Democrats may never again get the clear threat of facism to push turnout like this. No one outorganized fascism for incrementalism.
November 15, 2026 at 2:03 PM
Democrats may never again get the clear threat of facism to push turnout like this. No one outorganized fascism for incrementalism.
We know that turnout differentials played a big role in the "blue tsunami". Nowhere were the differentials bigger than in rural America, where Black and Latino counties saw massive turnout while white rural turnout lagged badly.
November 15, 2026 at 4:03 PM
We know that turnout differentials played a big role in the "blue tsunami". Nowhere were the differentials bigger than in rural America, where Black and Latino counties saw massive turnout while white rural turnout lagged badly.
In Georgia — the first state to release detailed voter data — turnout spiked among Black voters and dipped for white voters. bit.ly/3WtEV77
Surprising Turnout Rates in 2026 Midterms
In Georgia, turnout spiked among Black voters and dipped for white voters.
www.brennancenter.org
November 13, 2026 at 4:03 PM
In Georgia — the first state to release detailed voter data — turnout spiked among Black voters and dipped for white voters. bit.ly/3WtEV77
Another big turnout for the National Climate Demo!
November 14, 2026 at 4:53 PM
Another big turnout for the National Climate Demo!
And part of that obviously was black turnout in reaction to Callais, but not all of it
November 14, 2026 at 5:56 PM
And part of that obviously was black turnout in reaction to Callais, but not all of it
Voter turnout was especially high in majority-minority counties that were subject to elevated protections under the 1965 Voting Rights Act until 2013 — as much 10 as percentage points higher than in 2022, an enormous increase.
bit.ly/3WtEV77
bit.ly/3WtEV77
Surprising Turnout Rates in 2026 Midterms
In Georgia, turnout spiked among Black voters and dipped for white voters.
www.brennancenter.org
November 14, 2026 at 4:03 PM
Voter turnout was especially high in majority-minority counties that were subject to elevated protections under the 1965 Voting Rights Act until 2013 — as much 10 as percentage points higher than in 2022, an enormous increase.
bit.ly/3WtEV77
bit.ly/3WtEV77
Nationwide, voter turnout in majority-minority counties was up this year — but it increased most in counties that had elevated protections under the Voting Rights Act until the Supreme Court gutted the law in 2013. bit.ly/3WtEV77
Surprising Turnout Rates in 2026 Midterms
In Georgia, turnout spiked among Black voters and dipped for white voters.
www.brennancenter.org
November 15, 2026 at 4:03 PM
Nationwide, voter turnout in majority-minority counties was up this year — but it increased most in counties that had elevated protections under the Voting Rights Act until the Supreme Court gutted the law in 2013. bit.ly/3WtEV77
Democrat Senate candidate Jamie Davis is urging voter turnout for the remaining two Louisiana U.S. House seats in the midterms.
November 14, 2026 at 2:02 PM
Democrat Senate candidate Jamie Davis is urging voter turnout for the remaining two Louisiana U.S. House seats in the midterms.
increased black turnout, latino reversion, national suburban homogenization, and white cohort turnover decreasing racial polarization is quite literally the GOP's worst case scenario... and it happened
November 14, 2026 at 3:30 PM
increased black turnout, latino reversion, national suburban homogenization, and white cohort turnover decreasing racial polarization is quite literally the GOP's worst case scenario... and it happened
Ok last thing then I'm moving on from this story:
All analysis of the blue wave that mentions high Black turnout as a result of backlash to LA v. Callais should also state that the high turnout was possible due to YEARS of organizing by Black activists in the Deep South.
All analysis of the blue wave that mentions high Black turnout as a result of backlash to LA v. Callais should also state that the high turnout was possible due to YEARS of organizing by Black activists in the Deep South.
🚨 NEW STORY 🚨
The last Black people to represent Mississippi in the U.S. Senate were Republicans Hiram Revels, who served from 1870-1871, and Blanche Bruce, who served from 1875-1881.
That was until yesterday.
My latest for New Southern Revolt
newsouthernrevolt.mymagic.page/for-the-firs...
The last Black people to represent Mississippi in the U.S. Senate were Republicans Hiram Revels, who served from 1870-1871, and Blanche Bruce, who served from 1875-1881.
That was until yesterday.
My latest for New Southern Revolt
newsouthernrevolt.mymagic.page/for-the-firs...
