Wie viele der “Klimaskeptiker”, die meinen alles besser zu wissen als die Fachleute, hätten die Sonnenfinsternis korrekt vorhersagen können?
Die Erderwärmung entwickelt sich seit einem halben Jahrhundert wie auf Basis der Physik vorhergesagt.
www.realclimate.org/index.php/cl...
Die Erderwärmung entwickelt sich seit einem halben Jahrhundert wie auf Basis der Physik vorhergesagt.
www.realclimate.org/index.php/cl...
RealClimate: Model-Observation Comparisons
RealClimate: Since we have been periodically posting updates since 2009 of climate model output comparisons to observations across a range of variables, we have now set up this page as a permanent pla...
www.realclimate.org
August 12, 2026 at 5:50 PM
Wie viele der “Klimaskeptiker”, die meinen alles besser zu wissen als die Fachleute, hätten die Sonnenfinsternis korrekt vorhersagen können?
Die Erderwärmung entwickelt sich seit einem halben Jahrhundert wie auf Basis der Physik vorhergesagt.
www.realclimate.org/index.php/cl...
Die Erderwärmung entwickelt sich seit einem halben Jahrhundert wie auf Basis der Physik vorhergesagt.
www.realclimate.org/index.php/cl...
And here is a guest commentary by Nathan Lenssen in the RealClimate blog: www.realclimate.org/index.php/ar...
RealClimate: How robust is our accelerometer?
RealClimate: A new analysis of historical temperatures suggests that things are getting warmer faster, but what does it mean for the future?
www.realclimate.org
March 9, 2026 at 2:14 PM
And here is a guest commentary by Nathan Lenssen in the RealClimate blog: www.realclimate.org/index.php/ar...
RealClimate: We need NOAA now more than ever www.realclimate.org/index.php/ar...
RealClimate: We need NOAA now more than ever
RealClimate: Guest commentary by Robert Hart, Kerry Emanuel, & Lance Bosart The National Weather Service (NWS) and its parent agency, the National Oceanic and AtmosphericAdministration (NOAA), deliver...
www.realclimate.org
March 13, 2025 at 11:39 AM
RealClimate: We need NOAA now more than ever www.realclimate.org/index.php/ar...
RealClimate: Ocean circulation going South? www.realclimate.org/index.php/ar...
RealClimate: Ocean circulation going South?
RealClimate: Some intriguing new measurements of salinity in the oceans around Antarctica have set off reams of sensationalist speculations. Maybe some context is helpful... What we've been seeing The...
www.realclimate.org
July 13, 2025 at 6:35 PM
RealClimate: Ocean circulation going South? www.realclimate.org/index.php/ar...
By me. A decade-old error in a paper trips up the contrarians.
RealClimate: A reflection on reflection www.realclimate.org/index.php/ar...
RealClimate: A reflection on reflection www.realclimate.org/index.php/ar...
RealClimate: A reflection on reflection
RealClimate: Confirmation bias and a profound lack of curiosity mark the latest ABC (Anything But Carbon) contrapalooza in DC this week and a decade-old albedo error trips them up. I occasionally dip ...
www.realclimate.org
April 13, 2026 at 1:55 PM
By me. A decade-old error in a paper trips up the contrarians.
RealClimate: A reflection on reflection www.realclimate.org/index.php/ar...
RealClimate: A reflection on reflection www.realclimate.org/index.php/ar...
Climate models haven't always predicted everything well. The curious story of Arctic sea ice trends...
RealClimate: Predicted Arctic sea ice trends over time
www.realclimate.org/index.php/ar...
RealClimate: Predicted Arctic sea ice trends over time
www.realclimate.org/index.php/ar...
RealClimate: Predicted Arctic sea ice trends over time
RealClimate: Over multiple generations of CMIP models Arctic sea ice trend predictions have gone from much too stable to about right. Why? The diagnostics highlighted in our model-observations compari...
www.realclimate.org
May 31, 2025 at 10:54 PM
Climate models haven't always predicted everything well. The curious story of Arctic sea ice trends...
RealClimate: Predicted Arctic sea ice trends over time
www.realclimate.org/index.php/ar...
RealClimate: Predicted Arctic sea ice trends over time
www.realclimate.org/index.php/ar...
If you are having trouble finding National Climate Assessment reports, they are here.
www.realclimate.org/index.php/ar...
www.realclimate.org/index.php/ar...
