Maybe if trump hadn't made cuts that crippled weather forecasting he would've seen the blue tsunami coming.
November 6, 2026 at 12:07 AM
Maybe if trump hadn't made cuts that crippled weather forecasting he would've seen the blue tsunami coming.
An independent analysis by the New York Times finds FiftyPlusOne had the most accurate election forecasting model over the whole 2026 election cycle, beating both prediction markets and other forecasters at almost all time horizons. Congrats team! www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
November 6, 2026 at 1:06 PM
An independent analysis by the New York Times finds FiftyPlusOne had the most accurate election forecasting model over the whole 2026 election cycle, beating both prediction markets and other forecasters at almost all time horizons. Congrats team! www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
NYT now forecasting D+12 which would be the largest House popular vote since 1976.
*counts on fingers*
Half a century.
*counts on fingers*
Half a century.
November 4, 2026 at 3:46 AM
NYT now forecasting D+12 which would be the largest House popular vote since 1976.
*counts on fingers*
Half a century.
*counts on fingers*
Half a century.
The NYT Needle of Ignominy was forecasting, not polling. Forecasting is a lot harder, and easier to fuck up
November 3, 2026 at 2:23 PM
The NYT Needle of Ignominy was forecasting, not polling. Forecasting is a lot harder, and easier to fuck up
force of the democratic win so powerful that it reached back in time from january 2027 to revive weather forecasting in november
National Weather Service ordered to resume twice-daily weather balloon launches www.cbsnews.com/detroit/news...
National Weather Service ordered to resume twice-daily weather balloon launches, "an important step"
CBS Detroit has learned offices nationwide were told to return to launching balloons every 12 hours, the schedule in place before the 2025 cutbacks.
www.cbsnews.com
November 5, 2026 at 10:08 PM
force of the democratic win so powerful that it reached back in time from january 2027 to revive weather forecasting in november
NBC is currently forecasting 255.
November 4, 2026 at 4:55 AM
NBC is currently forecasting 255.
Charlie Cook has been forecasting elections for 42 years, and he's never seen an election quite like this one. On the pod, he is so good on why Dems are suddenly competitve in truly crazy places. He also explains why he expects the GOP to get a "hell of a beating":
newrepublic.com/article/2174...
newrepublic.com/article/2174...
He’s Been Forecasting for 42 Years. He Predicts a Crushing GOP Defeat.
In an interview, Charlie Cook, who’s been doing political prognostication since 1984, says he’s never seen anything quite like this election. And he expects a Trump-GOP “ass-whupping.”
newrepublic.com
November 3, 2026 at 12:19 PM
Charlie Cook has been forecasting elections for 42 years, and he's never seen an election quite like this one. On the pod, he is so good on why Dems are suddenly competitve in truly crazy places. He also explains why he expects the GOP to get a "hell of a beating":
newrepublic.com/article/2174...
newrepublic.com/article/2174...
there were people seriously forecasting that kid being in the 48 next year lmao
November 7, 2026 at 10:26 PM
there were people seriously forecasting that kid being in the 48 next year lmao
Omg they’re starting to fix the weather forecasting?!?
*cries a little*
*cries a little*
National Weather Service ordered to resume twice-daily weather balloon launches www.cbsnews.com/detroit/news...
National Weather Service ordered to resume twice-daily weather balloon launches, "an important step"
CBS Detroit has learned offices nationwide were told to return to launching balloons every 12 hours, the schedule in place before the 2025 cutbacks.
www.cbsnews.com
November 5, 2026 at 10:54 PM
Omg they’re starting to fix the weather forecasting?!?
*cries a little*
*cries a little*
We're attending COP31 as a trusted leading authority on climate science, forecasting and accountability.
⬇️
⬇️
November 6, 2026 at 2:57 PM
We're attending COP31 as a trusted leading authority on climate science, forecasting and accountability.
⬇️
⬇️
Inaccurate forecasting.
November 5, 2026 at 10:01 PM
Inaccurate forecasting.
ECB forecasting losses of up to £50m in 2027 despite visit of Australia for the Ashes
ECB forecasting losses of up to £50m in 2027 despite visit of Australia for the Ashes
The England and Wales Cricket Board (ECB) is forecasting losses of tens of millions of pounds next year despite hosting the Ashes, with county executives told last week that the deficit could be as large as £50m
www.theguardian.com
November 7, 2026 at 9:45 AM
ECB forecasting losses of up to £50m in 2027 despite visit of Australia for the Ashes
turned on the news. weird weather segment. they're forecasting what color the sky will be per state
November 4, 2026 at 4:14 AM
turned on the news. weird weather segment. they're forecasting what color the sky will be per state
They finally turned the needle on and SC is going to be very, very close. Currently they're forecasting a flip.
