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kevinerdmann.bsky.social
The red line is how much of each dollar of income Americans spend on housing compared to 1980.

The blue line is how much housing Americans actually get per dollar.

fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=1CYg3 #FRED @stlouisfed
January 16, 2025 at 8:10 PM
scottlincicome.bsky.social
New @stlouisfed analysis: "tariff measures are already exerting measurable upward pressure on consumer prices" (around 0.5 percentage pts of headline PCE) www.stlouisfed.org/on-the-econo...
October 17, 2025 at 8:58 PM
ilhandogus.bsky.social
Your indicator of the probability of recession increases not before recessions, rather in recessions. Therefore it is a weak indicator.
Why?
Because it ignores debt of households and firms.
Economies fall into recession when the change in interest rates exceeds real wage growth
x.com/stlouisfed/s...
September 25, 2026 at 2:10 PM
quantumstrategy.bsky.social
x.com/stlouisfed/s...
St. Louis Fed (@stlouisfed) on X
In the week ending Sept. 21, average U.S. diesel prices per gallon rose by 24 cents, to $6.53. Average gas prices per gallon increased 16 cents, to $4.48 https://t.co/c2V1jAOgwV
x.com
September 23, 2026 at 12:53 AM
quantumstrategy.bsky.social
x.com/stlouisfed/s...
St. Louis Fed (@stlouisfed) on X
In the week ending Sept. 21, average U.S. diesel prices per gallon rose by 24 cents, to $6.53. Average gas prices per gallon increased 16 cents, to $4.48 https://t.co/c2V1jAOgwV
x.com
September 23, 2026 at 12:56 AM
kevinerdmann.bsky.social
Snark: Boy, interest rates must be a lot higher in Boston and San Francisco.

Sincere: Hm. Could interest rates create more friction in land markets than in residential investment in structures?

fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=1D3SX #FRED @stlouisfed
January 20, 2025 at 11:17 PM
qm61.bsky.social
So did you adjust median wage for CPI? It would be better to use purchasing power but you would know that if you had a method to do so 🤷🏻‍♂️

Source : StLouisFed
July 29, 2026 at 10:43 AM
federalreserve.gov
Watch live today at 3 p.m. -- Connecting Communities: Highlights from the 2025 Survey of Household Economics and Decisionmaking

Register now for the webinar (1/2): stlouisfed-org.zoomgov.com/webinar/regi...
Webinar Registration - Zoom
stlouisfed-org.zoomgov.com
June 4, 2026 at 6:02 PM
ritholtz.bsky.social
Consider "Total debt" in context! Look at the other side of the ledger page, e.g., the ability to service the debt:

Via Stlouisfed

Household Debt Service Payments as a Percent of Disposable Personal Income.
fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=16jnQ
February 5, 2025 at 5:18 PM
drinfosec.bsky.social
Important 🧵 from Dr. Ziyad Al-Aly (top Covid & LC researcher) about a "significant surge in the number of people with a disability in the U.S.... Cognitive Disabilities Skyrocket..."
threadreaderapp.com/thread/18280...

(Based on recent stlouisfed report)

#Disability #DisabilityJustice #LongCovid
Thread by @zalaly on Thread Reader App
@zalaly: 🧵1/ A Significant surge in the number of people with a disability in the U.S. The @stlouisfed just released an analysis using data from the Current Population Survey (CPS), revealing some con...
threadreaderapp.com
August 26, 2024 at 8:55 PM
kevinerdmann.bsky.social
Under the first Trump administration, population growth (black) slowed sharply, presumably because of anti-immigration pressure.

Here's the effect it had on excess rent inflation (blue), in case you were hoping to excuse the cruelty.

fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=1DvOJ #FRED @stlouisfed
February 8, 2025 at 3:46 AM
carlosgarriga.bsky.social
FRED has added 3 data series (fred.stlouisfed.org/release?rid=...) for the Fujita, Moscarini, and Postel-Vinay Employer-to-Employer (E2E) Transition Probability. This provides a timely gauge of the pace of worker reallocation in the U.S. labor market.
#FRED #LaborMarket
#Data #Economics #StLouisFed
Fujita, Moscarini, and Postel-Vinay Employer-to-Employer Transition Probability | FRED | St. Louis Fed
Release: Fujita, Moscarini, and Postel-Vinay Employer-to-Employer Transition Probability, 3 economic data series, FRED: Download, graph, and track economic data.
fred.stlouisfed.org
November 26, 2024 at 11:26 PM
kevinerdmann.bsky.social
Thought I'd check in on Boise.