RealClimate: National Climate Assessment links
RealClimate: For some reason, it has become hard to locate the various National Climate Assessments (NCAs) that have been produced by the USGCRP over the decades (and it's pretty hard to find the USGR...
www.realclimate.org
July 26, 2025 at 5:50 PM
If you are having trouble finding National Climate Assessment reports, they are here.
www.realclimate.org/index.php/ar...
www.realclimate.org/index.php/ar...
There is a new study out in Nature about the Atlantic overturning circulation. I will be curious to see the media reporting on this. If you wonder why, read my blog article on it! 🌊
www.realclimate.org/index.php/ar...
www.realclimate.org/index.php/ar...
RealClimate: How will media report on this new AMOC study?
RealClimate: I’ve been getting a lot of media queries about a new paper on the AMOC, which has just been published. In my view this large media interest is perhaps due to confusing messages conveyed i...
www.realclimate.org
February 26, 2025 at 4:07 PM
There is a new study out in Nature about the Atlantic overturning circulation. I will be curious to see the media reporting on this. If you wonder why, read my blog article on it! 🌊
www.realclimate.org/index.php/ar...
www.realclimate.org/index.php/ar...
AI in the DOE report? This ref (p29) is fake:
Lee, S., Byrne, M. P., Loikith, P. C., & O’Dell, C. W. (2024). Zonal contrasts of the tropical Pacific climate predicted by a global constraint. Climate Dynamics, 62(1–2), 229–246. doi:10.1007/s00382-023-06741-7
www.realclimate.org/index.php/ar...
Lee, S., Byrne, M. P., Loikith, P. C., & O’Dell, C. W. (2024). Zonal contrasts of the tropical Pacific climate predicted by a global constraint. Climate Dynamics, 62(1–2), 229–246. doi:10.1007/s00382-023-06741-7
www.realclimate.org/index.php/ar...
RealClimate: The Endangerment of the Endangerment Finding?
RealClimate: The EPA, along with the "Climate Working Group" (CWG) of usual suspects (plus Judith Curry and Ross McKitrick) at DOE, have just put out a document for public comment their attempt to res...
www.realclimate.org
August 1, 2025 at 7:07 PM
AI in the DOE report? This ref (p29) is fake:
Lee, S., Byrne, M. P., Loikith, P. C., & O’Dell, C. W. (2024). Zonal contrasts of the tropical Pacific climate predicted by a global constraint. Climate Dynamics, 62(1–2), 229–246. doi:10.1007/s00382-023-06741-7
www.realclimate.org/index.php/ar...
Lee, S., Byrne, M. P., Loikith, P. C., & O’Dell, C. W. (2024). Zonal contrasts of the tropical Pacific climate predicted by a global constraint. Climate Dynamics, 62(1–2), 229–246. doi:10.1007/s00382-023-06741-7
www.realclimate.org/index.php/ar...
RealClimate: 1.5ºC and all that www.realclimate.org/index.php/ar...
RealClimate: 1.5ºC and all that
RealClimate: The Paris Agreement temperature limits are a little ambiguous and knowing where we are is tricky. The desire to keep global temperature rises since the pre-industrial, ideally below 1.5ºC...
www.realclimate.org
December 29, 2025 at 1:39 AM
RealClimate: 1.5ºC and all that www.realclimate.org/index.php/ar...
If you see one of the diagrams on the internet that supposedly disprove #globalwarming or climate models, they invariably are aimed at lay people and don’t hold up under scrutiny. 🧐
Here’s another example (a cherry 🍒 pick) by notorious Roy Spencer debunked.
www.realclimate.org/index.php/ar...
Here’s another example (a cherry 🍒 pick) by notorious Roy Spencer debunked.
www.realclimate.org/index.php/ar...
RealClimate: Spencer’s Shenanigans: Part II
RealClimate: We previously highlighted Roy Spencer's poor practices in comparing models with observations, but we've now dug down a little deeper, and it's not pretty. A few weeks ago, the email excha...
www.realclimate.org
April 6, 2026 at 9:17 AM
If you see one of the diagrams on the internet that supposedly disprove #globalwarming or climate models, they invariably are aimed at lay people and don’t hold up under scrutiny. 🧐
Here’s another example (a cherry 🍒 pick) by notorious Roy Spencer debunked.
www.realclimate.org/index.php/ar...
