kevinjkircher.com/baaja/
Spoiler: it's not looking great.
ceobs.org/cop31-what-t...
Spoiler: it's not looking great.
Richard correctly notes that my model makes assumptions, as all energy models do. I don't agree that this invalidates the conclusions.
The model* assumes* ranges for conventional fuel production and clean electricity generation as inputs, rather than calculating them as changes driven by permitting timelines, financing costs, etc.