#Hydroclimate
What is “hydroclimate whiplash” — and what does it mean for our changing climate?

#UCANR climate scientist Daniel Swain speaks with NHK WORLD-JAPAN News about the growing swings between extreme wet and dry conditions. @weatherwest.bsky.social

▶️ Watch here: www3.nhk.or.jp/nhkworld/en/...
Hydroclimate Whiplash: the New Climate Risk - IMPACTS: Climates Change the World | NHK WORLD-JAPAN
Droughts, floods, wildfires... We look at the latest research on Hydroclimate Whiplash, a new climate risk in which extreme weather events alternate in a short time, exacerbating natural disasters.
www3.nhk.or.jp
September 28, 2026 at 4:05 PM
”You see an acceleration in the hydroclimate cycle overall. You see more extreme precipitation when it is raining and more extreme evaporation when it is not, simply by virtue of the temperature being higher than it used to be.” @weatherwest.bsky.social said
September 28, 2026 at 12:11 AM
"Hydroclimate whiplash will occur across most of the world for as long as global warming continues," Daniel Swain
@weatherwest.bsky.social, @ucanr.edu climate scientist, tells NHK

www3.nhk.or.jp/nhkworld/en/...
Hydroclimate Whiplash: the New Climate Risk - IMPACTS: Climates Change the World | NHK WORLD-JAPAN
Droughts, floods, wildfires... We look at the latest research on Hydroclimate Whiplash, a new climate risk in which extreme weather events alternate in a short time, exacerbating natural disasters.
www3.nhk.or.jp
September 28, 2026 at 12:07 AM
New Mexico has observed significant rainfall this week from some late-season monsoon moisture, a lot of it directly coming from the record-warm oceans near Baja California. While the rainfall is combatting drought conditions, too much at once is causing damage, an example of hydroclimate whiplash.
“Hydroclimate Whiplash”: How Extreme Rainfall and Drought Are Linked
The same atmospheric conditions that cause droughts can also produce extreme rainfall. Marc Alessi explains the whiplash.
blog.ucs.org
September 24, 2026 at 5:40 PM
In the longstanding controversy between ∆SST- and hydroclimate-based reconstructions, we come down on the side of hydroclimate. We used reconstructions of Indonesian thermocline based on Mg/Ca of planktonic foraminifera, in the context of high-res model simulations.

#marineplankton #foraminifera
September 24, 2026 at 3:55 PM
The atmospheric river chain crashing into the Iberian Peninsular in 2025/26 exceeded values projected in the highest emission scenario to emerge later this century...

#climate #earth
September 21, 2026 at 8:33 AM
📣 EF Haidee Cadd @hcadd.bsky.social and Tim Cohen are part of a study led by former UOW graduate Alex Wall that challenges long-held ideas about past climate change in tropical Australia. Gaps in the record may have influenced previous interpretations.

👉 h1.nu/1Ei6X

#ThisIsUOW
Hydroclimate complexity across the last glacial cycle in tropical Australia: reassessing the uniqueness of the Holocene
Where and when water is available is a pivotal control on environments. Changes in water availability are frequently invoked to explain past changes i…
h1.nu
September 20, 2026 at 11:23 PM
There are no guaranteed outcomes from El Niño in California, which frustrates many people.

But El Niño shift in the odds: extreme wetness is more likely, and extreme dryness less likely. In California's sensitive hydroclimate, that tilt in the odds is critical.

link.springer.com/article/10.1...
September 20, 2026 at 6:49 PM
Differential hydrogen isotope responses of C37:3 and C37:4 alkenones to lake water δ2H signals in freshwater lakes: Implications for paleohydroclimatic reconstructions

Wang, Yao, Huang et al.