Here’s another example (a cherry 🍒 pick) by notorious Roy Spencer debunked.
www.realclimate.org/index.php/ar...
Some more thoughts on the Zillow/FirstStreet/Realtors story.
RealClimate: Who should pay? www.realclimate.org/index.php/ar...
RealClimate: Who should pay? www.realclimate.org/index.php/ar...
RealClimate: Who should pay?
RealClimate: Climate risk scores on real estate listings are having an impact on prices and realtors are complaining. But who should pay for these losses? If you have been browsing Zillow or Redfin in...
www.realclimate.org
November 30, 2025 at 8:32 PM
Some more thoughts on the Zillow/FirstStreet/Realtors story.
RealClimate: Who should pay? www.realclimate.org/index.php/ar...
RealClimate: Who should pay? www.realclimate.org/index.php/ar...
Did you know what causes Ice Ages?
It is the Earth’s orbital cycles, known since Milanković computed them in the 1920s.
When you drive a climate model with these cycles, it will correctly reproduce the sequence of Ice Ages as we know it from paleoclimate data.
www.realclimate.org/index.php/ar...
It is the Earth’s orbital cycles, known since Milanković computed them in the 1920s.
When you drive a climate model with these cycles, it will correctly reproduce the sequence of Ice Ages as we know it from paleoclimate data.
www.realclimate.org/index.php/ar...
RealClimate: First successful model simulation of the past 3 million years of climate change
RealClimate: Guest post by Matteo Willeit, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research A new study published in Science Advances shows that the main features of natural climate variability over the ...
www.realclimate.org
March 21, 2026 at 6:29 PM
Did you know what causes Ice Ages?
It is the Earth’s orbital cycles, known since Milanković computed them in the 1920s.
When you drive a climate model with these cycles, it will correctly reproduce the sequence of Ice Ages as we know it from paleoclimate data.
www.realclimate.org/index.php/ar...
It is the Earth’s orbital cycles, known since Milanković computed them in the 1920s.
When you drive a climate model with these cycles, it will correctly reproduce the sequence of Ice Ages as we know it from paleoclimate data.
www.realclimate.org/index.php/ar...
RealClimate: How will media report on this new AMOC study? www.realclimate.org/index.php/ar...
RealClimate: How will media report on this new AMOC study?
RealClimate: I’ve been getting a lot of media queries about a new paper on the AMOC (Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation), which has just been published. In my view this large media interest i...
www.realclimate.org
February 27, 2025 at 2:42 AM
RealClimate: How will media report on this new AMOC study? www.realclimate.org/index.php/ar...
Skillful weather forecasting, along with the increased preparedness it allows, is a landmark achievement of not only the US but of the human race. There are few other fields in the sciences where skillful prediction has had such an immense impact on our society.
www.realclimate.org/index.php/ar...
www.realclimate.org/index.php/ar...
RealClimate: We need NOAA now more than ever
RealClimate: Guest commentary by Robert Hart, Kerry Emanuel, & Lance Bosart The National Weather Service (NWS) and its parent agency, the National Oceanic and AtmosphericAdministration (NOAA), deliver...
www.realclimate.org
March 13, 2025 at 10:50 AM
Skillful weather forecasting, along with the increased preparedness it allows, is a landmark achievement of not only the US but of the human race. There are few other fields in the sciences where skillful prediction has had such an immense impact on our society.
www.realclimate.org/index.php/ar...
www.realclimate.org/index.php/ar...
Top hurricane expert Kerry Emanuel on the DOE scam climate report:
“The DOE is presenting a distorted view of the science of climate effects on extreme weather that is bound to mislead the public.”
www.realclimate.org/index.php/ar...
“The DOE is presenting a distorted view of the science of climate effects on extreme weather that is bound to mislead the public.”
www.realclimate.org/index.php/ar...
RealClimate: Critique of Chapter 6 “Extreme Weather” in the DOE review
RealClimate: Guest commentary by Kerry Emanuel Executive Summary Chapter 6 of the draft DOE report examines whether global warming exacerbates extreme weather. It rightly notes that because events suc...
www.realclimate.org
September 3, 2025 at 8:56 PM
Top hurricane expert Kerry Emanuel on the DOE scam climate report:
“The DOE is presenting a distorted view of the science of climate effects on extreme weather that is bound to mislead the public.”
www.realclimate.org/index.php/ar...