Prices about even with 2022 and building still strong.

fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=1CZV2
#FRED
@stlouisfed
January 17, 2025 at 8:25 PM
carlosgarriga.bsky.social
🎓📚Level up your FRED® Data Skills with a FREE Micro-Credential!💾💻

Ready to take your FRED® skills to the next level? Head over to the link below and get started today!
➡️ lnkd.in/gk5tvgy3

#FRED #DataSkills #MicroCredential #FreeLearning #Economics #StLouisFed
November 23, 2024 at 4:31 PM
federalreserve.gov
Save the date -- Connecting Communities: Highlights from the 2025 Survey of Household Economics and Decisionmaking webinar on June 4 @ 3 p.m.
Register now: stlouisfed-org.zoomgov.com/webinar/regi...
Learn more about SHED: www.federalreserve.gov/consumerscom...
Webinar Registration - Zoom
stlouisfed-org.zoomgov.com
May 26, 2026 at 4:29 PM
anamarias.bsky.social
Why Multinationals’ Investment in Tax Havens Yields Higher Returns, my latest @stlouisfed blogpost with @AshleyStew96111 www.stlouisfed.org/on-the-econo...
The Puzzle of Multinationals’ Profits: Why Tax Havens Yield Higher Returns
An analysis examines how U.S. multinationals’ tax and profit-shifting strategies might affect yields on direct investment in tax havens versus G7 economies.
www.stlouisfed.org
November 26, 2024 at 7:49 AM
acemaxx.bsky.social
This is a significant change in the share of hand-to-mouth households, which has important implications for the effectiveness of #fiscal policy, chart @StLouisFed www.stlouisfed.org/on-the-econo...
May 13, 2024 at 8:54 AM
c-awr012wfbw-z.bsky.social
Just reading where Trump says there will be a #Transition and #Pain but not to #PrepareForARecsession. That means he and the @GOP are causing a recession. The wonderful part is, #RedStates will bear the brunt of the damage. #StLouisFed. #RedStateJobLosses #RedStatePriceIncreases
March 11, 2025 at 12:35 AM
yahboireirei.bsky.social
“One more thing: price of the brick going up” fred.stlouisfed.org/series/PCU32... #theWire #StLouisFed #meme #economics #bricks #concrete
Producer Price Index by Industry: Concrete Block and Brick Manufacturing: Concrete Brick
Producer Price Index by Industry: Concrete Block and Brick Manufacturing: Concrete Brick
fred.stlouisfed.org
March 30, 2025 at 3:46 AM
acemaxx.bsky.social
While short-term rates are declining, long-term rates are increasing. This interest rate behavior may be signaling an expectation of future fiscal deficits and large debt-to-GDP ratios, which would result in higher interest rates, notes #stlouisfed
www.stlouisfed.org/on-the-econo...
October 10, 2025 at 6:30 AM
federalreserve.gov
Watch live tomorrow, June 4 at 3 p.m. -- Connecting Communities: Highlights from the 2025 Survey of Household Economics and Decisionmaking

Register now for the webinar: stlouisfed-org.zoomgov.com/webinar/regi...

Learn more about SHED: www.youtube.com/watch?v=Eh4e...
Economic Well-Being of U.S. Households in 2025, May 13, 2026
YouTube video by Federal Reserve
www.youtube.com
June 3, 2026 at 2:02 PM
kevinerdmann.bsky.social
Do people who describe the expensive coastal metros as major job centers not know this?

fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=1CXYl #FRED @stlouisfed
January 16, 2025 at 5:08 PM
dhinchcliffe.bsky.social
Much is being made of this graph of software development job postings from the
@stlouisfed
.

On its face, it looks like AI is hollowing out the dev industry to COVID-era lows.

My take: Technical jobs are likely transforming, becoming more AI orchestration and prompt gen.

1/
February 13, 2025 at 9:04 PM
acemaxx.bsky.social
So far, US companies have only passed on around 35% of #tariff hikes to US consumers, chart @stlouisfed www.stlouisfed.org/on-the-econo...
November 5, 2025 at 6:13 AM