Como ya comenté, cualquier evento extremo que esté pasando o vaya a pasar en España no tendrá mucho que ver con El Niño, sino con el caos climático debido al calentamiento global.
Visor: dashboard.theclimatebrink.com#impacts
Visor: dashboard.theclimatebrink.com#impacts
Climate Dashboard
Daily-updated global temperature tracker: ERA5 daily data, multi-model ENSO forecasts, annual projections, and climate models vs. observations.
dashboard.theclimatebrink.com
September 29, 2026 at 12:51 PM
Como ya comenté, cualquier evento extremo que esté pasando o vaya a pasar en España no tendrá mucho que ver con El Niño, sino con el caos climático debido al calentamiento global.
Visor: dashboard.theclimatebrink.com#impacts
Visor: dashboard.theclimatebrink.com#impacts
🇸🇪 80 tjänster hotas vid Gruvöns sågverk
#NordicNews #Nyheter #GruvönsSågverk #KorslimmatTrä #StoraEnso #Värmland
#NordicNews #Nyheter #GruvönsSågverk #KorslimmatTrä #StoraEnso #Värmland
80 tjänster hotas vid Gruvöns sågverk
80 tjänster kan vara i fara när Stora Enso nu vill stänga produktionsenheten för korslimmat trä vid Gruvöns sågverk i Grums.
www.svt.se
September 29, 2026 at 11:47 AM
🇸🇪 80 tjänster hotas vid Gruvöns sågverk
#NordicNews #Nyheter #GruvönsSågverk #KorslimmatTrä #StoraEnso #Värmland
#NordicNews #Nyheter #GruvönsSågverk #KorslimmatTrä #StoraEnso #Värmland
in the case you missed this: a great dashboard showing the potential impacts of this El Niño dashboard.theclimatebrink.com#impacts
Climate Dashboard
Daily-updated global temperature tracker: ERA5 daily data, multi-model ENSO forecasts, annual projections, and climate models vs. observations.
dashboard.theclimatebrink.com
September 29, 2026 at 11:04 AM
in the case you missed this: a great dashboard showing the potential impacts of this El Niño dashboard.theclimatebrink.com#impacts
¿Cómo afectará el ‘Niño Godzilla’ al invierno de 2026-27 en España? #NiñoGodzilla #ElNiño #Invierno2026 #España #AEMET #Meteorología #Clima #TiempoEspaña #PrevisiónMeteorológica #Lluvias #Temperaturas #ENSO #felizmartes #29deseptiembre
¿Cómo afectará el ‘Niño Godzilla’ al invierno de 2026-27 en España?
El Niño podría alcanzar una intensidad histórica este otoño e invierno, mientras España afronta más calor y una lluvia muy desigual por zonas.
donporque.com
September 29, 2026 at 10:51 AM
¿Cómo afectará el ‘Niño Godzilla’ al invierno de 2026-27 en España? #NiñoGodzilla #ElNiño #Invierno2026 #España #AEMET #Meteorología #Clima #TiempoEspaña #PrevisiónMeteorológica #Lluvias #Temperaturas #ENSO #felizmartes #29deseptiembre
Tomohon kembali diguyur hujan. Taratara, Woloan, dan sejumlah wilayah lain di tanah Minahasa ikut merasakan basahnya langit.
Tetapi El Niño masih menguat.
👉"Hujan di Tengah El Niño"—Membaca cuaca Tomohon melalui data dan kajian ilmiah.
Baca di DORANG—Cerita yang Layak untuk Diceritakan 👇
Tetapi El Niño masih menguat.
👉"Hujan di Tengah El Niño"—Membaca cuaca Tomohon melalui data dan kajian ilmiah.
Baca di DORANG—Cerita yang Layak untuk Diceritakan 👇
Hujan di Tengah El Niño
Hujan turun di Tomohon saat El Niño menguat. Apakah ini hujan lokal? Membaca cuaca, iklim, ENSO, dan dinamika atmosfer melalui data dan kajian ilmiah.
donnyturang.blogspot.com
September 29, 2026 at 10:47 AM
Tomohon kembali diguyur hujan. Taratara, Woloan, dan sejumlah wilayah lain di tanah Minahasa ikut merasakan basahnya langit.
Tetapi El Niño masih menguat.
👉"Hujan di Tengah El Niño"—Membaca cuaca Tomohon melalui data dan kajian ilmiah.
Baca di DORANG—Cerita yang Layak untuk Diceritakan 👇
Tetapi El Niño masih menguat.
👉"Hujan di Tengah El Niño"—Membaca cuaca Tomohon melalui data dan kajian ilmiah.