November 13, 2026 at 2:19 PM
Ok last thing then I'm moving on from this story:
All analysis of the blue wave that mentions high Black turnout as a result of backlash to LA v. Callais should also state that the high turnout was possible due to YEARS of organizing by Black activists in the Deep South.
All analysis of the blue wave that mentions high Black turnout as a result of backlash to LA v. Callais should also state that the high turnout was possible due to YEARS of organizing by Black activists in the Deep South.
Amazing turnout!!!
November 15, 2026 at 6:12 PM
Amazing turnout!!!
National interstate popular vote compact + youth turnout = President AOC
Wow. Look at these youth vote margins. Mississippi was D+53, tied with MN at the top. In NC, TX, SC and OH, all flips, young voters were more Democratic than in OR. Young voters look crucial to the unexpected Senate wins.
(Estimates from CIRCLE at Tufts.)
(Estimates from CIRCLE at Tufts.)
November 11, 2026 at 9:49 PM
National interstate popular vote compact + youth turnout = President AOC
My 40th birthday party last night was one of the most fantastic nights of my life. I’m truly blown away by the turnout. 💖
November 15, 2026 at 8:46 AM
My 40th birthday party last night was one of the most fantastic nights of my life. I’m truly blown away by the turnout. 💖
We shouldn't have to get to 93% of presidential election turnout to get anywhere here.
Yeah as a Southerner, I’ve really chafed at the “doesn’t this prove Callais was an ok decision?” reactions.
It should not require tsunamis every time to effect change and let people be heard.
It should not require tsunamis every time to effect change and let people be heard.
This is exactly right. The lesson of 2026 is not "out-organize voter suppression" or that racial gerrymandering can be overcome if enough people vote.
Black voters turned out at extraordinary, historic levels and now it's on all of us to deliver for them.
Black voters turned out at extraordinary, historic levels and now it's on all of us to deliver for them.
November 15, 2026 at 3:56 PM
We shouldn't have to get to 93% of presidential election turnout to get anywhere here.
In six states across the Deep South, a drastic swing to the left this election was driven by high Black voter turnout and compounded by a sharp decline in voting rates across Republican-heavy areas. n.pr/48cg8Hk
These two voter turnout trends explain what happened across the South in the election
In six states across the Deep South, a drastic swing to the left this election was driven by high Black voter turnout and compounded by a sharp decline in voting rates across Republican-heavy areas.
n.pr
November 13, 2026 at 10:16 AM
In six states across the Deep South, a drastic swing to the left this election was driven by high Black voter turnout and compounded by a sharp decline in voting rates across Republican-heavy areas. n.pr/48cg8Hk
One data analyst estimated 75% of Democratic gains came from a turnout gap and about 20% from Republicans switching sides and voting for Democrats
The ‘blue tsunami’ happened because of a surge in youth voters and Republicans who stayed home | Arizona Mirror
Midterm turnout analysis: Democratic gains came mostly from a turnout surge among young voters, not party switching
azmirror.com
November 12, 2026 at 5:25 PM
One data analyst estimated 75% of Democratic gains came from a turnout gap and about 20% from Republicans switching sides and voting for Democrats
the problem I've been having on the turnout story for 2026 is that there are too many moving pieces
1) 2024 had a major pro-Republican turnout differential
2) many traditionally Dem groups usually have low midterm turnout
3) many of those groups also flipped to GOP in 24 and back in 26
1) 2024 had a major pro-Republican turnout differential
2) many traditionally Dem groups usually have low midterm turnout
3) many of those groups also flipped to GOP in 24 and back in 26
We know that turnout differentials played a big role in the "blue tsunami". Nowhere were the differentials bigger than in rural America, where Black and Latino counties saw massive turnout while white rural turnout lagged badly.
November 15, 2026 at 6:44 PM
the problem I've been having on the turnout story for 2026 is that there are too many moving pieces
1) 2024 had a major pro-Republican turnout differential
2) many traditionally Dem groups usually have low midterm turnout
3) many of those groups also flipped to GOP in 24 and back in 26
1) 2024 had a major pro-Republican turnout differential
2) many traditionally Dem groups usually have low midterm turnout
3) many of those groups also flipped to GOP in 24 and back in 26
Great turnout for the HYPERSCALE event in Toronto! I’ll be in Hamilton tomorrow and Ottawa on Sunday.
