The both headline and core inflation rates fell more than expected during February.

Introduction The Federal Reserve’s recent decision to lower interest rates has captured headlines, signaling a shift in its approach to managing the U.S. economy. On September 18, 2025, the Fed cut it...

Explore Jamie Dimon's insights on Fed rate cuts amidst pressing economic challenges. Dive into the complex interplay of policy, inequality, and market dynamics.

Stocks head into today’s session on edge as the risk lies to the downside if the Fed disappoints. Adding to the mix, a record options expiration Friday could bring heightened volatility for the rest of the week. Money flows continue to chase equities, but the biggest rallies have come from the most-shorted stocks. International and emerging markets are also showing strong momentum, with many trading well above their moving averages. Still, a widening gap persists between S&P equal-weight and market-cap indexes, as AI-driven tech remains the primary driver of gains. Meanwhile, bond yields keep sliding as markets price in rate cuts, but that message may be signaling deeper economic concerns. Are stocks right to keep rallying, or is the bond market flashing the real warning? 👉 In this pre-market video, we break down: The Fed’s influence on stocks and bond yields How options expiration could fuel volatility Why AI stocks continue to dominate while the broader market lags What international markets are signaling for investors Stay ahead of the market—subscribe for daily updates. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next RIA Dynamic Learning Series event, "Savvy Medicare Planning," September 18, 2025: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/savvy-medicare-planning-what-baby-boomers-need-to-know-about-medicare/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #StockMarketToday #FedRateCuts #OptionsExpiration #AIStocks #BondYields #SP500 #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has set the stage for significant changes in monetary policy. As inflation approaches 2% and unemployment reaches 4.3%, Powell’s recent announcement carries…

Trading New Gold (XAU/USD) climbs above $3,560 to record highs as Fed rate cut bets, dollar weakness, and central bank demand fuel a bullish push toward $3...

Fed weighs October rate cut as inflation rises and job growth slows, though a government data blackout clouds the outlook.

Trading New Gold (XAU/USD) climbs above $3,560 to record highs as Fed rate cut bets, dollar weakness, and central bank demand fuel a bullish push toward $3...

Fundamental Overview The USD sold off across the board on Friday following another soft NFP report. The dovish bets on the Fed increased as a result and the market is now expecting three rate cuts by year-end (70 bps). Moreover, we have also an 8% probability of a 50 bps cut in September but that will likely happen only if we get a soft CPI report on Thursday. In that case, the greenback will likely weaken further into the FOMC meeting. Overall, if one zooms out, the US dollar continues to range although the dovish bets on the Fed keep weighing on the currency. Part of that could be the fact that the bearish positioning on the dollar could be overstretched and we might be at the peak of the dovish pricing. In fact, if the Fed cuts trigger stronger economic activity in the next months, the rate cuts in 2026 could be priced out and support the dollar. Nevertheless, the trend is still skewed to the downside, and we might need strong data to reverse it. On the GBP side, nothing has changed fundamentally. The BoE delivered a hawkish cut at the last meeting and since then the data has been coming on the hotter side. In fact, the latest UK CPI surprised once again to the upside and the latest Flash PMIs, although mixed, showed strength and persistent inflationary pressures. Last week, we got a selloff in the pound across the board as the UK 30yr yield jumped to a new cycle high. That was eventually erased in the following days and especially after the soft NFP report. GBPUSD Technical Analysis – Daily Timeframe On the daily chart, we can see that GBPUSD sold off all the way back to the key 1.3368 support after the UK 30yr yields jumped to a new cycle high but eventually bounced off of the support. The price is now back near the 1.3590 resistance. If the price gets there, the sellers will likely step in with a defined risk above the resistance to position for a drop back into the 1.3368 support. The buyers, on the other hand, will look for a break higher to increase the bullish bets into the 1.3790 level next. GBPUSD Technical Analysis – 4 hour Timeframe On the 4 hour chart, we can see that we have an upward trendline defining the bullish momentum. The buyers will likely continue to lean on the trendline with a defined risk below it to keep pushing into new highs. The sellers, on the other hand, will look for a break lower to position for a drop into the 1.3368 support next. GBPUSD Technical Analysis – 1 hour Timeframe On the 1 hour chart, there’s not much else we can add here as the buyers will look for a bounce around the trendline, while the sellers will look for a break. The red lines define the average daily range for today. Upcoming Catalysts On Wednesday we get the US PPI report. On Thursday, we get the US CPI report and the latest US Jobless Claims figures. On Friday, we conclude the week with the UK GDP and the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment report. This article was written by Giuseppe Dellamotta at investinglive.com.

