—The early/mail vote in the 4 Dem districts the GOP redrew:
FL-09: Dem +14
FL-14: Dem +13
FL-22: Dem +8
FL-25: Dem +15
—In the maybe vulnerable GOP seats:
FL-04: Dem +17
FL-07: GOP +9
FL-12: GOP +1
FL-13: Dem +3
FL-16: Dem +2
FL-27: Dem +4
***Note ED in Florida in very red!***
FL-09: Dem +14
FL-14: Dem +13
FL-22: Dem +8
FL-25: Dem +15
—In the maybe vulnerable GOP seats:
FL-04: Dem +17
FL-07: GOP +9
FL-12: GOP +1
FL-13: Dem +3
FL-16: Dem +2
FL-27: Dem +4
***Note ED in Florida in very red!***
November 4, 2026 at 12:22 AM
—The early/mail vote in the 4 Dem districts the GOP redrew:
FL-09: Dem +14
FL-14: Dem +13
FL-22: Dem +8
FL-25: Dem +15
—In the maybe vulnerable GOP seats:
FL-04: Dem +17
FL-07: GOP +9
FL-12: GOP +1
FL-13: Dem +3
FL-16: Dem +2
FL-27: Dem +4
***Note ED in Florida in very red!***
FL-09: Dem +14
FL-14: Dem +13
FL-22: Dem +8
FL-25: Dem +15
—In the maybe vulnerable GOP seats:
FL-04: Dem +17
FL-07: GOP +9
FL-12: GOP +1
FL-13: Dem +3
FL-16: Dem +2
FL-27: Dem +4
***Note ED in Florida in very red!***
FL-07 (Sanford, Deltona)
FL-13 (northern Pinellas County)
FL-26 (Hialeah and southwest Broward)
FL-27 (Miami)
all Trump by double digits. (I expect provisionals to have a D lean this year generally, so not as concerned with Kissimmee-to-Vero Beach FL-09 where Rep. Darren Soto leads by 0.6.)
FL-13 (northern Pinellas County)
FL-26 (Hialeah and southwest Broward)
FL-27 (Miami)
all Trump by double digits. (I expect provisionals to have a D lean this year generally, so not as concerned with Kissimmee-to-Vero Beach FL-09 where Rep. Darren Soto leads by 0.6.)
November 4, 2026 at 7:28 AM
FL-07 (Sanford, Deltona)
FL-13 (northern Pinellas County)
FL-26 (Hialeah and southwest Broward)
FL-27 (Miami)
all Trump by double digits. (I expect provisionals to have a D lean this year generally, so not as concerned with Kissimmee-to-Vero Beach FL-09 where Rep. Darren Soto leads by 0.6.)
FL-13 (northern Pinellas County)
FL-26 (Hialeah and southwest Broward)
FL-27 (Miami)
all Trump by double digits. (I expect provisionals to have a D lean this year generally, so not as concerned with Kissimmee-to-Vero Beach FL-09 where Rep. Darren Soto leads by 0.6.)
Ok, FL-07 and FL-09 are tossups
November 4, 2026 at 12:56 AM
Ok, FL-07 and FL-09 are tossups
7:00 EST districts to watch:
these should be close:
- FL-09
- FL-22
- VA-01
- SC-01
Democrats will be stoked if they win:
- FL-04, FL-07, FL 13, FL 16, FL 27
these should be close:
- FL-09
- FL-22
- VA-01
- SC-01
Democrats will be stoked if they win:
- FL-04, FL-07, FL 13, FL 16, FL 27
November 3, 2026 at 11:59 PM
7:00 EST districts to watch:
these should be close:
- FL-09
- FL-22
- VA-01
- SC-01
Democrats will be stoked if they win:
- FL-04, FL-07, FL 13, FL 16, FL 27
these should be close:
- FL-09
- FL-22
- VA-01
- SC-01
Democrats will be stoked if they win:
- FL-04, FL-07, FL 13, FL 16, FL 27
Fwiw Cook had KY-6 as tossup (IN-5 as lean R)
November 4, 2026 at 1:50 AM
Fwiw Cook had KY-6 as tossup (IN-5 as lean R)
House so far: D 28 R 13
D HOLD
FL-14 and FL-25 - marginal races
Also Likely to win
FL-22, FL-09, TX-34 NC-11, PA-07, MI-07, NC-01, NJ-07, OH-09, MI-10, VA-02
D HOLD
FL-14 and FL-25 - marginal races
Also Likely to win
FL-22, FL-09, TX-34 NC-11, PA-07, MI-07, NC-01, NJ-07, OH-09, MI-10, VA-02
