I think Republicans have by and large yet to come to terms that the President whose preelection pitch was “pool” and post-drubbing response was “ballroom” does not in fact, “got this.”
November 9, 2026 at 7:16 PM
I think Republicans have by and large yet to come to terms that the President whose preelection pitch was “pool” and post-drubbing response was “ballroom” does not in fact, “got this.”
found the polling error: preelection polling estimates understated the Democratic margin by at least 2 points in 23 of 27 races for governor and U.S. Senate with available data at the time of this writing. The mean understatement across all 27 races was about 4 percentage points.
A First Look at Polling Performance in 2026
Preelection polls captured the direction of this year’s election, while generally understating the size of Democrats’ advantage.
www.pewresearch.org
November 6, 2026 at 8:44 PM
found the polling error: preelection polling estimates understated the Democratic margin by at least 2 points in 23 of 27 races for governor and U.S. Senate with available data at the time of this writing. The mean understatement across all 27 races was about 4 percentage points.
"Votes are still being counted, but two conclusions seem clear: Preelection polls captured the direction of this year’s election while generally understating the size of Democrats’ advantage."
A First Look at Polling Performance in 2026
Preelection polls captured the direction of this year’s election, while generally understating the size of Democrats’ advantage.
www.pewresearch.org
November 8, 2026 at 7:02 PM
"Votes are still being counted, but two conclusions seem clear: Preelection polls captured the direction of this year’s election while generally understating the size of Democrats’ advantage."
How did polls do in 2026?
Votes are still being counted, but two conclusions seem clear: preelection polls captured the direction of the election, while generally understating the size of Democrats’ advantage.
#Midterms #Democrats #Republicans #Polling
Votes are still being counted, but two conclusions seem clear: preelection polls captured the direction of the election, while generally understating the size of Democrats’ advantage.
#Midterms #Democrats #Republicans #Polling
November 6, 2026 at 7:07 PM
How did polls do in 2026?
Votes are still being counted, but two conclusions seem clear: preelection polls captured the direction of the election, while generally understating the size of Democrats’ advantage.
#Midterms #Democrats #Republicans #Polling
Votes are still being counted, but two conclusions seem clear: preelection polls captured the direction of the election, while generally understating the size of Democrats’ advantage.
#Midterms #Democrats #Republicans #Polling
NEW from @pewresearch.org: An early analysis of how polls fared in the 2026 midterms
"Preelection polling estimates understated the Democratic margin by at least 2 points in 23 of 27 races for governor and U.S. Senate with available data."
"Preelection polling estimates understated the Democratic margin by at least 2 points in 23 of 27 races for governor and U.S. Senate with available data."
A First Look at Polling Performance in 2026
Preelection polls captured the direction of this year’s election, while generally understating the size of Democrats’ advantage.
www.pewresearch.org
November 6, 2026 at 7:02 PM
NEW from @pewresearch.org: An early analysis of how polls fared in the 2026 midterms
"Preelection polling estimates understated the Democratic margin by at least 2 points in 23 of 27 races for governor and U.S. Senate with available data."
"Preelection polling estimates understated the Democratic margin by at least 2 points in 23 of 27 races for governor and U.S. Senate with available data."
Opinion from W. Joseph Campbell: I study polling failures — this time, pollsters were mostly right, if not precise #ksleg
Opinion: I study polling failures — this time, pollsters were mostly right, if not precise • Kansas Reflector
Opinion from W. Joseph Campbell: The crucial test for preelection polls is whether they broadly indicate how voters are likely to decide. By that fundamental measure, the 2026 midterm polls largely su...
kansasreflector.com
November 7, 2026 at 3:23 PM
Opinion from W. Joseph Campbell: I study polling failures — this time, pollsters were mostly right, if not precise #ksleg
Turns out, the polls Republicans love to call rigged were actually too kind, consistently downplaying just how bad the Democratic lead truly was.
A First Look at Polling Performance in 2026...
Preelection polls captured the direction of this year’s election, while generally understating the s...
www.pewresearch.org
November 8, 2026 at 3:06 AM
Turns out, the polls Republicans love to call rigged were actually too kind, consistently downplaying just how bad the Democratic lead truly was.
Find a first look at polling performance here:
A First Look at Polling Performance in 2026
Preelection polls captured the direction of this year’s election, while generally understating the size of Democrats’ advantage.
www.pewresearch.org
November 6, 2026 at 7:07 PM
Find a first look at polling performance here:
Attends j'ai vu un article du monde préélection qui disait exactement ça je te le retrouve
November 4, 2026 at 3:22 PM
Attends j'ai vu un article du monde préélection qui disait exactement ça je te le retrouve
Did a little analysis of how the polls performed this year.
Polling estimates understated the Democratic margin by at least 2 points in 23 of 27 races for governor and U.S. Senate. The mean understatement across all 27 races was about 4 percentage points.
www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/...
Polling estimates understated the Democratic margin by at least 2 points in 23 of 27 races for governor and U.S. Senate. The mean understatement across all 27 races was about 4 percentage points.
www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/...
A First Look at Polling Performance in 2026
Preelection polls captured the direction of this year’s election, while generally understating the size of Democrats’ advantage.
www.pewresearch.org
November 6, 2026 at 7:28 PM
Did a little analysis of how the polls performed this year.
Polling estimates understated the Democratic margin by at least 2 points in 23 of 27 races for governor and U.S. Senate. The mean understatement across all 27 races was about 4 percentage points.
www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/...