Baca di DORANG—Cerita yang Layak untuk Diceritakan 👇
Fick syn på hurmos.
September 29, 2026 at 10:20 AM
Fick syn på hurmos.
BoM’s latest ENSO chart has the El Niño close to record highs…a full two months ahead of the previous high in 2015. Importantly, BoM notes all models forecast the tropical to keep warming through spring, possibly peaking in summer. How big will this thing get?
September 29, 2026 at 6:42 AM
BoM’s latest ENSO chart has the El Niño close to record highs…a full two months ahead of the previous high in 2015. Importantly, BoM notes all models forecast the tropical to keep warming through spring, possibly peaking in summer. How big will this thing get?
AI needs to learn the motion of the ocean, researchers report - OLAR via SPJ via Eurekalert!
www.eurekalert.org/news-release...
www.eurekalert.org/news-release...
AI needs to learn the motion of the ocean, researchers report
Artificial intelligence (AI) can help reconstruct the ocean interior, predict waves and forecast the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) — but can it do so in ways that remain consistent ...
www.eurekalert.org
September 28, 2026 at 11:31 PM
AI needs to learn the motion of the ocean, researchers report - OLAR via SPJ via Eurekalert!
www.eurekalert.org/news-release...
www.eurekalert.org/news-release...
Here’s how much the Eastern Pacific has changed since January. The Equatorial region warms/ cools due to El Niño La Niña cycles. ENSO 3.4 has warmed ~4C since Jan.
September 28, 2026 at 11:11 PM
Here’s how much the Eastern Pacific has changed since January. The Equatorial region warms/ cools due to El Niño La Niña cycles. ENSO 3.4 has warmed ~4C since Jan.
Interesting aside for #aotearoa: the models here are not showing a strong signal in any direction. We could get a pronounced summer and autumn drought, especially on the eastern side of both islands, but those often arrive in years where ENSO is neutral.
The more obvious takeaway I see is a […]
The more obvious takeaway I see is a […]
Original post on mastodon.nz
mastodon.nz
September 28, 2026 at 8:56 PM
Interesting aside for #aotearoa: the models here are not showing a strong signal in any direction. We could get a pronounced summer and autumn drought, especially on the eastern side of both islands, but those often arrive in years where ENSO is neutral.
The more obvious takeaway I see is a […]
The more obvious takeaway I see is a […]
Das ist wichtig: Es ist eine Prognose, noch kein eingetretener Rekord.
Aber inzwischen ein ziemlich ernstzunehmendes 🔗-Signal, weil ENSO nicht lokal bleibt. NOAA betont selbst, dass mit zunehmender Stärke die Wahrscheinlichkeit typischer El-Niño-Auswirkungen wächst —
Aber inzwischen ein ziemlich ernstzunehmendes 🔗-Signal, weil ENSO nicht lokal bleibt. NOAA betont selbst, dass mit zunehmender Stärke die Wahrscheinlichkeit typischer El-Niño-Auswirkungen wächst —
September 28, 2026 at 8:55 PM
Das ist wichtig: Es ist eine Prognose, noch kein eingetretener Rekord.
Aber inzwischen ein ziemlich ernstzunehmendes 🔗-Signal, weil ENSO nicht lokal bleibt. NOAA betont selbst, dass mit zunehmender Stärke die Wahrscheinlichkeit typischer El-Niño-Auswirkungen wächst —
Aber inzwischen ein ziemlich ernstzunehmendes 🔗-Signal, weil ENSO nicht lokal bleibt. NOAA betont selbst, dass mit zunehmender Stärke die Wahrscheinlichkeit typischer El-Niño-Auswirkungen wächst —
übertreffen.
Die Wahrscheinlichkeit eines sehr starken El Niño im Herbst/Winter liegt bei über 90 %.
Die Wahrscheinlichkeit eines sehr starken El Niño im Herbst/Winter liegt bei über 90 %.
Climate Prediction Center - Official NOAA CPC ENSO Strength Probabilities
www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov
September 28, 2026 at 8:55 PM
übertreffen.
Die Wahrscheinlichkeit eines sehr starken El Niño im Herbst/Winter liegt bei über 90 %.
Die Wahrscheinlichkeit eines sehr starken El Niño im Herbst/Winter liegt bei über 90 %.
🔴🔗 #NOAA hat die #Prognose nochmals angehoben.
Für Oktober–Dezember 2026 gibt NOAA inzwischen eine 75-%-Wahrscheinlichkeit, dass der dreimonatige #RONI +2,5 °C überschreitet.