Organic Geochemistry

https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0146638026001750

#stableisotopes
Differential hydrogen isotope responses of C37:3 and C37:4 alkenones to lake water δ2H signals in freshwater lakes: Implications for paleohydroclimatic reconstructions
Stable hydrogen isotopic compositions (δ2H) of freshwater lake waters during historical periods provide crucial evidence for understanding the evolution of past regional hydroclimate. However, the majority of existing proxies suffer considerable uncertainties in quantitative reconstruction of lake w
www.sciencedirect.com
September 17, 2026 at 12:52 AM
The paleoclimatic reconstructions were perhaps the biggest surprise. Despite major glacial–interglacial changes, herbivore teeth record regular Mediterranean seasonality with mild temperatures and a comparatively stable hydroclimate over nearly 300,000 years! 🦷 5/9
September 14, 2026 at 10:02 AM
The resulting paper, rather than merely summarising the event, reflects a sustained, early-career-led effort to put shared agenda-setting and collaborative authorship into practice.

Read the open-access paper: doi.org/10.1029/2026...
Democratizing Hydroclimate Science for Just and Resilient Futures
Democratizing hydroclimate science broadens research participation and aligns knowledge production with local policy and community needs Institutional reforms can strengthen research systems by s...
doi.org
September 7, 2026 at 5:18 PM
From workshop discussions to a global writing collaboration

YESS members co-organized the 2024 GEWEX ECR Workshop and contributed to the preparation of a new Earth’s Future paper on democratizing hydroclimate science.
September 7, 2026 at 5:18 PM
Organic Carbon Loading Governs Ecological Structure and Nitrogen Cycling in a Tropical Closed‐Basin Lake Over the Late Holocene - Rahman - 2026 - Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences #stableisotopes agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1...
Organic Carbon Loading Governs Ecological Structure and Nitrogen Cycling in a Tropical Closed‐Basin Lake Over the Late Holocene
Despite comparable hydroclimate, the two wet phases recorded distinct N-cycling regimes δ15N enrichment likely reflects intensified anaerobic N-loss, possibly aided by regional human–animal activ...
agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com
August 29, 2026 at 3:51 AM
Coupling of Pacific and Indian Ocean variability disrupted by 19th century volcanism
Variations in Indian Ocean sea surface temperatures (SSTs) exert a profound influence on the temperature and hydroclimate of the densely populated surrounding continents of Africa, Asia, and Australia1,2. Thus, clarifying the drivers of Indian Ocean SST variability across all timescales is critical for society. On interannual (3–8 year) timescales, Indian Ocean SSTs are characterised by two distinct modes of variability: the Indian Ocean Basin Mode (IOBM) and the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD)3,4, both of which are influenced by the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) in the Pacific5. The IOBM manifests as a basin-wide SST response that matures in March–May following the peak (December–February) of ENSO. Dynamically, the weakening of the Pacific Walker circulation (PWC, Fig. 1b) during El Niño induces anomalous descent over the Maritime Continent region, which enhances surface heat fluxes into the Indian Oceans, manifesting as basin-wide warming (IOBM warming, Fig. 1a) in the following season6. The IOD is characterised by changes to the strength of the zonal SST gradient and, through the Bjerknes feedback, the strength of the overlying Indian Ocean Walker circulation (IWC). During a positive IOD event, anomalous easterly winds in the equatorial Indian Ocean develop in July–November further enhancing seasonal cooling off the coast...
www.nature.com
August 26, 2026 at 3:05 PM
Winter 2022–23 storms cut redwoods taller than 100 meters in Redwood National and State Parks from 950 to 825. Only 11% of documented losses were treefalls. doi.org/hcgsrc
Hydroclimate whiplash damages California's tallest redwoods after years of drought
Tall trees are generally associated with high-biomass forests. This is particularly true for forests dominated by Sequoia sempervirens (hereafter redwood), the world's tallest tree species.
phys.org
August 25, 2026 at 10:20 PM
Persistent influence of the North Atlantic Oscillation on Late Holocene hydroclimate in southwestern Greenland
During the Last Glacial Maximum and until about 15 ka BP (before present 1950), the GIS extended to the outer shelf, and all presently ice-free areas in southern Greenland were glaciated31. Rising temperatures at the Younger Dryas–Holocene transition (~11.6 ka BP) led to a fast retreat of the GIS from the outer coast towards its present extent with maximum recession rates of up to 100 m/yr32,33. However, the exact deglaciation timing of the Narsarsuaq-Narsaq-Qaqortog region is still under debate. Radiocarbon dates from basal lake sediments suggest that the GIS reached its present-day dimension (Fig. 1) between 10.6 and 9.5 ka BP15,18. A more recent study based on 10Be surface exposure ages indicates an earlier deglaciation of South Greenland at 11.1 ± 0.2 to 10.6 ± 0.5 ka BP21. The oldest radiocarbon age in our sediment core GeoB25206-2 at 1011 cm depth is ~11.3 ka BP (Supplementary Data 1). Large dark-grey patches, which appear before ~11.3 ka BP (Supplementary Fig. 1), are probably caused by iron-sulphide formation during sub- or anoxic bottom-water conditions. The interval (from 1011 cm down to the core base) is also marked by low amounts of Ice-Rafted Debris (IRD) and low signs of bioturbation (Fig. 2 and...
www.nature.com
August 22, 2026 at 7:44 PM
Mortality risk and burden associated with hydroclimate whiplash in the United States https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.64898/2026.08.18.26360736v1
August 21, 2026 at 2:26 PM
What links changing coastlines, African rainfall belts, and some of the earliest innovations of Homo sapiens?

