Probably the best example of a collapse in the uptake of carbon dioxide on land (LULUCF) is in Finland.
A significant and sustained carbon sink turned into a source in 10 years.
robbieandrew.github.io/country/?cou...
1/
A significant and sustained carbon sink turned into a source in 10 years.
robbieandrew.github.io/country/?cou...
1/
April 25, 2025 at 6:35 AM
Probably the best example of a collapse in the uptake of carbon dioxide on land (LULUCF) is in Finland.
A significant and sustained carbon sink turned into a source in 10 years.
robbieandrew.github.io/country/?cou...
1/
A significant and sustained carbon sink turned into a source in 10 years.
robbieandrew.github.io/country/?cou...
1/
Sweden has reduced its GHG emissions 38% since 1990 when excluding LULUCF (removals on land).
When LULUCF is added, Swedish GHG emissions have risen 11% since 1990!
Careful if including LULUCF in your GHG target...
Learn more here (I updated the Swedish figure): www.linkedin.com/pulse/should...
When LULUCF is added, Swedish GHG emissions have risen 11% since 1990!
Careful if including LULUCF in your GHG target...
Learn more here (I updated the Swedish figure): www.linkedin.com/pulse/should...
March 11, 2025 at 8:45 AM
Sweden has reduced its GHG emissions 38% since 1990 when excluding LULUCF (removals on land).
When LULUCF is added, Swedish GHG emissions have risen 11% since 1990!
Careful if including LULUCF in your GHG target...
Learn more here (I updated the Swedish figure): www.linkedin.com/pulse/should...
When LULUCF is added, Swedish GHG emissions have risen 11% since 1990!
Careful if including LULUCF in your GHG target...
Learn more here (I updated the Swedish figure): www.linkedin.com/pulse/should...
Kasvihuonekaasujen tilastoon päivitetty vuoden 2024 ennakkotiedot. 30-vuotinen sota kasvihuonekaasupäästöjä vastaan on hävitty: kokonaispäästöt edelleen vuoden 1990 tasolla. On tämä surullinen kuvio aina vaan.
#luonto
#luonto
May 23, 2025 at 8:34 AM
Kasvihuonekaasujen tilastoon päivitetty vuoden 2024 ennakkotiedot. 30-vuotinen sota kasvihuonekaasupäästöjä vastaan on hävitty: kokonaispäästöt edelleen vuoden 1990 tasolla. On tämä surullinen kuvio aina vaan.
#luonto
#luonto
Finland has a goal to be net zero GHG emissions by 2035.
Emissions were declining, the LULUCF removals were strong, the plan was looking good, but then LULUCF collapsed.
Net GHG emissions have actually risen over the last decade!
www.treasuryfinland.fi/investor-rel...
1/
Emissions were declining, the LULUCF removals were strong, the plan was looking good, but then LULUCF collapsed.
Net GHG emissions have actually risen over the last decade!
www.treasuryfinland.fi/investor-rel...
1/
October 23, 2025 at 7:54 AM
Finland has a goal to be net zero GHG emissions by 2035.
Emissions were declining, the LULUCF removals were strong, the plan was looking good, but then LULUCF collapsed.
Net GHG emissions have actually risen over the last decade!
www.treasuryfinland.fi/investor-rel...
1/
Emissions were declining, the LULUCF removals were strong, the plan was looking good, but then LULUCF collapsed.
Net GHG emissions have actually risen over the last decade!
www.treasuryfinland.fi/investor-rel...
1/
Das Klimaschutzgesetz sieht für den LULUCF-Sektor konkrete Minderungsziele für die Jahre 2030, 2040 und 2045 vor. Hier ist auch nix mit übergreifender Sektorrechnung wie bei den traditionellen Sektoren – LULUCF wird konkret in Paragraf 3a geregelt, unabhängig.
September 30, 2025 at 11:25 AM
Das Klimaschutzgesetz sieht für den LULUCF-Sektor konkrete Minderungsziele für die Jahre 2030, 2040 und 2045 vor. Hier ist auch nix mit übergreifender Sektorrechnung wie bei den traditionellen Sektoren – LULUCF wird konkret in Paragraf 3a geregelt, unabhängig.