November 4, 2026 at 1:27 AM
House so far: D 28 R 13
D HOLD
FL-14 and FL-25 - marginal races
Also Likely to win
FL-22, FL-09, TX-34 NC-11, PA-07, MI-07, NC-01, NJ-07, OH-09, MI-10, VA-02
D HOLD
FL-14 and FL-25 - marginal races
Also Likely to win
FL-22, FL-09, TX-34 NC-11, PA-07, MI-07, NC-01, NJ-07, OH-09, MI-10, VA-02
🔗 CAMPAIGN WEBSITES (1–6)
💙 Jessica Killin | CO-05
killinforcolorado.com
💙 Bob Harvie | PA-01
bobharvieforcongress.com
💙 Paige Cognetti | PA-08
paigeforpa.com
💙 Marcy Kaptur | OH-09
marcykaptur.com
💙 Bale Dalton | FL-07
baledalton.com
💙 Darren Soto | FL-09
darrensoto.com
#VoteBlue #SheShed
💙 Jessica Killin | CO-05
killinforcolorado.com
💙 Bob Harvie | PA-01
bobharvieforcongress.com
💙 Paige Cognetti | PA-08
paigeforpa.com
💙 Marcy Kaptur | OH-09
marcykaptur.com
💙 Bale Dalton | FL-07
baledalton.com
💙 Darren Soto | FL-09
darrensoto.com
#VoteBlue #SheShed
Jessica Killin for Congress
A proud fourth-generation Coloradan, Jessica is a devoted mother, Army veteran, and public servant running for Congress to restore competence, courage, and character to Washington.
killinforcolorado.com
November 1, 2026 at 2:46 PM
🔗 CAMPAIGN WEBSITES (1–6)
💙 Jessica Killin | CO-05
killinforcolorado.com
💙 Bob Harvie | PA-01
bobharvieforcongress.com
💙 Paige Cognetti | PA-08
paigeforpa.com
💙 Marcy Kaptur | OH-09
marcykaptur.com
💙 Bale Dalton | FL-07
baledalton.com
💙 Darren Soto | FL-09
darrensoto.com
#VoteBlue #SheShed
💙 Jessica Killin | CO-05
killinforcolorado.com
💙 Bob Harvie | PA-01
bobharvieforcongress.com
💙 Paige Cognetti | PA-08
paigeforpa.com
💙 Marcy Kaptur | OH-09
marcykaptur.com
💙 Bale Dalton | FL-07
baledalton.com
💙 Darren Soto | FL-09
darrensoto.com
#VoteBlue #SheShed
Bei Fl-07 und Fl-27 geht es wahrscheinlich um wenige hundert Stimmen. Bei 90-95% Auszählung sind die Dems 150 und 522 Stimmen hinten 🤔
November 4, 2026 at 1:18 AM
Bei Fl-07 und Fl-27 geht es wahrscheinlich um wenige hundert Stimmen. Bei 90-95% Auszählung sind die Dems 150 und 522 Stimmen hinten 🤔
Uncalled Safe D seats:
CA-04, -07, -11, -14, -34 (all D vs D)
FL-09, TN-04 (100% reporting, D leads)
NV-02, NY-04, NY-17, TX-09 (other calls and/or R conceded)
Uncalled Safe R seats:
CA-40 (R vs R)
FL-07, -13, -26, -27, TN-09 (100% reporting, R leads)
LA-05, -06 (deep red seats heading to runoff)
CA-04, -07, -11, -14, -34 (all D vs D)
FL-09, TN-04 (100% reporting, D leads)
NV-02, NY-04, NY-17, TX-09 (other calls and/or R conceded)
Uncalled Safe R seats:
CA-40 (R vs R)
FL-07, -13, -26, -27, TN-09 (100% reporting, R leads)
LA-05, -06 (deep red seats heading to runoff)
November 4, 2026 at 9:19 AM
Uncalled Safe D seats:
CA-04, -07, -11, -14, -34 (all D vs D)
FL-09, TN-04 (100% reporting, D leads)
NV-02, NY-04, NY-17, TX-09 (other calls and/or R conceded)
Uncalled Safe R seats:
CA-40 (R vs R)
FL-07, -13, -26, -27, TN-09 (100% reporting, R leads)
LA-05, -06 (deep red seats heading to runoff)
CA-04, -07, -11, -14, -34 (all D vs D)
FL-09, TN-04 (100% reporting, D leads)
NV-02, NY-04, NY-17, TX-09 (other calls and/or R conceded)
Uncalled Safe R seats:
CA-40 (R vs R)
FL-07, -13, -26, -27, TN-09 (100% reporting, R leads)
LA-05, -06 (deep red seats heading to runoff)
Seriously, though: a LOT of people moved to FL. And then stopped. news.ufl.edu/2026/07/flor...
