pretty worrying how predictive Peacemaker turned out to be.
October 21, 2025 at 2:48 PM
pretty worrying how predictive Peacemaker turned out to be.
join me, please, in calling them what they are:
predictive models
ChatGPT is a predictive text model
CoPilot is a predictive code model
Stable Diffusion is a predictive image model
they are not generative.
they predict what something you described might be like.
they do not make that thing
predictive models
ChatGPT is a predictive text model
CoPilot is a predictive code model
Stable Diffusion is a predictive image model
they are not generative.
they predict what something you described might be like.
they do not make that thing
This is, incidentally, why I hate that we're calling LLMs "AI".
They don't know anything. They can't judge anything. They can't remember anything. There's nothing intelligent about what they're doing.
They don't know anything. They can't judge anything. They can't remember anything. There's nothing intelligent about what they're doing.
Predictive text models do not ever "answer your question"
They predict what an answer to your question would probably look like.
Which is very, very, very different
They predict what an answer to your question would probably look like.
Which is very, very, very different
March 18, 2024 at 1:37 PM
join me, please, in calling them what they are:
predictive models
ChatGPT is a predictive text model
CoPilot is a predictive code model
Stable Diffusion is a predictive image model
they are not generative.
they predict what something you described might be like.
they do not make that thing
predictive models
ChatGPT is a predictive text model
CoPilot is a predictive code model
Stable Diffusion is a predictive image model
they are not generative.
they predict what something you described might be like.
they do not make that thing
i always look back on this email as predictive of where she was heading
December 22, 2025 at 8:45 PM
i always look back on this email as predictive of where she was heading
Wow! Very predictive!
March 24, 2026 at 11:58 PM
Wow! Very predictive!
Prediction markets are not predictive and should not be covered as news
August 12, 2026 at 2:32 PM
Prediction markets are not predictive and should not be covered as news
Project 2025 was, literally, the predictive model.
June 29, 2025 at 1:42 PM
Project 2025 was, literally, the predictive model.
this was my most predictive tweet from 2024
September 6, 2026 at 10:42 PM
this was my most predictive tweet from 2024
Chalk one up for the predictive power of the "Bluesky bubble," I guess.
June 25, 2025 at 3:15 AM
Chalk one up for the predictive power of the "Bluesky bubble," I guess.
New: a secretive DHS predictive policing unit is analyzing Americans' financial activity, feeding those names to police, then having cops pull them over. Not suspected of any particular crime
We're revealing the unit name too: Predictive Intelligence Targeting Team www.404media.co/a-secretive-...
We're revealing the unit name too: Predictive Intelligence Targeting Team www.404media.co/a-secretive-...
A Secretive DHS ‘Predictive Policing’ Unit is Analyzing Americans' Financial Habits and Pulling Them Over
404 Media is revealing the name of Border Patrol's predictive policing units, which analyze financial data and have local cops pull people over. The people are not suspected of any particular crime.
www.404media.co
September 8, 2026 at 1:13 PM
New: a secretive DHS predictive policing unit is analyzing Americans' financial activity, feeding those names to police, then having cops pull them over. Not suspected of any particular crime
We're revealing the unit name too: Predictive Intelligence Targeting Team www.404media.co/a-secretive-...
We're revealing the unit name too: Predictive Intelligence Targeting Team www.404media.co/a-secretive-...
The California Governor’s office jokingly tweeted at Kalshi and Polymarket, asking about the odds of Newsom banning California officials from betting on predictive markets.
Newsom’s Office Signals He Will Ban California Officials From Betting On Online Prediction Markets Today
The California Governor’s office jokingly tweeted at Kalshi and Polymarket, asking about the odds of Newsom banning California officials from betting on predictive markets.
www.forbes.com
March 27, 2026 at 10:55 AM
The California Governor’s office jokingly tweeted at Kalshi and Polymarket, asking about the odds of Newsom banning California officials from betting on predictive markets.
The awesome predictive power of the arson-for-profit industry
August 4, 2026 at 4:29 PM
The awesome predictive power of the arson-for-profit industry
Another banner day for the infallible predictive power of betting markets.
June 25, 2025 at 5:47 PM
Another banner day for the infallible predictive power of betting markets.
If the test of a theory is its predictive power, then Trump-Russia is the most robust theory in all contemporary political science.
March 3, 2025 at 3:12 AM
If the test of a theory is its predictive power, then Trump-Russia is the most robust theory in all contemporary political science.
