If a person has symptoms for less than a year, is it really long COVID? I mean... the acute illness can easily drag on for 3-4 months. What are we using as the dividing line between acute and long COVID these days? Not being at the "other place," I don't see much SARS2 research these days.
October 2, 2026 at 9:52 AM
If a person has symptoms for less than a year, is it really long COVID? I mean... the acute illness can easily drag on for 3-4 months. What are we using as the dividing line between acute and long COVID these days? Not being at the "other place," I don't see much SARS2 research these days.
If a person has symptoms for less than a year, is it really long COVID? I mean... the acute illness can easily drag on for 3-4 months. What are we using as the dividing line between acute and long COVID these days? Not being at the "other place," I don't see much SARS2 research these days.
October 2, 2026 at 9:42 AM
If a person has symptoms for less than a year, is it really long COVID? I mean... the acute illness can easily drag on for 3-4 months. What are we using as the dividing line between acute and long COVID these days? Not being at the "other place," I don't see much SARS2 research these days.
We used to love the beach. Now we don't go out in public. We stay safe. We're informed of the risks of #SARS2. Now it's Fall, we thought the beach might be empty & it was. I decided to do a cover of #BoysOfSummer - one of my fave tunes of all time. Looking back on memories.
youtu.be/-UHKLuJT4Z8?...
youtu.be/-UHKLuJT4Z8?...
Boys of Summer - cover by AMP
YouTube video by Ann Marie Pincivero
youtu.be
October 1, 2026 at 1:14 PM
We used to love the beach. Now we don't go out in public. We stay safe. We're informed of the risks of #SARS2. Now it's Fall, we thought the beach might be empty & it was. I decided to do a cover of #BoysOfSummer - one of my fave tunes of all time. Looking back on memories.
youtu.be/-UHKLuJT4Z8?...
youtu.be/-UHKLuJT4Z8?...
And in 2023 Fauci defended as a reasonable working hypothesis that turned out to be incorrect the idea that SARS2 would be "like other viruses" with protection against infection in "decades". That contradicted his 2020 remark that protection for common cold coronaviruses could be less than a year.
![Dr Fauci:They are, but the titers really, really vary. I have examples of people who clearly were infected who are antibody negative. They probably have such a low titer of antibody that it’s below the level of the cutoff. And then there are others that have very robust antibody responses. It isn’t a uniformly robust antibody response, which may be a reason why, when you look at the history of the common coronaviruses that cause the common cold, the reports in the literature are that the durability of immunity that’s protective ranges from 3 to 6 months to almost always less than a year. That’s not a lot of durability of protection. It may be completely different with this coronavirus, SARS-CoV-2 [severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2]. It may be that people induce a response that’s quite durable. But if it acts like common coronaviruses, it likely is not going to be a very long duration of immunity.
From https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2767208](https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:c4xaehhi32ffwm6rhbf5yb7d/bafkreicvwrmzbwdsxghq3u7abivnsu5uhiiadau3tlavapudemy4qlqswm)
October 1, 2026 at 4:24 AM
And in 2023 Fauci defended as a reasonable working hypothesis that turned out to be incorrect the idea that SARS2 would be "like other viruses" with protection against infection in "decades". That contradicted his 2020 remark that protection for common cold coronaviruses could be less than a year.
Its 4 weeks since start of classes so assuming infections last 10 days, at least 2 infections from exposure to index case seeded in every school on the 1st day of school . Influenza A & SARS2 are both trending up according to bccdc reporting.bccdc.ca/respiratory_...
Viral Pathogen Characterization
reporting.bccdc.ca
September 30, 2026 at 11:48 PM
Its 4 weeks since start of classes so assuming infections last 10 days, at least 2 infections from exposure to index case seeded in every school on the 1st day of school . Influenza A & SARS2 are both trending up according to bccdc reporting.bccdc.ca/respiratory_...
1) Policies like school closure =/= get infected ASAP.
2) As an immunologist, this is getting frustrating for me since I already explained the immunology. Again: CHI is an idealization/approximation that can be more or less useful. It never actually applies. Fauci noted its limitations for SARS2.
2) As an immunologist, this is getting frustrating for me since I already explained the immunology. Again: CHI is an idealization/approximation that can be more or less useful. It never actually applies. Fauci noted its limitations for SARS2.
September 30, 2026 at 2:44 PM
1) Policies like school closure =/= get infected ASAP.