Florida migration slowed sharply in 2025, with mid-sized counties continuing to grow
New population estimates from the U.S. Census Bureau show migration to Florida slowed significantly in 2025, with the steepest declines occurring in some of the state's largest, most expensive countie...
news.ufl.edu
November 4, 2026 at 6:31 PM
Seriously, though: a LOT of people moved to FL. And then stopped. news.ufl.edu/2026/07/flor...
Margins for all their toss-ups:
(* denotes less than 95% in)
CA-22*: D+33
CO-05*: D+6.3
FL-14: D+5.3
FL-22: D+3.8
IA-02: D+3.9
KY-06: D+9.4
MI-04: D+1.8
MI-07: D+3.3
MI-10: D+7.1
MT-01*:D+2.7
NC-01: D+3.3
NY-17*: D+4.3
OH-07: D+9.8
PA-01: D+5.4
SC-01: D+1.1
TX-35: D+10.8
TX-15: D+24.6
VA-01: D+2.3
(* denotes less than 95% in)
CA-22*: D+33
CO-05*: D+6.3
FL-14: D+5.3
FL-22: D+3.8
IA-02: D+3.9
KY-06: D+9.4
MI-04: D+1.8
MI-07: D+3.3
MI-10: D+7.1
MT-01*:D+2.7
NC-01: D+3.3
NY-17*: D+4.3
OH-07: D+9.8
PA-01: D+5.4
SC-01: D+1.1
TX-35: D+10.8
TX-15: D+24.6
VA-01: D+2.3
November 4, 2026 at 9:22 PM
Margins for all their toss-ups:
(* denotes less than 95% in)
CA-22*: D+33
CO-05*: D+6.3
FL-14: D+5.3
FL-22: D+3.8
IA-02: D+3.9
KY-06: D+9.4
MI-04: D+1.8
MI-07: D+3.3
MI-10: D+7.1
MT-01*:D+2.7
NC-01: D+3.3
NY-17*: D+4.3
OH-07: D+9.8
PA-01: D+5.4
SC-01: D+1.1
TX-35: D+10.8
TX-15: D+24.6
VA-01: D+2.3
(* denotes less than 95% in)