Mark my words--- Polymarket and other predictive market schemes have the potential to become a serious threat to press freedom/journalists.
tired: harassing athletes for not covering the spread
wired: harassing journalists for not making things up
wired: harassing journalists for not making things up
March 14, 2026 at 1:34 AM
Mark my words--- Polymarket and other predictive market schemes have the potential to become a serious threat to press freedom/journalists.
god, the gorilla channel was so predictive
starting to think that an increasingly senile trump is being shown a different reality by his aides by making ai videos of shit and telling him it’s real news
September 30, 2025 at 2:13 AM
god, the gorilla channel was so predictive
Predictive text models do not ever "answer your question"
They predict what an answer to your question would probably look like.
Which is very, very, very different
They predict what an answer to your question would probably look like.
Which is very, very, very different
I don’t think it can be emphasized enough that large language models were never intended to do math or know facts; literally all they do is attempt to sound like the text they’re given, which may or may not include math or facts. They don’t do logic or fact checking — they’re just not built for that
Unfortunately, it repeatedly offers incorrect answers for straightforward math questions. 🧪
March 18, 2024 at 12:45 PM
Predictive text models do not ever "answer your question"
They predict what an answer to your question would probably look like.
Which is very, very, very different
They predict what an answer to your question would probably look like.
Which is very, very, very different
No predictive model could foresee this degree of national self-sabotage – an act of willful decline that transcends political theory.
June 29, 2025 at 1:21 AM
No predictive model could foresee this degree of national self-sabotage – an act of willful decline that transcends political theory.
404 Media is revealing the name of Border Patrol's predictive policing units, which analyze financial data and have local cops pull people over. The people are not suspected of any particular crime.
www.404media.co/a-secretive-...
www.404media.co/a-secretive-...
A Secretive DHS ‘Predictive Policing’ Unit is Analyzing Americans’ Financial Habits and Pulling Them Over
404 Media is revealing the name of Border Patrol's predictive policing units, which analyze financial data and have local cops pull people over. The people are not suspected of any particular crime.
www.404media.co
September 20, 2026 at 1:15 AM
404 Media is revealing the name of Border Patrol's predictive policing units, which analyze financial data and have local cops pull people over. The people are not suspected of any particular crime.
www.404media.co/a-secretive-...
www.404media.co/a-secretive-...
404 Media is revealing the name of Border Patrol's predictive policing units, which analyze financial data and have local cops pull people over. The people are not suspected of any particular crime.
A Secretive DHS ‘Predictive Policing’ Unit is Analyzing Americans' Financial Habits and Pulling Them Over
404 Media is revealing the name of Border Patrol's predictive policing units, which analyze financial data and have local cops pull people over. The people are not suspected of any particular crime.
www.404media.co
September 8, 2026 at 1:30 PM
404 Media is revealing the name of Border Patrol's predictive policing units, which analyze financial data and have local cops pull people over. The people are not suspected of any particular crime.
if, ten years ago, your entire understanding of politics was that the right wing wanted to destroy everything because they were evil, you had a more accurate and more predictive analysis than functionally the entire American media and political apparatus
March 21, 2025 at 12:44 AM
if, ten years ago, your entire understanding of politics was that the right wing wanted to destroy everything because they were evil, you had a more accurate and more predictive analysis than functionally the entire American media and political apparatus
Google truly is getting dumber
July 31, 2025 at 11:01 AM
Google truly is getting dumber
the airlock scene from Avenue 5 remains uncannily predictive
you guys remember that scene from Independence Day when all the kooks went to the top of that building to "greet our new alien friends" and got instantly evaporated. thinking of that scene again for no reason
July 5, 2026 at 12:28 AM
the airlock scene from Avenue 5 remains uncannily predictive
This is why I call it a hallucination machine.
It’s predictive text. It doesn’t know things.
It’s predictive text. It doesn’t know things.
April 26, 2025 at 7:03 PM
This is why I call it a hallucination machine.
It’s predictive text. It doesn’t know things.
It’s predictive text. It doesn’t know things.
*slamming head on desk over and over again*
LLMs are predictive and not a search engine
LLMs are predictive and not a search engine
The Sun-Times' AI content also includes made up experts, quotes, and publications. It's the same story, over and over: a news outlet outsources work to freelancers or third-party firms that use AI, and that content is thrown in with actual human work w/o review.
www.theverge.com/ai-artificia...
www.theverge.com/ai-artificia...
May 20, 2025 at 4:49 PM
*slamming head on desk over and over again*
LLMs are predictive and not a search engine
LLMs are predictive and not a search engine