heuristic
It is not enough that X bad. We also need Bluesky good
I want this site to beat twitter, and for twitter to evaporate. For that to happen, people you hate must have a more pleasant experience posting here than posting there.
A minority of this site decided instead that they want it to be their little club, so that's what we have.
A minority of this site decided instead that they want it to be their little club, so that's what we have.
September 22, 2026 at 2:50 AM
heuristic
heuristic
AI is getting cheaper more quickly than any other transformative tech in history. At a given level of performance, cost has fallen ~47%/quarter since 2023.
That’s 4× faster than DNA sequencing, 6× faster than compute, 18× faster than lithium batteries, and (up to 1973) 54× faster than electricity.
That’s 4× faster than DNA sequencing, 6× faster than compute, 18× faster than lithium batteries, and (up to 1973) 54× faster than electricity.
September 23, 2026 at 2:55 AM
heuristic
The far right heuristic is "everything bad is done by a trans person."
There's no evidence that Rob and Michele Reiner's son Nick is undergoing a gender transition, despite claims circulating on social media. Here's how the baseless rumor spread. 👇
www.snopes.com/fact-check/r...
www.snopes.com/fact-check/r...
Unraveling baseless rumor Rob and Michele Reiner's son Nick is transgender
Nick Reiner, who is suspected in the deaths of his parents, was arrested on a murder charge, Los Angeles police said.
www.snopes.com
December 16, 2025 at 6:32 PM
The far right heuristic is "everything bad is done by a trans person."
heuristic
Mythos came out April 7th, Fable came out June 9th. On benchmarks, there's a ~5 month lag for open models.
So we should expect next round of open models to be near Fable-level, at least on paper. If not, then perhaps progress in open models has slowed.
So we should expect next round of open models to be near Fable-level, at least on paper. If not, then perhaps progress in open models has slowed.
September 23, 2026 at 2:56 AM
heuristic
new failing state capacity heuristic just dropped
The atomic ensemble time scale at the NIST Boulder campus has failed.
December 20, 2025 at 11:12 PM
new failing state capacity heuristic just dropped
*Extremely* useful heuristic for identifying tankies
Shorthand: If someone expresses that US Imperialism is a stain upon the earth whose sin can never be washed clean, but Soviet or Chinese imperialism is either acceptable or just didn't happen, you're talking to a tankie.
November 22, 2025 at 10:35 PM
*Extremely* useful heuristic for identifying tankies
if you’re only political heuristic for the last 9 years was “orange man bad” you would have produced better political commentary than 90% of people in the business
"Orange Man Bad" idiots act like we all start with that premise and filter all of Trump's actions through that. But it's really just that he's bad! Completely bad. Hasn't done a good thing perhaps ever.
October 23, 2024 at 6:56 PM
if you’re only political heuristic for the last 9 years was “orange man bad” you would have produced better political commentary than 90% of people in the business
heuristic
everyone's tagging norvid when they should be tagging @croissanthology.com
September 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM
heuristic
Wine Mom heuristic undefeated
September 17, 2026 at 6:32 PM
Wine Mom heuristic undefeated
or, and hear me out,
Super
Heuristic
Intelligence
Technology
Super
Heuristic
Intelligence
Technology
September 24, 2026 at 10:31 PM
or, and hear me out,
Super
Heuristic
Intelligence
Technology
Super
Heuristic
Intelligence
Technology
honestly not a bad informal heuristic for vetting polls
Normal scientific polling doesn’t have decimal-point precision and a pollster reporting their numbers with decimals is a warning sign that they either don’t understand this, or do and are trying to trick you into thinking their data is more precise than it is.
According to a survey by Swiftly (a retail technology company), 67.6% of shoppers (approximately 68%) said they were struggling to pay grocery bills because of inflation and rising food prices. The survey was widely reported by USA Today, Fortune, and other outlets in December 2025.
February 5, 2026 at 2:55 PM
honestly not a bad informal heuristic for vetting polls
"Heuristic" 4 emails, 1 from Congressman Paul Ryan, 3 from
Representative Terri Sewell
Representative Terri Sewell
August 22, 2025 at 6:13 PM
"Heuristic" 4 emails, 1 from Congressman Paul Ryan, 3 from
Representative Terri Sewell
Representative Terri Sewell
At this point I think it's a fair heuristic to simply assume that MAGA dudes are pedophiles, until they can demonstrate otherwise.
Michigan church worship leader, youth pastor & CPAC performer, Zachary Radcliff, who was arrested in October on 33 child sex crime charges, has been denied bond due to threatening one of his child victims.
www.joemygod.com/2025/01/cpac...
www.joemygod.com/2025/01/cpac...
February 1, 2025 at 8:52 PM
At this point I think it's a fair heuristic to simply assume that MAGA dudes are pedophiles, until they can demonstrate otherwise.
the ukraine test works literally every time as a heuristic for "is this person human garbage"
This otaku sociopath is a straight up genocide denier.
June 27, 2026 at 5:52 AM
the ukraine test works literally every time as a heuristic for "is this person human garbage"
heuristic
This line of thought brought to you (as usual) by Patrick Michael Gunkel
September 25, 2026 at 7:22 PM
heuristic
heuristic
Sorry, 50% a quarter. 13x a year according to the latest Epoch report. And this was likely close to free already.
September 23, 2026 at 5:39 PM
heuristic
H- heuristic?
note that under old Irish law, this would not apply to a cat! they were held to be responsible for their own actions. analogy is left to the reader.
September 24, 2026 at 6:53 PM
H- heuristic?
I’m afraid that if heuristic-rooted cognitive errors preclude “understanding,” we have once again defined understanding in a way that omits humans :|
We’ve come full circle now such that “can’t count the Rs in strawberry” is once again relevant. Not because it diminishes the things they can do, but because it shows the limitations of them having actual “understanding”
September 20, 2026 at 4:24 PM
I’m afraid that if heuristic-rooted cognitive errors preclude “understanding,” we have once again defined understanding in a way that omits humans :|
In this case it’s quite literally a heuristic-rooted cognitive error
September 20, 2026 at 4:31 PM
In this case it’s quite literally a heuristic-rooted cognitive error
Oddly good heuristic for what it’s safe to give AI control of
August 25, 2025 at 3:46 PM
Oddly good heuristic for what it’s safe to give AI control of
“Transphobia is misogyny” remains an airtight, 100% reliable heuristic
March 18, 2026 at 1:54 PM
“Transphobia is misogyny” remains an airtight, 100% reliable heuristic
this simple heuristic continues to serve me well
Having an aversion to dead kids is a v useful north star imo.
August 29, 2025 at 3:30 PM
this simple heuristic continues to serve me well
undefeated heuristic
December 9, 2024 at 10:05 PM
undefeated heuristic
heuristic
biology is technology. the absolute theoretical floor of what is possible to achieve with technology is every single thing you see in the natural world, including the human brain.
September 16, 2026 at 3:44 PM
heuristic