#LIVARS
#LIVARS
I wanna try my hand on other sonas.
They belong to @terms-on-dragon.bsky.social
#uhhmy"art"iguess #expie
I wanna try my hand on other sonas.
They belong to @terms-on-dragon.bsky.social
#uhhmy"art"iguess #expie
1% on this... he's going down badly. It won't be a recount, won't be a photo finish. L2 estimated the EV at D+5, primary participation was roughly D+1
L2 -> full general shifts about 4 ish points there historically. He is doomed.
1% on this... he's going down badly. It won't be a recount, won't be a photo finish. L2 estimated the EV at D+5, primary participation was roughly D+1
L2 -> full general shifts about 4 ish points there historically. He is doomed.
Age:
18-29: +4%
30-44: +2%
45-64: even
65+: -7%
Race/ethnicity:
AAPI: +1%
White: -6%
Hispanic: +4%
Black: +1%
Other: even
Age:
18-29: +4%
30-44: +2%
45-64: even
65+: -7%
Race/ethnicity:
AAPI: +1%
White: -6%
Hispanic: +4%
Black: +1%
Other: even
In 2022, Texas early voters were projected R+8. In 2024 projected R+6
It's as I've been saying: Unless all Republicans are holding onto their ballots until Election Day, drop-off alone moves the electorate meaningfully to the left.
In 2022, Texas early voters were projected R+8. In 2024 projected R+6
It's as I've been saying: Unless all Republicans are holding onto their ballots until Election Day, drop-off alone moves the electorate meaningfully to the left.
That’s what a country looks like when the rules apply to everyone. On November 3, let’s make America boring again.
That’s what a country looks like when the rules apply to everyone. On November 3, let’s make America boring again.
dangerous obstructions #lurk
pretty patterns form
#completethehaiga 174 #prompt #haiga #haiku
#7syllablesunday L2 #7syllablesentence
dangerous obstructions #lurk
pretty patterns form
#completethehaiga 174 #prompt #haiga #haiku
#7syllablesunday L2 #7syllablesentence
L2枚を家族と分けたやつ
ピザ屋のピザは基本こういう時しか食わんから特別感がありますね
L2枚を家族と分けたやつ
ピザ屋のピザは基本こういう時しか食わんから特別感がありますね
#Barcelona #NoticiasBarcelona #BarnaDiario @barnadiario.bsky.social
barnadiario.com/corte-l2-met...
#Barcelona #NoticiasBarcelona #BarnaDiario @barnadiario.bsky.social
barnadiario.com/corte-l2-met...
(Data via @l2-data.bsky.social)
- One in five Utah voters has now returned their ballots.
- Democrats still lead in turnout rate, but Republicans are starting to close the gap.
(Data via @l2-data.bsky.social)
- One in five Utah voters has now returned their ballots.
- Democrats still lead in turnout rate, but Republicans are starting to close the gap.
If that L2 D+5 is right, EDay only ever shifts it a few points, Dems win the independents... Every statewide Republican goes down *hard* at say D+1 electorate, complete bloodbath. No poll being past R+5 makes sure of that
If that L2 D+5 is right, EDay only ever shifts it a few points, Dems win the independents... Every statewide Republican goes down *hard* at say D+1 electorate, complete bloodbath. No poll being past R+5 makes sure of that
there will be a desperate player who searches
"How to pass Toe-tal War L2-10 without easy mode",
and finds this video,
and then becomes more desperate.
#indiegame #feet
there will be a desperate player who searches
"How to pass Toe-tal War L2-10 without easy mode",
and finds this video,
and then becomes more desperate.
#indiegame #feet
852,100 (57.6%) D - 529,200 (35.8%) R - 97,500 (6.6%) I
D+21.8, +322,900
Just an estimate but there. GOP would need an impossibly huge Election Day for even a respectable loss
From here, as much mail as can come in should be pure D votes
852,100 (57.6%) D - 529,200 (35.8%) R - 97,500 (6.6%) I
D+21.8, +322,900
Just an estimate but there. GOP would need an impossibly huge Election Day for even a respectable loss
From here, as much mail as can come in should be pure D votes