Our latest study, led by @palaeopryor.bsky.social uncovers how environmental change influenced southern Africa between 90-50 ka.

www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
Shifting shorelines and hydroclimate changes in southern South Africa: Insights from sediment provenance during the Middle Stone Age (90-50 ka)
Southern South Africa houses some key archaeological sites, which document the behavioural and technological development of Homo sapiens. During Marin…
www.sciencedirect.com
August 18, 2026 at 9:00 AM
RAL SEMINAR: The Changing Hydroclimate of New England and Impacts on Warm Season Drought
NSF NCAR Research Applications Laboratory
youtu.be/3-Bb2LrOOak?...
RAL SEMINAR: The Changing Hydroclimate of New England and Impacts on Warm Season Drought
YouTube video by NSF NCAR Research Applications Laboratory
youtu.be
August 17, 2026 at 11:53 PM
Contrasting hydroclimate variations across inner Asian drylands in a warming climate
Contrasting hydroclimate variations across inner Asian drylands in a warming climate
Under future climate warming, surface water availability (precipitation minus evapotranspiration, P–E) over the drylands of East and Central Asia shows a pronounced contrasting response by the late 21st century relative to the historical reference period. East Asian drylands, as the core of Northwest China’s warming and wetting trend, tend to become wetter with increased P–E, while adjacent Central Asian drylands undergo drying with reduced P–E. To elucidate the underlying mechanisms, we analyze CMIP6 simulations combined with LFMIP‐pdLC experiments to disentangle the feedback effects associated with soil moisture (SM) and non‐SM processes. Our results demonstrate that this opposing hydroclimatic pattern is predominantly controlled by non‐SM feedbacks. In East Asia, a strengthened East Asian summer monsoon circulation substantially enhances precipitation, whose increase exceeds the concurrent rise in evapotranspiration. In Central Asia, westerly‐related rainfall increases only modestly, while amplified evapotranspiration driven by elevated vapor pressure deficits dominates the moisture budget. SM feedback acts as a damping factor that modulates both thermodynamic and dynamic components of the moisture budget, thereby partially offsetting non‐SM effects and alleviating the regional imbalance in P–E distribution. These findings advance the mechanistic understanding of dryland hydroclimate change and provide a scientific basis for regionally differentiated water resource planning and adaptation under future warming.
dlvr.it
August 12, 2026 at 8:56 AM
Shifting atmospheric circulation patterns over Europe since the 1980s have been the major cause of increasingly severe droughts on the continent, according to a study in Nature Geoscience. go.nature.com/4x1kDPo 🌎🧪
August 9, 2026 at 1:59 AM