Das würde nach NOAAs Definition die Stärke sämtlicher #El-Niño-Ereignisse seit Beginn dieser Vergleichsreihe 1950
Für Oktober–Dezember 2026 gibt NOAA inzwischen eine 75-%-Wahrscheinlichkeit, dass der dreimonatige #RONI +2,5 °C überschreitet.
Das würde nach NOAAs Definition die Stärke sämtlicher #El-Niño-Ereignisse seit Beginn dieser Vergleichsreihe 1950
Climate Prediction Center: ENSO Diagnostic Discussion
www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov
September 28, 2026 at 8:55 PM
🔴🔗 #NOAA hat die #Prognose nochmals angehoben.
Für Oktober–Dezember 2026 gibt NOAA inzwischen eine 75-%-Wahrscheinlichkeit, dass der dreimonatige #RONI +2,5 °C überschreitet.
Das würde nach NOAAs Definition die Stärke sämtlicher #El-Niño-Ereignisse seit Beginn dieser Vergleichsreihe 1950
Für Oktober–Dezember 2026 gibt NOAA inzwischen eine 75-%-Wahrscheinlichkeit, dass der dreimonatige #RONI +2,5 °C überschreitet.
Das würde nach NOAAs Definition die Stärke sämtlicher #El-Niño-Ereignisse seit Beginn dieser Vergleichsreihe 1950
It’s worthwhile to look into the past for clues of how to prepare and respond. But past experiences will not help us understand the scope of the severity of climate change on top of the strongest El Niño since we were able to measure ENSO (possibly of all-time).
September 28, 2026 at 8:48 PM
It’s worthwhile to look into the past for clues of how to prepare and respond. But past experiences will not help us understand the scope of the severity of climate change on top of the strongest El Niño since we were able to measure ENSO (possibly of all-time).
We’re at least guaranteed some Anaheim Electronics-style shenanigans out of Enso Order
September 28, 2026 at 5:11 PM
We’re at least guaranteed some Anaheim Electronics-style shenanigans out of Enso Order
Prolonged El Nino may hurt marine ecosystem: INCOIS
->The Hindu | More on "El Niño impacts on marine ecosystems" at BigEarthData.ai | #marine ecosystem
->The Hindu | More on "El Niño impacts on marine ecosystems" at BigEarthData.ai | #marine ecosystem
Prolonged El Nino may hurt marine ecosystem: INCOIS
The current El Niño conditions are likely to remain dominant until at least April 2027, with probabilities ranging between 80% and 100% and could adversely affect the marine ecosystem, according to scientists at the Indian National Centre for Ocean Information Services (INCOIS) on Monday. El Niño refers to the warming of sea surface temperatures in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean and represents the warm phase of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO). Such conditions are known to weaken the Indian summer monsoon, often affecting rainfall patterns and, in turn, the country’s agriculture and economy. Beyond its influence on rainfall, El Niño can trigger stronger and longer-lasting marine heatwaves across the northern Indian Ocean that can disrupt marine ecosystems, damage coral reefs and impact fisheries. In contrast, La Niña, characterised by unusually cool waters in the equatorial Pacific, generally supports stronger monsoon conditions over India. Scientists say El Niño has strengthened and is expected to remain strong through the August 2026-March 2027 period. Its persistence is likely to influence ocean conditions across the North Indian Ocean, leading to higher sea surface temperatures, increased upper-ocean heat content, stronger water-column stratification and widespread marine heatwaves. Marine heatwave conditions are already widespread across...
www.thehindu.com
September 28, 2026 at 3:51 PM
What's it mean for local weather?
as 2026 is on ~1.6C path
"want...particular region...
interactive map
👇
Climate Dashboard
dashboard.theclimatebrink.com#impacts
Click region...
How it fared in 8 strong El Niños
what...forecast models shows
summary...research"
@nicolemitchell-mn.bsky.social
as 2026 is on ~1.6C path
"want...particular region...
interactive map
👇
Climate Dashboard
dashboard.theclimatebrink.com#impacts
Click region...
How it fared in 8 strong El Niños
what...forecast models shows
summary...research"
@nicolemitchell-mn.bsky.social
September 28, 2026 at 3:09 PM
What's it mean for local weather?
as 2026 is on ~1.6C path
"want...particular region...
interactive map
👇
Climate Dashboard
dashboard.theclimatebrink.com#impacts
Click region...
How it fared in 8 strong El Niños
what...forecast models shows
summary...research"
@nicolemitchell-mn.bsky.social
as 2026 is on ~1.6C path
"want...particular region...
interactive map
👇
Climate Dashboard
dashboard.theclimatebrink.com#impacts
Click region...
