#NIESR
I see NIESR is talking today about a £41.2bn hole in the UK public finances

Two things are newsworthy:
a) NIESR is an outlier
b) It’s last forecast (May) had a £60bn ish hole

Does that make it good news for the chancellor today, then?
August 6, 2025 at 7:50 AM
The poorest 10% of households in the UK are now poorer than the poorest 10% in Slovenia and Malta, according to the National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR).
www.thecanary.co/uk/analysis/...
Here's the bit of the NIESR 'Slovenia' report that the corporate media failed to mention
A new report from the NIESR has been widely shouted about 'coz Slovenia' - but the corporate media missed the part about the DWP
www.thecanary.co
March 14, 2025 at 7:16 AM
Sad news for UK and for the british people
UK drops down list of affluent nations after decade of stagnation, NIESR finds

www.theguardian.com/business/202...
UK drops down list of affluent nations after decade of stagnation, NIESR finds
Districts in Birmingham now ranked below poorest areas of France, Malta and Slovenia as institute urges rethink on planned welfare cuts
www.theguardian.com
March 13, 2025 at 7:54 AM
Can economic policy be effective if the underlying data is flawed?📊

The latest CfM-NIESR survey has just been published, gathering expert views from leading economists on the usefulness and reliability of ONS statistics.

Read here what the panel had to say ⤵️

niesr.ac.uk/news/septemb...
September 2026 CfM-NIESR Survey: The Usefulness of ONS Statistics - NIESR
Experts responding to the CfM-NIESR survey viewed ONS improvements to labour market data as the most important for strengthening economic policy.
niesr.ac.uk
September 29, 2026 at 8:16 AM
Another @theguardian.com article about the effects of Brexit which doesn’t mention Brexit.
UK drops down list of affluent nations after decade of stagnation, NIESR finds
Districts in Birmingham now ranked below poorest areas of France, Malta and Slovenia as institute urges rethink on planned welfare cuts
www.theguardian.com
March 13, 2025 at 7:28 AM
CfM-NIESR survey found that professional economists continue to place the greatest confidence in the ONS's consumer price statistics. Labour market statistics attracting the lowest levels of confidence
www.cfmsurvey.org/listsurveys/...
The Usefulness of ONS Statistics
Experts responding to the CfM-NIESR survey expressed the strongest confidence in ONS consumer price statistics, with weakest confidence in labour market statistics.
www.cfmsurvey.org
September 28, 2026 at 3:15 PM
UK drops down list of affluent nations after decade of stagnation, NIESR finds
UK drops down list of affluent nations after decade of stagnation, NIESR finds
Districts in Birmingham now ranked below poorest areas of France, Slovenia and Malta as institute urges rethink on planned welfare cuts The UK has tumbled down the league of affluent nations after almost a decade of welfare cuts and stagnant incomes,…
www.theguardian.com
March 12, 2025 at 8:07 PM
2016 : "We will be better off out of the EU!! The US is our largest trading partner!!"

2024 : "Trump tariffs would halve UK growth and push up prices"

"The UK is a small, open economy and would be one of the countries most affected" - National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR)
Trump tariffs would halve UK growth and push up prices, says thinktank
NIESR warns Republican nominee’s protectionist policies, including against Britain, would harm domestic economy
www.theguardian.com
November 6, 2024 at 8:02 AM
Current policy of pandering to xenophobes just not sustainable. But then we knew that.
Zero net migration would shrink UK economy by 3.6%, says thinktank
Jump of £37bn in budget deficit by 2040 would force government to increase taxes, NIESR predicts
www.theguardian.com
February 4, 2026 at 8:34 AM
🚨BREAKING: The UK economy would be 3.6% smaller by 2040 if net migration fell to zero, forcing the government to raise taxes to combat a much bigger budget deficit, a thinktank has predicted.

