There has to be a gas price that turns nonresponse bias into actual no-shows
What if the right is just really getting wrecked among people who have to drive 30 miles to get anywhere?
September 30, 2026 at 11:33 PM
There has to be a gas price that turns nonresponse bias into actual no-shows
In surveys, nonresponse is often treated as missing data but that overlooks a key pattern. I find when American National Election Survey respondents leave candidate evaluation prompts blank, it’s not missing data, it’s informative nonresponse. Think ghosting… not missing data! cup.org/4cUmoXi 3/
May 6, 2026 at 6:16 PM
In surveys, nonresponse is often treated as missing data but that overlooks a key pattern. I find when American National Election Survey respondents leave candidate evaluation prompts blank, it’s not missing data, it’s informative nonresponse. Think ghosting… not missing data! cup.org/4cUmoXi 3/
(dabbing wine droplets out of the cup)
frogs
wild animals
differential nonresponse
frogs
wild animals
differential nonresponse
matchup -> matzah balls
salience -> salt water
winnowing -> wine
poll -> potato kugel
salience -> salt water
winnowing -> wine
poll -> potato kugel
September 29, 2026 at 3:55 PM
(dabbing wine droplets out of the cup)
frogs
wild animals
differential nonresponse
frogs
wild animals
differential nonresponse
Special rapporteur says Israel's nonresponse to the growing crisis reflects its attitude towards Palestinians.
UN's Albanese: Israel treats storm-hit Palestinians of Gaza as ‘expendable'
Special rapporteur says Israel's nonresponse to the growing crisis reflects its attitude towards Palestinians.
www.aljazeera.com
January 14, 2026 at 11:30 AM
Special rapporteur says Israel's nonresponse to the growing crisis reflects its attitude towards Palestinians.
And always treating every nonresponse as "oh, God, they hate me now".
September 25, 2025 at 11:32 PM
And always treating every nonresponse as "oh, God, they hate me now".
Really think people need to start applying nonresponse bias in every facet of survey research!
Consumer sentiment improving and inflation expectations falling.
Earlier: housing numbers beat.
Earlier: housing numbers beat.
July 18, 2025 at 2:07 PM
Really think people need to start applying nonresponse bias in every facet of survey research!
This isn't how differential nonresponse bias works. Hth.
ngl this does make me more suspicious that disproportionate partisan response is screwing up the polls again
Support For Trump's Proposed $5000 Check:
Oppose: 63%
Support: 17%
Ipsos / Sept 14, 2026
Oppose: 63%
Support: 17%
Ipsos / Sept 14, 2026
September 16, 2026 at 1:48 AM
This isn't how differential nonresponse bias works. Hth.
for all the talk about nonresponse bias in polls, betting markets for election outcomes are essentially the polling averages refracted through the information diet of the people who happen to bet, which is currently a relatively niche audience
June 25, 2025 at 9:11 PM
for all the talk about nonresponse bias in polls, betting markets for election outcomes are essentially the polling averages refracted through the information diet of the people who happen to bet, which is currently a relatively niche audience
accidentally solving the nonresponse issue in polling by figuring out how to reach paul krugman
June 26, 2025 at 3:40 PM
accidentally solving the nonresponse issue in polling by figuring out how to reach paul krugman
nonresponse bias is algae
June 22, 2026 at 6:35 PM
nonresponse bias is algae
something something drifterential nonresponse
There is a bit of a model war going on regarding snowfall forecasts for DC Monday. Are you following our live updates at cwg.live?
January 5, 2025 at 3:44 AM
something something drifterential nonresponse
Why, for most of the past year, did Trump feel so unstoppable? Why did his opponents seem so helpless? Consider the phenomenon in survey methodology called "nonresponse bias." www.offmessage.net/p/the-nonres...
February 13, 2026 at 4:37 PM
Why, for most of the past year, did Trump feel so unstoppable? Why did his opponents seem so helpless? Consider the phenomenon in survey methodology called "nonresponse bias." www.offmessage.net/p/the-nonres...
what is happening is probably nonresponse bias
June 6, 2024 at 10:59 PM
what is happening is probably nonresponse bias
have we tried correcting for nonresponse by adding more butter
This is the secret difference between all home cooking and restaurant cooking. Restaurants use an obscene amount of butter.
This applies to all recipes. When in doubt, double or triple the amount of butter and it will taste amazing.
This applies to all recipes. When in doubt, double or triple the amount of butter and it will taste amazing.
