This is high-quality extrapolation, worthy of your attention.
"...a military invasion of Canada would trigger a decades-long violent resistance, which would ultimately destroy the United States."
January 6, 2026 at 6:46 AM
This is high-quality extrapolation, worthy of your attention.
Folgt mir für weitere Einblicke in die wunderbare Welt der statistischen Extrapolation!
January 1, 2025 at 9:40 PM
Folgt mir für weitere Einblicke in die wunderbare Welt der statistischen Extrapolation!
I suspect there is a lot of extrapolation from one’s own work experience to other domains being trafficked in the concept of “white collar” and “professional services” and to a lesser extent in “productivity”.
September 30, 2026 at 11:47 AM
I suspect there is a lot of extrapolation from one’s own work experience to other domains being trafficked in the concept of “white collar” and “professional services” and to a lesser extent in “productivity”.
"Understanding" and "statistical extrapolation" *can* often lead to the same place, but when they *don't*, "understanding" provides a way forward, while "extrapolation" founders.
18/
18/
August 3, 2026 at 8:48 AM
"Understanding" and "statistical extrapolation" *can* often lead to the same place, but when they *don't*, "understanding" provides a way forward, while "extrapolation" founders.
18/
18/
"radical leftist political beliefs" but it's just the most basic extrapolation of human decency into policy positions
August 15, 2026 at 4:51 PM
"radical leftist political beliefs" but it's just the most basic extrapolation of human decency into policy positions
Best extrapolation I've read yet. 10/10
These emails really do highlight why rich folk are so impressed by ChatGPT.
November 13, 2025 at 11:18 PM
Best extrapolation I've read yet. 10/10
imagine being a writer of science fiction so poor at extrapolation that you "didn't expect" this incredibly obvious outcome
Turns out that SF writers don't love people who volunteer to implement the Torment Nexus nitter.net/shl/status/1...
June 27, 2025 at 1:39 PM
imagine being a writer of science fiction so poor at extrapolation that you "didn't expect" this incredibly obvious outcome
*taps the "high enough dimensionality, interpolation *is* extrapolation" sign*
arxiv.org/abs/2110.09485
arxiv.org/abs/2110.09485
September 17, 2026 at 10:29 AM
*taps the "high enough dimensionality, interpolation *is* extrapolation" sign*
arxiv.org/abs/2110.09485
arxiv.org/abs/2110.09485
richard's extrapolation technique
July 27, 2025 at 5:51 PM
richard's extrapolation technique
There is no reason to humour anyone talking about AGI or give someone credit for doing so, it is not an "opinion" to "debate" as there is no actual proof it's possible. "Extrapolation" is another word for making shit up
April 4, 2025 at 9:54 PM
There is no reason to humour anyone talking about AGI or give someone credit for doing so, it is not an "opinion" to "debate" as there is no actual proof it's possible. "Extrapolation" is another word for making shit up
#MusicLingo
#MusicChallenge
Day 22. Dissonance.
Extrapolation.
John Mclaughlin.
youtu.be/n6LkGwuimsU?...
#MusicChallenge
Day 22. Dissonance.
Extrapolation.
John Mclaughlin.
youtu.be/n6LkGwuimsU?...
Extrapolation
YouTube video by John McLaughlin - Topic
youtu.be
June 22, 2025 at 12:12 AM
#MusicLingo
#MusicChallenge
Day 22. Dissonance.
Extrapolation.
John Mclaughlin.
youtu.be/n6LkGwuimsU?...
#MusicChallenge
Day 22. Dissonance.
Extrapolation.
John Mclaughlin.
youtu.be/n6LkGwuimsU?...
pope francis wore simpler, unceremonious clothes. with a bit of extrapolation i predict by 2100 we’ll have a nudist pope
April 25, 2025 at 1:46 AM
pope francis wore simpler, unceremonious clothes. with a bit of extrapolation i predict by 2100 we’ll have a nudist pope
“It’s just a claim about numbers”
You were implicitly making a claim about importance and effectiveness and a child capable of a baseline level of logical extrapolation can see this
You were implicitly making a claim about importance and effectiveness and a child capable of a baseline level of logical extrapolation can see this
October 16, 2025 at 3:06 PM
“It’s just a claim about numbers”
You were implicitly making a claim about importance and effectiveness and a child capable of a baseline level of logical extrapolation can see this
You were implicitly making a claim about importance and effectiveness and a child capable of a baseline level of logical extrapolation can see this
The linear extrapolation of the past 15 years and the nonlinear 30-year extrapolation now both put global warming at +1.54°C above 1850-1900.
Reaching +2°C in 2037 or 2034.
Using the @ecmwf.int ERA5 dataset.
H/t @tugberksamur.bsky.social
Reaching +2°C in 2037 or 2034.