How it fared in 8 strong El Niños
what...forecast models shows
summary...research"
@nicolemitchell-mn.bsky.social
Very thorough! Larger theoretical question: is there an extreme along current longer term warming trajectories where ENSO ‘breaks’ or shifts to a novel impact regime?
September 28, 2026 at 2:46 PM
Very thorough! Larger theoretical question: is there an extreme along current longer term warming trajectories where ENSO ‘breaks’ or shifts to a novel impact regime?
Jeff mentioned that the underlying driver of the warming ocean is human-caused global warming (driven by our FF GHG emissions). Here's what all ocean phases (El Niño, La Niña and ENSO-NEUTRAL) are doing:
September 28, 2026 at 12:41 PM
Jeff mentioned that the underlying driver of the warming ocean is human-caused global warming (driven by our FF GHG emissions). Here's what all ocean phases (El Niño, La Niña and ENSO-NEUTRAL) are doing:
The ENSO Region 1+2, 3, and 3.4 anomalies for the week centered around September 23rd were +4.7C, +3.9C, and +3.1C. All three are new records. #ElNiño
September 28, 2026 at 10:02 AM
The ENSO Region 1+2, 3, and 3.4 anomalies for the week centered around September 23rd were +4.7C, +3.9C, and +3.1C. All three are new records. #ElNiño
そういや今週エースコンバット8か
予約でF-14Aもらえるんだっけか…
BENEFITS｜PRODUCT｜ACE COMBAT 8: WINGS OF THEVE｜バンダイナムコエンターテインメント
enso-order.acecombat.jp/product/bene...
予約でF-14Aもらえるんだっけか…
BENEFITS｜PRODUCT｜ACE COMBAT 8: WINGS OF THEVE｜バンダイナムコエンターテインメント
enso-order.acecombat.jp/product/bene...
ACE COMBAT 8: WINGS OF THEVE
ACE COMBAT 8: WINGS OF THEVE 公式サイト
enso-order.acecombat.jp
September 28, 2026 at 4:43 AM
そういや今週エースコンバット8か
予約でF-14Aもらえるんだっけか…
BENEFITS｜PRODUCT｜ACE COMBAT 8: WINGS OF THEVE｜バンダイナムコエンターテインメント
enso-order.acecombat.jp/product/bene...
予約でF-14Aもらえるんだっけか…
BENEFITS｜PRODUCT｜ACE COMBAT 8: WINGS OF THEVE｜バンダイナムコエンターテインメント
enso-order.acecombat.jp/product/bene...
spent Sunday night watching Savage Aural Hotbed and Enso Daiko collaborating onstage
September 28, 2026 at 3:40 AM
spent Sunday night watching Savage Aural Hotbed and Enso Daiko collaborating onstage
Kinda has me worried about how it will be when the ENSO is no longer doing the storm-disrupting wind shears and we have all this latent heat.
We're gonna get at least one badass storm next year, and we're absolutely not ready.
We're gonna get at least one badass storm next year, and we're absolutely not ready.
September 27, 2026 at 11:47 PM
Kinda has me worried about how it will be when the ENSO is no longer doing the storm-disrupting wind shears and we have all this latent heat.
We're gonna get at least one badass storm next year, and we're absolutely not ready.
We're gonna get at least one badass storm next year, and we're absolutely not ready.
I can't help but wonder what the next Super La Nina will be like.
Is the ENSO period going to stay 3-7 years, get more annual, or will a new decadal rhythm kick in?
ENSO is changing!
Is the ENSO period going to stay 3-7 years, get more annual, or will a new decadal rhythm kick in?
ENSO is changing!
September 27, 2026 at 9:47 PM
I can't help but wonder what the next Super La Nina will be like.
Is the ENSO period going to stay 3-7 years, get more annual, or will a new decadal rhythm kick in?
ENSO is changing!
Is the ENSO period going to stay 3-7 years, get more annual, or will a new decadal rhythm kick in?
ENSO is changing!
Wet in Rio?
It’s almost like the NFL needs a climatologist.
ENSO drenches the former capital city
www.france24.com/en/live-news...
It’s almost like the NFL needs a climatologist.
ENSO drenches the former capital city
www.france24.com/en/live-news...
Rio breaks record for rainiest September amid powerful El Nino
Brazil's typically sun-drenched city of Rio de Janeiro is experiencing its wettest September on record as the powerful El Nino weather phenomenon threatens to wreak havoc in the vast nation.
www.france24.com
September 27, 2026 at 8:42 PM
Wet in Rio?
It’s almost like the NFL needs a climatologist.
ENSO drenches the former capital city
www.france24.com/en/live-news...
It’s almost like the NFL needs a climatologist.
ENSO drenches the former capital city
www.france24.com/en/live-news...