2) As an immunologist, this is getting frustrating for me since I already explained the immunology. Again: CHI is an idealization/approximation that can be more or less useful. It never actually applies. Fauci noted its limitations for SARS2.
2) As an immunologist, this is getting frustrating for me since I already explained the immunology. Again: CHI is an idealization/approximation that can be more or less useful. It never actually applies. Fauci noted its limitations for SARS2.
Linke Figur:
Kumulative Inzidenz seit Vorjahreszeitpunkt mit der Schätzung. (Weiterhin fallend)
Rechte Figuren:
Korrelation der Zürcher Viruslast im Abwasser zu schweizweitem Abwasserdaten-Aggregat und zu Sentinella-SARS2-Nachweisen.
Vergleich zu ONS und Kalibrierungen von RKI-Grippeweb-Daten.
Kumulative Inzidenz seit Vorjahreszeitpunkt mit der Schätzung. (Weiterhin fallend)
Rechte Figuren:
Korrelation der Zürcher Viruslast im Abwasser zu schweizweitem Abwasserdaten-Aggregat und zu Sentinella-SARS2-Nachweisen.
Vergleich zu ONS und Kalibrierungen von RKI-Grippeweb-Daten.
September 30, 2026 at 12:47 PM
Linke Figur:
Kumulative Inzidenz seit Vorjahreszeitpunkt mit der Schätzung. (Weiterhin fallend)
Rechte Figuren:
Korrelation der Zürcher Viruslast im Abwasser zu schweizweitem Abwasserdaten-Aggregat und zu Sentinella-SARS2-Nachweisen.
Vergleich zu ONS und Kalibrierungen von RKI-Grippeweb-Daten.
Kumulative Inzidenz seit Vorjahreszeitpunkt mit der Schätzung. (Weiterhin fallend)
Rechte Figuren:
Korrelation der Zürcher Viruslast im Abwasser zu schweizweitem Abwasserdaten-Aggregat und zu Sentinella-SARS2-Nachweisen.
Vergleich zu ONS und Kalibrierungen von RKI-Grippeweb-Daten.
Singapore did expose healthy kids to SARS2 before vaccination. I have no problems with that part of our policy.
September 30, 2026 at 5:36 AM
Singapore did expose healthy kids to SARS2 before vaccination. I have no problems with that part of our policy.
So reading that Cargill report some more last night. I think it's really important to acknowledge what was happening with SARS2 at that time. People in AB were dying from it. We knew with certainty this was a serious threat. At that time the CFR was estimated to be about 2%
September 29, 2026 at 4:17 PM
So reading that Cargill report some more last night. I think it's really important to acknowledge what was happening with SARS2 at that time. People in AB were dying from it. We knew with certainty this was a serious threat. At that time the CFR was estimated to be about 2%
It is also fine to advocate policies that allowed SARS2 to circulate among children before vaccination. That is what Singapore did and I think that part of our covid policy was fine.
September 29, 2026 at 7:38 AM
It is also fine to advocate policies that allowed SARS2 to circulate among children before vaccination. That is what Singapore did and I think that part of our covid policy was fine.
SARS2 is bigger than the AIDS crisis
Let that hit you.
Sit with it.
Everyone is exposed to it in the air, including children.
SARS2 is bigger than the AIDS epidemic.
#PublicHealthIsDead #GrosseNegligence
#EarlyToScientificKnowledge
Let that hit you.
Sit with it.
Everyone is exposed to it in the air, including children.
SARS2 is bigger than the AIDS epidemic.
#PublicHealthIsDead #GrosseNegligence
#EarlyToScientificKnowledge
September 29, 2026 at 4:28 AM
SARS2 is bigger than the AIDS crisis
Let that hit you.
Sit with it.
Everyone is exposed to it in the air, including children.
SARS2 is bigger than the AIDS epidemic.
#PublicHealthIsDead #GrosseNegligence
#EarlyToScientificKnowledge
Let that hit you.
Sit with it.
Everyone is exposed to it in the air, including children.
SARS2 is bigger than the AIDS epidemic.
#PublicHealthIsDead #GrosseNegligence
#EarlyToScientificKnowledge
That's a really interesting comparison! Measles infections are prevented with vax but sars2 infections are not, if I understand correctly. I wonder if they're trying to put sar2 in the measles basket entirely instead of its own basket with some parallels?
Sorry, thinking aloud in your mentions
Sorry, thinking aloud in your mentions
September 28, 2026 at 5:57 PM
That's a really interesting comparison! Measles infections are prevented with vax but sars2 infections are not, if I understand correctly. I wonder if they're trying to put sar2 in the measles basket entirely instead of its own basket with some parallels?
