Third gerrymander fail for FL.
Pia Dandiya wins the redrawn FL-22, per NBC.
Pia Dandiya wins the redrawn FL-22, per NBC.
November 4, 2026 at 1:13 AM
Third gerrymander fail for FL.
Pia Dandiya wins the redrawn FL-22, per NBC.
Pia Dandiya wins the redrawn FL-22, per NBC.
Florida Republicans gerrymandered four US House districts to flip them red and look likely to lose all of them. Dems winning FL-09, 14, 22 & 25
November 4, 2026 at 1:08 AM
Florida Republicans gerrymandered four US House districts to flip them red and look likely to lose all of them. Dems winning FL-09, 14, 22 & 25
Florida GOP's new gerrymander has failed to flip 3 of its 4 targeted Dem seats, and Dems lead in the fourth.
Dems have held FL-14, FL-22, and FL-25. FL-09 not called yet
Dems have held FL-14, FL-22, and FL-25. FL-09 not called yet
First confirmed gerrymandering fail in Florida.
Republicans targeted four House seats with their new map and are trailing in all four
Republicans targeted four House seats with their new map and are trailing in all four
NBC just projected that Kathy Castor wins, hanging on in Florida's 14th district even after Republicans redrew it to make it Trump+11. Incredible result
November 4, 2026 at 1:12 AM
Florida GOP's new gerrymander has failed to flip 3 of its 4 targeted Dem seats, and Dems lead in the fourth.
Dems have held FL-14, FL-22, and FL-25. FL-09 not called yet
Dems have held FL-14, FL-22, and FL-25. FL-09 not called yet
—The early/mail vote in the 4 Dem districts the GOP redrew:
FL-09: Dem +14
FL-14: Dem +13
FL-22: Dem +8
FL-25: Dem +15
—In the maybe vulnerable GOP seats:
FL-04: Dem +17
FL-07: GOP +9
FL-12: GOP +1
FL-13: Dem +3
FL-16: Dem +2
FL-27: Dem +4
***Note ED in Florida in very red!***
FL-09: Dem +14
FL-14: Dem +13
FL-22: Dem +8
FL-25: Dem +15
—In the maybe vulnerable GOP seats:
FL-04: Dem +17
FL-07: GOP +9
FL-12: GOP +1
FL-13: Dem +3
FL-16: Dem +2
FL-27: Dem +4
***Note ED in Florida in very red!***
November 4, 2026 at 12:22 AM
—The early/mail vote in the 4 Dem districts the GOP redrew:
FL-09: Dem +14
FL-14: Dem +13
FL-22: Dem +8
FL-25: Dem +15
—In the maybe vulnerable GOP seats:
FL-04: Dem +17
FL-07: GOP +9
FL-12: GOP +1
FL-13: Dem +3
FL-16: Dem +2
FL-27: Dem +4
***Note ED in Florida in very red!***
FL-09: Dem +14
FL-14: Dem +13
FL-22: Dem +8
FL-25: Dem +15
—In the maybe vulnerable GOP seats:
FL-04: Dem +17
FL-07: GOP +9
FL-12: GOP +1
FL-13: Dem +3
FL-16: Dem +2
FL-27: Dem +4
***Note ED in Florida in very red!***
Decision Desk HQ projects Pia Dandiya wins the FL US House 22 General Election
#DecisionMade: 8:05 PM EST
Follow live results here: votes.decisiondeskhq.com/races/2026-1...
#DecisionMade: 8:05 PM EST
Follow live results here: votes.decisiondeskhq.com/races/2026-1...
November 4, 2026 at 1:07 AM
Decision Desk HQ projects Pia Dandiya wins the FL US House 22 General Election
#DecisionMade: 8:05 PM EST
Follow live results here: votes.decisiondeskhq.com/races/2026-1...
#DecisionMade: 8:05 PM EST
Follow live results here: votes.decisiondeskhq.com/races/2026-1...