Some political parties in Norway want to include LULUCF in the Norwegian emission target.
From 1990, net GHG emissions have declined 10% compared to 1990 (vs 4% ex LULUCF), but have risen 24% since 2010.
The land sink is volatile, so including LULUCF is risky business!
1/
From 1990, net GHG emissions have declined 10% compared to 1990 (vs 4% ex LULUCF), but have risen 24% since 2010.
The land sink is volatile, so including LULUCF is risky business!
1/
February 17, 2025 at 8:06 AM
Some political parties in Norway want to include LULUCF in the Norwegian emission target.
From 1990, net GHG emissions have declined 10% compared to 1990 (vs 4% ex LULUCF), but have risen 24% since 2010.
The land sink is volatile, so including LULUCF is risky business!
1/
From 1990, net GHG emissions have declined 10% compared to 1990 (vs 4% ex LULUCF), but have risen 24% since 2010.
The land sink is volatile, so including LULUCF is risky business!
1/
After several years of a declining sink, LULUCF is making a recovery in Sweden.
The 2026 GHG inventory submission has a sizeable revision to LULUCF in the last years.
robbieandrew.github.io/country/?cou...
The 2026 GHG inventory submission has a sizeable revision to LULUCF in the last years.
robbieandrew.github.io/country/?cou...
March 17, 2026 at 9:46 AM
After several years of a declining sink, LULUCF is making a recovery in Sweden.
The 2026 GHG inventory submission has a sizeable revision to LULUCF in the last years.
robbieandrew.github.io/country/?cou...
The 2026 GHG inventory submission has a sizeable revision to LULUCF in the last years.
robbieandrew.github.io/country/?cou...
The drop in CO2 uptake on land (LULUCF) in Finland and Sweden isn't without political consequence.
Finland and Sweden now asking the EU for more flexibility. Norway has also made similar comments (but is not an EU member country).
www.euronews.com/my-europe/20...
Finland and Sweden now asking the EU for more flexibility. Norway has also made similar comments (but is not an EU member country).
www.euronews.com/my-europe/20...
September 22, 2025 at 7:38 AM
The drop in CO2 uptake on land (LULUCF) in Finland and Sweden isn't without political consequence.
Finland and Sweden now asking the EU for more flexibility. Norway has also made similar comments (but is not an EU member country).
www.euronews.com/my-europe/20...
Finland and Sweden now asking the EU for more flexibility. Norway has also made similar comments (but is not an EU member country).
www.euronews.com/my-europe/20...
Here is an attempt to show how emission reductions in 2030 would change in Norway based on how LULUCF is included.
Status quo, excluded: grey line at the top
Including LULUCF (black line, three bars to right): The required reductions in non-LULUCF sectors depends on what happens with LULUCF.
Status quo, excluded: grey line at the top
Including LULUCF (black line, three bars to right): The required reductions in non-LULUCF sectors depends on what happens with LULUCF.
March 6, 2025 at 7:37 AM
Here is an attempt to show how emission reductions in 2030 would change in Norway based on how LULUCF is included.
Status quo, excluded: grey line at the top
Including LULUCF (black line, three bars to right): The required reductions in non-LULUCF sectors depends on what happens with LULUCF.
Status quo, excluded: grey line at the top
Including LULUCF (black line, three bars to right): The required reductions in non-LULUCF sectors depends on what happens with LULUCF.
Näyttää vääjäämättömältä ettei EU:n LULUCF sektorilla ole millään maalla päästöoikeuksia myytävänä.
Ei avata LULUCF sääntelyä. Sen sijaan perustetaan maksuista sakkorahasto, jonka varat käytetään syöttötariffijärjestelmän periaatteella teknisten hiilinielujen tuottajalle. Suomella vain voitettavaa.
Ei avata LULUCF sääntelyä. Sen sijaan perustetaan maksuista sakkorahasto, jonka varat käytetään syöttötariffijärjestelmän periaatteella teknisten hiilinielujen tuottajalle. Suomella vain voitettavaa.