CA-22*: D+33
CO-05*: D+6.3
FL-14: D+5.3
FL-22: D+3.8
IA-02: D+3.9
KY-06: D+9.4
MI-04: D+1.8
MI-07: D+3.3
MI-10: D+7.1
MT-01*:D+2.7
NC-01: D+3.3
NY-17*: D+4.3
OH-07: D+9.8
PA-01: D+5.4
SC-01: D+1.1
TX-35: D+10.8
TX-15: D+24.6
VA-01: D+2.3
1. Citizens Against AIPAC Corruption congratulates our 30 WINNERS of the 2026 Midterm Elections!
AZ-07: Adelita Grijalva
CA-12: Lateefah Simon
CA-17: Ro Khanna
CA-22: Randy Villegas
CA-34: Angela Gonzales-Torres
CO-01: Melat Kiros
FL-10: Maxwell Frost
IL-03: Delia Ramirez
IL-04: Patty Garcia
AZ-07: Adelita Grijalva
CA-12: Lateefah Simon
CA-17: Ro Khanna
CA-22: Randy Villegas
CA-34: Angela Gonzales-Torres
CO-01: Melat Kiros
FL-10: Maxwell Frost
IL-03: Delia Ramirez
IL-04: Patty Garcia
November 6, 2026 at 12:29 AM
1. Citizens Against AIPAC Corruption congratulates our 30 WINNERS of the 2026 Midterm Elections!
AZ-07: Adelita Grijalva
CA-12: Lateefah Simon
CA-17: Ro Khanna
CA-22: Randy Villegas
CA-34: Angela Gonzales-Torres
CO-01: Melat Kiros
FL-10: Maxwell Frost
IL-03: Delia Ramirez
IL-04: Patty Garcia
AZ-07: Adelita Grijalva
CA-12: Lateefah Simon
CA-17: Ro Khanna
CA-22: Randy Villegas
CA-34: Angela Gonzales-Torres
CO-01: Melat Kiros
FL-10: Maxwell Frost
IL-03: Delia Ramirez
IL-04: Patty Garcia
⬅️CO-04: Likely R -> Lean R
⬅️CO-05: Likely R -> Lean R
⬅️CO-07: Safe D -> Solid D
⬅️FL-01: Solid R -> Safe R
⬅️FL-06: Solid R -> Safe R
➡️FL-09: Solid D -> Lean R
⬅️FL-12: Solid R -> Likely R
⬅️FL-13: Likely R -> Lean R
➡️FL-14: Solid D -> Tilt D
⬅️FL-16: Solid R -> Likely R
(cont'd)
⬅️CO-05: Likely R -> Lean R
⬅️CO-07: Safe D -> Solid D
⬅️FL-01: Solid R -> Safe R
⬅️FL-06: Solid R -> Safe R
➡️FL-09: Solid D -> Lean R
⬅️FL-12: Solid R -> Likely R
⬅️FL-13: Likely R -> Lean R
➡️FL-14: Solid D -> Tilt D
⬅️FL-16: Solid R -> Likely R
(cont'd)
November 2, 2026 at 6:26 PM
⬅️CO-04: Likely R -> Lean R
⬅️CO-05: Likely R -> Lean R
⬅️CO-07: Safe D -> Solid D
⬅️FL-01: Solid R -> Safe R
⬅️FL-06: Solid R -> Safe R
➡️FL-09: Solid D -> Lean R
⬅️FL-12: Solid R -> Likely R
⬅️FL-13: Likely R -> Lean R
➡️FL-14: Solid D -> Tilt D
⬅️FL-16: Solid R -> Likely R
(cont'd)
⬅️CO-05: Likely R -> Lean R
⬅️CO-07: Safe D -> Solid D
⬅️FL-01: Solid R -> Safe R
⬅️FL-06: Solid R -> Safe R
➡️FL-09: Solid D -> Lean R
⬅️FL-12: Solid R -> Likely R
⬅️FL-13: Likely R -> Lean R
➡️FL-14: Solid D -> Tilt D
⬅️FL-16: Solid R -> Likely R
(cont'd)
Uncalled races Republicans lead in:
- AK-AL
- AZ-02
- AZ-05
- AZ-08
- CA-23
- CA-40 (R vs R race)
- CO-03
- FL-07
- FL-26
- FL-27
- LA-05 (runoff)
- LA-06 (runoff)
- ME-02 (would be a flip)
- NC-03
- NC-07
- NY-21
- SC-02
- WA-04
- WA-05
- AK-AL
- AZ-02
- AZ-05
- AZ-08
- CA-23
- CA-40 (R vs R race)
- CO-03
- FL-07
- FL-26
- FL-27
- LA-05 (runoff)
- LA-06 (runoff)
- ME-02 (would be a flip)
- NC-03
- NC-07
- NY-21
- SC-02
- WA-04
- WA-05
November 6, 2026 at 4:33 AM
Uncalled races Republicans lead in:
- AK-AL
- AZ-02
- AZ-05
- AZ-08
- CA-23
- CA-40 (R vs R race)
- CO-03
- FL-07
- FL-26
- FL-27
- LA-05 (runoff)
- LA-06 (runoff)
- ME-02 (would be a flip)
- NC-03
- NC-07
- NY-21
- SC-02
- WA-04
- WA-05
- AK-AL
- AZ-02
- AZ-05
- AZ-08
- CA-23
- CA-40 (R vs R race)
- CO-03
- FL-07
- FL-26
- FL-27
- LA-05 (runoff)
- LA-06 (runoff)
- ME-02 (would be a flip)
- NC-03
- NC-07
- NY-21
- SC-02
- WA-04
- WA-05
If Jamie Raskin is your Rep, call him up and say HELL NO! TUESDAY WE TOLD YOU TO ABOLISH ICE AND THE DHS OR WE WILL ABOLISH YOU.