The Fed is expected to cut interest rates, but will mortgage rates follow? Learn why mortgage rates move differently, what drives volatility, and how buyers can prepare in 2025.

US Stocks Rise as Strategists See Fed Rate Cuts Spurring Gains  Bloomberg.com

Investing.com - "Imminent" Federal Reserve interest rate cuts and a re-acceleration of growth next year will help support more gains in the benchmark S&P 500, according to analysts at Goldman Sachs. In a note to clients, the strategists led by David Kostin said the bank’s economists anticipate that the Fed will slash its key funds rate three times over the rest of this year. The Fed is widely anticipated to slash borrowing costs by at least 25 basis points at its upcoming gathering next week, as officials look to bolster what appears to be a slowing labor market. But some debate continues to hover around the Fed’s outlook for the rest of the year, especially as inflation -- the other pillar of the central bank’s dual mandate -- lingers above its 2% target level. More U.S. inflation data points, including a look at consumer and producer prices, are set to be released in the coming days. Still, the Goldman analysts predicted that the U.S. economy is likely to avoid a recession, despite the impact of sweeping import tariffs slapped on a number of trading partners by President Donald Trump. Against this backdrop, the S&P 500, which Goldman noted has "typically generated positive returns" during past Fed rate-cutting cycles in which the economy has expanded and averted a downturn, is seen rising by 2% through the end of 2025 and 6% by the middle of next year. This would correspond to an end-2025 price level of 6600 and 6900 by mid-2026, the analysts said. The S&P finished on Friday at 6481.50. 3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads. They added that earnings will likely be the main drivers of these higher returns, flagging that recent lofty valuations are already embedding in "an optimistic economic and fundamental outlook." So-called "catch up" trades in lagging pockets of the market could also be seen, although a potential unwinding of the multi-year boom in enthusiasm around artificial intellgience may lead to a reversal in other parts of the index, the analysts argued. Heading into the final quarter of 2025, they recommended that investors keep tabs on alternative asset managers, "whose valuations have yet to recover back" to highs notched after the 2024 U.S. presidential election even as capital market conditions improve. Companies with high floating rate debt are also projected to benefit from interest rate cuts, while gold mining stocks are tipped to be boosted by a jump in bullion prices. Which stocks should you consider in your very next trade? The best opportunities often hide in plain sight—buried among thousands of stocks you'd never have time to research individually. That's why smart investors use our Stock Screener with 50+ predefined screens and 160+ customizable filters to surface hidden gems instantly. For example, the Piotroski's Picks method averages 23% annual returns by focusing on financial strength, and you can get it as a standalone screen. Momentum Masters catches stocks gaining serious traction, while Blue-Chip Bargains finds undervalued giants. With screens for dividends, growth, value, and more, you'll discover opportunities others miss. Our current favorite screen is Under $10/share, which is great for discovering stocks trading under $10 with recent price momentum showing some very impressive returns!