Some NBC News projections so far tonight
Jon Ossoff (D) wins GA Senate
Kathy Castor (D) wins FL-14
Carlos Gimenez (R) wins FL-28
Laurel Lee (R) wins FL-15
Jared Moskowitz (D) wins FL-25
Pia Dandiya (D) wins FL-22
Josh Shapiro (D) wins PA Gov
Shontel Brown (D) wins OH-11
Jon Ossoff (D) wins GA Senate
Kathy Castor (D) wins FL-14
Carlos Gimenez (R) wins FL-28
Laurel Lee (R) wins FL-15
Jared Moskowitz (D) wins FL-25
Pia Dandiya (D) wins FL-22
Josh Shapiro (D) wins PA Gov
Shontel Brown (D) wins OH-11
November 4, 2026 at 1:16 AM
Some NBC News projections so far tonight
Jon Ossoff (D) wins GA Senate
Kathy Castor (D) wins FL-14
Carlos Gimenez (R) wins FL-28
Laurel Lee (R) wins FL-15
Jared Moskowitz (D) wins FL-25
Pia Dandiya (D) wins FL-22
Josh Shapiro (D) wins PA Gov
Shontel Brown (D) wins OH-11
Jon Ossoff (D) wins GA Senate
Kathy Castor (D) wins FL-14
Carlos Gimenez (R) wins FL-28
Laurel Lee (R) wins FL-15
Jared Moskowitz (D) wins FL-25
Pia Dandiya (D) wins FL-22
Josh Shapiro (D) wins PA Gov
Shontel Brown (D) wins OH-11
FL-09, projected GOP +17 >> ???
FL-14, projected GOP +10 >> called for Dems (+5)
FL-22, projected GOP +10 >> called for Dems (+3)
FL-25, projected GOP + 9 >> called for Dems (+4)
FL-14, projected GOP +10 >> called for Dems (+5)
FL-22, projected GOP +10 >> called for Dems (+3)
FL-25, projected GOP + 9 >> called for Dems (+4)
November 4, 2026 at 1:24 AM
FL-09, projected GOP +17 >> ???
FL-14, projected GOP +10 >> called for Dems (+5)
FL-22, projected GOP +10 >> called for Dems (+3)
FL-25, projected GOP + 9 >> called for Dems (+4)
FL-14, projected GOP +10 >> called for Dems (+5)
FL-22, projected GOP +10 >> called for Dems (+3)
FL-25, projected GOP + 9 >> called for Dems (+4)
Moskowitz wins as well. Pia Dandiya likely to win in FL-22. Darren Soto up and is a lean favorite to win.
0-4 for Meatball Ron.
0-4 for Meatball Ron.
Dummymander #1: secured.
Very possible that Florida goes 0 for 4.
Very possible that Florida goes 0 for 4.
NBC just projected that Kathy Castor wins, hanging on in Florida's 14th district even after Republicans redrew it to make it Trump+11. Incredible result
November 4, 2026 at 1:08 AM
Moskowitz wins as well. Pia Dandiya likely to win in FL-22. Darren Soto up and is a lean favorite to win.
0-4 for Meatball Ron.
0-4 for Meatball Ron.
The outstanding vote in FL-09 doesn't look good, I fear, but I think we only lose one on net out of FL. 22 and 25 look like they'll hold. Fucking incredible.
November 4, 2026 at 12:58 AM
The outstanding vote in FL-09 doesn't look good, I fear, but I think we only lose one on net out of FL. 22 and 25 look like they'll hold. Fucking incredible.