If your Rep is on the House Judiciary Committee, call them and say the same thing.
House Switchboard: (202) 224-3121
Judiciary Dems: 👇
If your Rep is on the House Judiciary Committee, call them and say the same thing.
House Switchboard: (202) 224-3121
Judiciary Dems: 👇
November 6, 2026 at 2:19 AM
If Jamie Raskin is your Rep, call him up and say HELL NO! TUESDAY WE TOLD YOU TO ABOLISH ICE AND THE DHS OR WE WILL ABOLISH YOU.
If your Rep is on the House Judiciary Committee, call them and say the same thing.
House Switchboard: (202) 224-3121
Judiciary Dems: 👇
If your Rep is on the House Judiciary Committee, call them and say the same thing.
House Switchboard: (202) 224-3121
Judiciary Dems: 👇
—The early/mail vote in the 4 Dem districts the GOP redrew:
FL-09: Dem +14
FL-14: Dem +13
FL-22: Dem +8
FL-25: Dem +15
—In the maybe vulnerable GOP seats:
FL-04: Dem +17
FL-07: GOP +9
FL-12: GOP +1
FL-13: Dem +3
FL-16: Dem +2
FL-27: Dem +4
***Note ED in Florida in very red!***
FL-09: Dem +14
FL-14: Dem +13
FL-22: Dem +8
FL-25: Dem +15
—In the maybe vulnerable GOP seats:
FL-04: Dem +17
FL-07: GOP +9
FL-12: GOP +1
FL-13: Dem +3
FL-16: Dem +2
FL-27: Dem +4
***Note ED in Florida in very red!***
November 5, 2026 at 4:14 AM
—The early/mail vote in the 4 Dem districts the GOP redrew:
FL-09: Dem +14
FL-14: Dem +13
FL-22: Dem +8
FL-25: Dem +15
—In the maybe vulnerable GOP seats:
FL-04: Dem +17
FL-07: GOP +9
FL-12: GOP +1
FL-13: Dem +3
FL-16: Dem +2
FL-27: Dem +4
***Note ED in Florida in very red!***
FL-09: Dem +14
FL-14: Dem +13
FL-22: Dem +8
FL-25: Dem +15
—In the maybe vulnerable GOP seats:
FL-04: Dem +17
FL-07: GOP +9
FL-12: GOP +1
FL-13: Dem +3
FL-16: Dem +2
FL-27: Dem +4
***Note ED in Florida in very red!***
Will the Republican Party win the FL-07 House seat?
📈 YES 59% → 93% (+34) in 1h · Polymarket
polymarket.com
November 4, 2026 at 1:28 AM
Kat Cammack for U.S. Congress (FL-03)– Aaron Bean for U.S. Congress (FL-04)– John Rutherford for U.S. Congress (FL-05)– Randy Fine for U.S. Congress (FL-06)– Ryan Elijah for U.S. Congress (FL-07)– Mike Haridopolos for U.S. Congress (FL-08)– Dan Green for U.S. Congress (FL-09)–
November 4, 2026 at 5:15 AM
Kat Cammack for U.S. Congress (FL-03)– Aaron Bean for U.S. Congress (FL-04)– John Rutherford for U.S. Congress (FL-05)– Randy Fine for U.S. Congress (FL-06)– Ryan Elijah for U.S. Congress (FL-07)– Mike Haridopolos for U.S. Congress (FL-08)– Dan Green for U.S. Congress (FL-09)–
(2/6) Rogers for U. S. Congress (FL-02)
– Kat Cammack for U. S. Congress (FL-03)
– Aaron Bean for U. S. Congress (FL-04)
– John Rutherford for U. S. Congress (FL-05)
– Randy Fine for U. S. Congress (FL-06)
– Ryan Elijah for U. S. Congress (FL-07)
– Mike Haridopolos
– Kat Cammack for U. S. Congress (FL-03)
– Aaron Bean for U. S. Congress (FL-04)
– John Rutherford for U. S. Congress (FL-05)
– Randy Fine for U. S. Congress (FL-06)
– Ryan Elijah for U. S. Congress (FL-07)
– Mike Haridopolos
November 3, 2026 at 2:09 PM
(2/6) Rogers for U. S. Congress (FL-02)
– Kat Cammack for U. S. Congress (FL-03)
– Aaron Bean for U. S. Congress (FL-04)
– John Rutherford for U. S. Congress (FL-05)
– Randy Fine for U. S. Congress (FL-06)
– Ryan Elijah for U. S. Congress (FL-07)
– Mike Haridopolos
– Kat Cammack for U. S. Congress (FL-03)
– Aaron Bean for U. S. Congress (FL-04)
– John Rutherford for U. S. Congress (FL-05)
– Randy Fine for U. S. Congress (FL-06)
– Ryan Elijah for U. S. Congress (FL-07)
– Mike Haridopolos
Moody immer noch bei 90% auf Kalshi...das sind die typischen Probleme der Auszählungsweise, wenn man deutsche Gründlichkeit gewohnt ist. Fl-07 und Fl-27 sind spannender und wichtiger.