Sorry, thinking aloud in your mentions
Sorry, thinking aloud in your mentions
Actually, sars2 damages the immune system in many dangerous ways.
Sixth year and people has totally erased the warnings.
This is only gonna get worse and worse.
Sixth year and people has totally erased the warnings.
This is only gonna get worse and worse.
September 28, 2026 at 5:37 PM
Actually, sars2 damages the immune system in many dangerous ways.
Sixth year and people has totally erased the warnings.
This is only gonna get worse and worse.
Sixth year and people has totally erased the warnings.
This is only gonna get worse and worse.
i remember in march 2020 when i started masking myself, that was my logic—to avoid touching my face without thinking. i’ve learned so much about sars2 since!
September 28, 2026 at 5:35 PM
i remember in march 2020 when i started masking myself, that was my logic—to avoid touching my face without thinking. i’ve learned so much about sars2 since!
Covid everywhere again... high fevers, coughs, and I've heard already of two cases of vertigo (probably ear-related or brain-related).
People are not being told, and they don't tell themselves either, that there is not such a thing as acquiring immunity to sars2.
People are not being told, and they don't tell themselves either, that there is not such a thing as acquiring immunity to sars2.
September 28, 2026 at 5:35 PM
Covid everywhere again... high fevers, coughs, and I've heard already of two cases of vertigo (probably ear-related or brain-related).
People are not being told, and they don't tell themselves either, that there is not such a thing as acquiring immunity to sars2.
People are not being told, and they don't tell themselves either, that there is not such a thing as acquiring immunity to sars2.
You don’t have to preach to the weary (pre) converted Public Health folks like me. You seem like a ‘reformed smoker’ now you are actually impacted. I’d been working and teaching on this for DECADES BEFORE the SARS2 pandemic. Pull your heads in….
September 28, 2026 at 4:36 PM
You don’t have to preach to the weary (pre) converted Public Health folks like me. You seem like a ‘reformed smoker’ now you are actually impacted. I’d been working and teaching on this for DECADES BEFORE the SARS2 pandemic. Pull your heads in….
also worth noting: *covid conscious* lesbians. the right and the left and nigh all major news outlets are very much in lockstep when it comes to ignoring and or belittling airborne safety & sars2’s ongoing harms.
There’s something to be said for how most of the political spectrum can unite around hounding some lesbians over niche drama in their spaces but huge segments of society are silent about pervasive campus rape impacting a huge population of primarily youngwomen
September 28, 2026 at 3:03 PM
also worth noting: *covid conscious* lesbians. the right and the left and nigh all major news outlets are very much in lockstep when it comes to ignoring and or belittling airborne safety & sars2’s ongoing harms.
Doch, das halte ich für zwingend nötig. Zumal Zoonosen wie SARS2 untrennbar mit der Zerstörung natürlicher Lebensräume zusammen hängen. Man kann die heutige Geisteshaltung & Normalitätssimulation nicht verstehen, wenn man zur Pandemie schweigt. Aus geschichtlicher & politischer Sicht unseriös.
September 28, 2026 at 11:30 AM
Doch, das halte ich für zwingend nötig. Zumal Zoonosen wie SARS2 untrennbar mit der Zerstörung natürlicher Lebensräume zusammen hängen. Man kann die heutige Geisteshaltung & Normalitätssimulation nicht verstehen, wenn man zur Pandemie schweigt. Aus geschichtlicher & politischer Sicht unseriös.
This means we could suppress and perhaps eliminate SARS2 by keeping ~92% of the population boosted. Lots of ways to do this, e.g. with a rolling schedule.
This is the claim. I'm just an anonymous house on fire. Surely 1000s of PH officials have looked at the problem and reached the same conclusion?
This is the claim. I'm just an anonymous house on fire. Surely 1000s of PH officials have looked at the problem and reached the same conclusion?
September 28, 2026 at 1:33 AM
This means we could suppress and perhaps eliminate SARS2 by keeping ~92% of the population boosted. Lots of ways to do this, e.g. with a rolling schedule.
This is the claim. I'm just an anonymous house on fire. Surely 1000s of PH officials have looked at the problem and reached the same conclusion?