Dems take FL-22
November 4, 2026 at 2:13 AM
Dems take FL-22
November 2, 2026 at 12:39 AM
Current Florida districts that Dems are leading in turnout
FL-4 D+0.9 (15.3 NPA)
FL-10 D+33 (21.6 NPA)
FL-14 D+0.5 (22.7 NPA)
FL-18 D+2.4 (20.6 NPA)
FL-20 D+51.3 (20.1 NPA)
FL-22 D+0.5 (24.5 NPA)
FL-23 D+30.5 (22.3 NPA)
FL-24 D+54.4 (20.2 NPA)
FL-25 D+7.2 (27.4 NPA)
FL-26 D+0.7 (27.3 NPA)
FL-4 D+0.9 (15.3 NPA)
FL-10 D+33 (21.6 NPA)
FL-14 D+0.5 (22.7 NPA)
FL-18 D+2.4 (20.6 NPA)
FL-20 D+51.3 (20.1 NPA)
FL-22 D+0.5 (24.5 NPA)
FL-23 D+30.5 (22.3 NPA)
FL-24 D+54.4 (20.2 NPA)
FL-25 D+7.2 (27.4 NPA)
FL-26 D+0.7 (27.3 NPA)
November 1, 2026 at 12:33 AM
Current Florida districts that Dems are leading in turnout
FL-4 D+0.9 (15.3 NPA)
FL-10 D+33 (21.6 NPA)
FL-14 D+0.5 (22.7 NPA)
FL-18 D+2.4 (20.6 NPA)
FL-20 D+51.3 (20.1 NPA)
FL-22 D+0.5 (24.5 NPA)
FL-23 D+30.5 (22.3 NPA)
FL-24 D+54.4 (20.2 NPA)
FL-25 D+7.2 (27.4 NPA)
FL-26 D+0.7 (27.3 NPA)
FL-4 D+0.9 (15.3 NPA)
FL-10 D+33 (21.6 NPA)
FL-14 D+0.5 (22.7 NPA)
FL-18 D+2.4 (20.6 NPA)
FL-20 D+51.3 (20.1 NPA)
FL-22 D+0.5 (24.5 NPA)
FL-23 D+30.5 (22.3 NPA)
FL-24 D+54.4 (20.2 NPA)
FL-25 D+7.2 (27.4 NPA)
FL-26 D+0.7 (27.3 NPA)
I generally agree with this. If you are desperate for early hints:
* GOP should easily win (10+) KY-06 & IN-05, and if they don't then Woke Is Winning
* More meaningful will be FL-14, FL-22, NC-01, and OH-09. If these are all called early one way, then the whole night likely goes that same way.
* GOP should easily win (10+) KY-06 & IN-05, and if they don't then Woke Is Winning
* More meaningful will be FL-14, FL-22, NC-01, and OH-09. If these are all called early one way, then the whole night likely goes that same way.
A really helpful post, especially the early tells brucemehlman.substack.com/p/six-chart-...
November 3, 2026 at 6:46 PM
I generally agree with this. If you are desperate for early hints:
* GOP should easily win (10+) KY-06 & IN-05, and if they don't then Woke Is Winning
* More meaningful will be FL-14, FL-22, NC-01, and OH-09. If these are all called early one way, then the whole night likely goes that same way.
* GOP should easily win (10+) KY-06 & IN-05, and if they don't then Woke Is Winning
* More meaningful will be FL-14, FL-22, NC-01, and OH-09. If these are all called early one way, then the whole night likely goes that same way.
7:00 EST districts to watch:
these should be close:
- FL-09
- FL-22
- VA-01
- SC-01
Democrats will be stoked if they win:
- FL-04, FL-07, FL 13, FL 16, FL 27
these should be close:
- FL-09
- FL-22
- VA-01
- SC-01
Democrats will be stoked if they win:
- FL-04, FL-07, FL 13, FL 16, FL 27
November 3, 2026 at 11:59 PM
7:00 EST districts to watch:
these should be close:
- FL-09
- FL-22
- VA-01
- SC-01
Democrats will be stoked if they win:
- FL-04, FL-07, FL 13, FL 16, FL 27
these should be close:
- FL-09
- FL-22
- VA-01
- SC-01
Democrats will be stoked if they win:
- FL-04, FL-07, FL 13, FL 16, FL 27
Congratulations to @piadandiya.bsky.social on her victory in flipping FL-22! EMILYs List helped make this race competitive, and we’re proud to see Pia take her fight to Congress.