“The DOE is presenting a distorted view of the science of climate effects on extreme weather that is bound to mislead the public.”
www.realclimate.org/index.php/ar...
RealClimate: Andean glaciers have shrunk more than ever before in the entire Holocene www.realclimate.org/index.php/ar...
RealClimate: Andean glaciers have shrunk more than ever before in the entire Holocene
RealClimate: Glaciers are important indicators of climate change. A recent study published in the leading journal Science shows that glaciers in the tropical Andes have now retreated further than at a...
www.realclimate.org
March 20, 2025 at 12:03 AM
RealClimate: Andean glaciers have shrunk more than ever before in the entire Holocene www.realclimate.org/index.php/ar...
RealClimate: WMO: Update on 2023/4 Anomalies www.realclimate.org/index.php/ar...
RealClimate: WMO: Update on 2023/4 Anomalies
RealClimate: The WMO released its (now) annual state of the climate report this week. As well as the (now) standard set of graphs related to increasing greenhouse gas concentrations, rising temperatur...
www.realclimate.org
March 21, 2025 at 3:08 AM
RealClimate: WMO: Update on 2023/4 Anomalies www.realclimate.org/index.php/ar...
RealClimate: Climate Scientists response to DOE report www.realclimate.org/index.php/ar...
RealClimate: Climate Scientists response to DOE report
RealClimate: As we've mentioned, Andrew Dessler and Robert Kopp have been coordinating a scientific peer review of the DOW 'CWG' Critique of Climate Science. It is now out. The comments are available ...
www.realclimate.org
September 2, 2025 at 9:23 PM
RealClimate: Climate Scientists response to DOE report www.realclimate.org/index.php/ar...
RealClimate: How robust is our accelerometer? www.realclimate.org/index.php/ar...
RealClimate: How robust is our accelerometer?
RealClimate: A new analysis of historical temperatures suggests that things are getting warmer faster, but what does it mean for the future?
www.realclimate.org
March 9, 2026 at 1:18 AM
RealClimate: How robust is our accelerometer? www.realclimate.org/index.php/ar...
By me @realclimate.org: “But you said the ice was going to disappear in 10 years!” www.realclimate.org/index.php/ar...
RealClimate: “But you said the ice was going to disappear in 10 years!”
RealClimate: Almost two decades ago, some scientists predicted that Arctic summer sea ice would 'soon' disappear. These predictions were mentioned by Al Gore and got a lot of press. However, they did ...
www.realclimate.org
September 21, 2025 at 11:37 AM
By me @realclimate.org: “But you said the ice was going to disappear in 10 years!” www.realclimate.org/index.php/ar...
RealClimate: Critique of Chapter 6 “Extreme Weather” in the DOE review www.realclimate.org/index.php/ar...
RealClimate: Critique of Chapter 6 “Extreme Weather” in the DOE review
RealClimate: Guest commentary by Kerry Emanuel Executive Summary Chapter 6 of the draft DOE report examines whether global warming exacerbates extreme weather. It rightly notes that because events suc...
www.realclimate.org
September 2, 2025 at 9:24 PM
RealClimate: Critique of Chapter 6 “Extreme Weather” in the DOE review www.realclimate.org/index.php/ar...
Here's my thoughts on the latest round of discussion about the slowing of the Atlantic overturning circulation. It's a bit nerdy - but the short summary is: in my view the balance of evidence strongly suggests that the #AMOC has slowed since the late 19th C. 🌊
www.realclimate.org/index.php/ar...
www.realclimate.org/index.php/ar...
RealClimate: The AMOC is slowing, it’s stable, it’s slowing, no, yes, …
RealClimate: There's been a bit of media whiplash on the issue of AMOC slowing lately - ranging from the AMOC being "on the brink of collapse" to it being "more stable than previously thought". AMOC, of course, refers to the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation, one of the worlds major ocean circulation systems which keeps the northern
www.realclimate.org
January 26, 2025 at 1:14 PM
Here's my thoughts on the latest round of discussion about the slowing of the Atlantic overturning circulation. It's a bit nerdy - but the short summary is: in my view the balance of evidence strongly suggests that the #AMOC has slowed since the late 19th C. 🌊
www.realclimate.org/index.php/ar...
www.realclimate.org/index.php/ar...