Fake News President Trump? India Accounts For USAID Money - No Mention Of Voter Turnout.

Kash Patel Sends Agents To Raid Bolton’s Home After He Criticizes India Tariffs.

Dhaka accuses India of sheltering Awami League exiles, straining trust and sovereignty in a fragile South Asian balance.

Explore Muhammad Yunus’s role in Bangladesh ’s interim government, rising fundamentalism & its impact on India, the US & regional stability as of 20 March 2025.

Investing.com -- The ongoing conflict between Iran and Israel has emerged as a fresh risk factor for India, exposing vulnerabilities despite minimal direct trade ties. Analysts at Bernstein report that India’s trade with Israel stands under $4 billion, while its trade with Iran totals about $1.6 billion. Crude imports from Iran, once valued at $12 billion in FY19, have ceased entirely due to sanctions. The primary concern centers on the Strait of Hormuz, a strategic choke point where 20% of global oil supply transits. More than 50% of India’s crude oil imports and nearly 70% of its natural gas imports rely on this route. Bernstein warns that any disruption here could lead to severe supply shocks. Iran has threatened to block the strait, though historically such threats have not materialized fully. Following the conflict’s escalation, Brent crude prices surged 16% in ten days, rising from $60 to nearly $75 per barrel. Bernstein notes that while past shocks, such as the Russia-Ukraine war and the US invasion of Iraq, caused prices to stay elevated for months, the duration of the current spike remains uncertain. However, a prolonged conflict could push crude above $100 per barrel. India’s limited alternatives exacerbate the risk. Saudi Arabia and the UAE offer pipeline routes bypassing the strait with capacities of 5 million and 1.5 million barrels per day, respectively, but these are insufficient to cover broader regional needs. Imports from Iraq, Qatar, Bahrain, and Kuwait, accounting for 28% of India’s crude and about 42% of its natural gas imports, remain fully dependent on the Strait of Hormuz. Higher crude prices would directly impact India’s current account deficit and currency stability. The rupee has already weakened to 86 indian rupees against the dollar, and further depreciation toward 88 rupees remains a possibility if tensions persist. Bernstein estimates that a sustained $10 rise in crude prices over a quarter could add 0.11% of GDP to India’s current account deficit. The conflict could also strain India’s defense procurement. Israeli defense exports may face delays due to domestic disruptions, forcing India to consider alternate, potentially costlier, suppliers. This shift could accelerate domestic defense production but may also test the innovation capabilities of local public sector units. Airspace restrictions present another challenge. With Iranian and Pakistani airspace closures, Indian carriers flying to Europe face longer routes, driving up fuel, labor, and maintenance costs. Bernstein estimates a 15% increase in costs for affected flights, squeezing profitability for airlines heavily exposed to international routes. Despite these risks, Bernstein maintains that India’s macroeconomic fundamentals remain stable in the short term, supported by controlled inflation, favorable monsoon forecasts, and recovering domestic demand. The Nifty year-end target remains unchanged at 26,500. However, Bernstein cautions that prolonged geopolitical instability could jeopardize this outlook by fueling imported inflation and currency depreciation. Which stock should you buy in your very next trade? With valuations skyrocketing in 2024, many investors are uneasy putting more money into stocks. Unsure where to invest next? Get access to our proven portfolios and discover high-potential opportunities. In 2024 alone, ProPicks AI identified 2 stocks that surged over 150%, 4 additional stocks that leaped over 30%, and 3 more that climbed over 25%. That's an impressive track record. With portfolios tailored for Dow stocks, S&P stocks, Tech stocks, and Mid Cap stocks, you can explore various wealth-building strategies.

📺 Watch Dawn News Live Stream: Pakistan-India Tensions: Will Relations Improve or Stay Strained in 2026? | Mushahid Hussain | Dawn News پاک بھارت کشیدگی: 2026 میں برف پگھلے گی یا تعلقات خراب رہیں گے؟ #PakistanIndia #Tensions2026 #ForeignPolicy #PakistanPolitics #IndiaRelations #PoliticalUpdate #SouthAsia #breakingnews #newsheadlines #pakistannewsurdu #livenews #latestpakistannews #latestnews #pakistannewstoday #dawnnews Dawn News TV is one of the leading news channels in Pakistan, bringing you the latest news and current affairs from Pakistan and around the world.