Maybe pollsters are oversampling kids with smartphones
August 12, 2026 at 2:33 AM
Maybe pollsters are oversampling kids with smartphones
Oversampling of Raytheon lobbyists
February 19, 2025 at 8:42 PM
Oversampling of Raytheon lobbyists
how do you get to R+30 postgrad lol
are you like purposefully oversampling just big oil engineers somehow
are you like purposefully oversampling just big oil engineers somehow
Their sample is insane and I can only imagine they're hedging yeah, despite a polling error being likely to favor Dems this year
R+30 postgraduates lol
Among other deranged crosstabs, and mind you, with a sample that large those crosstabs should really be reasonable and they very much are not
R+30 postgraduates lol
Among other deranged crosstabs, and mind you, with a sample that large those crosstabs should really be reasonable and they very much are not
September 21, 2026 at 10:16 PM
how do you get to R+30 postgrad lol
are you like purposefully oversampling just big oil engineers somehow
are you like purposefully oversampling just big oil engineers somehow
What if this instead reflects polling oversampling Democrats to oversampling Republicans?
October 18, 2024 at 5:14 PM
What if this instead reflects polling oversampling Democrats to oversampling Republicans?
explaining to the unamused guy with a hairnet that actually oversampling is an important statistical method
Why do survey researchers always shop at Costco?
For the free samples
For the free samples
January 30, 2026 at 6:59 PM
explaining to the unamused guy with a hairnet that actually oversampling is an important statistical method
"oversampling" is a good thing
What's something that experts/practitioners in your field universally agree upon, but that remains a "hot take" among the general public?
March 30, 2026 at 10:30 PM
"oversampling" is a good thing
all off in the same way is very plausible though! It would just be a consistent error like oversampling enthusiastic Dems...
September 22, 2026 at 4:15 PM
all off in the same way is very plausible though! It would just be a consistent error like oversampling enthusiastic Dems...
Are all of the "M4A just means people are going to the doctor for fun" people just oversampling Bolsonaro
May 4, 2026 at 3:26 AM
Are all of the "M4A just means people are going to the doctor for fun" people just oversampling Bolsonaro
The cope about this is insane. Sorry, these polls are massively oversampling GOP voters (sometimes by six or seven percent relative to 2024) and the Dems are still winning. Sometimes I wish people on this website would get a grip
September 22, 2026 at 6:48 AM
The cope about this is insane. Sorry, these polls are massively oversampling GOP voters (sometimes by six or seven percent relative to 2024) and the Dems are still winning. Sometimes I wish people on this website would get a grip
Oversampling people who fall for phishing scams
October 21, 2024 at 5:49 PM
Oversampling people who fall for phishing scams
just going to assume there was some oversampling involved
November 22, 2023 at 3:44 PM
just going to assume there was some oversampling involved
"You're oversampling your fear." Brilliant.
February 13, 2026 at 4:03 PM
"You're oversampling your fear." Brilliant.
One theory - it’s oversampling homeowners by about 10%
October 27, 2025 at 4:22 PM
One theory - it’s oversampling homeowners by about 10%
Is this another oversampling of Alberta and Saskatchewan?
April 20, 2025 at 5:21 AM
Is this another oversampling of Alberta and Saskatchewan?
Anyway, if your Godot game seems to inexplicably crash without a stack trace when you resize the window - but only SOMETIMES - and you use RichTextLabels...
Try turning off font oversampling. It worked for me!
#godot #indiegame
Try turning off font oversampling. It worked for me!
#godot #indiegame
July 8, 2025 at 1:03 AM
Anyway, if your Godot game seems to inexplicably crash without a stack trace when you resize the window - but only SOMETIMES - and you use RichTextLabels...
Try turning off font oversampling. It worked for me!
#godot #indiegame
Try turning off font oversampling. It worked for me!
#godot #indiegame
Not to become an Unskew the Polls Guy, but it seems like that NYT poll is oversampling conservatives to me!
November 5, 2023 at 2:56 PM
Not to become an Unskew the Polls Guy, but it seems like that NYT poll is oversampling conservatives to me!
Oversampling: A sure way to expose fundamental statistical misunderstandings. #Statistics #StatsSky
In which horses are more common than zebras and this isn't a reason to oversample
notstatschat.rbind.io/2025/12/01/h...
notstatschat.rbind.io/2025/12/01/h...
Horses or Zebras? - Biased and Inefficient
notstatschat.rbind.io
December 1, 2025 at 1:05 PM
Oversampling: A sure way to expose fundamental statistical misunderstandings. #Statistics #StatsSky
this helps tho I cant help but feel that she's judging my lack of oversampling on the nonlinearity
February 16, 2026 at 5:07 PM
this helps tho I cant help but feel that she's judging my lack of oversampling on the nonlinearity
They’ve stopped including names, because everyone they use for these pieces are GOP operatives. And, the insistence on oversampling Black folks in these little anecdata nonsensensicals, while underweighting Black voters in polling is pathological.
I look at the demographics they surveyed and I’m just dumbfounded. Not following through on what? Too liberal for someone in Michigan? She’s a woman from a woman in Wisconsin? What the shit are we doing people
October 9, 2024 at 1:14 PM
They’ve stopped including names, because everyone they use for these pieces are GOP operatives. And, the insistence on oversampling Black folks in these little anecdata nonsensensicals, while underweighting Black voters in polling is pathological.
Here's a thread of some good resources for anyone wanting to learn more about polling, starting with a topic that's near and dear to my heart: oversampling.
Oversampling is used to study small groups, not bias poll results
As oversampling and its possible effect on presidential polls are spotlighted ahead of Election Day, learn more about this practice and how pollsters adjust for it.
www.pewresearch.org
June 7, 2024 at 2:34 PM
Here's a thread of some good resources for anyone wanting to learn more about polling, starting with a topic that's near and dear to my heart: oversampling.
I definitely do not think polls oversampling Republicans is rosy thinking right now!
October 18, 2024 at 6:31 PM
I definitely do not think polls oversampling Republicans is rosy thinking right now!
The fact that his overall approval is 41% with such numbers from independents and Democrats demonstrates they are vastly oversampling Republicans
March 26, 2026 at 7:40 PM
The fact that his overall approval is 41% with such numbers from independents and Democrats demonstrates they are vastly oversampling Republicans
I would say they're just wrong and oversampling dems. But at the same time, polls in Arkansas are usually wrong in the sense that they project a much narrower republican lead than reality. Showing a Democrat ahead is crazy.
August 19, 2026 at 11:48 PM
I would say they're just wrong and oversampling dems. But at the same time, polls in Arkansas are usually wrong in the sense that they project a much narrower republican lead than reality. Showing a Democrat ahead is crazy.