Polling estimates understated the Democratic margin by at least 2 points in 23 of 27 races for governor and U.S. Senate. The mean understatement across all 27 races was about 4 percentage points.
www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/...
Pay Attention(ICYMI): Trump White House Maps Path to Govern Without Congress if Democrats Win www.usnews.com/news/world/a... #PreElection
November 10, 2026 at 11:37 AM
Pay Attention(ICYMI): Trump White House Maps Path to Govern Without Congress if Democrats Win www.usnews.com/news/world/a... #PreElection
Preelection polls captured the direction of this year’s election while generally understating the size of Democrats’ advantage. www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/...
A First Look at Polling Performance in 2026
Preelection polls captured the direction of this year’s election, while generally understating the size of Democrats’ advantage.
www.pewresearch.org
November 8, 2026 at 7:29 PM
Preelection polls captured the direction of this year’s election while generally understating the size of Democrats’ advantage. www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/...
A First Look at Polling Performance in 2026 | Pew Research Center www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/...
A First Look at Polling Performance in 2026
Preelection polls captured the direction of this year’s election, while generally understating the size of Democrats’ advantage.
www.pewresearch.org
November 7, 2026 at 3:17 PM
A First Look at Polling Performance in 2026 | Pew Research Center www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/...
for one thing, the only way the polls were "so wrong" this time is that they appear to have underestimated how well Democrats were going to do
November 9, 2026 at 4:02 PM
for one thing, the only way the polls were "so wrong" this time is that they appear to have underestimated how well Democrats were going to do
Votes are still being counted, but two conclusions seem clear: Preelection polls captured the direction of this year’s election while generally understating the size of Democrats’ advantage.
www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/...
www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/...
A First Look at Polling Performance in 2026
Preelection polls captured the direction of this year’s election, while generally understating the size of Democrats’ advantage.
www.pewresearch.org
November 7, 2026 at 7:03 PM
Votes are still being counted, but two conclusions seem clear: Preelection polls captured the direction of this year’s election while generally understating the size of Democrats’ advantage.
www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/...
www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/...
Plus active efforts to protect elections, if you were paying attention.
www.yahoo.com/news/politic...
www.yahoo.com/news/politic...
A ‘coup' in Congress? Democrats are gaming out a Jan. 3 nightmare
Democrats panicked over President Donald Trump's preelection attacks on California are preparing for a GOP-led effort to maintain control of Congress by mutiny.
www.yahoo.com
November 8, 2026 at 3:47 AM
Plus active efforts to protect elections, if you were paying attention.
www.yahoo.com/news/politic...
www.yahoo.com/news/politic...
Yes, he yelled at Miller and then backed down, and nothing changed. Clearly Miller has more influence over him than Melania does. And it's absurd that the article mentions her pro-choice comment in 2024. That was just part of the preelection lying about what his administration would be like.
November 5, 2026 at 3:37 PM
Yes, he yelled at Miller and then backed down, and nothing changed. Clearly Miller has more influence over him than Melania does. And it's absurd that the article mentions her pro-choice comment in 2024. That was just part of the preelection lying about what his administration would be like.
Pollsters predicted sweeping Democratic wins, and they were right
Republicans insist that polling underestimates them, but 2026 saw the exact opposite
Patreon link below, Substack here: plus.flux.community/p/pollsters-...
Republicans insist that polling underestimates them, but 2026 saw the exact opposite
Patreon link below, Substack here: plus.flux.community/p/pollsters-...
Pollsters predicted sweeping Democratic wins, and they were right | Flux
Republicans insist that polling underestimates them, but 2026 saw the exact opposite By W. Joseph Campbell The crucial test for preelection
www.patreon.com
November 5, 2026 at 8:57 PM
Pollsters predicted sweeping Democratic wins, and they were right
Republicans insist that polling underestimates them, but 2026 saw the exact opposite
Patreon link below, Substack here: plus.flux.community/p/pollsters-...
Republicans insist that polling underestimates them, but 2026 saw the exact opposite
Patreon link below, Substack here: plus.flux.community/p/pollsters-...
Pew's Scott Keeter is out with A First Look at Polling Performance in 2026 - always worth a read: www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/...
A First Look at Polling Performance in 2026
Preelection polls captured the direction of this year’s election, while generally understating the size of Democrats’ advantage.
www.pewresearch.org
November 6, 2026 at 9:06 PM
Pew's Scott Keeter is out with A First Look at Polling Performance in 2026 - always worth a read: www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/...
I imagine he will return to a Startrek type holodeck enacting eternal preelection admonitions to vote to cos playing humans who venture in.
November 7, 2026 at 12:27 AM
I imagine he will return to a Startrek type holodeck enacting eternal preelection admonitions to vote to cos playing humans who venture in.
‘They’re Being Steamrolled’: Why South Carolina Is Sending a Democrat to the Senate
politi.co/4iz6e7n via @politico
politi.co/4iz6e7n via @politico
‘They’re Being Steamrolled’: Why South Carolina Is Sending a Democrat to the Senate
In a preelection interview, Annie Andrews made clear that a Senate victory was in her grasp.
politi.co
November 4, 2026 at 7:21 PM
‘They’re Being Steamrolled’: Why South Carolina Is Sending a Democrat to the Senate
politi.co/4iz6e7n via @politico
politi.co/4iz6e7n via @politico