November 4, 2026 at 1:30 AM
Congratulations to @piadandiya.bsky.social on her victory in flipping FL-22! EMILYs List helped make this race competitive, and we’re proud to see Pia take her fight to Congress.
florida 22nd district (FL-22)
the qianlong emperor
the qianlong emperor
November 3, 2026 at 8:01 PM
florida 22nd district (FL-22)
the qianlong emperor
the qianlong emperor
First results in from Florida 😁
Florida 22nd was a R+10 district lmaoooo
election.danny.page/races/FL-22/
Florida 22nd was a R+10 district lmaoooo
election.danny.page/races/FL-22/
House, FL-22 | Election Night 2026
Follow the House, FL-22 race: projected margin, win probability, uncertainty range and estimate history for the 2026 election.
election.danny.page
November 4, 2026 at 12:10 AM
First results in from Florida 😁
Florida 22nd was a R+10 district lmaoooo
election.danny.page/races/FL-22/
Florida 22nd was a R+10 district lmaoooo
election.danny.page/races/FL-22/
Seems like Pia Dandiya is gonna win in FL-22
November 4, 2026 at 12:48 AM
Seems like Pia Dandiya is gonna win in FL-22
SEAT FLIPPED! Amy Trask has flipped FL House District 22. Congratulations on your big win, Rep-elect Trask!
November 4, 2026 at 3:44 AM
SEAT FLIPPED! Amy Trask has flipped FL House District 22. Congratulations on your big win, Rep-elect Trask!
> Att den lila majoriteten i huset kommer skifta verkar glasklart.
Senaten står och väger. Pga fyllnadsval i FL och OH är det 35 delstater som röstar. 13 demokratiska och 22 republikanska.
Dem. måste alltså vinna över fyra av de 22 rep. delstaterna.
>>
Senaten står och väger. Pga fyllnadsval i FL och OH är det 35 delstater som röstar. 13 demokratiska och 22 republikanska.
Dem. måste alltså vinna över fyra av de 22 rep. delstaterna.
>>
November 3, 2026 at 3:14 PM
> Att den lila majoriteten i huset kommer skifta verkar glasklart.
Senaten står och väger. Pga fyllnadsval i FL och OH är det 35 delstater som röstar. 13 demokratiska och 22 republikanska.
Dem. måste alltså vinna över fyra av de 22 rep. delstaterna.
>>
Senaten står och väger. Pga fyllnadsval i FL och OH är det 35 delstater som röstar. 13 demokratiska och 22 republikanska.
Dem. måste alltså vinna över fyra av de 22 rep. delstaterna.
>>
Angie Nixon is now ahead in FLORIDA. Wow.
(Also we may have another #desi woman in Congress, Pia Dandiya, who is Indian-American [and super pretty] is ahead in FL-22 [we currently only have one Indian-American woman, Pramila Jayapal]
(Also we may have another #desi woman in Congress, Pia Dandiya, who is Indian-American [and super pretty] is ahead in FL-22 [we currently only have one Indian-American woman, Pramila Jayapal]
November 4, 2026 at 12:20 AM
Angie Nixon is now ahead in FLORIDA. Wow.
(Also we may have another #desi woman in Congress, Pia Dandiya, who is Indian-American [and super pretty] is ahead in FL-22 [we currently only have one Indian-American woman, Pramila Jayapal]
(Also we may have another #desi woman in Congress, Pia Dandiya, who is Indian-American [and super pretty] is ahead in FL-22 [we currently only have one Indian-American woman, Pramila Jayapal]
Looks like Florida is going to send the first "Pia" to congress with Pia Dandiya projected to win in FL-22
November 4, 2026 at 1:22 AM
Looks like Florida is going to send the first "Pia" to congress with Pia Dandiya projected to win in FL-22
Fwiw Cook had KY-6 as tossup (IN-5 as lean R)
November 4, 2026 at 1:50 AM
Fwiw Cook had KY-6 as tossup (IN-5 as lean R)
Wild, right? Eyes on FL 22, TX 15, 28, 34
November 3, 2026 at 8:35 PM
Wild, right? Eyes on FL 22, TX 15, 28, 34
Today is the day that all of our 50501 Rising Stars get to shine! Support Angie Nixon in Florida, Randy Villegas in California, Demi Palecek in Illinois, Will Lawrence in Michigan, Justin Wagner in Pennsylvania, & other grassroots leaders across the country!
We the People will not be denied!
We the People will not be denied!
November 3, 2026 at 7:12 PM
Today is the day that all of our 50501 Rising Stars get to shine! Support Angie Nixon in Florida, Randy Villegas in California, Demi Palecek in Illinois, Will Lawrence in Michigan, Justin Wagner in Pennsylvania, & other grassroots leaders across the country!
We the People will not be denied!
We the People will not be denied!