WE HAVE IDENTIFIED CAUSALITY wait what?
2:20 PM update: THE REGRESSION COEFFICIENT IS THE SAME EVERYWHERE YOU LOOK www.gelliottmorris.com/i/223234792/...
2026 ELECTION DAY LIVE BLOG
What to follow on Election Day and how to watch results come in, Strength In Numbers style
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November 3, 2026 at 7:52 PM
WE HAVE IDENTIFIED CAUSALITY wait what?
you got your causality backwards there
November 3, 2026 at 10:33 PM
you got your causality backwards there
sometimes you just need a reminder that causality is not irrevocably broken
November 4, 2026 at 4:45 AM
sometimes you just need a reminder that causality is not irrevocably broken
New from the BJPS Reviews of Books:
Causality, Counterfactuals, and Belief
– Franz Huber
Reviewed by Mario Günther
www.thebsps.org/reviewofbook...
#philsci #philsky
Causality, Counterfactuals, and Belief
– Franz Huber
Reviewed by Mario Günther
www.thebsps.org/reviewofbook...
#philsci #philsky
Franz Huber, Causality, Counterfactuals, and Belief | BJPS Review of Books
Mario Günther reviews Causality, Counterfactuals, and Belief, by Franz Huber
www.thebsps.org
November 4, 2026 at 10:33 AM
New from the BJPS Reviews of Books:
Causality, Counterfactuals, and Belief
– Franz Huber
Reviewed by Mario Günther
www.thebsps.org/reviewofbook...
#philsci #philsky
Causality, Counterfactuals, and Belief
– Franz Huber
Reviewed by Mario Günther
www.thebsps.org/reviewofbook...
#philsci #philsky
I see you fixed the causality issues :)
November 4, 2026 at 7:02 AM
I see you fixed the causality issues :)
I think you should care about p values and causality for related reasons, but mainly because statistically insignificant findings are small or zero and that’s important context
November 5, 2026 at 9:28 PM
I think you should care about p values and causality for related reasons, but mainly because statistically insignificant findings are small or zero and that’s important context
Angie Nixon really another causality of the Dem establishment dragging their feet to support progressive candidates
November 4, 2026 at 2:34 AM
Angie Nixon really another causality of the Dem establishment dragging their feet to support progressive candidates
Oh yeah. The causality weirdness of our real life ruined their chance.
November 4, 2026 at 5:09 AM
Oh yeah. The causality weirdness of our real life ruined their chance.
yeah this happened to me too
November 3, 2026 at 2:15 AM
yeah this happened to me too
Snatching defeat from the jaws of causality.
This didn't happen. The entire infrastructure of the Democratic Party basically unpersoned Stevens in about the space of 2 hours. Nobody has stopped backing Peltola. You're yelling at the voices in your head.
In short: Corporate Media & Establishment Democrats turning against Democratic senate candidates in Alaska & Michigan in last few days is great news for them. This proves to the rest of US that their success is a victory for The People over the corrupt Elite undermining our freedom & opportunity.
November 2, 2026 at 12:47 AM
Snatching defeat from the jaws of causality.
omg YES this - thank you for saying. I keep coming back to this feeling that finally some things make *sense*. Like we’d been living in a world where causality had broken down, and last night it turned back on.
November 4, 2026 at 1:34 PM
omg YES this - thank you for saying. I keep coming back to this feeling that finally some things make *sense*. Like we’d been living in a world where causality had broken down, and last night it turned back on.
i don't think you can reason causality from this. voters are bad at explaining their decision making process, which is also why they are bad at answering hypotheticals.
This helps explain my point about this election not being just about gas prices.
Voters who saw the economy as the main issue split fairly evenly. Those who put democracy first overwhelmingly voted Democrat.
Voters who saw the economy as the main issue split fairly evenly. Those who put democracy first overwhelmingly voted Democrat.
November 5, 2026 at 7:38 PM
i don't think you can reason causality from this. voters are bad at explaining their decision making process, which is also why they are bad at answering hypotheticals.
There is always a scramble to explain an election or other significant event immediately, long before there's sufficient evidence or time for thought to reliably assign causality.
November 6, 2026 at 11:02 PM
There is always a scramble to explain an election or other significant event immediately, long before there's sufficient evidence or time for thought to reliably assign causality.
Wow this is my most like post!
If anyone is interested in learning more about my work feel free to visit my startups website (get-causality.com). I’ve been building a website and survey platform to scale causal mapping to understand how people see cause and effect relationships.
If anyone is interested in learning more about my work feel free to visit my startups website (get-causality.com). I’ve been building a website and survey platform to scale causal mapping to understand how people see cause and effect relationships.
Get Causality: understand how stakeholders think at scale
Surveys capture what people think. Get Causality records what people believe causes what, across many respondents. Closed beta.
get-causality.com
November 6, 2026 at 2:45 AM
Wow this is my most like post!
