A president can weaken institutions through the exercise of power. But institutions can also weaken themselves when the people entrusted with protecting them decide that accommodation is safer or more profitable than independence.
#TheBiggerPicture
#TheBiggerPicture
November 1, 2026 at 12:39 PM
A president can weaken institutions through the exercise of power. But institutions can also weaken themselves when the people entrusted with protecting them decide that accommodation is safer or more profitable than independence.
#TheBiggerPicture
#TheBiggerPicture
What if the defining legacy of another American campaign against Iran isn't what happens to Iran, but what happens to America's military presence in the Middle East afterward?
#TheBiggerPicture
#TheBiggerPicture
November 2, 2026 at 5:05 PM
What if the defining legacy of another American campaign against Iran isn't what happens to Iran, but what happens to America's military presence in the Middle East afterward?
#TheBiggerPicture
#TheBiggerPicture
A new world order does not have to begin with countries learning to trust one another. It can begin with countries learning that they cannot afford to keep fighting one another.
#TheBiggerPicture
#TheBiggerPicture
November 2, 2026 at 5:04 PM
A new world order does not have to begin with countries learning to trust one another. It can begin with countries learning that they cannot afford to keep fighting one another.
#TheBiggerPicture
#TheBiggerPicture
October 26, 2026 at 4:31 PM
AI doesn't have to become self-aware to help start World War III. It just has to be wrong at precisely the wrong moment.
The UN is warning about military AI and the shrinking time humans have to intervene.
#TheBiggerPicture #AI #MilitaryAI #NuclearSecurity #WorldOrder #Geopolitics
The UN is warning about military AI and the shrinking time humans have to intervene.
#TheBiggerPicture #AI #MilitaryAI #NuclearSecurity #WorldOrder #Geopolitics
The Most Dangerous Thing About Military AI Isn't What It Knows. It's What It Gets Wrong.
In a World Armed With Nuclear Weapons, the Difference Between a Mistake and a Catastrophe Could Be Measured in Seconds.
budravitz.substack.com
November 2, 2026 at 12:50 PM
AI doesn't have to become self-aware to help start World War III. It just has to be wrong at precisely the wrong moment.
The UN is warning about military AI and the shrinking time humans have to intervene.
#TheBiggerPicture #AI #MilitaryAI #NuclearSecurity #WorldOrder #Geopolitics
The UN is warning about military AI and the shrinking time humans have to intervene.
#TheBiggerPicture #AI #MilitaryAI #NuclearSecurity #WorldOrder #Geopolitics
Trump started the trade war with Canada. Now Carney says Washington is moving closer to Canada's terms.
But here's the bigger story: Canada is already preparing for a future less dependent on America. A trade deal won't necessarily change that.
#TheBiggerPicture #CanadaUS #Trump
But here's the bigger story: Canada is already preparing for a future less dependent on America. A trade deal won't necessarily change that.
#TheBiggerPicture #CanadaUS #Trump
Trump Started a Trade War With Canada. Now Washington Is Moving Toward Canada's Terms.
Carney isn't bending the knee. And Canada's plans to diversify won't disappear with a trade agreement.
budravitz.substack.com
October 29, 2026 at 12:50 PM
Trump started the trade war with Canada. Now Carney says Washington is moving closer to Canada's terms.
But here's the bigger story: Canada is already preparing for a future less dependent on America. A trade deal won't necessarily change that.
#TheBiggerPicture #CanadaUS #Trump
But here's the bigger story: Canada is already preparing for a future less dependent on America. A trade deal won't necessarily change that.
#TheBiggerPicture #CanadaUS #Trump
The midterms can change who's steering the ship. But the economic iceberg doesn't disappear just because Congress changes hands. Americans need to understand what Tuesday can—and cannot—fix.
#Midterms2026 #TheBiggerPicture
#Midterms2026 #TheBiggerPicture
The Midterms Can Change Congress. They Can't Turn the Economy Around Overnight.
Americans want economic relief. Tuesday's election may change who's in charge, but not how quickly relief arrives.
budravitz.substack.com
October 31, 2026 at 5:03 PM
The midterms can change who's steering the ship. But the economic iceberg doesn't disappear just because Congress changes hands. Americans need to understand what Tuesday can—and cannot—fix.
