Also, high level thoughts on the impacts of the election to federal weather science.

The US summer warming hole is not a moist-enthalpy hole as humidity-sensitive metrics show widespread warming across the same region Equivalent-temperature decomposition in the warming hole shows...

Also, high level thoughts on the impacts of the election to federal weather science.

Also, high level thoughts on the impacts of the election to federal weather science.

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1149 PM CST Mon Nov 09 2026 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... The upper-level flow over the CONUS amplifies on Day 2/Wednesday with ridging over the Intermountain West and troughing across portions of central/eastern portions of the CONUS. A surface cyclone will strengthen and track east-southeast across the Midwest into the Ohio Valley. Drier post-frontal flow will develop on much of the Plains. However, the stronger winds are likely to be displaced from the lowest RH, and fuels are not particularly receptive on the Plains. Drier pre-frontal conditions are likely across portions of the southern Appalachians into Georgia and South Carolina. However, there will likely be limited overlap of moderately receptive fuels and elevated winds/RH, thus precluding introducing any risk areas at this time. ..Nauslar.. 11/10/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1149 PM CST Mon Nov 09 2026 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... The upper-level flow over the CONUS amplifies on Day 2/Wednesday with ridging over the Intermountain West and troughing across portions of central/eastern portions of the CONUS. A surface cyclone will strengthen and track east-southeast across the Midwest into the Ohio Valley. Drier post-frontal flow will develop on much of the Plains. However, the stronger winds are likely to be displaced from the lowest RH, and fuels are not particularly receptive on the Plains. Drier pre-frontal conditions are likely across portions of the southern Appalachians into Georgia and South Carolina. However, there will likely be limited overlap of moderately receptive fuels and elevated winds/RH, thus precluding introducing any risk areas at this time. ..Nauslar.. 11/10/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1041 AM CST Mon Nov 09 2026 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected Tuesday into early Wednesday. ...Synopsis... Mid-level impulses will traverse the northern CONUS and the Gulf Coast on Tuesday, reinforcing surface high pressure and an accompanying stable airmass across most of the CONUS, limiting thunderstorm development. A couple of thunderstorms may develop along the TX coastline as the Gulf Coast mid-level impulse overspreads seasonal moisture. A lightning flash or two may accompany impulses across the northwest Washington coastline and northern New England. A thunderstorm or two may also develop over the central FL Peninsula within a weak warm-air advection regime. However, the very sparse thunder coverage precludes general thunder highlights over these areas. ..Squitieri.. 11/09/2026 Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0130 PM CST Tue Nov 10 2026 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The previous forecast remains on track with no significant fire weather concerns across CONUS for D2/Wednesday. Please see previous discussion for additional details. ..Williams.. 11/10/2026 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1149 PM CST Mon Nov 09 2026/ ...Synopsis... The upper-level flow over the CONUS amplifies on Day 2/Wednesday with ridging over the Intermountain West and troughing across portions of central/eastern portions of the CONUS. A surface cyclone will strengthen and track east-southeast across the Midwest into the Ohio Valley. Drier post-frontal flow will develop on much of the Plains. However, the stronger winds are likely to be displaced from the lowest RH, and fuels are not particularly receptive on the Plains. Drier pre-frontal conditions are likely across portions of the southern Appalachians into Georgia and South Carolina. However, there will likely be limited overlap of moderately receptive fuels and elevated winds/RH, thus precluding introducing any risk areas at this time. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1149 PM CST Mon Nov 09 2026 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... The upper-level flow over the CONUS amplifies on Day 2/Wednesday with ridging over the Intermountain West and troughing across portions of central/eastern portions of the CONUS. A surface cyclone will strengthen and track east-southeast across the Midwest into the Ohio Valley. Drier post-frontal flow will develop on much of the Plains. However, the stronger winds are likely to be displaced from the lowest RH, and fuels are not particularly receptive on the Plains. Drier pre-frontal conditions are likely across portions of the southern Appalachians into Georgia and South Carolina. However, there will likely be limited overlap of moderately receptive fuels and elevated winds/RH, thus precluding introducing any risk areas at this time. ..Nauslar.. 11/10/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1042 AM CST Mon Nov 09 2026 Valid 091700Z - 101200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The previous forecast remains on track with minimal fire weather concerns across the CONUS today. ..Williams.. 11/09/2026 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1255 AM CST Mon Nov 09 2026/ ...Synopsis... A split-flow pattern will be in place across much of the CONUS through the day today, with the polar jet across the northern tier of states and subtropical jet across south Texas. This will generally result in weak forcing across much of the central and western US, leading to light surface winds across these regions. Some pockets of marginal (25-30%) RH are possible across portions of the southern Plains in the afternoon, though given fuels that are generally not receptive and the aforementioned light surface winds, no highlights are warranted at this time. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

Tomorrow.io incident on November 6, 2026: A data processing issue is causing stale precipitation, temperature, wind, visibility, humidity, and pressure data in NextGen CONUS forecast Started 7:42 PM UTC, resolved ongoing (● 5m). Affected: Timeline API, Map API, Tiles.