June 3, 2024 at 1:41 PM
have we tried correcting for nonresponse by adding more butter
"this survey is seeing unusually high nonresponse"
"why"
"too many mist calls"
"why"
"too many mist calls"
On a scale from 1 to 5, where 1 is mist, 3 is heavy, and 5 is intense, how would
Do you feel the rain is on the right track or
How would you describe your self with regard to rain apprecia
Do you feel the rain is on the right track or
How would you describe your self with regard to rain apprecia
October 8, 2025 at 3:55 PM
"this survey is seeing unusually high nonresponse"
"why"
"too many mist calls"
"why"
"too many mist calls"
roses are red
cats are adorable
we hope nonresponse
is mostly ignorable
cats are adorable
we hope nonresponse
is mostly ignorable
February 14, 2024 at 9:31 PM
roses are red
cats are adorable
we hope nonresponse
is mostly ignorable
cats are adorable
we hope nonresponse
is mostly ignorable
"Telescopes cause asteroids" is my new nonresponse to stupid things.
August 21, 2026 at 5:56 AM
"Telescopes cause asteroids" is my new nonresponse to stupid things.
taxes are just like taking a survey except less fun and with significant penalties for nonresponse
31% of Americans who said they need to file a tax return haven’t done it yet, according to our new Omnibus survey conducted 12 days before the federal income tax deadline. Read more in the short report:
The Public and Taxes 2025 - SSRS
A new SSRS Opinion Panel Omnibus poll conducted before the federal income tax filing deadline finds that as of 12 days before the deadline, about three in ten (31%) of those who said they needed to fi...
ssrs.com
April 11, 2025 at 2:47 PM
taxes are just like taking a survey except less fun and with significant penalties for nonresponse
Great paper on stability of nonresponse bias despite increasing nonresponse rates. DAG in a survey methods paper! doi.org/10.18148/srm...
Against All Odds: On the Robustness of Probability Samples Against Decreases in Response Rates
| Survey Research Methods
doi.org
April 11, 2025 at 7:35 AM
Great paper on stability of nonresponse bias despite increasing nonresponse rates. DAG in a survey methods paper! doi.org/10.18148/srm...
the snow hole is the differential nonresponse of weather
Grade our forecast!
Here's a comparison of what we predicted vs. what fell.
Guess we didn't account for the DC snow hole enough :(
This was a tough forecast...but decent match.
Our recap of the event is at this link: www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2025...
Here's a comparison of what we predicted vs. what fell.
Guess we didn't account for the DC snow hole enough :(
This was a tough forecast...but decent match.
Our recap of the event is at this link: www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2025...
December 14, 2025 at 4:04 PM
the snow hole is the differential nonresponse of weather
(the last quadrant is just labeled "nonresponse problem")
November 19, 2024 at 9:07 PM
(the last quadrant is just labeled "nonresponse problem")
I joined @connolly.house.gov and over 100 Democrats demanding that 24 federal agencies provide clear guidance stating that our civil service is not obligated to respond to DOGE’s email stunt, and that nonresponse cannot constitute resignation — no matter what Elon Musk claims to the contrary.
February 24, 2025 at 11:50 PM
I joined @connolly.house.gov and over 100 Democrats demanding that 24 federal agencies provide clear guidance stating that our civil service is not obligated to respond to DOGE’s email stunt, and that nonresponse cannot constitute resignation — no matter what Elon Musk claims to the contrary.
The author's should ask ChatGPT to provide feedback on the risks of nonresponse bias in their design.
If you're trying to design-bias a study towards LLM-friendly findings, this is how you do it.
If you're trying to design-bias a study towards LLM-friendly findings, this is how you do it.
somebody at UChicago is feeding preprints to LLMs without authors' consent, in a research study
they have the gall to suggest to authors they've opted-in that they volunteer to evaluate the LLMs' suggestions regarding their own work.
lol, lmao even. here is the invite and my reply
they have the gall to suggest to authors they've opted-in that they volunteer to evaluate the LLMs' suggestions regarding their own work.
lol, lmao even. here is the invite and my reply
January 5, 2026 at 11:40 PM
The author's should ask ChatGPT to provide feedback on the risks of nonresponse bias in their design.
If you're trying to design-bias a study towards LLM-friendly findings, this is how you do it.
If you're trying to design-bias a study towards LLM-friendly findings, this is how you do it.
Yes, and this helped create the illusion that Trump had “won the culture.” www.offmessage.net/p/the-nonres...
February 26, 2026 at 10:51 PM
Yes, and this helped create the illusion that Trump had “won the culture.” www.offmessage.net/p/the-nonres...