Discursive Opportunities for the Estonian 🇪🇪 Populist Radical Right in a Digital Society, by Andres Kasekamp @uoft, Mari-Liis Madisson & Louis Wierenga @unitartu https://doi.org/10.1080/10758216.2018.1445973 #RK2019 #polcomm /6

Fostering Dialogue or Monologue? Estonian 🇪🇪 Party Websites During the 2009 European Parliament Elections, by Ülle Toode @tallinnaylikool https://doi.org/10.1080/15377857.2016.1151111 #RK2019 #polcomm /5

Explaining the Electoral Failure of Extreme-Right Parties in Estonia 🇪🇪 and Latvia 🇱🇻, by @DaunisAuers @lvuniversity & Andres Kasekamp @unitartu https://doi.org/10.1080/14782800903108718 #RK2019 #polcomm /4

The diffusion of internet voting. Usage patterns of internet voting in Estonia 🇪🇪between 2005 and 2015, by @kristjanvassil & Mihkel Solvak @unitartu, @pvinkel @TallinnTech, @Atrechsel @UniLuzern, and @rmichaelalvarez @Caltech https://doi.org/10.1016/j.giq.2016.06.007 #RK2019...

Running for President of Estonia 🇪🇪: A Political Scientist in Politics, by Rein Taagepera @ucirvine & @skytteUT @unitartu https://doi.org/10.2307/419848 #PolComm #RK2019 /2

On Sunday, the 2019 Estonian parliamentary election takes place. Here are five articles on electoral behavior, campaigning, and #polcomm in #Estonia. #RK2019 🇪🇪 /1

And indeed, first results are starting to come in - https://rk2019.valimised.ee/et/election-result/election-result.html

That second place though...

New data in at https://rk2019.valimised.ee/et/election-result/election-result.html:

As of 1859 GMT:
Reform: 38,4%
EKRE: 14,3%
Centre Party: 12,7%
Isamaa: 12,6%
SDE: 11,3%
Eesti 200: 5,4%

1914 UTC update: https://rk2019.valimised.ee/et/election-result/election-result.html

Reform: 36,8%
EKRE: 15,4%
Centre: 13,7%
Isamaa: 12,6%
Social Democrats: 11,2%
Eesti 200: 5,2%
141 out of 451 precints reporting.

Give it some time for ratios to settle down.

1939 UTC Estonia update:
Eesti 200 has fallen below threshold
Reform: 34,1%
EKRE: 16,6%
Centre: 16,0%
Isamaa: 12,4%
Social Democrats: 11,0%

Source: https://rk2019.valimised.ee/et/election-result/election-result.html

1954 UTC update according to https://rk2019.valimised.ee/et/election-result/election-result.html

Reform: 32,3%
Centre: 17,9%
EKRE: 17,3%
Isamaa: 12,1%
Social Democrats: 10,7%
298 out of 451 precincts reporting.

Estonia update at 2024 UTC - https://rk2019.valimised.ee/et/election-result/election-result.html:

Reform 30,5%
Centre: 20,6%
EKRE: 17,6%
Isamaa: 11,7%
Social Democrats: 10,3%

Only possible two-party coalition without Axis of Evil looks to be Reform+Centre.

374 out of 451...

Estonia update at 2059 UTC: https://rk2019.valimised.ee/et/election-result/election-result.html

Reform: 29,7%
Centre: 21,8%
EKRE: 17,7%
Isamaa: 11,5%
Social Democrats: 10,1%
414 out of 451 precincts reporting. Also large amount of the city of Tartu is still outstanding.

But looks...

Results have updated - https://rk2019.valimised.ee/et/election-result/election-result.html

20 precincts outstanding
Reform 29,4%
Centre 22,2%
EKRE 17,7%
Isamaa 11,5%
Social democrats: 10%
As of 2129 UTC.

Estonia update at 2229 UTC https://rk2019.valimised.ee/et/election-result/election-result.html:
All precincts now in
Reform: 28,8% (34 seats)
Center: 23,0% (26 seats)
EKRE: 17,8% (19 seats)
Isamaa: 11,4% (12 seats)
Social Democrats: 9,8% (10 seats)