#Midterms2026 #TheBiggerPicture
#Midterms2026 #TheBiggerPicture
The first Iran war cost tens of billions of dollars, depleted valuable American munitions, disrupted global energy markets, and failed to produce a lasting political settlement.
What's different now?
#Iran #ForeignPolicy #MiddleEast #TheBiggerPicture
What's different now?
#Iran #ForeignPolicy #MiddleEast #TheBiggerPicture
Trump Wants Another Round With Iran. What Will It Accomplish That the First One Didn't?
Eight months, $47 billion (and counting), and no lasting settlement. More bombs aren't necessarily a strategy.
budravitz.substack.com
October 30, 2026 at 4:08 PM
The first Iran war cost tens of billions of dollars, depleted valuable American munitions, disrupted global energy markets, and failed to produce a lasting political settlement.
What's different now?
#Iran #ForeignPolicy #MiddleEast #TheBiggerPicture
What's different now?
#Iran #ForeignPolicy #MiddleEast #TheBiggerPicture
The Epstein allegations raise serious questions about Trump.
But what about the Justice Department's handling of the evidence? When the investigators face scrutiny, who investigates them?
#TheBiggerPicture #EpsteinFiles #RuleOfLaw
But what about the Justice Department's handling of the evidence? When the investigators face scrutiny, who investigates them?
#TheBiggerPicture #EpsteinFiles #RuleOfLaw
The Epstein Allegations Are Serious. So Are the Questions About Trump's DOJ.
What the Justice Department did or didn't do are just as important as the allegations themselves.
budravitz.substack.com
October 28, 2026 at 3:48 PM
The Epstein allegations raise serious questions about Trump.
But what about the Justice Department's handling of the evidence? When the investigators face scrutiny, who investigates them?
#TheBiggerPicture #EpsteinFiles #RuleOfLaw
But what about the Justice Department's handling of the evidence? When the investigators face scrutiny, who investigates them?
#TheBiggerPicture #EpsteinFiles #RuleOfLaw
Trump wanted the midterms to be a referendum on him. Careful what you wish for. Cook's latest projections favor Democrats to take the House. But winning Congress and restoring accountable government are two very different things.
#Midterms2026 #TheBiggerPicture
#Midterms2026 #TheBiggerPicture
Trump Wanted the Midterms to Be About Him. He May Regret Getting His Wish.
The Cook Political Report now favors Democrats to take the House. But winning Congress and reclaiming government are two very different things.
budravitz.substack.com
October 26, 2026 at 2:39 PM
Trump wanted the midterms to be a referendum on him. Careful what you wish for. Cook's latest projections favor Democrats to take the House. But winning Congress and restoring accountable government are two very different things.
#Midterms2026 #TheBiggerPicture
#Midterms2026 #TheBiggerPicture
Trump promised to get America's fiscal house in order. The Treasury reports a nearly $2 trillion deficit. So much for fiscal discipline.
The numbers tell a story worth reading.
#TheBiggerPicture #FederalBudget
The numbers tell a story worth reading.
#TheBiggerPicture #FederalBudget
Trump Promised to Get America's Fiscal House in Order. The Treasury Dept. Says Otherwise.
A Nearly $2 Trillion Deficit. So Much for Cutting Government Spending.
budravitz.substack.com
October 23, 2026 at 12:19 PM
Trump promised to get America's fiscal house in order. The Treasury reports a nearly $2 trillion deficit. So much for fiscal discipline.
The numbers tell a story worth reading.
#TheBiggerPicture #FederalBudget
The numbers tell a story worth reading.
#TheBiggerPicture #FederalBudget
Rubio says nothing has changed. Ukraine has questions about intelligence and Starlink. America's allies have questions about reliability. Apparently, reassurance is easier to deliver than answers.
#TheBiggerPicture #Ukraine #Rubio
#TheBiggerPicture #Ukraine #Rubio
Rubio Says Nothing Has Changed. Allies Aren't Buying It.