February 5, 2025 at 7:04 AM
Näyttää vääjäämättömältä ettei EU:n LULUCF sektorilla ole millään maalla päästöoikeuksia myytävänä.
Ei avata LULUCF sääntelyä. Sen sijaan perustetaan maksuista sakkorahasto, jonka varat käytetään syöttötariffijärjestelmän periaatteella teknisten hiilinielujen tuottajalle. Suomella vain voitettavaa.
Ei avata LULUCF sääntelyä. Sen sijaan perustetaan maksuista sakkorahasto, jonka varat käytetään syöttötariffijärjestelmän periaatteella teknisten hiilinielujen tuottajalle. Suomella vain voitettavaa.
Holy moly, finally a country with worse LULUCF revisions than Australia
April 8, 2025 at 7:48 AM
Holy moly, finally a country with worse LULUCF revisions than Australia
My first chart showed the revisions of LULUCF over various editions. Here's what the 2025 report shows in some more detail for forests.
April 17, 2025 at 7:19 AM
My first chart showed the revisions of LULUCF over various editions. Here's what the 2025 report shows in some more detail for forests.
Die Emissionen aus den entwässerten Mooren sind, obwohl sie fast immer für #Landwirtschaft 🚜 genutzt werden, nicht im Sektor Landwirtschaft zu finden, sondern im Sektor #LULUCF
(Land Use, Land-Use Change and Forestry) "versteckt".
Hier: "Acker, Grünland"...das sind entwässerte Moore!
/3/
(Land Use, Land-Use Change and Forestry) "versteckt".
Hier: "Acker, Grünland"...das sind entwässerte Moore!
/3/
June 13, 2025 at 5:29 AM
Die Emissionen aus den entwässerten Mooren sind, obwohl sie fast immer für #Landwirtschaft 🚜 genutzt werden, nicht im Sektor Landwirtschaft zu finden, sondern im Sektor #LULUCF
(Land Use, Land-Use Change and Forestry) "versteckt".
Hier: "Acker, Grünland"...das sind entwässerte Moore!
/3/
(Land Use, Land-Use Change and Forestry) "versteckt".
Hier: "Acker, Grünland"...das sind entwässerte Moore!
/3/
Just released: Huge revision in Germany's official estimates of emissions/uptake from the land-use, land-use change and forestry (LULUCF) sector, now reflecting the spruce bark beetle outbreaks that started in 2018. 1/2
April 17, 2025 at 7:18 AM
Just released: Huge revision in Germany's official estimates of emissions/uptake from the land-use, land-use change and forestry (LULUCF) sector, now reflecting the spruce bark beetle outbreaks that started in 2018. 1/2
Sir this stat does NOT account for LULUCF
October 18, 2024 at 4:52 AM
Sir this stat does NOT account for LULUCF
A rare treat: lulucf being revised in a way that doesn't benefit government narratives on climate action
Just released: Huge revision in Germany's official estimates of emissions/uptake from the land-use, land-use change and forestry (LULUCF) sector, now reflecting the spruce bark beetle outbreaks that started in 2018. 1/2
April 18, 2025 at 11:07 AM
A rare treat: lulucf being revised in a way that doesn't benefit government narratives on climate action
The EU has a target to maintain land use, land-use change, and forestry (LULUCF) at -310MtCO2/yr by 2030.
Currently, LULUCF is moving in the wrong direction, due to climate impacts and increased harvest.
Check out similar figures for your favourite country: robbieandrew.github.io/country/
Currently, LULUCF is moving in the wrong direction, due to climate impacts and increased harvest.
Check out similar figures for your favourite country: robbieandrew.github.io/country/
April 23, 2025 at 6:55 AM
The EU has a target to maintain land use, land-use change, and forestry (LULUCF) at -310MtCO2/yr by 2030.
Currently, LULUCF is moving in the wrong direction, due to climate impacts and increased harvest.