This is the claim. I'm just an anonymous house on fire. Surely 1000s of PH officials have looked at the problem and reached the same conclusion?
get vaccinated
wear an N95, especially in high risk environments (hospitals, clinics, schools, airports, planes, etc)
clean indoor air with an air purifier and good ventilation
the more layers of protection, the better against not just SARS2 but all other airborne pathogens
wear an N95, especially in high risk environments (hospitals, clinics, schools, airports, planes, etc)
clean indoor air with an air purifier and good ventilation
the more layers of protection, the better against not just SARS2 but all other airborne pathogens
September 28, 2026 at 12:49 AM
get vaccinated
wear an N95, especially in high risk environments (hospitals, clinics, schools, airports, planes, etc)
clean indoor air with an air purifier and good ventilation
the more layers of protection, the better against not just SARS2 but all other airborne pathogens
wear an N95, especially in high risk environments (hospitals, clinics, schools, airports, planes, etc)
clean indoor air with an air purifier and good ventilation
the more layers of protection, the better against not just SARS2 but all other airborne pathogens
Unfortunately the BA.1 saltation fundamentally changed the way SARS2 infects, with a much greater emphasis on the upper respiratory tract and better suppresion of innate immunity. This definitively lowered raw VE, making it nearly impossible (I fear) to create sterilizing muscular vaccines.
September 28, 2026 at 12:45 AM
Unfortunately the BA.1 saltation fundamentally changed the way SARS2 infects, with a much greater emphasis on the upper respiratory tract and better suppresion of innate immunity. This definitively lowered raw VE, making it nearly impossible (I fear) to create sterilizing muscular vaccines.
1. What is the actual effectiveness of the intervention with a good-faith approach and cutting edge tech?
2. What is the actual cost? I'm open to this being 10X what I'd expect it to be.
3. What is the divergence of SARS2 behavior from ideal virus? Cuts both ways: faster waning, superspreaders...
2. What is the actual cost? I'm open to this being 10X what I'd expect it to be.
3. What is the divergence of SARS2 behavior from ideal virus? Cuts both ways: faster waning, superspreaders...
September 28, 2026 at 12:36 AM
1. What is the actual effectiveness of the intervention with a good-faith approach and cutting edge tech?
2. What is the actual cost? I'm open to this being 10X what I'd expect it to be.
3. What is the divergence of SARS2 behavior from ideal virus? Cuts both ways: faster waning, superspreaders...
2. What is the actual cost? I'm open to this being 10X what I'd expect it to be.
3. What is the divergence of SARS2 behavior from ideal virus? Cuts both ways: faster waning, superspreaders...
So I've been assuming it is possible to achieve 50-60% efficiency against a real-life SARS2 wave, where Reff is something like 2-3 and never goes higher. That would be equivalent to ~90% against theoretical R0? Leaving three questions:
September 28, 2026 at 12:36 AM
So I've been assuming it is possible to achieve 50-60% efficiency against a real-life SARS2 wave, where Reff is something like 2-3 and never goes higher. That would be equivalent to ~90% against theoretical R0? Leaving three questions:
Now, you might say that you're not getting 60% from clean air alone, even if you exploit all the ways in which SARS2 differs from the ideal virus in this model, e.g. by focusing on 80/20, super-spreader locations: schools, churches, gyms, restaurants, hospitals, etc. Maybe so.
September 27, 2026 at 11:42 PM
Now, you might say that you're not getting 60% from clean air alone, even if you exploit all the ways in which SARS2 differs from the ideal virus in this model, e.g. by focusing on 80/20, super-spreader locations: schools, churches, gyms, restaurants, hospitals, etc. Maybe so.
I appreciate your engagement. I believe you are incorrect on several points.
1. VE infection studies do attempt to adjust for prior infection, and are not just naive relative numbers. SARS2 has also evolved multiple immune-escape measures since WT. Muscular vaccines will never get us back to 95%.
1. VE infection studies do attempt to adjust for prior infection, and are not just naive relative numbers. SARS2 has also evolved multiple immune-escape measures since WT. Muscular vaccines will never get us back to 95%.
September 27, 2026 at 4:26 PM
I appreciate your engagement. I believe you are incorrect on several points.
1. VE infection studies do attempt to adjust for prior infection, and are not just naive relative numbers. SARS2 has also evolved multiple immune-escape measures since WT. Muscular vaccines will never get us back to 95%.
1. VE infection studies do attempt to adjust for prior infection, and are not just naive relative numbers. SARS2 has also evolved multiple immune-escape measures since WT. Muscular vaccines will never get us back to 95%.