Ukraine wanted answers. Rubio gave them more to question.
budravitz.substack.com
October 22, 2026 at 12:14 PM
Rubio says nothing has changed. Ukraine has questions about intelligence and Starlink. America's allies have questions about reliability. Apparently, reassurance is easier to deliver than answers.
#TheBiggerPicture #Ukraine #Rubio
#TheBiggerPicture #Ukraine #Rubio
A new world order is under construction. Wars are expanding, alliances are shifting, and nobody has a blueprint.
From the Black Sea to the Red Sea, the decisions being made today will shape tomorrow's world.
#TheBiggerPicture #Geopolitics #MiddleEast
From the Black Sea to the Red Sea, the decisions being made today will shape tomorrow's world.
#TheBiggerPicture #Geopolitics #MiddleEast
A New World Order Is Taking Shape. Getting There Is Dangerous.
From the Black Sea to the Red Sea, wars are expanding, alliances are shifting, and nations are testing one another's resolve. Nobody knows what happens next.
budravitz.substack.com
October 19, 2026 at 1:21 PM
A new world order is under construction. Wars are expanding, alliances are shifting, and nobody has a blueprint.
From the Black Sea to the Red Sea, the decisions being made today will shape tomorrow's world.
#TheBiggerPicture #Geopolitics #MiddleEast
From the Black Sea to the Red Sea, the decisions being made today will shape tomorrow's world.
#TheBiggerPicture #Geopolitics #MiddleEast
Rebuilding America, a USA2.0, starts with this midterm election and won't ever end.
Governing by nostalgia, or taking America back to where it once was, will only bring our nation right back to this point.
We, the people, are responsible for building our nation's future.
#TheBiggerPicture
Governing by nostalgia, or taking America back to where it once was, will only bring our nation right back to this point.
We, the people, are responsible for building our nation's future.
#TheBiggerPicture
What Could A Dem-Led Congress Do?
It can definitely slow Trump. But it can’t stop him.
budravitz.substack.com
October 18, 2026 at 12:07 PM
Rebuilding America, a USA2.0, starts with this midterm election and won't ever end.
Governing by nostalgia, or taking America back to where it once was, will only bring our nation right back to this point.
We, the people, are responsible for building our nation's future.
#TheBiggerPicture
Governing by nostalgia, or taking America back to where it once was, will only bring our nation right back to this point.
We, the people, are responsible for building our nation's future.
#TheBiggerPicture
Trump wants the midterms to be a referendum on his leadership. OK, fine.
Inflation is accelerating. Real wages are shrinking. Affordability remains elusive.
He asked. The economic numbers answered.
#TheBiggerPicture #Inflation #midterms
Inflation is accelerating. Real wages are shrinking. Affordability remains elusive.
He asked. The economic numbers answered.
#TheBiggerPicture #Inflation #midterms
Trump Wants a Referendum on His Leadership. OK, Fine.
Inflation is accelerating. Real wages are shrinking. The latest economic report puts promises of affordability under scrutiny.
budravitz.substack.com
October 16, 2026 at 3:15 PM
Trump wants the midterms to be a referendum on his leadership. OK, fine.
Inflation is accelerating. Real wages are shrinking. Affordability remains elusive.
He asked. The economic numbers answered.
#TheBiggerPicture #Inflation #midterms
Inflation is accelerating. Real wages are shrinking. Affordability remains elusive.
He asked. The economic numbers answered.
#TheBiggerPicture #Inflation #midterms
Europe isn't abandoning America. It's preparing for a future in which America can't be counted on. And now that preparation extends into space. The changing world order isn't stopping at Earth's atmosphere.
#TheBiggerPicture #Space
#TheBiggerPicture #Space
The Next Frontier in America's Declining Influence? Space.
Europe is preparing for a future where America isn't a reliable partner. It's another sign of the changing world order, and why space is becoming a new battleground.
budravitz.substack.com
October 15, 2026 at 11:13 AM
Europe isn't abandoning America. It's preparing for a future in which America can't be counted on. And now that preparation extends into space. The changing world order isn't stopping at Earth's atmosphere.
#TheBiggerPicture #Space
#TheBiggerPicture #Space
Turns out tariffs raise prices. Who knew?
Economists knew. Businesses knew. And now New York Fed researchers have measured it.