November 4, 2026 at 12:23 AM
Moody immer noch bei 90% auf Kalshi...das sind die typischen Probleme der Auszählungsweise, wenn man deutsche Gründlichkeit gewohnt ist. Fl-07 und Fl-27 sind spannender und wichtiger.
– 下院議員候補（FL-07）：ライアン・イライジャ
– 下院議員候補（FL-08）：マイク・ハリドポロス
– 下院議員候補（FL-09）：ダン・グリーン
– 下院議員候補（FL-11）：ジョー・ストラーダ
– 下院議員候補（FL-12）：ガス・ビリラキス
– 下院議員候補（FL-13）：アンナ・ポーリーナ・ルナ
– 下院議員候補（FL-14）：マイク・ベルトラン
– 下院議員候補（FL-15）：ローレル・リー
– 下院議員候補（FL-16）：シドニー・グルーターズ
– 下院議員候補（FL-17）：グレッグ・ステューブ
– 下院議員候補（FL-18）：スコット・フランクリン
– 下院議員候補（FL-08）：マイク・ハリドポロス
– 下院議員候補（FL-09）：ダン・グリーン
– 下院議員候補（FL-11）：ジョー・ストラーダ
– 下院議員候補（FL-12）：ガス・ビリラキス
– 下院議員候補（FL-13）：アンナ・ポーリーナ・ルナ
– 下院議員候補（FL-14）：マイク・ベルトラン
– 下院議員候補（FL-15）：ローレル・リー
– 下院議員候補（FL-16）：シドニー・グルーターズ
– 下院議員候補（FL-17）：グレッグ・ステューブ
– 下院議員候補（FL-18）：スコット・フランクリン
November 4, 2026 at 4:25 AM
– 下院議員候補（FL-07）：ライアン・イライジャ
– 下院議員候補（FL-08）：マイク・ハリドポロス
– 下院議員候補（FL-09）：ダン・グリーン
– 下院議員候補（FL-11）：ジョー・ストラーダ
– 下院議員候補（FL-12）：ガス・ビリラキス
– 下院議員候補（FL-13）：アンナ・ポーリーナ・ルナ
– 下院議員候補（FL-14）：マイク・ベルトラン
– 下院議員候補（FL-15）：ローレル・リー
– 下院議員候補（FL-16）：シドニー・グルーターズ
– 下院議員候補（FL-17）：グレッグ・ステューブ
– 下院議員候補（FL-18）：スコット・フランクリン
– 下院議員候補（FL-08）：マイク・ハリドポロス
– 下院議員候補（FL-09）：ダン・グリーン
– 下院議員候補（FL-11）：ジョー・ストラーダ
– 下院議員候補（FL-12）：ガス・ビリラキス
– 下院議員候補（FL-13）：アンナ・ポーリーナ・ルナ
– 下院議員候補（FL-14）：マイク・ベルトラン
– 下院議員候補（FL-15）：ローレル・リー
– 下院議員候補（FL-16）：シドニー・グルーターズ
– 下院議員候補（FL-17）：グレッグ・ステューブ
– 下院議員候補（FL-18）：スコット・フランクリン
Pinellas: 41,535 requested mail ballots not recorded returned. OTH includes NPA. Map colors = turnout, not party.
Cumulative, unofficial; registration ≠ vote choice.
FreshTake/FL Elections, Nov 2, 2026: mail 8:00:07; map 8:45:03 p.m. ET.
freshtake.vote/2026G/county...