By Sarupya Ganguly BENGALURU (Reuters) -The U.S. dollar will weaken over coming months as market participants ponder the Federal Reserve’s future independence and how many more rate cuts it may deliver, a Reuters survey of foreign exchange strategists showed on Wednesday. The greenback, down nearly 10% against a basket of major currencies this year, has been the worst performer among them. The short-dollar trade has dominated FX markets since late March, according to Commodity Futures Trading Commission data. Worries about the inflationary impact of tariffs, an enormous tax cut and spending law and repeated White House attempts to interfere with the world’s most powerful central bank have reversed the dollar’s fortunes after a multi-year run of strength. A weaker dollar trend will likely persist in the near-term as interest rate futures show markets fully pricing in two Fed cuts this year and possibly another in early 2026. Nearly 80% of respondents, 39 of 50, said net-short bets would either rise further by end-September or remain around current levels, according to the August 29-September 3 Reuters poll. The remaining 11 said short bets would decrease. No one chose "a reversal to net-longs". "A big risk is the fact everybody seems to think the dollar is likely to weaken, which means that positioning is all one way. That’s sometimes a factor that should make us a little bit more wary," said Jane Foley, head of FX strategy at Rabobank. 3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads. "If we get a lot of inflationary news from the U.S., there certainly would be room for pullbacks in favor of the dollar." FX strategists in Reuters polls, who have broadly accurately predicted the dollar’s slide this year, forecast the euro, currently $1.17, to climb steadily to a median $1.18 and $1.19 in three and six months respectively. It was then predicted to trade at $1.20 in a year: the highest survey median since September 2021. In the meantime, U.S. President Donald Trump’s repeated pressure on Chair Jerome Powell to slash rates to 1% and his efforts to oust Fed Governor Lisa Cook over mortgage fraud allegations are testing the boundaries of presidential power. Trump’s Fed board nominee Stephen Miran, chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, has called for sharply lower rates, argued tariffs have little inflationary impact and proposed Fed governance reforms that would give the president greater control, including the power to dismiss its leadership at will. "The dollar will face some pressure to soften into the end of the year and it’s going to be a function of two things: one, a resumption of the Fed’s rate-cutting cycle and second, the market’s questions with regard to the Fed’s independence," said Paul Mackel, head of FX research at HSBC. (Other stories from the September foreign exchange poll) AI computing powers are changing the stock market. Investing.com's ProPicks AI includes dozens of winning stock portfolios chosen by our advanced AI. Year to date, 3 out of 4 global portfolios are beating their benchmark indexes, with 98% in the green. Our flagship Tech Titans strategy doubled the S&P 500 within 18 months, including notable winners like Super Micro Computer (+185%) and AppLovin (+157%). Which stock will be the next to soar?

7 portfolio stocks that stand to benefit most from Fed rate cuts  CNBC

Investing.com -- Morgan Stanley now expects the Federal Reserve to begin lowering interest rates in September, citing a shift in tone from Chair Jerome Powell at Jackson Hole. “We now forecast Fed rate cuts beginning in September,” analysts at Morgan Stanley wrote, adding that Powell “signaled increased concern over labor market risks and leaned toward rate cuts for risk management.” The bank’s baseline is for a 25 basis point reduction next month, followed by another 25 basis point cut in December. Morgan Stanley projects the Federal Open Market Committee will then move to “quarterly cuts of 25bps to a terminal of 2.75-3.0% by end-2026.” That compares with a prior forecast that the Fed would stay on hold until March 2026 before cutting to a 2.50-2.75% range by year-end. The firm cautioned that “a September cut is not a certainty,” noting that “payrolls of 225k in August and another clear acceleration in tariff-related inflation could keep them on hold.” Analysts also said a larger up-front move would require “sizeable payroll declines,” with potential dissents at the September meeting. Morgan Stanley emphasized that “the net effect of our change in the Fed’s policy path is fairly minor. We project the Fed to cut sooner, but finish its cutting cycle about where we had forecasted previously. On net, we have 25bp fewer rate cuts now than before. A Fed that cuts sooner may cut less.” 3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads. The note added that “what has changed, in our mind, is the Fed’s reaction to this data flow,” with policymakers “putting more weight on downside risks to labor markets” despite inflation likely staying above the 2% target into year-end. ProPicks AI analyzes thousands of stocks using 100+ institutional-grade financial metrics to identify the strongest opportunities. With 80+ strategies across global markets, you might be surprised where MS appears. Our flagship Tech Titans strategy doubled the S&P 500 within 18 months, including notable winners like Super Micro Computer (+185%) and AppLovin (+157%). Each strategy refreshes monthly with 10-20 high-conviction picks. Even if MS isn't currently featured, you'll discover similar opportunities in the same industry or theme—stocks the AI identifies before they breakout. Now up to 50% off while our Summer Sale lasts.