www.theguardian.com/business/202...
February 4, 2026 at 9:09 AM
Jagjit Chadha is standing down from NIESR after eight years - he's done a great job in bringing economic light to tricky challenges during this time
www.niesr.ac.uk/news/jagjit-...
Jagjit Chadha to Stand Down as Director - NIESR
Professor Jagjit S. Chadha is to stand down as Director of the National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) in December 2024.
www.niesr.ac.uk
October 11, 2024 at 10:59 AM
America’s economy ‘risks massive Trump slump’
US GDP could contract by as much as two to three percentage points, according to NIESR www.telegraph.co.uk/business/202...
America’s economy ‘risks massive Trump slump’
US GDP could contract by as much as two to three percentage points, according to NIESR
www.telegraph.co.uk
December 10, 2024 at 2:57 PM
NIESR say a Trump win would halve UK growth outlook and be inflationary www.theguardian.com/us-news/2024...
Trump tariffs would halve UK growth and push up prices, says thinktank
NIESR warns Republican nominee’s protectionist policies, including against Britain, would harm domestic economy
www.theguardian.com
November 6, 2024 at 12:19 AM
Keir Starmer says he 'does not recognise' figures from think-tank the National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR), which suggested Rachel Reeves needs to raise billions in extra taxes in the Budget

www.mirror.co.uk/news/politic...
PM kicks back at dire tax rise warning as experts find '£41billion black hole'
Keir Starmer says he 'does not recognise' figures from think-tank the National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR), which suggested Rachel Reeves needs to raise billions in extra taxes i...
www.mirror.co.uk
August 6, 2025 at 12:50 PM
UK drops down list of affluent nations after decade of stagnation.

Deindustrialization, austerity, low wages, profiteering, inequitable distribution of income take toll.

Poorest in West Midlands
worse off than counterparts in France, Malta, Slovenia.

Govts obsessed with the City neglect the rest.
UK drops down list of affluent nations after decade of stagnation, NIESR finds
Districts in Birmingham now ranked below poorest areas of France, Malta and Slovenia as institute urges rethink on planned welfare cuts
www.theguardian.com
March 13, 2025 at 7:15 AM
Much higher taxes or more brown people… tough choice for racists
Zero net migration would shrink UK economy by 3.6%, says thinktank
Jump of £37bn in budget deficit by 2040 would force government to increase taxes, NIESR predicts
www.theguardian.com
February 4, 2026 at 8:38 AM
There is a £40bn tax hole and govt must hike taxes, say headlines.

None said that HMRC didn't collect £46.8bn last yr. 40% (£18.6bn) relates to corporations. £500bn since 2010.

NAO says wealthy are dodging taxes. Corporations shift profits to dodge taxes.

Why hit the little people?
Rachel Reeves needs to put up taxes to cover £40bn deficit, thinktank says
NIESR suggests a rise of 5p in the pound on basic and higher rate of income tax would fill the budget gap
www.theguardian.com
August 11, 2025 at 8:32 AM
Zero net migration would shrink UK economy by 3.6%.

Higher taxes to maintain public services.

UK has 3 working age people for every one pensioner, could be 2:1 by 2050. Low birth rate. Can't sustain economy without immigration.

Xenophobia preventing honest debate.
Zero net migration would shrink UK economy by 3.6%, says thinktank
Jump of £37bn in budget deficit by 2040 would force government to increase taxes, NIESR predicts
www.theguardian.com
February 4, 2026 at 7:41 AM
The poorest households in Slovenia and Malta are better off than the poorest in the UK.

UK has some of the least generous welfare across the OECD

Yet govts still push failed trickle-down policies, real cuts to wages and benefits, unchecked profiteering, oppose higher taxes on the rich.
UK Living Standards Review 2025 - NIESR
While some enjoy living standards comparable to the most prosperous regions of Europe, the poorest in the UK are now poorer than Slovenia and Malta.
niesr.ac.uk
July 22, 2025 at 9:08 AM
Not enough Austerity yet, said the *checks notes* Labour Government.

www.theguardian.com/business/202...
UK drops down list of affluent nations after decade of stagnation, NIESR finds
Districts in Birmingham now ranked below poorest areas of France, Malta and Slovenia as institute urges rethink on planned welfare cuts
www.theguardian.com
March 13, 2025 at 8:29 AM