If anyone is interested in learning more about my work feel free to visit my startups website (get-causality.com). I’ve been building a website and survey platform to scale causal mapping to understand how people see cause and effect relationships.
If anyone is interested in learning more about my work feel free to visit my startups website (get-causality.com). I’ve been building a website and survey platform to scale causal mapping to understand how people see cause and effect relationships.
I can’t even be entirely certain the causality goes in the direction one might assume!
November 2, 2026 at 5:57 PM
I can’t even be entirely certain the causality goes in the direction one might assume!
Kamila (Ghost Trick)
Cursed causality
Cogs of celebration turn
Tragic Rube Goldberg
#videogames #poetry #haiku #ghosttrick
Cursed causality
Cogs of celebration turn
Tragic Rube Goldberg
#videogames #poetry #haiku #ghosttrick
November 6, 2026 at 11:56 PM
Kamila (Ghost Trick)
Cursed causality
Cogs of celebration turn
Tragic Rube Goldberg
#videogames #poetry #haiku #ghosttrick
Cursed causality
Cogs of celebration turn
Tragic Rube Goldberg
#videogames #poetry #haiku #ghosttrick
I wonder if the causality is reversed here - were datacenter projects more likely to be sited in communities that had less political clout in the state, and were thus more likely to swing away from the GOP?
November 5, 2026 at 10:32 PM
I wonder if the causality is reversed here - were datacenter projects more likely to be sited in communities that had less political clout in the state, and were thus more likely to swing away from the GOP?
It will be Hipkins' fault. Direct causality. He's a Bill English albatross.
November 7, 2026 at 6:33 AM
It will be Hipkins' fault. Direct causality. He's a Bill English albatross.
GTA 6 trailer reveal, but make it Temple of Causality: Reincarnation! 🌴🎮 What happens when an indie puzzle game gets the GTA poster treatment? AI video spoof!
@magicorbitstudios.bsky.social
Wishlist: linktr.ee/templeofcaus... #puzzlegame #indiegame #GTA6 #indiedev #gamedev #sokoban #pcgame
@magicorbitstudios.bsky.social
Wishlist: linktr.ee/templeofcaus... #puzzlegame #indiegame #GTA6 #indiedev #gamedev #sokoban #pcgame
November 6, 2026 at 1:16 PM
GTA 6 trailer reveal, but make it Temple of Causality: Reincarnation! 🌴🎮 What happens when an indie puzzle game gets the GTA poster treatment? AI video spoof!
@magicorbitstudios.bsky.social
Wishlist: linktr.ee/templeofcaus... #puzzlegame #indiegame #GTA6 #indiedev #gamedev #sokoban #pcgame
@magicorbitstudios.bsky.social
Wishlist: linktr.ee/templeofcaus... #puzzlegame #indiegame #GTA6 #indiedev #gamedev #sokoban #pcgame
It doesn't correlate especially well to falling rates of violence either.
Its... this graph is the final boss of causality is not correlation.
Its... this graph is the final boss of causality is not correlation.
November 6, 2026 at 4:13 PM
It doesn't correlate especially well to falling rates of violence either.
Its... this graph is the final boss of causality is not correlation.
Its... this graph is the final boss of causality is not correlation.
but also just being treated that way constantly has a way of eroding someone's sense of not just morality but causality
November 5, 2026 at 4:52 PM
but also just being treated that way constantly has a way of eroding someone's sense of not just morality but causality
That's not what I said. I said I don't see a relationship between caring about causality and why we should care about the p-value of DSA membership and overperformance which is a different claim.
November 5, 2026 at 9:24 PM
That's not what I said. I said I don't see a relationship between caring about causality and why we should care about the p-value of DSA membership and overperformance which is a different claim.
a rhetorical tendency [causality]
November 2, 2026 at 10:03 PM
a rhetorical tendency [causality]
Everyone who crawls into the time travel hole gets stuck in an unending causality loop of misery. That wouldn’t happen to me though
November 3, 2026 at 8:36 PM
Everyone who crawls into the time travel hole gets stuck in an unending causality loop of misery. That wouldn’t happen to me though
Third different physio seen about my hip.
Third different diagnosis, as they work through possibilities.
Third different set of exercises, & both the previous two led to some improvement.
Third time's always the answer in stories, so I'm relying on narrative causality to sort shit out this time.
Third different diagnosis, as they work through possibilities.
Third different set of exercises, & both the previous two led to some improvement.
Third time's always the answer in stories, so I'm relying on narrative causality to sort shit out this time.
November 6, 2026 at 8:57 AM
Third different physio seen about my hip.
Third different diagnosis, as they work through possibilities.
Third different set of exercises, & both the previous two led to some improvement.
Third time's always the answer in stories, so I'm relying on narrative causality to sort shit out this time.
Third different diagnosis, as they work through possibilities.
Third different set of exercises, & both the previous two led to some improvement.
Third time's always the answer in stories, so I'm relying on narrative causality to sort shit out this time.