Check out similar figures for your favourite country: robbieandrew.github.io/country/
Currently, LULUCF is moving in the wrong direction, due to climate impacts and increased harvest.
Check out similar figures for your favourite country: robbieandrew.github.io/country/
Der Sektor #LULUCF jetzt keine CO²-Senke mehr, sondern eine CO2-Quelle weil der Wald 🌳🌲 infolge der Klimakrise abkackt.
Ebenfalls eine gewaltige CO²-Quelle innerhalb von LULUCF:
👉 entwässerte Moore mit ~54 Mio t CO² Äqu.
Da hilft nur: #MoorMussNass
Ebenfalls eine gewaltige CO²-Quelle innerhalb von LULUCF:
👉 entwässerte Moore mit ~54 Mio t CO² Äqu.
Da hilft nur: #MoorMussNass
Die Restemissionen müssen durch Senkenleistung des Sektors Landnutzung #LULUCF und technische Senken ausgeglichen werden.
Der Sektor LULUCF wird jedoch nicht mehr als THG-Senke, sondern als Quelle ausgewiesen. Der Grund: der schlechte Zustand des Waldes.
Der Sektor LULUCF wird jedoch nicht mehr als THG-Senke, sondern als Quelle ausgewiesen. Der Grund: der schlechte Zustand des Waldes.
May 15, 2025 at 10:01 AM
Der Sektor #LULUCF jetzt keine CO²-Senke mehr, sondern eine CO2-Quelle weil der Wald 🌳🌲 infolge der Klimakrise abkackt.
Ebenfalls eine gewaltige CO²-Quelle innerhalb von LULUCF:
👉 entwässerte Moore mit ~54 Mio t CO² Äqu.
Da hilft nur: #MoorMussNass
Ebenfalls eine gewaltige CO²-Quelle innerhalb von LULUCF:
👉 entwässerte Moore mit ~54 Mio t CO² Äqu.
Da hilft nur: #MoorMussNass
The EU has released its latest GHG emission inventory, with data up to 2023.
The good news, GHG emissions continue a downward trend, currently 37% below 1990 levels.
The bad news, a significant downward revision of land-use removals (LULUCF).
1/
The good news, GHG emissions continue a downward trend, currently 37% below 1990 levels.
The bad news, a significant downward revision of land-use removals (LULUCF).
1/
April 22, 2025 at 9:18 AM
The EU has released its latest GHG emission inventory, with data up to 2023.
The good news, GHG emissions continue a downward trend, currently 37% below 1990 levels.
The bad news, a significant downward revision of land-use removals (LULUCF).
1/
The good news, GHG emissions continue a downward trend, currently 37% below 1990 levels.
The bad news, a significant downward revision of land-use removals (LULUCF).
1/
There have also been significant revisions to the estimates.
Each year new data and new report comes in, the situation gets worse.
2/
Each year new data and new report comes in, the situation gets worse.
2/
April 25, 2025 at 6:35 AM
There have also been significant revisions to the estimates.
Each year new data and new report comes in, the situation gets worse.
2/
Each year new data and new report comes in, the situation gets worse.
2/
Q: Should Norway included LULUCF (land sink) in its new NDC (climate target)?
A: Only as a separate target
Why should LULUCF be separated, particularly in countries with large sinks? I explain for Norway, but the lessons are general.
@klimastiftelsen.no www.linkedin.com/pulse/should...
A: Only as a separate target
Why should LULUCF be separated, particularly in countries with large sinks? I explain for Norway, but the lessons are general.
@klimastiftelsen.no www.linkedin.com/pulse/should...
March 10, 2025 at 11:00 AM
Q: Should Norway included LULUCF (land sink) in its new NDC (climate target)?
A: Only as a separate target
Why should LULUCF be separated, particularly in countries with large sinks? I explain for Norway, but the lessons are general.
@klimastiftelsen.no www.linkedin.com/pulse/should...
A: Only as a separate target
Why should LULUCF be separated, particularly in countries with large sinks? I explain for Norway, but the lessons are general.
@klimastiftelsen.no www.linkedin.com/pulse/should...