It's a full house to hear @parismarx.com talk about his new book Hyperscale: The Ambitions and Excess of Big Tech's Data Empires
November 14, 2026 at 5:37 AM
Great turnout for the HYPERSCALE event in Toronto! I’ll be in Hamilton tomorrow and Ottawa on Sunday.
If you think American democracy is dead in an era of exploding voter turnout and dramatic electoral change (this phenomenon is almost a decade old btw) you’re just ignoring reality.
November 15, 2026 at 1:22 PM
If you think American democracy is dead in an era of exploding voter turnout and dramatic electoral change (this phenomenon is almost a decade old btw) you’re just ignoring reality.
That said, we have evidence that the Supreme Court gutting the Voting Rights Act and enabling GOP gerrymanders targeting Southern Black and Latino voters sparked a backlash surge in turnout.
Only NC’s new GOP gerrymander directly backfired, but this turnout effect may have cost the GOP other races
Only NC’s new GOP gerrymander directly backfired, but this turnout effect may have cost the GOP other races
Data (from G. Elliott Morris and Kevin Morris) Strongly Suggestive of Black Voter Turnout Surge in Response to Callais Ruling #ELB
I’ve suggested that the Supreme Court’s unprincipled decision in Louisiana v. Callais could spawn a new civil rights movement, and G. Elliott Morris’s data on 2026 midterm turnout suggests just that: ...
electionlawblog.org
November 14, 2026 at 9:38 PM
That said, we have evidence that the Supreme Court gutting the Voting Rights Act and enabling GOP gerrymanders targeting Southern Black and Latino voters sparked a backlash surge in turnout.
Only NC’s new GOP gerrymander directly backfired, but this turnout effect may have cost the GOP other races
Only NC’s new GOP gerrymander directly backfired, but this turnout effect may have cost the GOP other races
when you see the record turnout in places like Minnesota the first thing that comes to mind is “thank you Chuck Schumer”
November 13, 2026 at 4:01 PM
when you see the record turnout in places like Minnesota the first thing that comes to mind is “thank you Chuck Schumer”
"The thing that has stuck with me since the midterms, and it's not about what the results were overall, but it's about the turnout. The turnout was the second-highest voter turnout in a century."
-Rachel Maddow
So proud of everyone.💙💙💙
-Rachel Maddow
So proud of everyone.💙💙💙
November 12, 2026 at 4:41 PM
"The thing that has stuck with me since the midterms, and it's not about what the results were overall, but it's about the turnout. The turnout was the second-highest voter turnout in a century."
-Rachel Maddow
So proud of everyone.💙💙💙
-Rachel Maddow
So proud of everyone.💙💙💙
- Republicans saw an even greater dropoff in voter turnout than Democrats did.
- Majority-Black counties overall had a higher voter turnout with about 85% compared to 76% for white, non-Hispanic majority counties.
- Majority-Black counties overall had a higher voter turnout with about 85% compared to 76% for white, non-Hispanic majority counties.
These two voter turnout trends explain what happened across the South in the election
In six states across the Deep South, a drastic swing to the left this election was driven by high Black voter turnout and compounded by a sharp decline in voting rates across Republican-heavy areas.
www.npr.org
November 13, 2026 at 1:51 PM
- Republicans saw an even greater dropoff in voter turnout than Democrats did.
- Majority-Black counties overall had a higher voter turnout with about 85% compared to 76% for white, non-Hispanic majority counties.
- Majority-Black counties overall had a higher voter turnout with about 85% compared to 76% for white, non-Hispanic majority counties.
Turnout was what won it for the Democrats in 2006 and 2008— in 2006 a dropped turnout of Republican voters, in 2008 a rising turnout of Democrat-leaning habitual-nonvoters. It is zero surprise to see these same effects winning it for the Democrats in 2026
This is interesting. Voters under 30 who backed Trump in 2024 were three times as likely to sit out 2026 as to switch to a Democrat. Most Harris voters came back. By my estimate from the NORC data, ~70% of the youth swing came from turnout.
November 12, 2026 at 8:02 PM
Turnout was what won it for the Democrats in 2006 and 2008— in 2006 a dropped turnout of Republican voters, in 2008 a rising turnout of Democrat-leaning habitual-nonvoters. It is zero surprise to see these same effects winning it for the Democrats in 2026
just got back from the chuck schumer rally
November 14, 2026 at 10:08 PM
just got back from the chuck schumer rally