Using the @ecmwf.int ERA5 dataset.
H/t @tugberksamur.bsky.social
December 18, 2025 at 10:58 PM
The linear extrapolation of the past 15 years and the nonlinear 30-year extrapolation now both put global warming at +1.54°C above 1850-1900.
Reaching +2°C in 2037 or 2034.
Using the @ecmwf.int ERA5 dataset.
H/t @tugberksamur.bsky.social
Reaching +2°C in 2037 or 2034.
Using the @ecmwf.int ERA5 dataset.
H/t @tugberksamur.bsky.social
Aufgabe: Bitte beschreiben Sie die zentrale Entwicklung, diskutieren Sie die Folgen für Marktteilnehmer und formulieren Sie eine plausible Extrapolation.
January 1, 2026 at 8:01 PM
Aufgabe: Bitte beschreiben Sie die zentrale Entwicklung, diskutieren Sie die Folgen für Marktteilnehmer und formulieren Sie eine plausible Extrapolation.
Leipzig explaining their forecast:
imgs.xkcd.com/comics/extra...
imgs.xkcd.com/comics/extra...
September 30, 2026 at 7:16 AM
Leipzig explaining their forecast:
imgs.xkcd.com/comics/extra...
imgs.xkcd.com/comics/extra...
yeah except in this case linear extrapolation probably misses low
September 20, 2026 at 9:55 PM
yeah except in this case linear extrapolation probably misses low
Note how this isn't some off-the-cuff misstatement or exaggeration. He has an entire dishonest chain of reasoning built on misrepresenting VAERS data and dubious extrapolation from the Harvard Pilgrim study. This is a planned lie that would not survive any scrutiny; he knows he won't get any.
Sen. Ron Johnson claims preposterously that as many as 3.9 MILLION (!!!) Americans died as a result of the covid vaccine
Complete insanity
Complete insanity
May 9, 2026 at 6:16 PM
Note how this isn't some off-the-cuff misstatement or exaggeration. He has an entire dishonest chain of reasoning built on misrepresenting VAERS data and dubious extrapolation from the Harvard Pilgrim study. This is a planned lie that would not survive any scrutiny; he knows he won't get any.
the dangers of wild extrapolation... 🤣
September 2, 2026 at 11:13 AM
the dangers of wild extrapolation... 🤣
Title text: "It's a linear extrapolation, Michael. How big could the error be? 10%?"
Alt text: https://explainxkcd.com/2892#Transcript
Alt text: https://explainxkcd.com/2892#Transcript
February 9, 2024 at 9:18 PM
Title text: "It's a linear extrapolation, Michael. How big could the error be? 10%?"
Alt text: https://explainxkcd.com/2892#Transcript
Alt text: https://explainxkcd.com/2892#Transcript
It's basically extrapolation failure, right?
"Hallucination" implies conscious experience that chatbots lack. We need another term for the specific kind of error where they make things up out of whole cloth. It's not lying because they don't know anything.
Speaking of which — when AI chatbots make mistakes, call them that: mistakes, errors, inaccuracies. “Hallucinations” is an unnecessarily jargony term that anthropomorphizes the chatbots. (5/x)
May 18, 2026 at 6:42 PM
It's basically extrapolation failure, right?
It’s not subjective interpretation. It’s basic logical extrapolation. How can innocent people drop bombs on innocent people? Be serious
March 25, 2025 at 3:28 PM
It’s not subjective interpretation. It’s basic logical extrapolation. How can innocent people drop bombs on innocent people? Be serious
folks we're doing Peruvian election results extrapolation, strap in bsky.app/profile/pfoh...
Lima has 85% of votes counted vs 72% for the whole country so her lead will probably shrink and we might see her with 49.9% again.
my quick math shows Sanchez needing ~61% of the remaining non-Lima vote (assuming Lima's remaining 15% split at the current rate) but he's currently at 55% of that vote
my quick math shows Sanchez needing ~61% of the remaining non-Lima vote (assuming Lima's remaining 15% split at the current rate) but he's currently at 55% of that vote
June 8, 2026 at 5:14 AM
folks we're doing Peruvian election results extrapolation, strap in bsky.app/profile/pfoh...
Backwards extrapolation to 1k yds total is crazy
September 8, 2025 at 3:47 AM
Backwards extrapolation to 1k yds total is crazy
And like… if you didn't see this coming, you really need to work on your logical extrapolation skills.
just saw a group of masked men stuffing masked ICE agents into an unmarked car, who were saying "we're ICE we're ICE!" but the abductors shouted to the crowd "no we're ICE!" no one knew who was ICE, so no one in the crowd said anything.
June 21, 2025 at 11:43 PM
And like… if you didn't see this coming, you really need to work on your logical extrapolation skills.