Om man undantar skog och mark (LULUCF) har Sveriges utsläpp minskat med 38% sen 1990. Men hög avverkning och dålig tillväxt gör att upptaget av koldioxid i skogen minskar. Så om man räknar in LULUCF har utsläppen istället ökat med 11%. Källa @glenpeters.bsky.social
www.linkedin.com/pulse/should...
www.linkedin.com/pulse/should...
March 13, 2025 at 9:46 AM
Om man undantar skog och mark (LULUCF) har Sveriges utsläpp minskat med 38% sen 1990. Men hög avverkning och dålig tillväxt gör att upptaget av koldioxid i skogen minskar. Så om man räknar in LULUCF har utsläppen istället ökat med 11%. Källa @glenpeters.bsky.social
www.linkedin.com/pulse/should...
www.linkedin.com/pulse/should...
Every year that countries report emissions to UNFCCC, all the data points in all years are updated based on new methods, data, etc.
For the land sector (LULUCF) the revisions can be substantial (reflecting large uncertainties).
This is how Sweden's LULUCF sector has evolved over success reports!
For the land sector (LULUCF) the revisions can be substantial (reflecting large uncertainties).
This is how Sweden's LULUCF sector has evolved over success reports!
March 12, 2025 at 1:06 PM
Every year that countries report emissions to UNFCCC, all the data points in all years are updated based on new methods, data, etc.
For the land sector (LULUCF) the revisions can be substantial (reflecting large uncertainties).
This is how Sweden's LULUCF sector has evolved over success reports!
For the land sector (LULUCF) the revisions can be substantial (reflecting large uncertainties).
This is how Sweden's LULUCF sector has evolved over success reports!
If you wonder why we keep talking about land use in Finland, see the light green LULUCF figure.
It's hard to be carbon-neutral in 2035 according to our target when the 'neutral' part is almost gone. No reductions in transport.
Great website @wflamb.bsky.social
lambwf.github.io/Tidy-GHG-Inv...
It's hard to be carbon-neutral in 2035 according to our target when the 'neutral' part is almost gone. No reductions in transport.
Great website @wflamb.bsky.social
lambwf.github.io/Tidy-GHG-Inv...
September 21, 2026 at 12:18 PM
If you wonder why we keep talking about land use in Finland, see the light green LULUCF figure.
It's hard to be carbon-neutral in 2035 according to our target when the 'neutral' part is almost gone. No reductions in transport.
Great website @wflamb.bsky.social
lambwf.github.io/Tidy-GHG-Inv...
It's hard to be carbon-neutral in 2035 according to our target when the 'neutral' part is almost gone. No reductions in transport.
Great website @wflamb.bsky.social
lambwf.github.io/Tidy-GHG-Inv...
As things look bleak in EU LULUCF, they look extra bleak with German LULUCF.
Last year they thought their forests were a -40 MtCO2/a sink. Now thy have realised that it is a +10 MtCO2/a source.
End result; total LULUCF for 2023 is +68.7 MtCO2/a
@glenpeters.bsky.social
www.thuenen.de/en/thuenen-t...
Last year they thought their forests were a -40 MtCO2/a sink. Now thy have realised that it is a +10 MtCO2/a source.
End result; total LULUCF for 2023 is +68.7 MtCO2/a
@glenpeters.bsky.social
www.thuenen.de/en/thuenen-t...
January 16, 2025 at 9:29 AM
As things look bleak in EU LULUCF, they look extra bleak with German LULUCF.
Last year they thought their forests were a -40 MtCO2/a sink. Now thy have realised that it is a +10 MtCO2/a source.
End result; total LULUCF for 2023 is +68.7 MtCO2/a
@glenpeters.bsky.social
www.thuenen.de/en/thuenen-t...
Last year they thought their forests were a -40 MtCO2/a sink. Now thy have realised that it is a +10 MtCO2/a source.
End result; total LULUCF for 2023 is +68.7 MtCO2/a
@glenpeters.bsky.social
www.thuenen.de/en/thuenen-t...