Cumulative, unofficial; registration ≠ vote choice.
FreshTake/FL Elections, Nov 2, 2026: mail 8:00:07; map 8:45:03 p.m. ET.
freshtake.vote/2026G/county...
November 3, 2026 at 2:02 AM
Pinellas: 41,535 requested mail ballots not recorded returned. OTH includes NPA. Map colors = turnout, not party.
Cumulative, unofficial; registration ≠ vote choice.
FreshTake/FL Elections, Nov 2, 2026: mail 8:00:07; map 8:45:03 p.m. ET.
freshtake.vote/2026G/county...
Cumulative, unofficial; registration ≠ vote choice.
FreshTake/FL Elections, Nov 2, 2026: mail 8:00:07; map 8:45:03 p.m. ET.
freshtake.vote/2026G/county...
I did this what may be a week but feels like a year ago: Which flip of a GOP seat, if it happens, will give you most joy? (CPR moved 12 more races towards the Dems today, including Spartz.)
October 30, 2026 at 4:34 PM
I did this what may be a week but feels like a year ago: Which flip of a GOP seat, if it happens, will give you most joy? (CPR moved 12 more races towards the Dems today, including Spartz.)
House so far: D 83 R 42
D HOLD FL- 22 they were expected to lose
DEM GAIN NC-11 FROM REP
Also Likely to win
KY-06, IN-05, IA-03, NC-09, NM-02, CO-08, NC-14, PA-08, TX-35, NY-17, PA-10, FL-09, TX-34, PA-07, MI-07, NC-01, NJ-07, OH-09, MI-10, VA-02
Rs up in SC-01 and CO-05
D HOLD FL- 22 they were expected to lose
DEM GAIN NC-11 FROM REP
Also Likely to win
KY-06, IN-05, IA-03, NC-09, NM-02, CO-08, NC-14, PA-08, TX-35, NY-17, PA-10, FL-09, TX-34, PA-07, MI-07, NC-01, NJ-07, OH-09, MI-10, VA-02
Rs up in SC-01 and CO-05
November 4, 2026 at 2:38 AM
House so far: D 83 R 42
D HOLD FL- 22 they were expected to lose
DEM GAIN NC-11 FROM REP
Also Likely to win
KY-06, IN-05, IA-03, NC-09, NM-02, CO-08, NC-14, PA-08, TX-35, NY-17, PA-10, FL-09, TX-34, PA-07, MI-07, NC-01, NJ-07, OH-09, MI-10, VA-02
Rs up in SC-01 and CO-05
D HOLD FL- 22 they were expected to lose
DEM GAIN NC-11 FROM REP
Also Likely to win
KY-06, IN-05, IA-03, NC-09, NM-02, CO-08, NC-14, PA-08, TX-35, NY-17, PA-10, FL-09, TX-34, PA-07, MI-07, NC-01, NJ-07, OH-09, MI-10, VA-02
Rs up in SC-01 and CO-05
Huge last minute ad spends by Dems in Deep Red House seats🇺🇸
$2.5 MILLION —> TRUMP+18 FL-09
$1.7 MILLION —> TRUMP+15 FL-27
$1.5 MILLION —> TRUMP+12 FL-07
$1.5 MILLION —> TRUMP+21 NY-21
$1.4 MILLION —> TRUMP+13 NE-01
$2.5 MILLION —> TRUMP+18 FL-09
$1.7 MILLION —> TRUMP+15 FL-27
$1.5 MILLION —> TRUMP+12 FL-07
$1.5 MILLION —> TRUMP+21 NY-21
$1.4 MILLION —> TRUMP+13 NE-01
October 31, 2026 at 8:06 AM
Huge last minute ad spends by Dems in Deep Red House seats🇺🇸
$2.5 MILLION —> TRUMP+18 FL-09
$1.7 MILLION —> TRUMP+15 FL-27
$1.5 MILLION —> TRUMP+12 FL-07
$1.5 MILLION —> TRUMP+21 NY-21
$1.4 MILLION —> TRUMP+13 NE-01
$2.5 MILLION —> TRUMP+18 FL-09
$1.7 MILLION —> TRUMP+15 FL-27
$1.5 MILLION —> TRUMP+12 FL-07
$1.5 MILLION —> TRUMP+21 NY-21
$1.4 MILLION —> TRUMP+13 NE-01