Apparently, the laws of economics didn't get the memo.
#Tariffs #Inflation #TheBiggerPicture
Economists knew. Businesses knew. And now New York Fed researchers have measured it.
Apparently, the laws of economics didn't get the memo.
#Tariffs #Inflation #TheBiggerPicture
Turns Out Tariffs Raise Prices. Go Figure.
Economists predicted it. Businesses warned about it. Now New York Fed researchers have measured what happened.
budravitz.substack.com
October 12, 2026 at 11:33 AM
Turns out tariffs raise prices. Who knew?
Economists knew. Businesses knew. And now New York Fed researchers have measured it.
Apparently, the laws of economics didn't get the memo.
#Tariffs #Inflation #TheBiggerPicture
Economists knew. Businesses knew. And now New York Fed researchers have measured it.
Apparently, the laws of economics didn't get the memo.
#Tariffs #Inflation #TheBiggerPicture
Nobody blinked. The stakes just got higher. From the Black Sea to the Red Sea, wars are widening while nations prepare for a world less dependent on American leadership.
Part 3 of The Bigger Picture's New World Order series.
#TheBiggerPicture #Europe #$NATO #MiddleEast
Part 3 of The Bigger Picture's New World Order series.
#TheBiggerPicture #Europe #$NATO #MiddleEast
The New World Order, Part 3: Nobody Blinked. The Stakes Just Got Higher.
From the Black Sea to the Red Sea, wars are expanding as nations prepare for a world no longer centered on American leadership.
budravitz.substack.com
October 8, 2026 at 11:35 AM
Nobody blinked. The stakes just got higher. From the Black Sea to the Red Sea, wars are widening while nations prepare for a world less dependent on American leadership.
Part 3 of The Bigger Picture's New World Order series.
#TheBiggerPicture #Europe #$NATO #MiddleEast
Part 3 of The Bigger Picture's New World Order series.
#TheBiggerPicture #Europe #$NATO #MiddleEast
No headline will tell us if of when the old world order is over. And no headline will tell us when the new one has begun.
What we do know is that seemingly unrelated stories around the world are interconnected as power and alliances begin to shift.
#TheBiggerPicture #WorldOrder #NewWorldOrder
What we do know is that seemingly unrelated stories around the world are interconnected as power and alliances begin to shift.
#TheBiggerPicture #WorldOrder #NewWorldOrder
The Old World Order is Dead or Dying
The emerging new one is far from becoming clear and therein lies the danger.
budravitz.substack.com
October 7, 2026 at 5:00 PM
No headline will tell us if of when the old world order is over. And no headline will tell us when the new one has begun.
What we do know is that seemingly unrelated stories around the world are interconnected as power and alliances begin to shift.
#TheBiggerPicture #WorldOrder #NewWorldOrder
What we do know is that seemingly unrelated stories around the world are interconnected as power and alliances begin to shift.
#TheBiggerPicture #WorldOrder #NewWorldOrder
Trump was never doing this alone. Congress had the power of the purse. Republicans had the votes. They also had the ability to say no. They chose not to. That matters as we head toward the midterms.
#TheBiggerPicture #Midterms2026 #Congress #PowerOfThePurse #ChecksAndBalances #Democracy
#TheBiggerPicture #Midterms2026 #Congress #PowerOfThePurse #ChecksAndBalances #Democracy
Trump Was Never Doing This Alone
Congress had the power of the purse. Republicans had the votes. What they lacked was the willingness to use either.
budravitz.substack.com
October 5, 2026 at 4:13 PM
Trump was never doing this alone. Congress had the power of the purse. Republicans had the votes. They also had the ability to say no. They chose not to. That matters as we head toward the midterms.
#TheBiggerPicture #Midterms2026 #Congress #PowerOfThePurse #ChecksAndBalances #Democracy
#TheBiggerPicture #Midterms2026 #Congress #PowerOfThePurse #ChecksAndBalances #Democracy
Part 2 of our New World Order series: Putin keeps raising the stakes, betting the West will blink first. But what happens when NATO decides it won't? The danger isn't simply escalation. It's miscalculation.
