc.ca/en/oca/oca-...

TL;DR: The Government of Alberta's 53% share is rejected. I'll explain. #cdnecon #cdnpoli
December 20, 2024 at 10:03 PM
A prematurely smug Conservative troll (echoing a prematurely smug Conservative leader) challenged me to update my chart from last year regarding the non-relationship between the carbon price and inflation. OK, let's do it. #cdnecon #canlab /2
May 20, 2025 at 5:45 PM
WATCH: Governor Macklem answers questions from journalists following his speech before the Halifax Partnership.

https://bit.ly/4hj8sqG

#cdnecon #economy
September 21, 2026 at 4:15 PM
It's been a month since Canada's federal consumer carbon price was eliminated. With the latest data from this morning, the effect on gasoline prices remains clear: nearly the full value of tax cut was passed to consumers. #cdnecon
May 5, 2025 at 7:30 PM
A sovereign wealth fund is a great idea, Canada should have had one years ago. But the devil is in the details. What kind of projects will it invest in, and in what form? And how will the public interest truly be advanced over time? Many questions to be answered... #cdnecon /2
April 27, 2026 at 9:04 PM