November 4, 2026 at 1:01 AM
They finally turned the needle on and SC is going to be very, very close. Currently they're forecasting a flip.
The fun part is where simultaneously the AI companies are forecasting that all other companies will spend a fortune on their product and all other companies are forecasting that they will not be doing that :)
November 6, 2026 at 9:25 PM
The fun part is where simultaneously the AI companies are forecasting that all other companies will spend a fortune on their product and all other companies are forecasting that they will not be doing that :)
New York Times election forecasting has moved Mississippi Senate race into toss-up.
Unbelievable. Mississippi.
Unbelievable. Mississippi.
November 4, 2026 at 3:22 AM
New York Times election forecasting has moved Mississippi Senate race into toss-up.
Unbelievable. Mississippi.
Unbelievable. Mississippi.
The 50+1 polling averages and forecasting model will be updated sporadically this evening as our teams add the flood of final surveys coming out this evening, and we'll lock it shortly after midnight tomorrow morning. fiftyplusone.news
November 2, 2026 at 11:58 PM
The 50+1 polling averages and forecasting model will be updated sporadically this evening as our teams add the flood of final surveys coming out this evening, and we'll lock it shortly after midnight tomorrow morning. fiftyplusone.news
In an interview, Charlie Cook, who’s been doing political prognostication since 1984, says he’s never seen anything quite like this election. And he expects a Trump-GOP “ass-whupping.” https://mrf.lu/2VMcG
He’s Been Forecasting for 42 Years. He Predicts a Crushing GOP Defeat.
newrepublic.com
November 5, 2026 at 10:40 PM
In an interview, Charlie Cook, who’s been doing political prognostication since 1984, says he’s never seen anything quite like this election. And he expects a Trump-GOP “ass-whupping.” https://mrf.lu/2VMcG
david shor started the popularist movement because circa ~2020 he had a model that showed that showed democrats were essentially guaranteed to permanently lose the senate majority, literally projecting that republicans would get a 60 seat supermajority this year
November 7, 2026 at 4:28 AM
david shor started the popularist movement because circa ~2020 he had a model that showed that showed democrats were essentially guaranteed to permanently lose the senate majority, literally projecting that republicans would get a 60 seat supermajority this year
Democrat Annie Andrews is leading in South Carolina US Senate race..
With New York Times forecasting her as a likely win...
With New York Times forecasting her as a likely win...
November 4, 2026 at 1:28 AM
Democrat Annie Andrews is leading in South Carolina US Senate race..
With New York Times forecasting her as a likely win...
With New York Times forecasting her as a likely win...
And Nigel’s mark out of ten for for political forecasting is…
zero.
zero.
November 4, 2026 at 9:30 AM
And Nigel’s mark out of ten for for political forecasting is…
zero.
zero.
If you’re forecasting a global financial crisis and 10% unemployment for 2029, fair enough. I’ll take the under.
November 4, 2026 at 5:12 PM
If you’re forecasting a global financial crisis and 10% unemployment for 2029, fair enough. I’ll take the under.
The winter outlooks are rolling in! ❄️
ABC7 and FOX5 have released their predictions for DC's upcoming winter. Neither is forecasting a particularly snowy season, but they differ on how much snow.
Here's how their forecasts compare with each other and our own: www.capitalweather.com/abc7-and-fox...
ABC7 and FOX5 have released their predictions for DC's upcoming winter. Neither is forecasting a particularly snowy season, but they differ on how much snow.
Here's how their forecasts compare with each other and our own: www.capitalweather.com/abc7-and-fox...
ABC7 and FOX5 release winter outlooks. How much snow do they predict?
ABC7 and FOX5 are forecasting relatively mild winters with near- to below-normal snowfall, but both leave room for significant snowstorms.
www.capitalweather.com
November 5, 2026 at 3:29 PM
The winter outlooks are rolling in! ❄️
ABC7 and FOX5 have released their predictions for DC's upcoming winter. Neither is forecasting a particularly snowy season, but they differ on how much snow.
Here's how their forecasts compare with each other and our own: www.capitalweather.com/abc7-and-fox...
ABC7 and FOX5 have released their predictions for DC's upcoming winter. Neither is forecasting a particularly snowy season, but they differ on how much snow.
Here's how their forecasts compare with each other and our own: www.capitalweather.com/abc7-and-fox...