#TheBiggerPicture #NATO #Ukraine #Russia #Putin #Europe
#TheBiggerPicture #NATO #Ukraine #Russia #Putin #Europe
The New World Order: The Stakes Are Rising. Who Blinks First?
As Russia escalates its war against Ukraine and tests Europe's resolve, the danger isn't simply who blinks first. It's what happens if nobody does.
budravitz.substack.com
October 4, 2026 at 2:54 PM
France just showed up where America didn’t. Macron saw French interests in Saudi Arabia and acted. It’s another sign that the new world order isn’t coming. It’s already taking shape.
#TheBiggerPicture #ForeignPolicy #France #SaudiArabia #Geopolitics #WorldOrder #USForeignPolicy #Europe
#TheBiggerPicture #ForeignPolicy #France #SaudiArabia #Geopolitics #WorldOrder #USForeignPolicy #Europe
France Just Showed Up Where America Didn’t
Macron saw French interests in helping Saudi Arabia and acted. It’s another sign of the new world order taking shape.
budravitz.substack.com
September 30, 2026 at 2:53 PM
France just showed up where America didn’t. Macron saw French interests in Saudi Arabia and acted. It’s another sign that the new world order isn’t coming. It’s already taking shape.
#TheBiggerPicture #ForeignPolicy #France #SaudiArabia #Geopolitics #WorldOrder #USForeignPolicy #Europe
#TheBiggerPicture #ForeignPolicy #France #SaudiArabia #Geopolitics #WorldOrder #USForeignPolicy #Europe
ICE has entered the supply chain. Cattle, Crops, Construction and food processing, enforcement is creating labor uncertainty. Markets don't care about political slogans. They care whether workers show up.
#TheBiggerPicture #SupplyChain #Economy #Immigration #ICE #BeefPrices #Agriculture #Inflation
#TheBiggerPicture #SupplyChain #Economy #Immigration #ICE #BeefPrices #Agriculture #Inflation
ICE Has Entered the Supply Chain
ICE is colliding with industries that depend heavily on immigrant labor. It’s adding another layer of uncertainty to America’s supply chains.
budravitz.substack.com
September 29, 2026 at 12:24 PM
ICE has entered the supply chain. Cattle, Crops, Construction and food processing, enforcement is creating labor uncertainty. Markets don't care about political slogans. They care whether workers show up.
#TheBiggerPicture #SupplyChain #Economy #Immigration #ICE #BeefPrices #Agriculture #Inflation
#TheBiggerPicture #SupplyChain #Economy #Immigration #ICE #BeefPrices #Agriculture #Inflation
Taking territory is one thing. Holding it is another. With military contingency planning involving Cuba reportedly underway, perhaps the most important question is the one we usually ask too late: How does this end?
#TheBiggerPicture #Cuba #USForeignPolicy #NationalSecurity #Iran #ForeignPolicy
#TheBiggerPicture #Cuba #USForeignPolicy #NationalSecurity #Iran #ForeignPolicy
Surely Trump Isn’t Thinking About Another Elective War. Right?
Military planning involving Cuba is reportedly underway. Maybe we should ask how this one ends before it begins.
budravitz.substack.com
September 28, 2026 at 12:06 PM
Taking territory is one thing. Holding it is another. With military contingency planning involving Cuba reportedly underway, perhaps the most important question is the one we usually ask too late: How does this end?
#TheBiggerPicture #Cuba #USForeignPolicy #NationalSecurity #Iran #ForeignPolicy
#TheBiggerPicture #Cuba #USForeignPolicy #NationalSecurity #Iran #ForeignPolicy
A surprising tariff poll: 26% of Americans support Trump’s tariffs on Canada, while 33% say Canada was right to retaliate. Those two numbers tell quite a story.
#TheBiggerPicture #Canada #Tariffs #TradeWar #USTrade #USCanada #Polling #Economy.
#TheBiggerPicture #Canada #Tariffs #TradeWar #USTrade #USCanada #Polling #Economy.
Wait. Americans Support Canada’s Tariffs More Than Trump’s?
Trump started the tariff fight. More Americans support Canada’s retaliation than support his tariffs.
budravitz.substack.com
September 25, 2026 at 2:53 PM